South Carolina Upstate
Big South
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.5#258
Expected Predictive Rating-4.0#231
Pace70.9#146
Improvement-0.4#208

Offense
Total Offense-3.8#269
First Shot-2.7#251
After Offensive Rebound-1.1#253
Layup/Dunks-1.0#220
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#92
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#269
Freethrows-0.7#226
Improvement+0.0#178

Defense
Total Defense-1.7#225
First Shot+0.4#156
After Offensive Rebounds-2.0#313
Layups/Dunks-1.6#241
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#191
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#134
Freethrows+0.4#147
Improvement-0.4#214
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.5% 4.6% 3.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.2 15.5
.500 or above 30.2% 49.2% 24.7%
.500 or above in Conference 48.4% 57.7% 45.7%
Conference Champion 2.3% 3.2% 2.1%
Last Place in Conference 3.7% 2.7% 3.9%
First Four1.2% 1.0% 1.2%
First Round2.9% 4.0% 2.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Youngstown St. (Away) - 22.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 32 - 52 - 10
Quad 411 - 713 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 127 @California Baptist L 75-87 16%     0 - 1 -6.8 +3.8 -10.5
  Wed, Nov 5 181 @Fresno St. W 67-66 25%     1 - 1 +2.5 -5.3 +7.8
  Sat, Nov 15 108 @UNC Wilmington L 60-73 13%     1 - 2 -6.3 -2.8 -5.2
  Wed, Nov 19 261 Tennessee Tech L 84-88 62%     1 - 3 -12.6 +0.2 -12.4
  Fri, Nov 21 313 @West Georgia L 64-72 52%     1 - 4 -13.9 -12.8 -1.0
  Tue, Nov 25 350 NC Central W 82-67 82%     2 - 4 -0.2 +5.2 -5.2
  Sat, Nov 29 24 @Nebraska L 63-72 2%     2 - 5 +9.1 -3.3 +12.6
  Wed, Dec 3 241 Coastal Carolina W 85-78 OT 59%     3 - 5 -0.7 -0.5 -1.1
  Sat, Dec 6 297 Western Carolina W 78-67 68%     4 - 5 +0.7 -0.9 +1.3
  Sat, Dec 13 23 @North Carolina L 62-80 2%     4 - 6 +0.5 +4.1 -5.3
  Tue, Dec 16 361 @South Carolina St. W 78-72 73%     5 - 6 -5.9 +2.9 -8.6
  Sat, Dec 20 166 @Youngstown St. L 68-76 22%    
  Wed, Dec 31 253 Radford W 80-77 60%    
  Sat, Jan 3 277 @Presbyterian L 65-67 41%    
  Sat, Jan 10 113 Winthrop L 75-81 30%    
  Wed, Jan 14 256 @Charleston Southern L 72-75 38%    
  Sat, Jan 17 106 @High Point L 73-86 12%    
  Wed, Jan 21 219 UNC Asheville W 74-73 53%    
  Sat, Jan 24 362 @Gardner-Webb W 80-73 74%    
  Thu, Jan 29 293 Longwood W 77-72 67%    
  Wed, Feb 4 219 @UNC Asheville L 71-76 33%    
  Sat, Feb 7 256 Charleston Southern W 75-72 60%    
  Thu, Feb 12 106 High Point L 76-83 28%    
  Sat, Feb 14 293 @Longwood L 74-75 46%    
  Thu, Feb 19 113 @Winthrop L 72-84 14%    
  Sat, Feb 21 277 Presbyterian W 68-64 63%    
  Thu, Feb 26 253 @Radford L 77-80 39%    
  Sat, Feb 28 362 Gardner-Webb W 83-70 88%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 7 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.8 2.8 1.8 0.4 0.0 7.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.8 5.6 5.9 2.4 0.4 0.0 16.3 3rd
4th 0.1 2.8 7.5 5.9 1.6 0.1 18.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.5 8.1 5.7 1.0 0.0 17.5 5th
6th 0.2 2.4 7.2 5.0 0.8 0.0 15.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.3 5.4 4.1 0.6 0.0 12.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.1 3.7 2.2 0.4 0.0 8.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.0 1.7 9th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.0 2.9 6.4 10.1 14.3 16.6 15.8 12.9 9.4 5.8 3.0 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
14-2 92.0% 0.3    0.2 0.1
13-3 61.0% 0.7    0.4 0.3 0.0
12-4 26.7% 0.8    0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0
11-5 7.7% 0.4    0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0
10-6 0.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 2.3% 2.3 1.1 0.8 0.4 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0
15-1 0.1% 30.0% 30.0% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-2 0.3% 15.9% 15.9% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
13-3 1.1% 17.3% 17.3% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.9
12-4 3.0% 12.8% 12.8% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 2.6
11-5 5.8% 8.8% 8.8% 15.2 0.1 0.3 0.2 5.3
10-6 9.4% 6.8% 6.8% 15.4 0.0 0.3 0.3 8.7
9-7 12.9% 4.4% 4.4% 15.5 0.0 0.2 0.3 12.4
8-8 15.8% 2.9% 2.9% 15.9 0.0 0.4 15.4
7-9 16.6% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.0 0.3 16.2
6-10 14.3% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.2 14.1
5-11 10.1% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 10.0
4-12 6.4% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 6.4
3-13 2.9% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 2.9
2-14 1.0% 1.0
1-15 0.3% 0.3
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 3.5% 3.5% 0.0% 15.4 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.9 96.5 0.0%