Northeastern
Colonial Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.3#212
Expected Predictive Rating-3.3#217
Pace71.6#130
Improvement-0.4#219

Offense
Total Offense-3.7#267
First Shot-0.8#197
After Offensive Rebound-2.9#337
Layup/Dunks+3.9#59
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#282
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.4#288
Freethrows+0.4#151
Improvement+0.3#155

Defense
Total Defense+0.4#154
First Shot+0.7#145
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#211
Layups/Dunks-4.8#327
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#38
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.9#28
Freethrows-1.6#280
Improvement-0.8#247
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.6% 4.2% 2.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.5 13.9 14.5
.500 or above 26.5% 51.0% 24.4%
.500 or above in Conference 35.5% 48.8% 34.4%
Conference Champion 1.6% 2.1% 1.6%
Last Place in Conference 10.4% 6.1% 10.7%
First Four0.3% 0.2% 0.3%
First Round2.5% 4.1% 2.3%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Syracuse (Away) - 8.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 21 - 4
Quad 36 - 76 - 10
Quad 47 - 713 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 278 Boston University L 75-76 OT 72%     0 - 1 -10.3 -10.7 +0.5
  Fri, Nov 7 178 @Colgate W 68-65 31%     1 - 1 +4.7 -2.0 +6.9
  Tue, Nov 11 200 @Harvard W 77-60 36%     2 - 1 +17.3 +8.4 +9.8
  Sat, Nov 15 190 Vermont L 74-85 56%     2 - 2 -15.8 -3.8 -12.1
  Thu, Nov 20 250 @Princeton L 57-70 46%     2 - 3 -15.2 -12.6 -3.1
  Sat, Nov 22 142 Duquesne W 93-86 33%     3 - 3 +8.1 +4.3 +2.6
  Fri, Nov 28 49 @Wake Forest L 73-86 7%     3 - 4 +0.8 +3.6 -2.2
  Wed, Dec 3 288 @Holy Cross L 59-76 53%     3 - 5 -21.1 -13.1 -8.8
  Sun, Dec 7 266 Central Connecticut St. W 73-56 70%     4 - 5 +8.4 -0.1 +8.8
  Sat, Dec 20 62 @Syracuse L 64-79 8%    
  Mon, Dec 29 181 @Elon L 74-79 32%    
  Wed, Dec 31 318 @N.C. A&T W 75-72 60%    
  Sat, Jan 3 226 @Campbell L 74-77 41%    
  Thu, Jan 8 107 UNC Wilmington L 68-72 35%    
  Sat, Jan 10 137 Towson L 67-69 44%    
  Thu, Jan 15 181 Elon W 77-76 54%    
  Sat, Jan 17 270 @Drexel L 68-69 48%    
  Sat, Jan 17 203 @Monmouth L 71-74 38%    
  Thu, Jan 22 207 Stony Brook W 72-69 60%    
  Sat, Jan 31 174 College of Charleston W 73-72 52%    
  Thu, Feb 5 123 @Hofstra L 66-75 21%    
  Sat, Feb 7 207 @Stony Brook L 69-72 39%    
  Thu, Feb 12 121 William & Mary L 78-81 39%    
  Thu, Feb 19 270 Drexel W 71-66 69%    
  Sat, Feb 21 123 Hofstra L 69-72 40%    
  Thu, Feb 26 121 @William & Mary L 75-84 21%    
  Sat, Feb 28 210 @Hampton L 68-71 39%    
  Tue, Mar 3 203 Monmouth W 74-71 59%    
Projected Record 12 - 16 8 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.1 1.0 0.3 0.0 2.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.9 1.7 0.5 0.0 4.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.4 2.7 0.8 0.0 6.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 2.1 4.0 1.3 0.1 7.6 5th
6th 0.0 1.6 4.8 2.2 0.2 8.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 4.7 3.9 0.4 0.0 10.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.5 3.7 5.3 1.1 0.0 10.6 8th
9th 0.3 3.0 5.7 2.3 0.1 11.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 2.2 5.4 3.2 0.3 11.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 1.8 4.2 3.5 0.6 0.0 10.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 1.6 3.5 2.8 0.8 0.0 9.1 12th
13th 0.1 0.6 1.3 2.0 1.4 0.4 0.0 5.7 13th
Total 0.1 0.6 1.7 3.8 6.9 9.8 13.2 14.1 14.3 12.3 9.5 6.6 3.9 2.1 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-3 88.8% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
14-4 61.1% 0.5    0.3 0.2 0.1
13-5 28.7% 0.6    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-6 4.4% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.6% 1.6 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.3% 20.2% 20.2% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-4 0.8% 19.4% 19.4% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.7
13-5 2.1% 15.4% 15.4% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 1.8
12-6 3.9% 10.2% 10.2% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 3.5
11-7 6.6% 6.9% 6.9% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 6.1
10-8 9.5% 3.9% 3.9% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 9.1
9-9 12.3% 2.8% 2.8% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 11.9
8-10 14.3% 1.5% 1.5% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 14.0
7-11 14.1% 1.1% 1.1% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 13.9
6-12 13.2% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 13.2
5-13 9.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 9.8
4-14 6.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.9
3-15 3.8% 3.8
2-16 1.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.7
1-17 0.6% 0.6
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 2.6% 2.6% 0.0% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 0.8 0.5 97.4 0.0%