IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
South Dakota
Summit League
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	-7.3	#294
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	83.8	#3
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-0.2	#166

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-7.2	#357

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	4.3%	5.4%	3.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	16.4	15.0	15.4

.500 or above	26.1%	35.3%	14.4%
.500 or above in Conference	38.5%	45.6%	29.6%
Conference Champion	4.6%	5.9%	3.0%
Last Place in Conference	17.6%	13.1%	23.2%

First Four	1.5%	1.6%	1.4%
First Round	3.9%	5.0%	2.5%
Second Round	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Utah Tech (Home) - 55.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 3	1 - 5	2 - 10
Quad 4	10 - 8	12 - 18

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	271	Utah Tech	W	83-81	56%
Nov 05, 2025	24	@ Creighton	L	71-96	1%
Nov 12, 2025	298	Southern Indiana	W	84-81	61%
Nov 16, 2025	286	Western Michigan	W	85-82	59%
Nov 20, 2025	37	@ Missouri	L	74-98	2%
Nov 23, 2025	311	South Carolina St.	W	85-81	64%
Nov 29, 2025	280	Air Force	L	76-77	47%
Dec 03, 2025	213	Portland St.	L	81-82	45%
Dec 06, 2025	190	@ Northern Colorado	L	81-89	23%
Dec 09, 2025	155	@ Wyoming	L	72-82	18%
Dec 13, 2025	341	Prairie View	W	89-82	73%
Dec 20, 2025	57	@ Kansas St.	L	71-91	4%
Dec 31, 2025	208	@ North Dakota St.	L	76-84	26%
Jan 07, 2026	148	@ St. Thomas	L	79-90	18%
Jan 10, 2026	321	Denver	W	83-78	66%
Jan 15, 2026	301	UMKC	W	77-74	61%
Jan 17, 2026	315	@ North Dakota	L	85-87	44%
Jan 21, 2026	182	@ Nebraska Omaha	L	80-89	23%
Jan 24, 2026	148	St. Thomas	L	82-87	34%
Jan 29, 2026	310	Oral Roberts	W	86-82	63%
Jan 31, 2026	208	North Dakota St.	L	79-81	44%
Feb 04, 2026	301	@ UMKC	L	74-77	41%
Feb 07, 2026	151	@ South Dakota St.	L	80-91	19%
Feb 11, 2026	315	North Dakota	W	88-84	64%
Feb 19, 2026	321	@ Denver	L	80-81	47%
Feb 21, 2026	310	@ Oral Roberts	L	83-85	44%
Feb 25, 2026	182	Nebraska Omaha	L	83-86	41%
Feb 28, 2026	151	South Dakota St.	L	83-88	35%
Projected Record						11 - 17	7 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Summit League Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st											0.2	0.8	1.4	1.3	0.7	0.2	0.1		4.6	1st
2nd									0.0	0.5	2.1	2.6	1.5	0.3	0.1				7.1	2nd
3rd								0.0	0.9	3.6	3.7	1.4	0.2	0.0					10.0	3rd
4th							0.1	1.4	4.6	4.4	1.2	0.1							11.6	4th
5th						0.2	1.9	6.0	4.8	1.1	0.0								14.0	5th
6th				0.0	0.2	2.5	6.0	4.5	0.8	0.0									13.9	6th
7th			0.0	0.4	3.1	6.0	4.0	0.7	0.0										14.3	7th
8th		0.0	0.9	3.4	5.1	3.2	0.5	0.0											13.1	8th
9th	0.6	2.0	3.6	3.4	1.4	0.3	0.0												11.4	9th

Total	0.6	2.1	4.6	7.2	9.9	12.1	12.5	12.6	11.1	9.6	7.2	4.9	3.1	1.6	0.7	0.2	0.1			Total

Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
15-1	100.0%	0.2		0.2	0.0
14-2	90.3%	0.7		0.6	0.1	0.0
13-3	80.6%	1.3		0.9	0.4	0.0
12-4	46.4%	1.4		0.6	0.6	0.2	0.0
11-5	15.4%	0.8		0.1	0.3	0.3	0.0	0.0
10-6	2.8%	0.2		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0
9-7	0.0%
8-8	0.0%

Total	4.6%	4.6		2.5	1.5	0.6	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	0.1%		56.9%	56.9%		12.3												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.0
15-1	0.2%		37.5%	37.5%		12.7												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.1
14-2	0.7%		30.5%	30.5%		13.7													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0		0.5
13-3	1.6%		29.0%	29.0%		14.4													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	1.2
12-4	3.1%		19.6%	19.6%		14.8													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.1	2.5
11-5	4.9%		12.8%	12.8%		16.5														0.0	0.1	0.3	0.2	4.3
10-6	7.2%		9.2%	9.2%		18.1														0.0	0.0	0.3	0.4	6.5
9-7	9.6%		6.6%	6.6%		17.6															0.0	0.2	0.4	9.0
8-8	11.1%		3.6%	3.6%		17.8																0.1	0.4	10.7
7-9	12.6%		2.2%	2.2%		17.8															0.0	0.0	0.3	12.3
6-10	12.5%		1.6%	1.6%		16.0																	0.2	12.3
5-11	12.1%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.1	12.0
4-12	9.9%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	9.8
3-13	7.2%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	7.2
2-14	4.6%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	4.6
1-15	2.1%																							2.1
0-16	0.6%																							0.6

Total	100%		4.3%	4.3%	0.0%	16.4												0.0	0.1	0.3	0.8	1.4	2.2	95.7		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.1%