Florida International
Conference USA
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.8#187
Expected Predictive Rating-1.7#192
Pace76.2#38
Improvement+1.7#73

Offense
Total Offense-0.9#186
First Shot+0.2#166
After Offensive Rebound-1.1#249
Layup/Dunks+1.5#118
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#152
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#202
Freethrows-1.1#255
Improvement+1.6#67

Defense
Total Defense-0.9#200
First Shot+3.6#66
After Offensive Rebounds-4.5#360
Layups/Dunks+3.5#64
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#198
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#175
Freethrows-0.3#199
Improvement+0.1#177
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.9% 6.1% 2.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.0 13.9 14.5
.500 or above 42.1% 51.0% 26.2%
.500 or above in Conference 49.2% 54.5% 39.6%
Conference Champion 4.7% 5.8% 2.6%
Last Place in Conference 7.2% 5.6% 10.1%
First Four0.4% 0.3% 0.4%
First Round4.8% 6.0% 2.7%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: LIU Brooklyn (Home) - 64.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 21 - 31 - 6
Quad 34 - 65 - 12
Quad 49 - 414 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 24 @Nebraska L 66-96 4%     0 - 1 -11.9 -4.7 -4.6
  Thu, Nov 13 35 @LSU L 81-98 6%     0 - 2 -1.1 +6.9 -6.3
  Mon, Nov 24 193 James Madison L 72-80 63%     0 - 3 -13.1 -3.2 -10.1
  Wed, Nov 26 231 Nebraska Omaha W 74-61 70%     1 - 3 +5.9 -5.8 +11.3
  Wed, Dec 3 184 Florida Gulf Coast W 89-83 61%     2 - 3 +1.4 +5.7 -4.7
  Sat, Dec 6 309 Jacksonville W 88-65 82%     3 - 3 +11.3 +12.2 -0.3
  Tue, Dec 16 33 @Miami (FL) L 81-98 6%     3 - 4 -0.8 +10.2 -9.7
  Sat, Dec 20 201 LIU Brooklyn W 82-78 64%    
  Sun, Dec 28 107 Liberty L 74-77 41%    
  Fri, Jan 2 135 New Mexico St. L 73-74 49%    
  Sun, Jan 4 216 UTEP W 74-69 67%    
  Wed, Jan 7 270 @Jacksonville St. W 71-70 54%    
  Sat, Jan 10 263 @Missouri St. W 72-71 53%    
  Wed, Jan 14 155 @Kennesaw St. L 82-87 32%    
  Sat, Jan 17 117 Sam Houston St. L 81-83 42%    
  Thu, Jan 22 216 @UTEP L 71-72 45%    
  Sat, Jan 24 135 @New Mexico St. L 70-76 28%    
  Wed, Jan 28 270 Jacksonville St. W 74-67 74%    
  Wed, Feb 4 160 @Middle Tennessee L 73-78 33%    
  Sat, Feb 7 147 @Western Kentucky L 78-84 30%    
  Thu, Feb 12 284 Delaware W 78-70 76%    
  Sat, Feb 14 189 Louisiana Tech W 70-67 61%    
  Thu, Feb 19 107 @Liberty L 71-80 23%    
  Sat, Feb 21 263 Missouri St. W 75-68 73%    
  Thu, Feb 26 117 @Sam Houston St. L 78-86 23%    
  Sat, Feb 28 189 @Louisiana Tech L 67-70 40%    
  Thu, Mar 5 160 Middle Tennessee W 76-75 54%    
  Sat, Mar 7 147 Western Kentucky W 82-81 51%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.4 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 4.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.8 2.2 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 6.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 2.5 3.3 1.1 0.2 0.0 7.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 2.7 4.0 1.5 0.2 0.0 8.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.8 4.5 2.1 0.2 9.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.6 5.2 2.4 0.2 0.0 10.7 6th
7th 0.2 2.2 5.2 3.2 0.6 0.0 11.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.7 4.6 3.7 0.8 0.0 10.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.7 4.5 3.3 0.8 0.0 10.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.5 3.2 3.1 0.8 0.0 8.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.3 2.4 1.9 0.6 0.0 6.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.0 1.3 0.9 0.2 0.0 4.0 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.4 2.8 5.0 7.2 10.1 11.2 12.6 12.4 10.8 9.3 7.1 4.4 2.7 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
18-2 93.9% 0.2    0.1 0.0
17-3 90.7% 0.6    0.5 0.1
16-4 78.3% 1.2    0.8 0.4 0.0
15-5 51.3% 1.4    0.7 0.6 0.1
14-6 20.3% 0.9    0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-7 4.1% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 4.7% 4.7 2.5 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.2% 32.7% 32.7% 12.1 0.1 0.0 0.1
17-3 0.7% 28.3% 28.3% 12.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5
16-4 1.6% 25.3% 25.3% 12.9 0.1 0.2 0.1 1.2
15-5 2.7% 22.3% 22.3% 13.3 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 2.1
14-6 4.4% 13.1% 13.1% 13.5 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.0 3.8
13-7 7.1% 11.4% 11.4% 13.9 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 6.3
12-8 9.3% 8.1% 8.1% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 8.5
11-9 10.8% 5.6% 5.6% 14.6 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 10.2
10-10 12.4% 2.6% 2.6% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 12.1
9-11 12.6% 2.0% 2.0% 15.4 0.1 0.1 12.4
8-12 11.2% 1.6% 1.6% 15.9 0.0 0.2 11.0
7-13 10.1% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 10.0
6-14 7.2% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 7.1
5-15 5.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 5.0
4-16 2.8% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.8
3-17 1.4% 1.4
2-18 0.5% 0.5
1-19 0.2% 0.2
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 4.9% 4.9% 0.0% 14.0 0.0 0.4 1.2 1.6 1.2 0.5 95.1 0.0%