Kansas St.
Big 12
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+8.3#67
Expected Predictive Rating+8.4#72
Pace79.4#15
Improvement-2.9#338

Offense
Total Offense+5.6#62
First Shot+4.0#75
After Offensive Rebound+1.6#84
Layup/Dunks+3.8#58
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#321
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.8#66
Freethrows-0.8#232
Improvement-1.2#279

Defense
Total Defense+2.7#91
First Shot+3.2#75
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#231
Layups/Dunks-0.9#212
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#61
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#121
Freethrows+0.7#138
Improvement-1.7#304
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.9% 1.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 15.8% 16.4% 5.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 15.7% 16.2% 5.4%
Average Seed 9.2 9.2 9.6
.500 or above 48.2% 49.7% 21.1%
.500 or above in Conference 20.0% 20.5% 10.4%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 12.1% 11.8% 17.9%
First Four4.2% 4.3% 1.6%
First Round13.6% 14.1% 4.7%
Second Round5.7% 5.9% 1.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.9% 1.0% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Dakota (Home) - 94.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 81 - 8
Quad 1b2 - 43 - 12
Quad 25 - 38 - 15
Quad 33 - 111 - 16
Quad 45 - 016 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 281 UNC Greensboro W 93-64 94%     1 - 0 +19.5 +2.7 +13.1
  Sat, Nov 8 295 Bellarmine W 98-71 95%     2 - 0 +16.6 +15.1 +1.1
  Thu, Nov 13 81 California W 99-96 65%     3 - 0 +7.3 +17.2 -10.2
  Mon, Nov 17 83 Tulsa W 84-83 66%     4 - 0 +5.1 +4.1 +0.9
  Thu, Nov 20 80 Mississippi St. W 98-77 54%     5 - 0 +28.4 +22.0 +5.0
  Fri, Nov 21 25 Nebraska L 85-86 26%     5 - 1 +13.9 +12.4 +1.6
  Tue, Nov 25 27 @Indiana L 69-86 18%     5 - 2 +0.8 -0.3 +2.5
  Mon, Dec 1 124 Bowling Green L 66-82 80%     5 - 3 -16.6 +0.2 -18.2
  Sat, Dec 6 56 Seton Hall L 67-78 57%     5 - 4 -4.5 -6.9 +3.5
  Mon, Dec 8 365 Mississippi Valley W 108-49 99.5%    6 - 4 +33.3 +16.1 +12.5
  Sat, Dec 13 59 @Creighton W 83-76 35%     7 - 4 +19.3 +19.4 +0.2
  Sat, Dec 20 278 South Dakota W 97-80 95%    
  Sun, Dec 28 358 Louisiana Monroe W 95-69 99%    
  Sat, Jan 3 9 BYU L 77-85 23%    
  Wed, Jan 7 3 @Arizona L 76-93 6%    
  Sat, Jan 10 61 @Arizona St. L 81-85 36%    
  Wed, Jan 14 57 Central Florida W 87-85 57%    
  Sat, Jan 17 53 @Oklahoma St. L 86-91 32%    
  Tue, Jan 20 120 Utah W 87-79 77%    
  Sat, Jan 24 17 Kansas L 74-80 30%    
  Tue, Jan 27 64 @West Virginia L 73-76 38%    
  Sun, Feb 1 4 Iowa St. L 76-87 16%    
  Sat, Feb 7 49 @TCU L 76-82 30%    
  Wed, Feb 11 78 Cincinnati W 80-76 63%    
  Sat, Feb 14 8 @Houston L 66-81 9%    
  Tue, Feb 17 32 Baylor L 85-87 43%    
  Sat, Feb 21 24 @Texas Tech L 76-86 19%    
  Wed, Feb 25 62 @Colorado L 82-86 38%    
  Sat, Feb 28 49 TCU W 79-78 51%    
  Tue, Mar 3 64 West Virginia W 76-73 59%    
  Sat, Mar 7 17 @Kansas L 71-83 15%    
Projected Record 15 - 16 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.5 4th
5th 0.1 1.0 1.2 0.4 0.0 2.8 5th
6th 0.1 1.1 2.3 0.8 0.1 4.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 3.1 1.7 0.2 5.9 7th
8th 0.4 3.1 3.3 0.5 0.0 7.2 8th
9th 0.1 2.3 4.4 1.3 0.0 8.1 9th
10th 0.0 1.0 5.4 2.8 0.2 9.3 10th
11th 0.3 4.1 5.0 0.7 0.0 10.1 11th
12th 0.1 2.4 6.2 1.9 0.1 10.7 12th
13th 0.0 1.5 5.7 3.9 0.3 0.0 11.4 13th
14th 0.1 1.1 4.4 4.8 0.8 0.0 11.2 14th
15th 0.1 1.0 3.9 4.2 1.2 0.0 10.5 15th
16th 0.2 0.9 2.0 2.0 0.7 0.0 5.9 16th
Total 0.2 1.0 3.1 7.0 10.9 14.5 16.0 15.2 12.0 9.2 5.8 2.9 1.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 57.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 8.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 3.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.2% 100.0% 2.2% 97.8% 5.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 100.0%
13-5 0.5% 98.8% 98.8% 6.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 98.8%
12-6 1.4% 98.5% 1.0% 97.5% 7.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 98.5%
11-7 2.9% 90.8% 1.6% 89.2% 8.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.3 90.7%
10-8 5.8% 76.8% 0.4% 76.4% 9.1 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.6 1.3 0.4 1.3 76.7%
9-9 9.2% 48.8% 0.3% 48.6% 10.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.7 1.6 0.0 4.7 48.7%
8-10 12.0% 15.3% 0.3% 15.0% 10.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.4 0.1 10.1 15.0%
7-11 15.2% 2.0% 0.1% 2.0% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 14.9 2.0%
6-12 16.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 16.0 0.1%
5-13 14.5% 0.0% 0.0% 12.0 0.0 14.5
4-14 10.9% 10.9
3-15 7.0% 7.0
2-16 3.1% 3.1
1-17 1.0% 1.0
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 15.8% 0.2% 15.7% 9.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.4 2.8 3.2 3.7 3.7 0.2 84.2 15.7%