IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Stetson
Atlantic Sun
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	-12.2	#350
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	69.0	#146
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-5.0	#316

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-7.1	#355

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.9%	2.6%	0.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	16.9	15.4	15.6

.500 or above	5.7%	20.1%	4.7%
.500 or above in Conference	18.6%	35.6%	17.4%
Conference Champion	0.7%	1.8%	0.6%
Last Place in Conference	23.9%	11.8%	24.8%

First Four	0.5%	1.0%	0.4%
First Round	0.7%	2.3%	0.5%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Rhode Island (Away) - 6.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 5
Quad 3	1 - 6	1 - 11
Quad 4	7 - 11	8 - 22

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	146	@ Rhode Island	L	68-84	7%
Nov 10, 2025	56	@ Miami (FL)	L	62-87	1%
Nov 16, 2025	273	@ Western Carolina	L	71-80	20%
Nov 19, 2025	324	Howard	W	76-75	52%
Nov 22, 2025	296	VMI	L	72-74	44%
Nov 25, 2025	191	Wright St.	L	71-78	26%
Nov 29, 2025	268	Southern Utah	L	71-77	29%
Nov 30, 2025	207	@ Robert Morris	L	67-79	14%
Dec 02, 2025	80	@ Grand Canyon	L	65-87	3%
Dec 06, 2025	70	@ South Carolina	L	58-81	2%
Dec 22, 2025	47	@ Oklahoma	L	61-88	1%
Jan 01, 2026	195	@ North Alabama	L	65-78	13%
Jan 03, 2026	358	@ Central Arkansas	L	71-72	48%
Jan 08, 2026	188	Lipscomb	L	67-74	27%
Jan 10, 2026	276	Austin Peay	L	69-72	40%
Jan 15, 2026	345	West Georgia	W	75-72	58%
Jan 17, 2026	245	Queens	L	73-78	35%
Jan 22, 2026	188	@ Lipscomb	L	64-77	14%
Jan 24, 2026	276	@ Austin Peay	L	66-75	23%
Jan 29, 2026	330	@ North Florida	L	78-83	34%
Jan 31, 2026	195	North Alabama	L	68-75	28%
Feb 05, 2026	320	@ Bellarmine	L	71-77	32%
Feb 07, 2026	174	@ Eastern Kentucky	L	67-81	13%
Feb 12, 2026	253	Jacksonville	L	69-73	37%
Feb 14, 2026	181	@ Florida Gulf Coast	L	63-77	13%
Feb 19, 2026	358	Central Arkansas	W	74-69	67%
Feb 21, 2026	330	North Florida	W	81-80	53%
Feb 26, 2026	253	@ Jacksonville	L	66-76	20%
Feb 28, 2026	181	Florida Gulf Coast	L	66-74	27%
Projected Record						8 - 21	6 - 12

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0			0.7	1st
2nd												0.1	0.4	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0				1.2	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.1	0.8	0.8	0.3	0.1						2.0	3rd
4th									0.0	0.2	1.1	1.5	0.5	0.1	0.0						3.3	4th
5th									0.2	1.6	2.1	0.8	0.1								4.7	5th
6th							0.0	0.2	1.7	2.9	1.3	0.1									6.4	6th
7th						0.0	0.4	2.4	3.7	1.9	0.1										8.6	7th
8th					0.0	0.4	2.8	4.8	2.7	0.3	0.0										11.0	8th
9th				0.0	0.7	3.5	5.9	3.2	0.5	0.0											14.0	9th
10th			0.1	1.1	4.4	5.9	3.1	0.5	0.0												15.1	10th
11th		0.3	2.2	5.5	6.0	2.6	0.5	0.0													17.1	11th
12th	1.3	3.8	5.1	3.8	1.6	0.2	0.0														15.8	12th

Total	1.3	4.0	7.4	10.4	12.7	12.6	12.8	11.2	9.0	6.9	4.7	3.3	1.8	0.9	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.0				Total

Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0
17-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
16-2	82.8%	0.1		0.1	0.0	0.0
15-3	75.0%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.0
14-4	40.7%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.0
13-5	15.3%	0.1		0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-6	1.3%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%	0.0				0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	0.7%	0.7		0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1	0.0%		25.2%	25.2%		15.0																0.0		0.0
16-2	0.1%		27.6%	27.6%		14.1														0.0	0.0	0.0		0.1
15-3	0.2%		26.9%	26.9%		15.8														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2
14-4	0.5%		14.3%	14.3%		17.2														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.5
13-5	0.9%		10.3%	10.3%		18.2															0.0	0.1	0.1	0.8
12-6	1.8%		7.1%	7.1%		16.9														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	1.7
11-7	3.3%		4.3%	4.3%		18.9														0.0		0.0	0.1	3.2
10-8	4.7%		2.2%	2.2%		16.5																0.0	0.1	4.6
9-9	6.9%		1.7%	1.7%		16.5																0.0	0.1	6.8
8-10	9.0%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.1	8.9
7-11	11.2%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	11.2
6-12	12.8%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	12.8
5-13	12.6%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	12.6
4-14	12.7%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	12.7
3-15	10.4%																							10.4
2-16	7.4%																							7.4
1-17	4.0%																							4.0
0-18	1.3%																							1.3

Total	100%		0.9%	0.9%	0.0%	16.9														0.0	0.1	0.2	0.6	99.1		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.5%