Minnesota
Big Ten
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+4.4#103
Expected Predictive Rating+2.2#137
Pace60.6#359
Improvement+1.1#113

Offense
Total Offense+2.1#117
First Shot+1.5#133
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#146
Layup/Dunks+3.9#60
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#244
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.4#291
Freethrows+2.3#64
Improvement+1.6#67

Defense
Total Defense+2.4#100
First Shot+1.7#117
After Offensive Rebounds+0.7#140
Layups/Dunks+2.3#99
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#257
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#221
Freethrows+1.1#115
Improvement-0.5#226
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.1% 1.2% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.1% 1.1% 0.3%
Average Seed 9.8 9.8 10.3
.500 or above 12.5% 13.2% 3.1%
.500 or above in Conference 6.3% 6.6% 3.2%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 14.6% 14.1% 20.7%
First Four0.4% 0.4% 0.1%
First Round0.9% 0.9% 0.2%
Second Round0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Texas Southern (Home) - 92.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 60 - 6
Quad 1b2 - 52 - 12
Quad 23 - 55 - 17
Quad 31 - 26 - 19
Quad 47 - 013 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 357 Gardner-Webb W 87-60 97%     1 - 0 +9.8 +3.2 +5.8
  Sat, Nov 8 331 Alcorn St. W 95-50 94%     2 - 0 +31.6 +16.4 +15.2
  Wed, Nov 12 50 @Missouri L 60-83 19%     2 - 1 -9.2 -0.9 -11.3
  Sat, Nov 15 277 Green Bay W 72-65 OT 89%     3 - 1 -2.2 -8.2 +5.9
  Tue, Nov 18 350 Chicago St. W 66-54 96%     4 - 1 -3.6 -7.5 +5.3
  Sat, Nov 22 96 San Francisco L 65-77 46%     4 - 2 -6.6 +1.7 -9.7
  Thu, Nov 27 93 Stanford L 68-72 45%     4 - 3 +1.6 +4.0 -2.7
  Fri, Nov 28 73 Santa Clara L 75-86 38%     4 - 4 -3.3 +8.6 -12.5
  Wed, Dec 3 27 Indiana W 73-64 24%     5 - 4 1 - 0 +20.8 +10.3 +11.0
  Wed, Dec 10 7 @Purdue L 57-85 5%     5 - 5 1 - 1 -4.5 -2.9 -3.6
  Sun, Dec 14 306 Texas Southern W 77-61 93%    
  Sun, Dec 21 226 Campbell W 76-65 85%    
  Mon, Dec 29 362 Fairleigh Dickinson W 82-60 98%    
  Sat, Jan 3 58 @Northwestern L 66-74 23%    
  Tue, Jan 6 23 Iowa L 62-70 24%    
  Fri, Jan 9 34 USC L 70-76 30%    
  Tue, Jan 13 40 Wisconsin L 70-74 34%    
  Sat, Jan 17 14 @Illinois L 64-80 7%    
  Tue, Jan 20 31 @Ohio St. L 65-77 13%    
  Sat, Jan 24 26 Nebraska L 66-73 25%    
  Wed, Jan 28 40 @Wisconsin L 67-77 17%    
  Sun, Feb 1 104 @Penn St. L 70-73 40%    
  Wed, Feb 4 12 Michigan St. L 60-70 17%    
  Sun, Feb 8 94 Maryland W 71-69 57%    
  Sat, Feb 14 47 @Washington L 65-74 20%    
  Tue, Feb 17 66 @Oregon L 66-73 26%    
  Sat, Feb 21 133 Rutgers W 70-64 70%    
  Tue, Feb 24 1 @Michigan L 59-84 1%    
  Sat, Feb 28 30 UCLA L 64-70 28%    
  Wed, Mar 4 27 @Indiana L 62-75 12%    
  Sat, Mar 7 58 Northwestern L 69-71 43%    
Projected Record 13 - 18 6 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.1 7th
8th 0.3 0.9 0.5 0.0 1.7 8th
9th 0.1 1.0 1.4 0.2 0.0 2.7 9th
10th 0.1 0.9 2.2 0.8 0.0 4.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.7 2.7 2.2 0.2 0.0 5.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.5 3.1 3.9 0.7 0.0 8.2 12th
13th 0.3 2.9 5.3 2.0 0.1 10.6 13th
14th 0.0 0.2 2.7 6.9 3.8 0.4 0.0 13.9 14th
15th 0.1 2.3 7.0 5.2 1.0 0.0 15.6 15th
16th 0.1 1.8 6.3 5.7 1.3 0.1 15.3 16th
17th 0.0 1.4 5.2 4.8 1.3 0.1 12.9 17th
18th 1.0 2.7 2.6 0.8 0.1 7.1 18th
Total 1.0 4.2 9.7 14.4 17.0 16.9 13.9 10.0 6.6 3.6 1.6 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 0.0%
15-5 0.0%
14-6 0.0%
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 0.0% 0.0
15-5 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 0.1% 78.1% 78.1% 8.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 78.1%
13-7 0.3% 65.6% 65.6% 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 65.6%
12-8 0.7% 46.7% 46.7% 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 46.7%
11-9 1.6% 15.5% 0.2% 15.3% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.4 15.4%
10-10 3.6% 4.3% 0.1% 4.2% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 3.4 4.2%
9-11 6.6% 0.6% 0.6% 10.9 0.0 0.0 6.5 0.6%
8-12 10.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 11.0 0.0 10.0 0.0%
7-13 13.9% 13.9
6-14 16.9% 16.9
5-15 17.0% 17.0
4-16 14.4% 14.4
3-17 9.7% 9.7
2-18 4.2% 4.2
1-19 1.0% 1.0
0-20
Total 100% 1.1% 0.0% 1.1% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.0 98.9 1.1%