St. Peter's
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.0#290
Expected Predictive Rating-7.4#275
Pace62.7#340
Improvement+2.5#47

Offense
Total Offense-5.3#312
First Shot-7.3#352
After Offensive Rebound+2.0#64
Layup/Dunks-6.5#348
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#201
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#241
Freethrows+1.3#103
Improvement-0.7#237

Defense
Total Defense-1.8#234
First Shot-1.1#218
After Offensive Rebounds-0.7#239
Layups/Dunks-2.8#279
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#17
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#70
Freethrows-4.0#354
Improvement+3.2#14
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.8% 3.7% 2.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.6 15.8
.500 or above 28.1% 41.8% 18.7%
.500 or above in Conference 52.9% 69.1% 41.9%
Conference Champion 1.8% 3.2% 0.9%
Last Place in Conference 2.0% 0.4% 3.0%
First Four1.2% 1.3% 1.1%
First Round2.2% 3.0% 1.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Fairfield (Away) - 40.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 51 - 9
Quad 411 - 812 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 58 @Seton Hall L 50-77 4%     0 - 1 -14.3 -6.2 -12.5
  Sat, Nov 8 359 Fairleigh Dickinson W 93-83 84%     1 - 1 -7.8 +5.1 -13.5
  Wed, Nov 12 50 @Virginia Commonwealth L 61-78 4%     1 - 2 -3.1 -2.5 -1.0
  Tue, Nov 18 284 @Delaware L 70-81 37%     1 - 3 -14.6 -1.0 -14.0
  Sat, Nov 22 303 Umass Lowell W 68-66 63%     2 - 3 -8.5 -11.4 +2.9
  Sat, Nov 29 208 Dartmouth L 61-87 46%     2 - 4 -32.1 -10.5 -23.3
  Fri, Dec 5 342 Canisius W 69-57 75%     3 - 4 1 - 0 -2.2 -2.0 +0.9
  Sun, Dec 7 353 Niagara W 71-43 81%     4 - 4 2 - 0 +11.9 +2.4 +13.7
  Sat, Dec 13 89 @Georgetown L 68-76 OT 8%     4 - 5 +1.0 -2.2 +3.3
  Mon, Dec 29 301 @Fairfield L 66-69 40%    
  Fri, Jan 2 163 Marist L 61-65 36%    
  Fri, Jan 9 302 @Mount St. Mary's L 66-69 41%    
  Sun, Jan 11 266 Merrimack W 65-63 56%    
  Wed, Jan 14 157 @Quinnipiac L 66-76 18%    
  Sat, Jan 17 348 Rider W 66-58 77%    
  Mon, Jan 19 172 Iona L 70-73 39%    
  Sat, Jan 24 266 @Merrimack L 62-66 35%    
  Fri, Jan 30 302 Mount St. Mary's W 69-66 63%    
  Sun, Feb 1 348 @Rider W 63-61 56%    
  Thu, Feb 5 319 @Manhattan L 71-72 48%    
  Sat, Feb 7 171 Siena L 64-67 39%    
  Fri, Feb 13 268 @Sacred Heart L 69-73 35%    
  Sun, Feb 15 301 Fairfield W 69-66 62%    
  Fri, Feb 20 172 @Iona L 67-76 21%    
  Sun, Feb 22 171 @Siena L 61-70 21%    
  Fri, Feb 27 319 Manhattan W 74-69 69%    
  Sun, Mar 1 163 @Marist L 58-68 19%    
Projected Record 12 - 15 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.8 1st
2nd 0.1 0.6 1.4 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 3.9 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.9 2.5 2.0 0.6 0.1 6.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 1.4 3.6 3.0 0.7 0.1 8.9 4th
5th 0.2 1.9 5.0 4.2 0.9 0.1 12.3 5th
6th 0.1 1.9 5.8 5.0 1.2 0.1 14.2 6th
7th 0.1 1.6 5.3 5.0 1.3 0.1 13.2 7th
8th 0.1 1.1 4.7 4.7 1.3 0.1 12.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.7 3.3 4.6 1.6 0.1 0.0 10.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 2.6 3.6 1.5 0.2 8.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 1.5 2.4 1.1 0.1 5.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.1 0.5 0.1 2.7 12th
13th 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.7 13th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.4 3.2 6.3 9.2 12.6 13.8 14.3 12.9 10.1 7.2 4.4 2.5 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 92.9% 0.1    0.1 0.0
17-3 77.8% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
16-4 53.9% 0.6    0.3 0.2 0.1
15-5 22.7% 0.6    0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0
14-6 4.1% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.8% 1.8 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0
18-2 0.1% 21.4% 21.4% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-3 0.4% 25.4% 25.4% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3
16-4 1.2% 20.9% 20.9% 15.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.9
15-5 2.5% 10.6% 10.6% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 2.2
14-6 4.4% 8.0% 8.0% 15.6 0.1 0.2 4.1
13-7 7.2% 5.7% 5.7% 15.8 0.1 0.3 6.7
12-8 10.1% 5.2% 5.2% 15.9 0.0 0.5 9.6
11-9 12.9% 3.1% 3.1% 15.9 0.0 0.4 12.5
10-10 14.3% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.2 14.0
9-11 13.8% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.2 13.6
8-12 12.6% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 12.6
7-13 9.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 9.2
6-14 6.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.3
5-15 3.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 3.2
4-16 1.4% 1.4
3-17 0.4% 0.4
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 2.8% 2.8% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.0 97.2 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%