Southern Indiana
Ohio Valley
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.3#317
Expected Predictive Rating-13.7#342
Pace75.8#41
Improvement+0.1#175

Offense
Total Offense-6.7#337
First Shot-0.9#199
After Offensive Rebound-5.7#365
Layup/Dunks-5.3#339
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#73
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#144
Freethrows+1.0#116
Improvement+1.4#80

Defense
Total Defense-2.6#260
First Shot-6.6#355
After Offensive Rebounds+4.0#5
Layups/Dunks-9.4#363
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#36
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#77
Freethrows-2.2#313
Improvement-1.2#278
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.0% 3.8% 1.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 8.0% 11.1% 3.2%
.500 or above in Conference 35.7% 44.7% 22.1%
Conference Champion 3.2% 4.6% 1.2%
Last Place in Conference 13.4% 8.1% 21.3%
First Four2.4% 3.0% 1.4%
First Round1.7% 2.3% 0.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Arkansas Little Rock (Home) - 60.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 00 - 1
Quad 31 - 61 - 7
Quad 49 - 1210 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Wed, Nov 5 54 @Butler L 58-88 3%     0 - 1 -17.0 -14.4 -0.6
  Fri, Nov 7 331 VMI L 74-78 66%     0 - 2 -17.4 -14.5 -2.5
  Wed, Nov 12 278 @South Dakota L 74-89 28%     0 - 3 -18.2 -14.8 -0.9
  Thu, Nov 20 191 Incarnate Word L 81-87 24%     0 - 4 -7.9 +1.0 -8.7
  Sat, Nov 22 189 Illinois-Chicago L 73-84 24%     0 - 5 -12.8 -5.0 -7.3
  Wed, Nov 26 213 @Valparaiso W 64-56 20%     1 - 5 +7.7 -7.3 +15.0
  Wed, Dec 3 253 @Western Michigan L 74-88 25%     1 - 6 -16.1 -3.1 -12.6
  Sun, Dec 7 181 @Indiana St. L 55-77 16%     1 - 7 -20.4 -11.2 -10.7
  Thu, Dec 18 313 Arkansas Little Rock W 74-71 60%    
  Sat, Dec 20 322 Morehead St. W 76-73 62%    
  Thu, Jan 1 232 @SIU Edwardsville L 66-74 22%    
  Sat, Jan 3 238 @Lindenwood L 73-81 22%    
  Thu, Jan 8 214 Southeast Missouri St. L 75-78 39%    
  Sat, Jan 10 252 Tennessee Martin L 71-72 45%    
  Thu, Jan 15 266 @Tennessee Tech L 73-80 27%    
  Sat, Jan 17 235 @Tennessee St. L 70-78 23%    
  Thu, Jan 22 333 Eastern Illinois W 73-69 65%    
  Sat, Jan 24 354 Western Illinois W 74-67 75%    
  Thu, Jan 29 238 Lindenwood L 76-78 43%    
  Sat, Jan 31 232 SIU Edwardsville L 69-71 42%    
  Thu, Feb 5 252 @Tennessee Martin L 68-75 26%    
  Sat, Feb 7 214 @Southeast Missouri St. L 72-81 21%    
  Thu, Feb 12 235 Tennessee St. L 73-75 42%    
  Sat, Feb 14 266 Tennessee Tech L 76-77 48%    
  Thu, Feb 19 354 @Western Illinois W 71-70 55%    
  Sat, Feb 21 333 @Eastern Illinois L 70-72 44%    
  Tue, Feb 24 322 @Morehead St. L 73-76 40%    
  Sat, Feb 28 313 @Arkansas Little Rock L 71-74 39%    
Projected Record 9 - 19 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 3.2 1st
2nd 0.1 1.0 1.8 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 4.8 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.3 2.6 1.7 0.4 0.0 6.1 3rd
4th 0.1 1.4 3.5 2.2 0.4 0.0 7.6 4th
5th 0.1 1.4 4.1 3.0 0.6 0.0 9.1 5th
6th 0.1 1.3 4.4 4.2 0.8 0.0 10.8 6th
7th 0.1 1.4 4.6 4.7 1.2 0.1 12.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.5 4.6 5.0 1.5 0.1 12.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.1 4.9 4.7 1.6 0.1 13.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.3 4.0 3.3 1.2 0.1 0.0 11.7 10th
11th 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.1 2.3 1.5 0.5 0.0 8.0 11th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.7 4.9 7.8 10.3 12.0 12.6 12.2 11.0 8.8 6.6 4.4 2.7 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
17-3 95.5% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-4 81.3% 0.5    0.4 0.1 0.0
15-5 65.4% 0.9    0.6 0.3 0.0
14-6 36.2% 1.0    0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0
13-7 10.8% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-8 1.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-10 0.0%
Total 3.2% 3.2 1.8 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.1% 54.5% 54.5% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.2% 35.8% 35.8% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-4 0.6% 38.0% 38.0% 15.9 0.0 0.2 0.4
15-5 1.4% 25.4% 25.4% 16.0 0.0 0.3 1.1
14-6 2.7% 19.5% 19.5% 16.0 0.0 0.5 2.1
13-7 4.4% 10.6% 10.6% 16.0 0.0 0.5 3.9
12-8 6.6% 7.4% 7.4% 16.0 0.0 0.5 6.1
11-9 8.8% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.3 8.5
10-10 11.0% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.2 10.7
9-11 12.2% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.2 12.0
8-12 12.6% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 12.6
7-13 12.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 11.9
6-14 10.3% 10.3
5-15 7.8% 7.8
4-16 4.9% 4.9
3-17 2.7% 2.7
2-18 1.2% 1.2
1-19 0.4% 0.4
0-20 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 3.0% 3.0% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.2 2.8 97.0 0.0%