Hofstra
Colonial Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.3#115
Expected Predictive Rating+4.9#104
Pace65.4#284
Improvement+2.9#28

Offense
Total Offense+1.4#129
First Shot+2.4#113
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#242
Layup/Dunks-0.7#207
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#132
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#127
Freethrows+0.6#140
Improvement+3.8#7

Defense
Total Defense+1.9#108
First Shot+1.4#122
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#158
Layups/Dunks+3.3#68
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#233
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#212
Freethrows-0.9#235
Improvement-0.9#256
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 20.0% 21.2% 16.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.6 12.5 12.9
.500 or above 95.6% 97.3% 90.2%
.500 or above in Conference 92.3% 93.4% 89.1%
Conference Champion 27.6% 29.7% 21.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.3% 0.2% 0.5%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round20.0% 21.2% 16.5%
Second Round2.3% 2.5% 1.7%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.4% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Quinnipiac (Home) - 74.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b1 - 11 - 1
Quad 22 - 23 - 4
Quad 36 - 58 - 9
Quad 412 - 220 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 57 @Central Florida L 78-82 19%     0 - 1 +8.5 +6.1 +2.5
  Fri, Nov 7 170 @Iona L 73-81 55%     0 - 2 -5.9 -3.4 -2.0
  Fri, Nov 14 302 @Bucknell W 83-77 78%     1 - 2 +1.1 +4.3 -3.6
  Wed, Nov 19 163 @Temple L 76-81 52%     1 - 3 -2.2 +1.4 -3.6
  Fri, Nov 28 238 La Salle W 63-58 77%     2 - 3 +0.7 -6.9 +7.9
  Sat, Nov 29 273 Merrimack W 78-58 81%     3 - 3 +14.1 +6.6 +8.4
  Sun, Nov 30 253 @Penn W 77-60 70%     4 - 3 +14.8 +5.5 +10.1
  Wed, Dec 3 138 @Columbia L 70-72 45%     4 - 4 +2.5 +3.6 -1.2
  Sun, Dec 7 107 @Pittsburgh W 80-73 37%     5 - 4 +13.8 +19.9 -5.1
  Sat, Dec 13 68 @Syracuse W 70-69 23%     6 - 4 +12.1 +17.7 -5.4
  Sun, Dec 21 168 Quinnipiac W 77-70 75%    
  Mon, Dec 29 226 Campbell W 79-69 82%    
  Sat, Jan 3 271 @Drexel W 70-64 72%    
  Thu, Jan 8 139 @Towson L 66-67 46%    
  Sat, Jan 10 206 Monmouth W 75-66 80%    
  Thu, Jan 15 197 @Stony Brook W 70-67 60%    
  Sat, Jan 17 192 Elon W 79-71 77%    
  Thu, Jan 22 311 @N.C. A&T W 77-68 79%    
  Sat, Jan 24 121 @William & Mary L 76-79 40%    
  Thu, Jan 29 172 College of Charleston W 74-67 75%    
  Sat, Jan 31 206 @Monmouth W 72-69 61%    
  Thu, Feb 5 211 Northeastern W 75-65 81%    
  Sat, Feb 7 139 Towson W 69-64 67%    
  Thu, Feb 12 172 @College of Charleston W 71-70 55%    
  Sat, Feb 14 109 @UNC Wilmington L 68-71 37%    
  Thu, Feb 19 230 Hampton W 73-63 82%    
  Sat, Feb 21 211 @Northeastern W 72-68 62%    
  Sat, Feb 28 197 Stony Brook W 73-64 78%    
  Tue, Mar 3 271 Drexel W 73-61 86%    
Projected Record 19 - 10 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.7 3.6 7.2 7.9 5.5 2.2 0.5 27.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.9 4.7 7.7 5.7 2.0 0.3 0.0 21.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 4.0 6.7 3.8 0.8 0.0 15.9 3rd
4th 0.2 2.6 5.4 2.6 0.4 0.0 11.4 4th
5th 0.0 1.3 3.9 2.3 0.3 0.0 7.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.8 2.3 0.3 0.0 5.8 6th
7th 0.1 1.4 2.0 0.4 0.0 3.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 1.5 0.5 0.0 2.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.6 0.0 1.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 1.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 13th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.9 2.0 4.1 6.8 9.8 12.9 15.1 15.5 13.8 9.9 5.8 2.2 0.5 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.5    0.5
17-1 99.5% 2.2    2.1 0.1
16-2 95.2% 5.5    4.8 0.7 0.0
15-3 79.2% 7.9    5.6 2.1 0.2
14-4 52.2% 7.2    3.5 2.9 0.8 0.1 0.0
13-5 23.1% 3.6    1.0 1.5 0.9 0.2 0.0
12-6 4.7% 0.7    0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.1
11-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 27.6% 27.6 17.5 7.5 2.2 0.3 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.5% 54.0% 50.4% 3.6% 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 7.2%
17-1 2.2% 41.8% 41.5% 0.3% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.4 0.0 1.3 0.5%
16-2 5.8% 37.6% 37.6% 11.9 0.0 0.4 1.5 0.3 0.0 3.6
15-3 9.9% 33.1% 33.1% 12.2 0.3 2.1 0.9 0.1 0.0 6.7
14-4 13.8% 28.5% 28.5% 12.5 0.1 2.0 1.6 0.2 0.0 9.9
13-5 15.5% 22.0% 22.0% 12.7 0.0 1.3 1.7 0.4 12.1
12-6 15.1% 19.0% 19.0% 13.0 0.0 0.6 1.6 0.6 0.0 12.2
11-7 12.9% 12.9% 12.9% 13.3 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.6 0.1 11.3
10-8 9.8% 9.1% 9.1% 13.5 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 8.9
9-9 6.8% 5.6% 5.6% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 6.4
8-10 4.1% 3.4% 3.4% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 4.0
7-11 2.0% 3.3% 3.3% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.9
6-12 0.9% 3.6% 3.6% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.9
5-13 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 0.4
4-14 0.2% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.0 0.2
3-15 0.0% 0.0
2-16 0.0% 0.0 0.0
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 20.0% 20.0% 0.0% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.4 8.2 7.4 2.5 0.4 0.1 80.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.2% 100.0% 9.6 1.6 4.8 3.2 9.5 23.8 22.2 28.6 6.3
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.1% 8.0% 11.0 8.0