Preseason Rankings
Wisconsin-Milwaukee
Horizon
2025-26
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.2#214
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace70.9#102
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-1.2#210
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.0#239
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.8% 12.7% 7.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.1 14.2 14.7
.500 or above 44.3% 53.2% 27.7%
.500 or above in Conference 67.6% 73.0% 57.4%
Conference Champion 13.5% 16.0% 8.7%
Last Place in Conference 2.9% 1.9% 4.6%
First Four1.5% 1.4% 1.8%
First Round10.7% 12.7% 6.9%
Second Round0.5% 0.6% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Hampton (Home) - 65.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 33 - 63 - 11
Quad 412 - 615 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 03, 2025 236   Hampton W 72-68 65%    
  Nov 08, 2025 206   @ Wofford L 68-72 37%    
  Nov 10, 2025 177   Arkansas Little Rock W 72-71 54%    
  Nov 12, 2025 34   @ Indiana L 64-84 4%    
  Nov 14, 2025 12   @ Texas Tech L 60-84 2%    
  Nov 22, 2025 122   @ Wichita St. L 70-79 23%    
  Nov 29, 2025 104   @ Akron L 73-84 17%    
  Dec 06, 2025 207   Robert Morris W 74-71 59%    
  Dec 14, 2025 170   Indiana St. W 81-80 53%    
  Dec 19, 2025 151   South Dakota St. L 74-78 38%    
  Dec 21, 2025 232   @ Cleveland St. L 69-71 43%    
  Dec 29, 2025 192   Purdue Fort Wayne W 77-75 56%    
  Dec 30, 2025 26   @ Wisconsin L 63-84 4%    
  Jan 01, 2026 191   @ Wright St. L 72-76 36%    
  Jan 05, 2026 314   @ Green Bay W 76-74 58%    
  Jan 09, 2026 266   Northern Kentucky W 73-68 68%    
  Jan 11, 2026 359   IU Indianapolis W 78-64 89%    
  Jan 15, 2026 197   Oakland W 70-68 56%    
  Jan 18, 2026 192   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 74-78 36%    
  Jan 22, 2026 207   @ Robert Morris L 71-74 38%    
  Jan 24, 2026 179   @ Youngstown St. L 72-77 35%    
  Jan 30, 2026 191   Wright St. W 75-73 56%    
  Feb 01, 2026 232   Cleveland St. W 72-68 62%    
  Feb 04, 2026 309   Detroit Mercy W 76-68 75%    
  Feb 07, 2026 266   @ Northern Kentucky L 70-71 48%    
  Feb 15, 2026 314   Green Bay W 79-71 76%    
  Feb 20, 2026 309   @ Detroit Mercy W 73-71 57%    
  Feb 22, 2026 197   @ Oakland L 67-71 37%    
  Feb 25, 2026 179   Youngstown St. W 75-74 54%    
  Feb 28, 2026 359   @ IU Indianapolis W 75-67 75%    
Projected Record 14 - 16 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.2 2.9 3.6 2.9 1.7 0.7 0.2 13.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 2.5 4.3 3.2 1.6 0.4 0.0 12.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.7 3.0 4.3 2.7 0.8 0.1 11.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 3.4 4.7 2.1 0.4 0.0 11.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 3.5 4.6 1.9 0.3 0.0 11.2 5th
6th 0.1 0.7 3.3 4.4 1.9 0.2 10.5 6th
7th 0.1 0.9 2.9 3.9 1.4 0.1 9.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.6 2.9 1.2 0.1 7.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.1 1.8 0.7 0.1 6.1 9th
10th 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.4 1.0 0.4 0.0 4.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.0 1.5 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.6 2.8 4.3 5.7 7.3 9.3 10.3 10.7 10.4 9.5 8.7 6.9 5.2 3.2 1.7 0.7 0.2 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
19-1 100.0% 0.7    0.7 0.0
18-2 98.3% 1.7    1.6 0.1
17-3 89.2% 2.9    2.4 0.5 0.0
16-4 68.5% 3.6    2.2 1.2 0.2 0.0
15-5 41.8% 2.9    1.3 1.1 0.5 0.0
14-6 14.3% 1.2    0.3 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-7 2.7% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 13.5% 13.5 8.7 3.5 1.0 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.2% 56.6% 56.6% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
19-1 0.7% 51.9% 51.9% 12.4 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3
18-2 1.7% 44.5% 44.5% 12.9 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.9
17-3 3.2% 38.5% 38.5% 13.3 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.0
16-4 5.2% 27.9% 27.9% 13.7 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 3.8
15-5 6.9% 23.3% 23.3% 14.2 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.4 0.1 5.3
14-6 8.7% 17.3% 17.3% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.3 7.2
13-7 9.5% 13.1% 13.1% 16.1 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.4 8.3
12-8 10.4% 8.6% 8.6% 17.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 9.5
11-9 10.7% 7.1% 7.1% 18.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 9.9
10-10 10.3% 4.1% 4.1% 18.6 0.0 0.1 0.4 9.9
9-11 9.3% 2.5% 2.5% 16.2 0.0 0.2 9.1
8-12 7.3% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.0 0.1 7.2
7-13 5.7% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 5.7
6-14 4.3% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 4.3
5-15 2.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.8
4-16 1.6% 1.6
3-17 0.8% 0.8
2-18 0.4% 0.4
1-19 0.1% 0.1
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 10.8% 10.8% 0.0% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.9 2.8 2.9 2.6 89.2 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%