Mississippi Valley
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-23.0#365
Expected Predictive Rating-19.4#359
Pace71.6#122
Improvement-0.4#213

Offense
Total Offense-13.9#365
First Shot-8.1#358
After Offensive Rebound-5.8#365
Layup/Dunks-6.7#351
2 Pt Jumpshots+6.6#4
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.5#351
Freethrows-0.5#214
Improvement-1.9#314

Defense
Total Defense-9.1#363
First Shot-8.0#360
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#272
Layups/Dunks-1.3#229
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#57
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.6#359
Freethrows-1.8#296
Improvement+1.4#88
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 91.4% 83.1% 91.4%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Florida St. (Away) - 0.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 3
Quad 20 - 40 - 7
Quad 30 - 30 - 10
Quad 42 - 192 - 29


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 115 @UAB L 55-106 1%     0 - 1 -44.6 -25.5 -10.2
  Fri, Nov 7 96 @Murray St. L 60-108 1%     0 - 2 -39.7 -17.1 -18.0
  Wed, Nov 12 110 @Hawaii L 56-88 1%     0 - 3 -25.4 -6.4 -20.7
  Fri, Nov 14 263 Utah Tech L 75-81 2OT 6%     0 - 4 -11.5 -3.9 -7.3
  Sat, Nov 15 319 Manhattan L 73-80 11%     0 - 5 -16.4 -0.3 -16.7
  Sat, Nov 22 314 @Cal St. Bakersfield L 70-86 6%     0 - 6 -21.9 -9.7 -11.1
  Tue, Nov 25 45 @Texas A&M L 84-120 0.3%    0 - 7 -21.8 +1.2 -16.2
  Wed, Dec 3 355 @Louisiana Monroe L 52-66 13%     0 - 8 -24.8 -22.2 -3.6
  Mon, Dec 8 67 @Kansas St. L 49-108 0.5%    0 - 9 -47.6 -23.5 -19.4
  Tue, Dec 16 191 Tarleton St. L 64-88 6%     0 - 10 -29.1 -15.2 -12.2
  Fri, Dec 19 119 @Florida St. L 65-94 0.3%   
  Mon, Dec 22 68 @West Virginia L 51-85 0.1%   
  Mon, Dec 29 47 @Oklahoma L 57-94 0.0%   
  Sat, Jan 3 282 Alabama St. L 67-81 10%    
  Mon, Jan 5 281 Alabama A&M L 62-76 10%    
  Sat, Jan 10 327 @Prairie View L 67-83 7%    
  Mon, Jan 12 320 @Texas Southern L 66-82 7%    
  Sat, Jan 17 261 Bethune-Cookman L 65-79 9%    
  Mon, Jan 19 335 Florida A&M L 68-77 20%    
  Sat, Jan 24 258 @Grambling St. L 59-80 3%    
  Mon, Jan 26 204 @Southern L 64-87 2%    
  Sat, Jan 31 351 Arkansas Pine Bluff L 73-80 25%    
  Sat, Feb 7 318 Jackson St. L 66-77 17%    
  Mon, Feb 9 331 Alcorn St. L 69-78 19%    
  Sat, Feb 14 281 @Alabama A&M L 59-79 4%    
  Mon, Feb 16 282 @Alabama St. L 64-84 4%    
  Thu, Feb 19 327 @Prairie View L 67-83 8%    
  Sat, Feb 21 320 Texas Southern L 69-79 18%    
  Sat, Feb 28 351 @Arkansas Pine Bluff L 70-83 11%    
  Tue, Mar 3 331 @Alcorn St. L 66-81 8%    
  Thu, Mar 5 318 @Jackson St. L 63-80 7%    
Projected Record 2 - 29 2 - 15




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 0.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.2 0.4 0.0 3.0 10th
11th 0.5 2.4 4.3 3.2 1.2 0.1 11.8 11th
12th 21.7 28.8 20.9 9.6 2.3 0.3 0.0 83.5 12th
Total 21.7 29.2 23.3 14.3 6.7 3.0 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0% 0.0
9-9 0.0% 0.0
8-10 0.1% 0.1
7-11 0.4% 0.4
6-12 1.2% 1.2
5-13 3.0% 3.0
4-14 6.7% 6.7
3-15 14.3% 14.3
2-16 23.3% 23.3
1-17 29.2% 29.2
0-18 21.7% 21.7
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 19.1%