St. Peter's
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -3.8 229
Results Rating -2.6 209
Consistency 0.15 162
Pace 64.1 299
Improvement +2.9 72

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ 263 D- C+ D+ C+ C-
Defense C 177 C+ D B F D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 263 D- 51% 335 -4.2 325
2 Pt. Jumpers 41% 145 C- 37% 208 +0.5 148
Three Pointers 42% 160 D 30% 313 -1.7 242
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- -0.4 240 D- -5.0 337
1st FG Attempt D- 0.91 337
Second Chance B 34.7% 63 D+ 0.96 284 C+ 0.33 121
Opponents' Steals C 9.3% 171
Other Turnovers D- 8.8% 335
Turnovers D+ 18.1% 274
Freethrows C+ 0.31 156 B- 74% 119 C+ 0.23 127
Total Offense D+ -3.6 263

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C- 46% 229 F+ 14.7% 345
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 31% 99 C- 5.7% 236
Three Pointers C+ 85% 164 A- 0.1% 7
Total C 56% 178 D+ 6.6% 292


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 74 C+ 56% 127 +1.7 232
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% 226 B- 36% 106 -1.0 109
Three Pointers 38% 263 C+ 33% 137 -1.9 101
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.5 271 C+ -1.6 118
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.00 135
Second Chance F+ 36.0% 346 C 1.05 209 D 0.38 324
Turnovers from Steals A- 12.7% 18
Other Turnovers D+ 6.6% 275
Turnovers B 19.3% 43
Freethrows F 0.40 361 D+ 74% 299 F 0.30 362
Total Defense C -0.2 177

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D+ 52% 264 C+ 12.2% 122
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 26% 193 D+ 3.1% 286
Three Pointers D 89% 319 C+ 1.3% 92
Total C- 59% 249 C+ 6.3% 121

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.9 325 17.0 122
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.22 66 0.19 266
Consistency 0.09 5 0.13 210
Improvement +0.9 139 +2.0 86

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 241 228 204
Results Rating Rank 221 211 161
Conference Record 14 - 6 14 - 6 14 - 6
Conference Finish 2 2 2
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 15
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 14% 22% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.4 n/a
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four1% 2% 0%
First Round13% 21% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 33 - 33 - 6
Quad 414 - 617 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 55 @Seton Hall L 50 - 77 6% -16  2% 0 - 1 D- -14 D -5 F C D+ F -13 C F D-
 Sat, Nov 8 337 Fairleigh Dickinson W 93 - 83 85% +7  95% 1 - 1 D+ -5 B- +5 B C+ C F -10 F F A+
 Wed, Nov 12 50 @Virginia Commonwealth L 61 - 78 5% -10  9% 1 - 2 C- -3 D- -7 F B- F+ B +4 D- A+ A+
 Tue, Nov 18 273 @Delaware L 70 - 81 48% -14  0% 1 - 3 D- -14 D -5 C F B F -10 F C+ B+
 Sat, Nov 22 314 Umass Lowell W 68 - 66 80% +2  72% 2 - 3 D -11 F -15 F B+ F+ B +5 F C+ A+
 Sat, Nov 29 266 Dartmouth L 61 - 87 69% -7  16% 2 - 4 F -35 F -15 F C+ D- F -22 F F F+
 Fri, Dec 5 340 Canisius W 69 - 57 86% +6  74% 3 - 4 1 - 0 C- -3 D -5 F A C- B- +3 A+ F+ C+
 Sun, Dec 7 332 Niagara W 71 - 43 84% +13  99% 4 - 4 2 - 0 B+ +13 C- -0 D A C A+ +18 A+ D+ A+
 Sat, Dec 13 83 @Georgetown L 68 - 76 OT 11% -7  0% 4 - 5 C+ +2 D+ -4 D- F+ C B+ +6 C+ D A+
 Mon, Dec 29 263 @Fairfield W 70 - 66 46% -1  31% 5 - 5 3 - 0 C +1 D -5 F D- C+ B+ +6 A- F+ B-
 Fri, Jan 2 196 Marist W 69 - 59 55% +3  69% 6 - 5 4 - 0 C+ +5 D+ -3 F A+ B- A- +8 A+ A- B-
 Fri, Jan 9 272 @Mount St. Mary's L 65 - 70 47% -1  27% 6 - 6 4 - 1 D+ -8 D- -7 F D D- C -1 A F D
 Sun, Jan 11 172 Merrimack W 76 - 63 51% +9  92% 7 - 6 5 - 1 B +9 A- +10 A A F+ C+ +1 A+ F A-
 Wed, Jan 14 214 @Quinnipiac W 74 - 70 36% +4  72% 8 - 6 6 - 1 C+ +4 C +1 B F D B- +3 C D+ D
 Sat, Jan 17 356 Rider W 69 - 58 90% +4  77% 9 - 6 7 - 1 D+ -7 D -6 D- B+ C C+ +0 C+ F A+
 Mon, Jan 19 243 Iona W 77 - 63 64% +3  53% 10 - 6 8 - 1 B- +7 C +1 B D+ D- B+ +6 A+ D+ F
 Sat, Jan 24 172 @Merrimack L 59 - 67 29% -11  0% 10 - 7 8 - 2 D+ -6 F+ -8 F B- F C+ +1 C+ F+ B-
 Fri, Jan 30 272 Mount St. Mary's W 66 - 58 70% +1  52% 11 - 7 9 - 2 C -1 C- -2 D+ C+ C C+ +2 B D B+
 Sun, Feb 1 356 @Rider L 78 - 81 79% +6  94% 11 - 8 9 - 3 F+ -15 C+ +3 F+ A+ B F -18 F A C
 Thu, Feb 5 325 @Manhattan W 80 - 75 64% +7  97% 12 - 8 10 - 3 C- -3 B+ +8 F B A+ F -10 C F B+
 Sat, Feb 7 206 Siena W 70 - 65 56% +3  81% 13 - 8 11 - 3 C -0 D -6 C A- F B+ +6 B A D+
 Fri, Feb 13 287 @Sacred Heart L 71 - 78 51% -5  4% 13 - 9 11 - 4 D -11 D+ -2 F A+ B+ F+ -9 F F+ D+
 Sun, Feb 15 263 Fairfield W 83 - 74 69% +14  98% 14 - 9 12 - 4 C +0 B- +4 A D- F D+ -3 C F A+
 Fri, Feb 20 243 @Iona L 64 - 72 OT 41% -2  21% 14 - 10 12 - 5 D -9 F -16 F C F B+ +7 A F A+
 Sun, Feb 22 206 @Siena L 63 - 72 34% -10  0% 14 - 11 12 - 6 D -8 D+ -3 F C- B- D -6 C- F B-
 Fri, Feb 27 325 Manhattan W 75 - 65 82% +13  98% 15 - 11 13 - 6 C- -4 C- -1 C+ C- F+ C -1 A+ F D+
 Sun, Mar 1 196 @Marist W 63 - 56 33% +1  51% 16 - 11 14 - 6 B- +8 C- -1 B- C F A +9 B- A+ B-
Totals 16 - 11 14 - 6 -4 D+ -4 C D- C- C +0 D B- C+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ D- C- D D- 36% 41% 42% C- D- B D+ C+ D+ C+ B- C+ C C+ B- C+ C+ 43% 19% 38% D+ C+ F+ C D B F D+ F
1.03 51% 37% 30% -5 0 0.91 35% 1.0 .33 18% .31 74% .23 1.09 56% 36% 33% -2 +1 1.00 36% 1.0 .38 19% .40 74% .23
Nov
3		 Seton Hall D F F D F 27% 24% 49% D- F A- F C D+ A+ B- A+ F C- A+ C C+ 45% 16% 39% D C D F F D- F F F
0.83 36% 10% 30% -16 -1 0.68 38% 0.7 .26 25% .49 73% .35 1.28 59% 17% 33% -3 +1 0.97 39% 1.4 .54 13% .69 83% .57
Nov
8		 Fairleigh Dickinson B- A+ F A+ B 37% 19% 44% C B B D+ C+ C A A- A+ F F+ F F F 38% 10% 52% F F C- F F A+ F A+ C
1.25 79% 20% 43% +10 0 1.23 32% 0.9 .29 15% .43 78% .33 1.12 67% 60% 40% +10 +1 1.25 33% 1.5 .48 24% .36 55% .20
Nov
12		 Virginia Commonwealth D- F A+ F F 33% 22% 44% D+ F A D- B- F+ B+ A+ A+ B C- C+ F F+ 44% 12% 44% C- D- D- A+ A+ A+ F C F
0.89 27% 50% 20% -17 -1 0.67 40% 0.8 .33 20% .35 89% .31 1.14 61% 40% 44% +8 +1 1.22 39% 0.3 .12 25% .68 74% .51
Nov
18		 Delaware D F A- A- C 28% 19% 53% C+ C F C- F B F A+ F F F F F F 30% 26% 43% B+ F F A+ C+ B+ F A F
1.04 44% 45% 40% +2 -1 1.05 19% 1.0 .19 12% .10 100% .10 1.21 71% 58% 50% +20 -1 1.39 30% 0.5 .15 21% .38 70% .26
Nov
22		 Umass Lowell F F B- F F 35% 13% 53% C F D+ A+ B+ F+ F+ B- D- B F D+ A+ F 58% 18% 24% F F F A+ C+ A+ F A F
0.95 37% 43% 24% -15 +1 0.75 29% 1.6 .45 17% .20 75% .15 0.93 73% 43% 22% +5 +2 1.16 41% 0.8 .31 34% .61 55% .34
Nov
29		 Dartmouth F F B F F 50% 13% 37% B F B+ D- C+ D- B- A+ A F D+ D F F 41% 11% 48% F+ F F C+ F F+ F F F
0.93 42% 43% 21% -14 +2 0.77 36% 0.9 .31 15% .31 88% .27 1.32 61% 40% 43% +8 +1 1.20 41% 1.1 .45 15% .50 86% .43
Dec
5		 Canisius D F A+ F F 42% 12% 47% B F C+ A+ A C- A+ A A+ B- A- A+ A+ A+ 40% 17% 43% F+ A+ F B F+ C+ F A F
1.07 39% 60% 20% -15 +1 0.74 33% 1.3 .44 16% .48 81% .39 0.89 41% 14% 22% -18 +1 0.67 40% 0.8 .33 20% .55 64% .35
Dec
7		 Niagara C- F A+ B+ D- 40% 20% 40% C+ D C A+ A C D+ C+ C- A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ 38% 23% 38% A- A+ F B D+ A+ F F F
1.17 39% 56% 39% -1 0 1.00 33% 1.5 .50 15% .27 79% .21 0.71 53% 11% 20% -16 0 0.69 30% 0.8 .23 30% .33 86% .28
Dec
13		 Georgetown D+ C+ A+ F F+ 29% 20% 51% C+ D- D+ F F+ C A+ F A+ B+ C- A+ A B+ 55% 10% 36% F C+ D D+ D A+ F A F
0.96 57% 50% 20% -9 -1 0.84 26% 0.7 .19 17% .49 66% .32 1.07 61% 25% 27% -4 +3 1.00 38% 1.2 .44 21% .64 67% .43
Dec
29		 Fairfield D C+ F F F 57% 10% 33% B+ F A F D- C+ F A F+ B+ A+ B+ A- A+ 48% 12% 40% F A- B F F+ B- F D F
1.04 61% 0% 21% -9 +3 0.90 42% 0.6 .23 15% .19 82% .16 0.98 40% 33% 29% -13 +2 0.81 30% 1.4 .41 18% .34 74% .25
Jan
2		 Marist D+ F+ F F F 36% 22% 42% C+ F B A+ A+ B- A+ A+ A+ A- A+ C- A+ A+ 42% 24% 34% D- A+ B- A+ A- B- F F F
1.00 50% 20% 21% -15 0 0.71 35% 1.3 .45 17% .49 79% .39 0.85 33% 42% 18% -18 0 0.66 24% 0.8 .18 19% .41 87% .36
Jan
9		 Mount St. Mary's D- F B- F F 27% 16% 58% C F A F D D- A+ C- A+ C A+ A+ B A+ 46% 12% 41% D+ A D F F D F F F
0.95 33% 43% 27% -12 0 0.78 40% 0.6 .24 18% .51 72% .37 1.02 42% 20% 29% -12 +2 0.80 33% 1.4 .45 20% .59 81% .48
Jan
11		 Merrimack A- A- D A+ A+ 38% 38% 24% F A A C+ A F+ A+ D+ A+ C+ C F A+ A+ 43% 17% 39% C+ A+ F F+ F A- F C- F
1.23 64% 36% 56% +9 -2 1.16 52% 1.1 .55 23% .63 70% .44 1.02 55% 50% 11% -13 +1 0.78 35% 1.2 .41 19% .42 81% .34
Jan
14		 Quinnipiac C D- A A+ B+ 41% 25% 34% D+ B D F F D A+ A A+ B- B- B- D C- 40% 27% 33% C+ C B+ F D+ D F A- D-
1.06 50% 45% 47% +5 0 1.11 28% 0.7 .20 19% .46 81% .37 1.00 53% 31% 38% -2 -1 0.96 27% 1.3 .36 14% .40 63% .25
Jan
17		 Rider D B- A+ F D+ 33% 33% 33% F D- A+ D+ B+ C D+ F F C+ B- C+ A+ C+ 43% 43% 13% B C+ F C+ F A+ D D+ D
1.11 63% 56% 25% +3 -2 1.04 46% 0.9 .43 14% .26 50% .13 0.93 50% 35% 17% -8 -3 0.80 53% 0.9 .47 27% .31 71% .22
Jan
19		 Iona C C- C A+ B 49% 19% 33% B- B D D+ D+ D- A+ B A+ B+ A+ F B+ A+ 33% 8% 59% D- A+ A F D+ F F A+ D+
1.13 57% 38% 43% +4 +1 1.12 29% 0.9 .26 19% .65 75% .49 0.92 29% 50% 30% -12 +1 0.80 17% 1.7 .29 13% .37 55% .20
Jan
24		 Merrimack F+ F F F F 36% 22% 42% C- F A+ F B- F A+ D+ A+ C+ A+ A+ F B 56% 7% 37% F C+ C- F F+ B- F F F
0.93 44% 30% 16% -18 0 0.64 60% 0.8 .47 25% .51 71% .36 1.06 39% 0% 47% -6 +3 0.95 25% 1.3 .32 17% .48 88% .42
Jan
30		 Mount St. Mary's C- D+ F B D+ 33% 24% 43% C- D+ A- F+ C+ C B- C B- C+ F+ A+ A- B 38% 15% 46% C+ B F A D B+ F B F
1.07 53% 17% 36% -5 -1 0.90 38% 0.9 .33 15% .36 74% .27 0.94 67% 0% 28% -7 +1 0.90 42% 0.8 .35 26% .42 63% .26
Feb
1		 Rider C+ F C+ B D- 31% 24% 45% F F+ B A+ A+ B D+ D+ D F D- D- F F 30% 37% 33% B F B A+ A C F F F
1.20 44% 42% 39% 0 -1 1.00 39% 1.4 .53 12% .26 67% .17 1.24 62% 44% 64% +18 -3 1.33 27% 0.6 .15 17% .44 92% .41
Feb
5		 Manhattan B+ F A+ F F 38% 22% 40% C- F B+ C B A+ B+ A+ A F C D B+ C 27% 22% 51% B- C F F+ F B+ F C- F
1.28 47% 55% 25% -6 0 0.90 44% 1.1 .49 6% .31 83% .26 1.20 55% 44% 29% -4 -1 0.93 46% 1.3 .57 19% .52 81% .42
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
7		 Siena D A+ B- F B- 28% 35% 38% F C B+ B A- F A+ F A+ B+ C D A+ A- 44% 22% 34% F+ B A+ C A D+ F+ C F+
1.03 82% 43% 27% +4 -3 1.05 38% 1.1 .41 21% .67 61% .41 0.96 59% 45% 18% -6 0 0.90 19% 1.0 .19 15% .36 76% .28
Feb
13		 Sacred Heart D+ F F F F 48% 17% 35% C+ F A- A+ A+ B+ B- D+ C+ F+ A B+ F F 31% 17% 52% C F B- F F+ D+ F D+ F
1.11 48% 22% 28% -11 +1 0.83 40% 1.4 .55 11% .28 69% .19 1.22 46% 29% 50% +7 0 1.17 24% 1.5 .36 17% .55 79% .43
Feb
15		 Fairfield B- C- C A+ A+ 45% 20% 35% D+ A C+ F D- F A+ A+ A+ D+ C A+ D- C+ 58% 24% 18% D- C F F F A+ F D F
1.21 56% 38% 57% +11 +1 1.25 32% 0.8 .25 22% .61 85% .52 1.08 54% 27% 38% -4 +1 0.96 41% 1.2 .50 22% .50 74% .37
Feb
20		 Iona F F A+ F F+ 27% 25% 47% F+ F C- C+ C F F A F+ B+ C- B A+ A+ 37% 18% 45% C A F D F A+ F F+ F
0.84 40% 50% 27% -7 -1 0.85 32% 1.0 .32 24% .17 80% .14 0.95 58% 33% 22% -9 0 0.84 36% 1.1 .41 24% .36 76% .28
Feb
22		 Siena D+ F F C- F 40% 23% 38% C F D+ C C- B- B- B B D D+ A C- C 57% 27% 16% F C- F F F B- F F+ F
1.03 47% 27% 33% -7 0 0.88 29% 1.0 .29 15% .31 75% .23 1.17 62% 30% 33% 0 0 1.03 36% 1.2 .44 18% .67 82% .56
Feb
27		 Manhattan C- B+ D+ A B- 35% 24% 41% D C+ A F C- F+ C+ F D+ C A+ F A+ A+ 43% 20% 37% D- A+ F F F D+ F C- F
1.19 69% 36% 42% +8 -1 1.17 48% 0.8 .39 19% .26 62% .16 1.04 30% 78% 12% -17 0 0.70 37% 1.3 .47 14% .48 81% .39
Mar
1		 Marist C- A- D D- B- 42% 27% 31% C B- B+ F+ C F D+ F D- A A F A B- 32% 36% 32% A- B- F A+ A+ B- C A+ B
0.99 68% 33% 29% +1 -1 1.02 36% 0.8 .29 27% .32 60% .19 0.88 44% 50% 25% -5 -2 0.88 38% 0.3 .12 19% .23 67% .15



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 0.0%
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 100.0% 13.9% 13.9% 15.4 0.0 0.6 7.1 6.2 86.1
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 13.9% 13.9% 0.0% 15.4 86.1 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 13.9% 100.0% 15.4 0.0 4.4 51.0 44.6
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 17.5%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 32.1%
Lose Out 36.4%