Kennesaw St.
Conference USA
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.1#160
Expected Predictive Rating+0.4#163
Pace81.8#8
Improvement+0.5#149

Offense
Total Offense+1.3#132
First Shot-1.2#210
After Offensive Rebound+2.5#48
Layup/Dunks+0.2#171
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#333
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#204
Freethrows+2.6#47
Improvement-0.2#202

Defense
Total Defense-1.3#211
First Shot-0.7#206
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#234
Layups/Dunks+3.1#76
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#157
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#56
Freethrows-7.7#365
Improvement+0.7#126
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.8% 11.7% 6.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.5 13.3 13.7
.500 or above 73.1% 85.5% 65.4%
.500 or above in Conference 66.4% 80.4% 57.8%
Conference Champion 9.9% 16.6% 5.8%
Last Place in Conference 3.6% 1.4% 5.0%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.2%
First Round8.7% 11.7% 6.9%
Second Round0.6% 0.9% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Middle Tennessee (Away) - 38.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 31 - 4
Quad 36 - 66 - 10
Quad 411 - 317 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 341 @Florida A&M W 92-72 79%     1 - 0 +11.6 +4.0 +5.0
  Sun, Nov 16 86 South Florida L 89-108 37%     1 - 1 -15.5 +6.7 -19.8
  Mon, Nov 24 210 Rice W 89-84 OT 62%     2 - 1 +1.9 +2.6 -1.4
  Tue, Nov 25 300 Oral Roberts L 83-91 77%     2 - 2 -15.8 -3.2 -11.8
  Wed, Nov 26 181 @Florida Gulf Coast W 102-100 OT 44%     3 - 2 +3.6 +8.4 -5.2
  Tue, Dec 2 316 Jackson St. W 88-73 87%     4 - 2 +2.9 +8.8 -6.5
  Sat, Dec 6 334 Georgia St. W 92-69 89%     5 - 2 +9.4 -1.0 +6.4
  Wed, Dec 17 154 @Middle Tennessee L 80-83 38%    
  Sun, Dec 21 15 Alabama L 85-103 5%    
  Fri, Jan 2 108 @Liberty L 76-83 26%    
  Sun, Jan 4 282 @Delaware W 80-76 63%    
  Wed, Jan 7 250 Missouri St. W 80-72 77%    
  Sat, Jan 10 252 Jacksonville St. W 79-71 77%    
  Wed, Jan 14 186 Florida International W 87-82 67%    
  Sat, Jan 17 145 @Western Kentucky L 84-88 36%    
  Wed, Jan 21 126 @Sam Houston St. L 82-87 32%    
  Sat, Jan 24 179 @Louisiana Tech L 72-74 44%    
  Wed, Jan 28 145 Western Kentucky W 87-85 58%    
  Sat, Jan 31 132 New Mexico St. W 78-77 54%    
  Sat, Feb 7 252 @Jacksonville St. W 76-74 57%    
  Thu, Feb 12 154 Middle Tennessee W 83-80 61%    
  Sat, Feb 14 126 Sam Houston St. W 85-84 52%    
  Wed, Feb 18 250 @Missouri St. W 77-75 58%    
  Sat, Feb 21 179 Louisiana Tech W 75-71 65%    
  Thu, Feb 26 108 Liberty L 79-80 47%    
  Sat, Feb 28 282 Delaware W 83-73 80%    
  Thu, Mar 5 218 @UTEP W 76-75 51%    
  Sat, Mar 7 132 @New Mexico St. L 75-80 34%    
Projected Record 16 - 12 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.7 2.7 2.7 1.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 9.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 2.8 4.0 2.4 0.7 0.1 0.0 10.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 3.4 4.4 2.1 0.4 0.0 11.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 3.4 5.1 2.3 0.4 0.0 11.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.8 5.1 2.5 0.3 0.0 11.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.0 5.2 2.8 0.4 0.0 10.5 6th
7th 0.2 1.5 4.2 3.0 0.4 0.0 9.3 7th
8th 0.1 1.1 3.5 2.9 0.6 0.0 8.2 8th
9th 0.1 0.8 2.8 2.6 0.6 0.0 7.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.8 2.0 0.6 0.0 5.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 1.2 0.4 0.1 3.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.8 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.2 2.5 4.2 6.5 8.4 10.1 12.1 12.4 11.9 10.1 8.2 5.6 3.5 1.8 0.6 0.1 0.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
18-2 99.4% 0.5    0.5 0.0
17-3 93.1% 1.6    1.4 0.2
16-4 78.7% 2.7    1.8 0.8 0.1 0.0
15-5 48.8% 2.7    1.2 1.2 0.3 0.0 0.0
14-6 20.3% 1.7    0.4 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0
13-7 4.4% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 9.9% 9.9 5.6 3.1 1.0 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.1% 29.3% 29.3% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
18-2 0.6% 43.0% 42.4% 0.6% 12.1 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.1%
17-3 1.8% 33.9% 33.9% 12.5 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 1.2
16-4 3.5% 26.8% 26.8% 12.8 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.1 2.5
15-5 5.6% 22.0% 22.0% 13.1 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.3 0.0 4.4
14-6 8.2% 17.7% 17.7% 13.3 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.0 6.8
13-7 10.1% 13.4% 13.4% 13.6 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 8.7
12-8 11.9% 9.9% 9.9% 13.9 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 10.8
11-9 12.4% 6.3% 6.3% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 11.7
10-10 12.1% 3.5% 3.5% 14.4 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 11.7
9-11 10.1% 2.6% 2.6% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 9.8
8-12 8.4% 1.8% 1.8% 15.5 0.1 0.1 8.3
7-13 6.5% 1.2% 1.2% 15.9 0.0 0.1 6.4
6-14 4.2% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 4.2
5-15 2.5% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 2.5
4-16 1.2% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 1.2
3-17 0.5% 0.5
2-18 0.2% 0.2
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 8.8% 8.8% 0.0% 13.5 0.1 1.2 3.3 2.8 1.1 0.2 91.2 0.0%