Chicago St.
Northeast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-11.1#341
Expected Predictive Rating-9.3#305
Pace71.0#141
Improvement+0.9#115

Offense
Total Offense-5.3#313
First Shot-5.0#316
After Offensive Rebound-0.3#199
Layup/Dunks-5.4#337
2 Pt Jumpshots+6.7#4
3 Pt Jumpshots-8.3#357
Freethrows+2.0#77
Improvement-0.3#202

Defense
Total Defense-5.8#344
First Shot-4.5#322
After Offensive Rebounds-1.3#282
Layups/Dunks-1.5#236
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#4
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.0#338
Freethrows-1.0#251
Improvement+1.2#99
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.2% 17.4% 5.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 2.1% 19.8% 2.0%
.500 or above in Conference 57.4% 76.7% 57.4%
Conference Champion 5.2% 17.4% 5.1%
Last Place in Conference 8.4% 0.0% 8.5%
First Four5.1% 15.1% 5.1%
First Round2.3% 12.8% 2.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Indiana (Away) - 0.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 30 - 7
Quad 30 - 40 - 12
Quad 49 - 1010 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 109 @DePaul L 62-92 6%     0 - 1 -23.4 -8.2 -14.0
  Thu, Nov 6 34 @Saint Louis L 86-108 1%     0 - 2 -5.8 +5.3 -7.1
  Tue, Nov 11 57 @Butler L 66-98 2%     0 - 3 -19.3 -5.3 -12.6
  Sat, Nov 15 192 Illinois-Chicago L 63-67 28%     0 - 4 -9.0 -6.0 -3.4
  Tue, Nov 18 96 @Minnesota L 54-66 5%     0 - 5 -3.8 -8.3 +3.2
  Thu, Nov 20 22 @Iowa L 54-93 1%     0 - 6 -20.5 -2.2 -24.0
  Tue, Nov 25 220 @Purdue Fort Wayne L 77-90 16%     0 - 7 -13.6 +4.0 -18.0
  Fri, Nov 28 166 @Youngstown St. L 64-87 11%     0 - 8 -20.6 -6.7 -13.8
  Sat, Dec 6 92 @Illinois St. L 53-95 4%     0 - 9 -33.2 -14.3 -20.7
  Sun, Dec 14 289 @Loyola Chicago W 84-75 25%     1 - 9 +5.0 +4.6 +0.1
  Tue, Dec 16 125 @Bowling Green L 55-76 7%     1 - 10 -15.5 -11.1 -5.3
  Sat, Dec 20 26 @Indiana L 61-90 0.3%   
  Fri, Jan 2 292 Wagner L 73-74 47%    
  Sun, Jan 4 201 LIU Brooklyn L 75-80 30%    
  Thu, Jan 8 359 @Fairleigh Dickinson W 78-77 53%    
  Sat, Jan 10 339 @Stonehill L 69-72 38%    
  Sat, Jan 17 315 Le Moyne W 79-78 54%    
  Mon, Jan 19 336 New Haven W 70-67 59%    
  Fri, Jan 23 363 @St. Francis (PA) W 76-74 55%    
  Sun, Jan 25 328 @Mercyhurst L 68-72 35%    
  Thu, Jan 29 363 St. Francis (PA) W 79-71 75%    
  Sat, Jan 31 328 Mercyhurst W 71-69 56%    
  Thu, Feb 5 240 @Central Connecticut St. L 66-75 19%    
  Sat, Feb 7 336 @New Haven L 67-70 38%    
  Thu, Feb 12 339 Stonehill W 72-69 60%    
  Sat, Feb 14 315 @Le Moyne L 76-81 33%    
  Thu, Feb 19 359 Fairleigh Dickinson W 81-74 72%    
  Sat, Feb 21 240 Central Connecticut St. L 69-72 37%    
  Thu, Feb 26 201 @LIU Brooklyn L 72-83 15%    
  Sat, Feb 28 292 @Wagner L 70-77 27%    
Projected Record 9 - 21 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 1.3 1.5 1.1 0.5 0.1 5.2 1st
2nd 0.1 1.2 3.2 2.7 1.3 0.2 0.0 8.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.6 4.8 3.5 0.9 0.1 0.0 11.0 3rd
4th 0.1 1.6 5.8 4.5 0.8 0.0 12.8 4th
5th 0.0 1.6 6.0 5.0 0.9 0.0 13.5 5th
6th 0.0 1.2 5.6 5.6 1.2 0.0 13.6 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 4.6 5.3 1.2 0.0 12.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.9 3.7 4.5 1.2 0.1 10.4 8th
9th 0.1 0.9 3.0 3.0 1.1 0.1 8.1 9th
10th 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.6 1.4 0.5 0.0 4.6 10th
Total 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.5 5.2 8.3 11.4 13.9 14.5 13.6 11.4 8.0 5.0 2.9 1.2 0.6 0.1 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-1 97.0% 0.5    0.5 0.1
14-2 86.8% 1.1    0.8 0.3 0.0
13-3 52.7% 1.5    0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0
12-4 27.0% 1.3    0.4 0.6 0.3 0.0
11-5 6.4% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 5.2% 5.2 2.7 1.7 0.7 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.1% 27.5% 27.5% 16.0 0.0 0.1
15-1 0.6% 28.6% 28.6% 16.0 0.2 0.4
14-2 1.2% 26.2% 26.2% 16.0 0.3 0.9
13-3 2.9% 17.0% 17.0% 16.0 0.5 2.4
12-4 5.0% 13.3% 13.3% 16.0 0.7 4.3
11-5 8.0% 12.0% 12.0% 16.0 1.0 7.1
10-6 11.4% 7.0% 7.0% 16.0 0.8 10.6
9-7 13.6% 4.5% 4.5% 16.0 0.6 13.0
8-8 14.5% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.4 14.1
7-9 13.9% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.3 13.5
6-10 11.4% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.2 11.2
5-11 8.3% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 8.1
4-12 5.2% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 5.2
3-13 2.5% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 2.4
2-14 1.0% 1.0
1-15 0.3% 0.3
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 5.2% 5.2% 0.0% 16.0 5.2 94.8 0.0%