Purdue
Big Ten
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating +20.6 8
Results Rating +19.8 12
Consistency 0.19 345
Pace 63.4 314
Improvement -2.9 281

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense A+ 1 A A+ A C- C-
Defense B 41 B- B+ C+ A A

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 258 A 71% 2 +3.2 69
2 Pt. Jumpers 36% 209 A- 46% 17 +2.8 47
Three Pointers 41% 175 A 40% 9 +3.6 67
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- -0.5 254 A+ +10.1 1
1st FG Attempt A 1.21 4
Second Chance A- 38.8% 12 A 1.24 9 A+ 0.48 5
Opponents' Steals A- 7.2% 15
Other Turnovers A- 5.2% 9
Turnovers A 12.5% 9
Freethrows C- 0.29 238 B- 74% 123 C- 0.21 204
Total Offense A+ +15.0 1

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots A 68% 5 A 6.0% 9
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots A 46% 8 B 3.2% 53
Three Pointers B- 87% 105 C+ 0.8% 163
Total A 69% 7 A 3.2% 9


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 28% 361 C+ 56% 119 -7.0 12
2 Pt. Jumpers 28% 23 C- 40% 254 +3.3 358
Three Pointers 44% 69 B- 32% 76 +0.4 202
Shot Selection/Accuracy A -1.7 9 C+ -1.6 113
1st FG Attempt B- 0.96 63
Second Chance A 22.9% 6 C- 1.05 225 B+ 0.24 29
Turnovers from Steals C 9.5% 181
Other Turnovers B 8.2% 66
Turnovers C+ 17.7% 112
Freethrows A 0.22 7 A- 68% 11 A 0.15 5
Total Defense B +5.6 41

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B- 44% 87 C 10.5% 192
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 30% 274 B- 6.7% 74
Three Pointers B 79% 55 C+ 1.0% 126
Total B- 52% 114 C- 5.2% 198

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.3 157 19.2 360
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 145 0.10 14
Consistency 0.12 113 0.14 303
Improvement +1.8 102 -4.6 344

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Lock
Projected Seeding 2 seed  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 9 8 8
Results Rating Rank 16 12 7
Conference Record 13 - 7 13 - 7 13 - 7
Conference Finish 6 6 6
NCAA Tourney Seed 4 3 2
NCAA Tourney Finish 2nd Round Sweet 16 Champ Game

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 2% 3% 0%
Top 2 Seed 37% 46% 19%
Top 4 Seed 97% 99% 92%
Top 6 Seed 100% 100% 100%
NCAA Tourney Bid 100% 100% 100%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100% 100% 100%
Average Seed 2.9 2.7 3.3
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round100% 100% 100%
Second Round97% 97% 96%
Sweet Sixteen66% 67% 65%
Elite Eight35% 36% 33%
Final Four14% 15% 14%
Championship Game6% 6% 6%
National Champion2% 2% 2%

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a6 - 76 - 7
Quad 1b4 - 210 - 9
Quad 26 - 016 - 9
Quad 37 - 023 - 9
Quad 43 - 026 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 294 Evansville W 82 - 51 99% +18  91% 1 - 0 A +20 A +13 A- B A A+ +12 A+ F D
 Fri, Nov 7 173 Oakland W 87 - 77 98% +3  68% 2 - 0 B- +6 B +6 B- D A+ C+ +0 C+ D+ D+
 Thu, Nov 13 15 @Alabama W 87 - 80 47% +2  60% 3 - 0 A+ +28 A+ +19 A A C A +10 B+ A+ F+
 Sun, Nov 16 72 Akron W 97 - 79 91% +12  87% 4 - 0 A+ +23 A+ +19 A- A+ C B- +4 A+ F D
 Thu, Nov 20 129 Memphis W 80 - 71 95% +1  55% 5 - 0 B +11 A- +11 A+ D A- C+ +1 B D+ C-
 Fri, Nov 21 18 Texas Tech W 86 - 56 59% +17  92% 6 - 0 A+ +48 A+ +22 A+ A- C A+ +27 A+ A- D+
 Fri, Nov 28 322 Eastern Illinois W 109 - 62 99% +25  86% 7 - 0 A+ +34 A+ +27 A+ A+ A B+ +5 F A+ A+
 Tue, Dec 2 101 @Rutgers W 81 - 65 88% +12  92% 8 - 0 1 - 0 A+ +24 A+ +16 B A A A +9 D+ A+ C-
 Sat, Dec 6 6 Iowa St. L 58 - 81 54% -9  16% 8 - 1 C- -3 C- -2 D A- C+ C- -3 F A+ A
 Wed, Dec 10 69 Minnesota W 85 - 57 91% +15  99% 9 - 1 2 - 0 A+ +34 A+ +18 A+ A+ A A+ +18 A+ A+ D
 Sat, Dec 13 76 Marquette W 79 - 59 92% +16  100% 10 - 1 A+ +25 A +14 A+ A+ C- A+ +13 A+ D- A-
 Sat, Dec 20 38 Auburn W 88 - 60 75% +13  94% 11 - 1 A+ +42 A+ +22 A+ A+ B- A+ +22 A+ A+ C+
 Mon, Dec 29 147 Kent St. W 101 - 60 97% +24  95% 12 - 1 A+ +39 A+ +15 A+ C+ A+ A+ +20 A+ A+ B-
 Sat, Jan 3 23 @Wisconsin W 89 - 73 54% +8  71% 13 - 1 3 - 0 A+ +36 A+ +18 B A+ A+ A+ +18 A+ C+ A-
 Wed, Jan 7 50 Washington W 81 - 73 87% +14  99% 14 - 1 4 - 0 A- +16 B+ +8 A+ A+ F A- +8 B- A A-
 Sat, Jan 10 123 Penn St. W 93 - 85 96% +5  80% 15 - 1 5 - 0 B- +8 A+ +20 A A A+ F -12 F F C
 Wed, Jan 14 27 Iowa W 79 - 72 78% -1  31% 16 - 1 6 - 0 A +20 A+ +16 A+ C A+ B +4 D+ C- A+
 Sat, Jan 17 75 @USC W 69 - 64 82% -2  32% 17 - 1 7 - 0 A- +16 C +1 C C- A+ A+ +15 A+ F B
 Tue, Jan 20 26 @UCLA L 67 - 69 57% +2  65% 17 - 2 7 - 1 A- +17 A- +11 C A+ A+ B +5 F A+ A-
 Sat, Jan 24 7 Illinois L 82 - 88 57% +3  69% 17 - 3 7 - 2 B+ +13 A+ +21 A+ F A+ F+ -8 F F B+
 Tue, Jan 27 44 @Indiana L 67 - 72 68% -5  18% 17 - 4 7 - 3 B +11 B +7 A B C B- +3 B- C D+
 Sun, Feb 1 104 @Maryland W 93 - 63 88% +18  95% 18 - 4 8 - 3 A+ +38 A+ +30 A A+ A- A +10 A+ C+ C+
 Sat, Feb 7 86 Oregon W 68 - 64 93% +3  76% 19 - 4 9 - 3 B- +8 C- -1 B B- F A +9 C A+ B+
 Tue, Feb 10 14 @Nebraska W 80 - 77 OT 47% +11  93% 20 - 4 10 - 3 A+ +24 A +12 C+ A- A+ A+ +13 B+ A+ A
 Sat, Feb 14 27 @Iowa W 78 - 57 58% +14  96% 21 - 4 11 - 3 A+ +40 A+ +27 B A+ A+ A+ +17 A+ A+ F
 Tue, Feb 17 1 Michigan L 80 - 91 38% -11  10% 21 - 5 11 - 4 B+ +13 A+ +17 A+ B+ A+ D+ -5 D+ C A
 Fri, Feb 20 44 Indiana W 93 - 64 84% +17  97% 22 - 5 12 - 4 A+ +39 A+ +30 A+ A+ A+ A+ +12 C- A+ B+
 Thu, Feb 26 10 Michigan St. L 74 - 76 65% -0  45% 22 - 6 12 - 5 B+ +15 A+ +16 A+ A+ B C -1 D- A+ F
 Sun, Mar 1 24 @Ohio St. L 74 - 82 56% -5  19% 22 - 7 12 - 6 B +11 A+ +16 B A A+ D -6 B+ F D-
 Wed, Mar 4 57 @Northwestern W 70 - 66 77% -4  13% 23 - 7 13 - 6 A- +17 A+ +15 A+ A- F B- +2 F+ A+ C
 Sat, Mar 7 23 Wisconsin L 93 - 97 75% -2  28% 23 - 8 13 - 7 B +10 A+ +27 A+ A+ A F -17 F C- C+
 Thu, Mar 12 57 Northwestern W 81 - 68 85% +16  98% 24 - 8 A +23 A+ +24 A A+ A+ C+ +1 D- B- B
 Fri, Mar 13 14 Nebraska W 74 - 58 58% +10  99% 25 - 8 A+ +34 A+ +22 B- A+ A+ A+ +15 A B+ B+
 Sat, Mar 14 26 UCLA W 78 - 73 68%
Totals 26 - 8 13 - 7 +21 A+ +15 A- A+ C- B +6 A B- C-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings A+ A A- A A+ 36% 36% 41% C- A A- A A+ A C- B- C- B C+ C- B- C+ 28% 28% 44% A B- A C- B+ C+ A A- A
1.30 71% 46% 40% +10 0 1.21 39% 1.2 .48 12% .29 74% .21 1.01 56% 40% 32% -2 -2 0.96 23% 1.1 .24 18% .22 68% .20
Nov
4		 Evansville A A C- A+ A 27% 23% 50% D+ A- B+ C B A C+ A- B A+ B- A+ A+ A+ 17% 33% 50% A A+ F B+ F D A+ A+ A+
1.33 69% 36% 46% +12 -1 1.23 38% 1.0 .38 11% .29 81% .24 0.83 56% 24% 15% -19 -3 0.58 42% 1.0 .42 16% .08 50% .04
Nov
7		 Oakland B A+ D C B- 28% 22% 50% D+ B- D D+ D A+ C- D- D+ C+ F A B- D+ 22% 33% 45% A+ C+ C- D+ D+ D+ A+ C A+
1.24 82% 38% 33% +6 -1 1.13 29% 0.9 .26 7% .23 67% .15 1.10 83% 28% 32% +1 -3 0.98 32% 1.2 .37 13% .20 75% .15
Nov
13		 Alabama A+ B C+ A+ A+ 32% 34% 34% D A A+ D- A C A+ C+ A+ A C A+ D B- 21% 15% 65% A+ B+ A+ A A+ F+ A+ D+ A+
1.26 59% 39% 44% +6 -2 1.09 48% 0.8 .40 15% .39 70% .27 1.16 62% 33% 38% +3 0 1.08 18% 1.0 .18 9% .16 80% .13
Nov
16		 Akron A+ A+ D+ B- A 39% 24% 37% D+ A- A+ A+ A+ C A+ A- A+ B- C- A+ C- A 15% 35% 51% A+ A+ C+ F F D C- B+ C
1.34 75% 33% 37% +7 0 1.16 58% 1.3 .73 18% .39 78% .30 1.09 63% 26% 36% -2 -3 0.91 32% 1.7 .53 14% .27 71% .19
Nov
20		 Memphis A- A+ D+ A+ A+ 29% 22% 49% C- A+ A F D A- F A+ F C+ C B A+ B+ 43% 24% 33% D+ B D C D+ C- F B+ F
1.18 75% 33% 41% +9 -1 1.18 42% 0.6 .24 16% .19 82% .16 1.05 59% 33% 24% -6 0 0.90 39% 1.1 .45 18% .45 68% .31
Nov
21		 Texas Tech A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 24% 52% 24% F A+ A+ C- A- C C C- C A+ C A+ A+ A+ 16% 22% 63% A- A+ A+ F A- D+ B- A+ A-
1.30 75% 54% 58% +21 -5 1.34 38% 0.9 .35 17% .27 67% .18 0.84 63% 27% 22% -13 -2 0.73 21% 1.3 .29 14% .24 57% .14
Nov
28		 Eastern Illinois A+ A+ B- A+ A+ 36% 25% 39% D- A+ A A+ A+ A D+ A+ C+ B+ F F A+ F 27% 31% 41% B- F A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A A+
1.52 85% 43% 50% +20 -1 1.41 46% 1.5 .67 14% .29 89% .26 0.86 79% 50% 24% +3 -2 1.04 13% 0.8 .10 24% .16 67% .11
Dec
2		 Rutgers A+ A F B B 34% 18% 48% C B B+ A+ A A A+ A+ A+ A A- D+ F D 33% 37% 29% B D+ A+ A+ A+ C- A+ A+ A+
1.25 71% 22% 38% +4 0 1.10 37% 1.2 .43 14% .36 85% .30 1.00 47% 42% 47% +3 -2 1.04 19% 0.8 .16 14% .20 64% .13
Dec
6		 Iowa St. C- A+ D- F D+ 31% 35% 33% D D A+ D- A- C+ B F F+ C- F F F F 24% 36% 40% A+ F C A+ A+ A A+ C+ A+
0.89 80% 29% 13% -7 -2 0.83 42% 0.9 .36 23% .28 43% .12 1.24 75% 61% 50% +22 -3 1.40 38% 0.6 .24 18% .11 67% .08
Dec
10		 Minnesota A+ A+ A+ B+ A+ 32% 34% 34% D- A+ A+ A+ A+ A A+ D A+ A+ B B- A+ A+ 27% 27% 45% A+ A+ A+ F+ A+ D A- D B
1.30 73% 50% 38% +11 -2 1.19 44% 1.1 .50 14% .39 68% .27 0.87 57% 36% 22% -9 -2 0.80 14% 1.2 .16 14% .27 73% .20
Dec
13		 Marquette A A+ B C A+ 34% 21% 45% D+ A+ A+ A- A+ C- B- B+ B A+ A+ A+ A- A+ 24% 22% 54% A+ A+ F+ D+ D- A- B- D- C
1.21 88% 40% 33% +10 0 1.21 46% 1.1 .50 21% .29 80% .23 0.91 45% 20% 28% -12 -1 0.76 37% 1.1 .39 18% .28 73% .21
Dec
20		 Auburn A+ A+ A+ A- A+ 35% 18% 47% B- A+ A A+ A+ B- F A+ D+ A+ B+ D A+ A+ 29% 25% 45% A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ C+ A+ A- A+
1.35 76% 56% 39% +13 0 1.29 39% 1.7 .65 17% .18 100% .18 0.92 53% 46% 26% -5 -1 0.90 29% 0.5 .13 15% .29 69% .20
Dec
29		 Kent St. A+ A A+ A- A+ 25% 26% 49% F A+ F A+ C+ A+ F+ A+ C A+ F A+ A A- 18% 36% 46% A+ A+ A+ A A+ B- A+ D- A+
1.33 71% 73% 39% +16 -2 1.32 21% 1.5 .32 11% .28 89% .25 0.79 70% 25% 27% -7 -3 0.80 15% 0.8 .13 20% .23 79% .18
Jan
3		 Wisconsin A+ A+ B- D- A- 28% 36% 36% F+ B A- A+ A+ A+ B D+ B- A+ A F A+ A+ 40% 18% 42% B A+ C+ C- C+ A- F D+ F
1.24 75% 43% 29% +3 -3 1.03 33% 1.2 .40 10% .29 68% .20 1.02 50% 78% 14% -8 0 0.86 30% 1.2 .36 15% .43 81% .35
Jan
7		 Washington B+ A+ A D- A+ 39% 33% 27% C A+ A+ A+ A+ F D+ D+ D A- D- B+ C- C+ 30% 32% 38% B+ B- A+ C+ A A- A C A
1.15 80% 47% 29% +9 -2 1.18 41% 1.4 .56 20% .21 67% .14 1.03 69% 35% 35% +3 -2 1.04 26% 1.1 .29 18% .21 75% .16
Jan
10		 Penn St. A+ A+ C+ B+ A 34% 17% 48% C A D+ A+ A A+ C F F F F B- F F 33% 16% 51% C+ F A F F C A+ F A+
1.39 80% 40% 39% +12 0 1.26 26% 1.9 .48 4% .22 43% .09 1.27 76% 38% 42% +12 0 1.27 21% 2.2 .46 15% .18 90% .16
Jan
14		 Iowa A+ A+ B A+ A+ 38% 32% 30% D- A+ C C+ C A+ A A+ A+ B F+ D+ F F+ 24% 28% 48% A+ D+ A+ F C- A+ A+ A+ A+
1.23 78% 40% 43% +12 -1 1.23 25% 1.0 .25 14% .40 86% .34 1.12 73% 46% 45% +14 -2 1.26 20% 1.8 .36 20% .20 60% .12
Jan
17		 USC C C+ F B- C 41% 20% 39% B- C F A+ C- A+ A D+ A- A+ D- F A+ A+ 37% 27% 35% B A+ A F F B A+ A+ A+
1.00 57% 20% 35% -3 0 0.96 17% 1.3 .22 12% .36 73% .26 0.93 68% 50% 6% -8 -1 0.84 28% 1.7 .47 19% .25 36% .09
Jan
20		 UCLA A- F A+ D C+ 28% 21% 51% C- C A A+ A+ A+ F A+ F B F D- F F 31% 27% 42% C+ F A+ A+ A+ A- A+ A+ A+
1.15 46% 60% 29% -2 -1 0.96 39% 1.2 .48 14% .14 86% .12 1.18 87% 46% 45% +18 -1 1.35 19% 0.5 .10 17% .06 67% .04
Jan
24		 Illinois A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 33% 36% 31% C- A+ F F F A+ C+ A+ B F+ A+ F F F 17% 12% 71% A- F D D- F B+ F A- F+
1.29 78% 55% 41% +16 -2 1.29 13% 0.7 .09 5% .18 82% .15 1.39 29% 60% 50% +15 0 1.31 45% 1.4 .62 16% .41 73% .30
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
27		 Indiana B D+ A+ A- A 38% 23% 38% B- A B- A- B C C- F F B- D+ F C B- 27% 7% 66% C+ B- A+ F C D+ D+ B C
1.09 50% 55% 39% +4 0 1.09 29% 1.2 .35 16% .29 53% .16 1.17 67% 67% 34% +5 +1 1.14 20% 1.7 .33 13% .35 74% .26
Feb
1		 Maryland A+ C+ A- A+ A 33% 15% 52% C+ A A+ A+ A+ A- A+ A+ A+ A A+ B B- A+ 36% 27% 36% A- A+ A+ F C+ C+ F D F
1.44 60% 43% 42% +7 0 1.17 38% 1.7 .66 12% .44 80% .35 0.98 38% 33% 31% -10 -1 0.80 24% 1.5 .35 19% .48 76% .36
Feb
7		 Oregon C- A- A F+ B 32% 27% 41% C- B C- A+ B- F A+ C A+ A F F A+ C- 29% 19% 52% A- C A+ A- A+ B+ B A- B+
1.03 64% 50% 28% +1 -1 1.02 28% 1.1 .31 21% .48 76% .36 0.97 79% 67% 20% 0 0 1.02 23% 1.0 .23 20% .30 69% .21
Feb
10		 Nebraska A A+ D+ D- C+ 11% 28% 61% D+ C+ A+ D A- A+ A F B- A+ B+ A D- B+ 29% 15% 56% B B+ A+ B- A+ A D- A+ C-
1.05 86% 33% 28% -4 -3 0.89 40% 0.8 .33 14% .31 55% .17 1.01 56% 25% 39% +2 0 1.05 15% 1.0 .15 18% .32 65% .21
Feb
14		 Iowa A+ B+ F B+ B- 34% 11% 55% B B A- A+ A+ A+ B+ A A A+ A C- A+ A+ 38% 19% 43% B A+ A+ A- A+ F C A+ B+
1.35 67% 0% 38% +1 +1 1.07 32% 1.5 .48 9% .38 80% .30 0.99 50% 44% 25% -8 0 0.87 24% 0.9 .22 10% .33 65% .21
Feb
17		 Michigan A+ C A A- A+ 32% 29% 39% C+ A+ A C- B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ D+ C+ F F F+ 38% 25% 38% A+ D+ D- A- C A D D D-
1.15 50% 44% 36% 0 -1 1.00 35% 0.9 .33 9% .31 90% .28 1.31 61% 50% 50% +13 -1 1.27 43% 1.2 .53 20% .41 78% .32
Feb
20		 Indiana A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 31% 33% 35% D A+ B- A+ A+ A+ A+ F+ A A+ F A D+ D- 33% 24% 42% A+ C- A+ A+ A+ B+ B A+ A+
1.46 80% 56% 53% +23 -2 1.44 30% 2.2 .65 11% .44 68% .30 1.01 87% 36% 37% +11 -1 1.22 4% 0.0 .00 17% .29 60% .17
Feb
26		 Michigan St. A+ A- F A+ A+ 38% 18% 44% B+ A+ A A+ A+ B F D- F C F F B- F 35% 29% 37% B D- A+ B A+ F A C+ A-
1.19 63% 11% 45% +5 0 1.12 30% 2.0 .59 14% .17 67% .11 1.22 76% 57% 33% +11 -1 1.22 24% 1.0 .24 10% .28 75% .21
Mar
1		 Ohio St. A+ D C- A- B 30% 20% 50% B B C+ A+ A A+ F D F D F C- B- B+ 22% 27% 51% A- B+ C- F F D- F C- F
1.20 50% 36% 37% 0 -1 1.00 28% 1.4 .39 10% .18 70% .13 1.33 78% 45% 33% +6 -2 1.10 34% 1.9 .66 11% .59 78% .46
Mar
4		 Northwestern A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 23% 23% 54% D A+ A+ C- A- F D+ A+ C+ B- D+ F F F 24% 42% 33% A+ F+ A+ A+ A+ C A F B
1.22 78% 67% 43% +18 -1 1.36 45% 0.9 .40 24% .25 82% .21 1.15 64% 53% 47% +14 -4 1.22 17% 0.5 .08 12% .24 92% .22
Mar
7		 Wisconsin A+ A+ C+ A+ A+ 27% 42% 31% F A+ A+ A+ A+ A A- B- A- F F F+ F F 26% 9% 66% B- F B F C- C+ F F F
1.42 86% 41% 44% +13 -4 1.21 52% 1.3 .65 11% .32 74% .24 1.48 75% 50% 52% +23 +1 1.49 28% 1.4 .40 12% .42 88% .36
Mar
12		 Northwestern A+ C+ A+ B+ A+ 35% 27% 39% C- A A+ B+ A+ A+ B B+ B+ C+ B F F F 19% 51% 30% A+ D- B D+ B- B A+ C A+
1.36 59% 54% 37% +6 -1 1.12 50% 1.1 .53 12% .32 76% .25 1.14 56% 58% 43% +14 -5 1.19 27% 1.3 .35 15% .16 75% .12
Mar
13		 Nebraska A+ B- A D- B 17% 28% 54% C- B- A+ A+ A+ A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ A F B A 28% 17% 54% A- A C- A+ B+ B+ A A+ A+
1.22 63% 46% 28% -2 -2 0.93 41% 1.5 .59 15% .27 86% .23 0.96 54% 50% 32% -1 0 1.00 29% 0.8 .24 17% .18 44% .08



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
17th 17th
18th 18th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0%
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 100.0% 100.0% 22.4% 77.6% 2.9 2.0 35.4 39.3 19.9 3.3 0.1 100.0%
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 100.0% 22.4% 77.6% 2.9 100.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 22.4% 100.0% 2.3 6.0 63.3 27.0 3.6
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 46.4% 100.0% 2.9 1.2 33.5 43.9 19.2 2.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 31.3% 100.0% 3.3 0.3 18.2 41.2 32.7 7.5 0.2