Portland St.
Big Sky
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.1#176
Expected Predictive Rating-1.8#195
Pace70.4#159
Improvement-0.4#208

Offense
Total Offense-3.4#260
First Shot-2.8#256
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#220
Layup/Dunks+0.4#165
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#309
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#177
Freethrows-1.0#251
Improvement-1.9#319

Defense
Total Defense+2.3#100
First Shot+4.0#60
After Offensive Rebounds-1.7#301
Layups/Dunks+0.5#154
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#72
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#69
Freethrows-1.1#255
Improvement+1.5#75
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 13.5% 16.5% 11.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.3 14.1 14.6
.500 or above 57.8% 71.7% 46.9%
.500 or above in Conference 69.8% 76.3% 64.7%
Conference Champion 17.5% 21.8% 14.2%
Last Place in Conference 5.4% 3.5% 6.9%
First Four0.7% 0.4% 0.9%
First Round13.3% 16.3% 10.8%
Second Round0.6% 0.9% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Tulane (Away) - 44.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 34 - 54 - 9
Quad 410 - 415 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 89 @Stanford L 79-89 17%     0 - 1 -0.9 +0.3 +0.1
  Wed, Nov 12 94 @San Francisco L 70-80 18%     0 - 2 -1.4 +2.2 -3.8
  Mon, Nov 17 314 Cal St. Bakersfield W 93-80 84%     1 - 2 +1.1 +9.8 -9.3
  Tue, Nov 25 263 @Utah Tech W 68-63 56%     2 - 2 +2.5 -6.1 +8.5
  Wed, Dec 3 275 @South Dakota W 77-71 58%     3 - 2 +2.8 -6.2 +8.5
  Sat, Dec 6 232 Nebraska Omaha L 55-60 72%     3 - 3 -12.1 -11.2 -1.9
  Wed, Dec 17 65 @Colorado L 73-84 12%     3 - 4 +0.6 +1.6 -0.7
  Sat, Dec 20 199 @Tulane L 71-73 44%    
  Thu, Jan 1 212 @Weber St. L 72-73 47%    
  Sat, Jan 3 161 @Idaho St. L 65-69 36%    
  Sat, Jan 10 284 Sacramento St. W 78-70 78%    
  Thu, Jan 15 153 Northern Colorado W 74-73 55%    
  Sat, Jan 17 269 Northern Arizona W 73-65 76%    
  Thu, Jan 22 248 @Eastern Washington W 76-75 54%    
  Sat, Jan 24 167 @Idaho L 71-74 38%    
  Thu, Jan 29 202 Montana W 77-72 67%    
  Sat, Jan 31 169 Montana St. W 70-67 60%    
  Mon, Feb 2 161 Idaho St. W 68-66 57%    
  Sat, Feb 7 284 @Sacramento St. W 75-73 59%    
  Thu, Feb 12 269 @Northern Arizona W 70-68 56%    
  Sat, Feb 14 153 @Northern Colorado L 71-76 35%    
  Thu, Feb 19 167 Idaho W 74-71 60%    
  Sat, Feb 21 248 Eastern Washington W 79-72 73%    
  Thu, Feb 26 169 @Montana St. L 67-70 39%    
  Sat, Feb 28 202 @Montana L 74-75 45%    
  Mon, Mar 2 212 Weber St. W 75-70 68%    
Projected Record 13 - 13 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 2.1 4.5 4.7 3.6 1.6 0.5 0.1 17.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 3.5 5.7 3.8 1.2 0.2 0.0 15.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 3.6 5.8 3.0 0.6 0.0 13.4 3rd
4th 0.2 2.9 6.0 2.6 0.3 0.0 12.0 4th
5th 0.1 2.0 5.4 2.7 0.3 10.6 5th
6th 0.1 1.3 4.7 2.9 0.3 0.0 9.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.5 3.0 0.4 7.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.5 2.6 0.6 0.0 6.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.9 1.8 0.4 0.0 5.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 2.9 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.9 3.4 5.5 7.9 10.4 12.0 13.2 12.6 11.2 8.8 6.0 3.7 1.7 0.5 0.1 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.5    0.5 0.0
16-2 98.4% 1.6    1.6 0.0
15-3 95.3% 3.6    3.1 0.4
14-4 79.4% 4.7    3.3 1.3 0.1
13-5 50.6% 4.5    2.0 1.9 0.5 0.0
12-6 19.2% 2.1    0.4 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.0
11-7 3.3% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 17.5% 17.5 11.1 4.7 1.4 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 73.9% 73.9% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.5% 47.4% 47.4% 12.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3
16-2 1.7% 39.4% 39.4% 13.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.0
15-3 3.7% 37.3% 37.3% 13.4 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.1 2.3
14-4 6.0% 29.2% 29.2% 13.7 0.1 0.6 0.9 0.2 4.2
13-5 8.8% 24.1% 24.1% 14.1 0.0 0.4 1.1 0.6 0.0 6.7
12-6 11.2% 19.9% 19.9% 14.3 0.0 0.2 1.2 0.8 0.0 8.9
11-7 12.6% 14.4% 14.4% 14.8 0.0 0.5 1.1 0.2 10.8
10-8 13.2% 11.5% 11.5% 15.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 0.3 11.7
9-9 12.0% 7.8% 7.8% 15.4 0.0 0.5 0.4 11.1
8-10 10.4% 4.5% 4.5% 15.8 0.1 0.4 9.9
7-11 7.9% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.2 7.7
6-12 5.5% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.1 5.4
5-13 3.4% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 3.4
4-14 1.9% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 1.9
3-15 0.7% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 0.7
2-16 0.3% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 0.3
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 13.5% 13.5% 0.0% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.4 4.5 4.4 1.6 86.5 0.0%