Incarnate Word
Southland
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.9#191
Expected Predictive Rating-3.7#231
Pace62.8#335
Improvement+0.7#129

Offense
Total Offense+2.1#117
First Shot+0.0#170
After Offensive Rebound+2.1#62
Layup/Dunks-2.1#261
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#32
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#223
Freethrows+0.1#172
Improvement+0.4#147

Defense
Total Defense-4.0#305
First Shot-3.7#302
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#210
Layups/Dunks-4.2#319
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#261
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.2#42
Freethrows-2.8#332
Improvement+0.3#164
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.5% 8.4% 5.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.2 13.3 14.3
.500 or above 48.6% 75.8% 46.7%
.500 or above in Conference 67.6% 81.7% 66.6%
Conference Champion 2.7% 5.5% 2.5%
Last Place in Conference 3.3% 0.7% 3.5%
First Four0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Round5.4% 8.4% 5.2%
Second Round0.3% 0.6% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: TCU (Away) - 6.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 21 - 21 - 5
Quad 32 - 53 - 10
Quad 411 - 614 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 72 @Colorado St. L 64-98 12%     0 - 1 -23.1 -3.7 -21.7
  Sun, Nov 16 27 @Indiana L 61-69 4%     0 - 2 +9.8 +2.5 +6.7
  Thu, Nov 20 317 Southern Indiana W 87-81 76%     1 - 2 -3.3 +8.1 -11.7
  Sat, Nov 22 105 High Point L 80-91 28%     1 - 3 -7.0 +11.4 -19.2
  Mon, Dec 1 70 McNeese St. W 71-67 26%     2 - 3 1 - 0 +8.9 +6.6 +2.6
  Sat, Dec 6 259 @Nicholls St. L 67-74 52%     2 - 4 1 - 1 -9.4 -0.5 -9.4
  Mon, Dec 8 247 @New Orleans L 83-84 50%     2 - 5 1 - 2 -2.8 +9.4 -12.3
  Mon, Dec 15 49 @TCU L 63-79 7%    
  Sat, Dec 20 270 Northern Arizona W 74-67 74%    
  Tue, Dec 30 258 SE Louisiana W 72-66 73%    
  Sat, Jan 3 274 Houston Christian W 74-67 74%    
  Mon, Jan 5 207 @UT Rio Grande Valley L 72-74 44%    
  Sat, Jan 10 223 @Lamar L 66-67 45%    
  Mon, Jan 12 140 @Stephen F. Austin L 68-74 28%    
  Sat, Jan 17 273 Northwestern St. W 75-68 74%    
  Mon, Jan 19 303 East Texas A&M W 77-68 79%    
  Sat, Jan 24 210 TX A&M Corpus Christi W 72-68 65%    
  Mon, Jan 26 274 @Houston Christian W 71-70 54%    
  Sat, Jan 31 207 UT Rio Grande Valley W 75-71 64%    
  Mon, Feb 2 210 @TX A&M Corpus Christi L 69-71 44%    
  Sat, Feb 7 70 @McNeese St. L 64-77 12%    
  Mon, Feb 9 258 @SE Louisiana W 70-69 51%    
  Sat, Feb 14 259 Nicholls St. W 75-69 72%    
  Mon, Feb 16 247 New Orleans W 79-73 70%    
  Sat, Feb 21 303 @East Texas A&M W 74-71 60%    
  Mon, Feb 23 273 @Northwestern St. W 72-71 53%    
  Sat, Feb 28 223 Lamar W 69-64 67%    
  Mon, Mar 2 140 Stephen F. Austin L 71-72 49%    
Projected Record 14 - 14 12 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 2.7 1st
2nd 0.1 0.7 2.5 3.9 3.6 1.9 0.5 0.1 13.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.4 4.4 5.7 3.5 1.3 0.2 0.0 16.6 3rd
4th 0.1 1.3 5.0 5.6 2.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 15.0 4th
5th 0.0 1.0 4.5 5.0 1.8 0.2 0.0 12.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 3.4 4.8 1.6 0.2 0.0 10.5 6th
7th 0.2 2.3 4.3 1.6 0.2 8.6 7th
8th 0.1 1.3 3.5 1.7 0.2 0.0 6.8 8th
9th 0.1 0.7 2.4 1.8 0.3 0.0 5.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.5 1.7 0.3 0.0 4.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.1 0.3 0.0 3.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.7 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.0 2.1 3.7 5.9 8.4 10.8 12.5 13.2 12.7 11.0 8.2 5.6 3.0 1.1 0.3 0.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
22-0
21-1
20-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-3 76.3% 0.2    0.2 0.1
18-4 52.3% 0.6    0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
17-5 28.7% 0.8    0.4 0.4 0.1
16-6 12.7% 0.7    0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0
15-7 3.0% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
14-8 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-9 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-10 0.0%
11-11 0.0%
Total 2.7% 2.7 1.2 1.2 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
22-0
21-1
20-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-3 0.3% 33.3% 33.3% 12.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2
18-4 1.1% 26.3% 26.3% 13.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.8
17-5 3.0% 25.4% 25.4% 13.4 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 2.2
16-6 5.6% 18.0% 18.0% 13.7 0.0 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 4.6
15-7 8.2% 12.7% 12.7% 14.1 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.0 7.1
14-8 11.0% 8.5% 8.5% 14.5 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 10.1
13-9 12.7% 4.6% 4.6% 14.8 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 12.1
12-10 13.2% 2.8% 2.8% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.1 12.8
11-11 12.5% 1.7% 1.7% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 12.3
10-12 10.8% 0.9% 0.9% 15.9 0.0 0.1 10.7
9-13 8.4% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 8.3
8-14 5.9% 5.9
7-15 3.7% 3.7
6-16 2.1% 2.1
5-17 1.0% 1.0
4-18 0.5% 0.5
3-19 0.2% 0.2
2-20 0.0% 0.0
1-21 0.0% 0.0
0-22
Total 100% 5.5% 5.5% 0.0% 14.2 0.0 0.2 1.2 1.9 1.7 0.4 94.5 0.0%