Chattanooga
Southern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.0#247
Expected Predictive Rating-10.0#311
Pace65.9#279
Improvement+1.4#81

Offense
Total Offense-0.8#183
First Shot+1.1#144
After Offensive Rebound-1.9#298
Layup/Dunks-4.2#318
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#179
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.5#36
Freethrows-0.2#192
Improvement-1.1#270

Defense
Total Defense-4.2#316
First Shot-2.7#263
After Offensive Rebounds-1.5#289
Layups/Dunks+2.7#88
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#195
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#320
Freethrows-1.3#277
Improvement+2.5#34
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.7% 5.6% 4.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.5 15.8
.500 or above 19.1% 28.5% 11.8%
.500 or above in Conference 55.6% 61.5% 50.9%
Conference Champion 4.2% 5.6% 3.1%
Last Place in Conference 4.2% 2.9% 5.2%
First Four2.3% 2.1% 2.4%
First Round3.8% 4.7% 3.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Alabama A&M (Away) - 43.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 32 - 72 - 10
Quad 410 - 812 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 41 @St. Mary's L 66-87 4%     0 - 1 -5.9 +4.6 -11.4
  Sat, Nov 8 139 @UNLV L 69-101 19%     0 - 2 -27.7 +0.2 -28.9
  Sat, Nov 15 184 @Florida Gulf Coast L 73-91 27%     0 - 3 -16.6 +0.3 -17.2
  Wed, Nov 19 361 @South Carolina St. W 78-66 75%     1 - 3 +0.1 -2.5 +2.2
  Sat, Nov 22 214 North Alabama W 71-57 56%     2 - 3 +7.6 +6.9 +2.9
  Sun, Nov 30 230 Tennessee St. L 64-70 58%     2 - 4 -13.1 -4.6 -8.8
  Sat, Dec 6 213 Southeast Missouri St. L 70-74 55%     2 - 5 -10.4 -0.9 -9.7
  Sat, Dec 13 28 Auburn L 78-92 5%     2 - 6 +0.4 +9.4 -9.0
  Wed, Dec 17 275 @Bellarmine L 64-79 43%     2 - 7 -18.1 -11.3 -7.3
  Sun, Dec 21 280 @Alabama A&M L 69-71 44%    
  Thu, Jan 1 291 @UNC Greensboro L 73-74 47%    
  Sat, Jan 3 331 @VMI W 75-73 59%    
  Wed, Jan 7 152 Furman L 71-74 41%    
  Sat, Jan 10 232 Samford W 76-74 58%    
  Wed, Jan 14 221 @Wofford L 71-75 34%    
  Sat, Jan 17 297 @Western Carolina L 75-76 47%    
  Wed, Jan 21 124 East Tennessee St. L 70-75 33%    
  Sat, Jan 24 232 @Samford L 73-77 36%    
  Thu, Jan 29 221 Wofford W 74-72 56%    
  Sun, Feb 1 152 @Furman L 68-77 22%    
  Thu, Feb 5 170 Mercer L 76-77 46%    
  Sat, Feb 7 354 The Citadel W 78-66 85%    
  Wed, Feb 11 124 @East Tennessee St. L 67-78 17%    
  Sat, Feb 14 297 Western Carolina W 78-73 68%    
  Thu, Feb 19 170 @Mercer L 73-80 26%    
  Sat, Feb 21 354 @The Citadel W 75-69 69%    
  Thu, Feb 26 291 UNC Greensboro W 76-71 68%    
  Sat, Feb 28 331 VMI W 78-70 77%    
Projected Record 11 - 17 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.5 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 4.2 1st
2nd 0.1 1.1 2.8 2.7 1.1 0.2 0.0 8.0 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.7 4.5 3.9 1.0 0.0 11.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.6 6.5 4.6 0.8 0.1 14.8 4th
5th 0.3 2.9 6.6 4.4 0.8 0.0 15.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 3.1 6.8 4.4 0.7 0.0 15.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.9 6.1 3.6 0.6 13.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 2.4 4.1 2.2 0.4 0.0 9.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 1.8 2.2 1.1 0.2 5.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.0 2.0 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.8 5.3 8.5 11.9 14.1 14.4 13.4 11.1 7.8 4.8 2.6 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 97.5% 0.4    0.4 0.0
15-3 78.7% 0.8    0.6 0.2 0.0
14-4 55.9% 1.5    0.6 0.7 0.1 0.0
13-5 21.6% 1.0    0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0
12-6 4.2% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.2% 4.2 2.0 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.1% 19.2% 19.2% 14.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.4% 18.9% 18.9% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
15-3 1.0% 15.6% 15.6% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.9
14-4 2.6% 15.8% 15.8% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 2.2
13-5 4.8% 14.0% 14.0% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 4.1
12-6 7.8% 8.4% 8.4% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.4 7.2
11-7 11.1% 8.0% 8.0% 15.8 0.2 0.7 10.2
10-8 13.4% 5.1% 5.1% 16.0 0.0 0.7 12.7
9-9 14.4% 3.7% 3.7% 16.0 0.5 13.9
8-10 14.1% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.3 13.7
7-11 11.9% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.2 11.8
6-12 8.5% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 8.5
5-13 5.3% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 5.3
4-14 2.8% 2.8
3-15 1.2% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 1.2
2-16 0.4% 0.4
1-17 0.1% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.0 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 4.7% 4.7% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.0 3.4 95.3 0.0%