Kennesaw St.
Conference USA
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating +0.2 160
Results Rating +0.1 154
Consistency 0.13 81
Pace 76.5 19
Improvement +2.2 109

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C+ 134 C C+ C B- B
Defense C- 205 C C+ C F D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 85 C- 56% 238 +1.1 136
2 Pt. Jumpers 29% 284 D 34% 314 -3.1 321
Three Pointers 44% 122 C 34% 155 +1.7 123
Shot Selection/Accuracy B +1.1 49 C- -1.4 226
1st FG Attempt C 1.01 182
Second Chance B 34.3% 70 C- 0.99 244 C+ 0.34 112
Opponents' Steals D 10.8% 304
Other Turnovers B 6.1% 50
Turnovers C 16.9% 198
Freethrows B+ 0.36 27 D 69% 292 B- 0.25 86
Total Offense C+ +1.2 134

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots D 40% 309 D- 14.0% 331
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 23% 210 C- 5.8% 246
Three Pointers B- 88% 92 D+ 1.2% 283
Total C 55% 194 D- 7.2% 329


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 91 B 53% 47 -0.2 165
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% 241 C- 40% 243 -0.5 151
Three Pointers 39% 237 D 37% 313 +0.8 231
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.5 263 C -0.4 163
1st FG Attempt C 1.02 178
Second Chance C 30.0% 171 B- 0.97 84 C+ 0.29 115
Turnovers from Steals C 9.6% 174
Other Turnovers C- 6.9% 235
Turnovers C 16.4% 195
Freethrows F 0.41 362 D- 76% 344 F 0.31 364
Total Defense C- -1.0 205

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C+ 46% 135 A 18.9% 13
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 19% 68 C 5.2% 148
Three Pointers B- 81% 86 B- 1.5% 63
Total C+ 53% 127 A 9.5% 10

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 15.9 40 17.1 132
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 202 0.19 247
Consistency 0.12 135 0.13 257
Improvement +1.5 116 +0.7 155

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding 14 seed  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 168 155 142
Results Rating Rank 176 137 136
Conference Record 10 - 10 10 - 10 10 - 10
Conference Finish 6 6 6
NCAA Tourney Seed None 15 14
NCAA Tourney Finish None 1st Round 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 55% 100% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% n/a 0%
Average Seed 14.3 14.3 n/a
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round55% 100% 0%
Second Round1% 2% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 36 - 66 - 10
Quad 412 - 418 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sat, Nov 8 312 @Florida A&M W 92 - 72 73% +9  87% 1 - 0 B+ +14 B- +5 A- D C+ B+ +6 A+ C+ F
 Sun, Nov 16 51 South Florida L 89 - 108 22% -9  0% 1 - 1 D -11 B +7 D A+ B F -15 D+ D- F+
 Mon, Nov 24 224 Rice W 89 - 84 OT 65% -1  34% 2 - 1 C +1 C- -1 C- C C B- +2 C- B+ C+
 Tue, Nov 25 313 Oral Roberts L 83 - 91 82% +1  55% 2 - 2 F+ -17 D -4 D+ D F F -12 F A- A+
 Wed, Nov 26 255 @Florida Gulf Coast W 102 - 100 OT 60% +0  50% 3 - 2 C -0 B +6 B+ D F D- -7 D B- D-
 Tue, Dec 2 346 Jackson St. W 88 - 73 93% +9  74% 4 - 2 C -1 C +1 F A A- C- -2 B+ F C+
 Sat, Dec 6 305 Georgia St. W 92 - 69 87% +16  97% 5 - 2 B +11 D+ -3 A C F A +10 A+ F+ D
 Wed, Dec 17 167 @Middle Tennessee L 67 - 68 40% -7  4% 5 - 3 0 - 1 C+ +2 D- -7 F B- F+ A- +8 A A+ A-
 Sun, Dec 21 14 Alabama L 81 - 92 6% -18  0% 5 - 4 B- +7 C +1 C+ A F A- +8 A+ B+ D
 Fri, Jan 2 126 @Liberty L 73 - 81 31% -8  1% 5 - 5 0 - 2 C- -3 D- -7 F D+ C- B +5 C+ B- B+
 Sun, Jan 4 288 @Delaware L 52 - 67 67% -5  22% 5 - 6 0 - 3 F -19 F -21 F F F C+ +1 D+ B- D
 Wed, Jan 7 195 Missouri St. W 90 - 80 69% +8  90% 6 - 6 1 - 3 B- +5 B +6 A+ B- F C -1 C+ C- C+
 Sat, Jan 10 203 Jacksonville St. W 88 - 82 70% +5  96% 7 - 6 2 - 3 C +1 B+ +8 C A+ B D- -8 F C C-
 Wed, Jan 14 191 Florida International W 89 - 86 68% -4  19% 8 - 6 3 - 3 C -2 B +7 B- D A+ F+ -9 B+ F F
 Sat, Jan 17 164 @Western Kentucky W 81 - 65 39% +5  79% 9 - 6 4 - 3 A +19 B- +5 B- F+ B A+ +14 A- A+ D-
 Wed, Jan 21 116 @Sam Houston St. L 87 - 93 28% -5  2% 9 - 7 4 - 4 C +0 A- +10 C B A+ F+ -9 F C+ F
 Fri, Jan 23 180 @Louisiana Tech L 76 - 82 44% +2  63% 9 - 8 4 - 5 C- -4 A- +10 C B A F -14 F F D+
 Wed, Jan 28 164 Western Kentucky W 72 - 69 62% -0  56% 10 - 8 5 - 5 C +0 D -5 C D+ C- B+ +5 A+ D D-
 Sat, Jan 31 184 New Mexico St. W 76 - 53 67% +15  82% 11 - 8 6 - 5 A +19 C+ +2 C A B+ A+ +18 A+ A+ B+
 Sat, Feb 7 203 @Jacksonville St. L 58 - 77 48% -11  4% 11 - 9 6 - 6 F -18 F -12 F B+ C D- -7 D- C- D
 Thu, Feb 12 167 Middle Tennessee L 87 - 90 63% +3  81% 11 - 10 6 - 7 D+ -6 A- +10 B A+ A- F -16 F B C+
 Sat, Feb 14 116 Sam Houston St. L 79 - 83 50% -2  14% 11 - 11 6 - 8 C- -4 B +7 B+ B- B+ F -11 F D C
 Wed, Feb 18 195 @Missouri St. W 91 - 87 47% +5  94% 12 - 11 7 - 8 B- +5 A +12 A C+ A D- -7 F B+ F+
 Sat, Feb 21 180 Louisiana Tech W 58 - 55 67% +1  51% 13 - 11 8 - 8 C -1 F -15 F F D+ A+ +14 B+ B+ A+
 Thu, Feb 26 126 Liberty W 74 - 65 54% +3  62% 14 - 11 9 - 8 B +8 C+ +2 A D- D+ A- +8 B+ A- A+
 Sat, Feb 28 288 Delaware W 90 - 82 84% +16  92% 15 - 11 10 - 8 C- -2 B+ +9 A+ B F+ F -12 F A- C-
 Thu, Mar 5 261 @UTEP L 71 - 78 61% -5  4% 15 - 12 10 - 9 D -10 D- -8 F B- C+ C -1 D A+ F
 Sat, Mar 7 184 @New Mexico St. L 76 - 79 44% -1  36% 15 - 13 10 - 10 C -1 B- +4 C+ D+ B- D -5 C+ F C
 Thu, Mar 12 164 Western Kentucky W 96 - 87 51% +6  98% 16 - 13 B +9 A +12 B- A A D+ -4 D C A-
 Fri, Mar 13 116 Sam Houston St. W 79 - 73 39% -2  34% 17 - 13 B +9 B- +5 C A+ F B +5 B- D A
 Sat, Mar 14 180 Louisiana Tech W 73 - 72 55%
Totals 18 - 13 10 - 10 +0 C+ +1 D+ C- B C- -1 C D B-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C+ C- D C C- 42% 29% 44% B C B C- C+ C B+ D B- C- B C- D C 42% 19% 39% D+ C C B- C+ C F D- F
1.10 56% 34% 34% -1 +1 1.01 34% 1.0 .34 17% .36 69% .25 1.10 53% 40% 37% 0 0 1.02 30% 1.0 .29 16% .41 76% .27
Nov
8		 Florida A&M B- A C- A- A- 47% 15% 38% B A- F A+ D C+ A D A- B+ A+ A A+ A+ 49% 20% 31% F+ A+ D+ B C+ F F D F
1.14 72% 38% 40% +10 +1 1.25 15% 1.5 .22 17% .42 71% .30 0.89 41% 25% 22% -16 +1 0.71 30% 0.8 .23 15% .48 73% .35
Nov
16		 South Florida B C F F F 52% 5% 43% A+ D A+ C+ A+ B A+ D- A+ F B B F+ C- 60% 6% 35% F+ D+ C F+ D- F+ F F F
1.12 55% 0% 25% -9 +3 0.89 46% 1.0 .44 18% .59 64% .38 1.36 52% 33% 39% -2 +3 1.06 39% 1.3 .50 11% .65 83% .54
Nov
24		 Rice C- D- F B+ D 40% 17% 43% A C- B+ F C C A+ B A+ B- A D- D- C- 33% 29% 38% C- C- C+ A- B+ C+ F B+ F
1.10 54% 20% 38% -2 +1 1.00 39% 0.8 .32 16% .44 77% .34 1.04 44% 44% 38% 0 -1 0.98 34% 0.8 .27 19% .58 63% .37
Nov
25		 Oral Roberts D D+ A+ D- C- 38% 22% 40% D- D+ C+ F D F A+ D A+ F F A+ F F 44% 11% 44% F+ F A+ C- A- A+ F F F
1.07 53% 55% 30% -1 0 1.00 33% 0.9 .31 19% .56 66% .37 1.17 65% 20% 60% +18 +2 1.42 17% 1.0 .17 26% .49 86% .42
Nov
26		 Florida Gulf Coast B B+ A C- B 49% 7% 44% A B+ B+ F D F A+ A A+ D- B+ C+ F D+ 42% 20% 38% F+ D B- C+ B- D- F C F
1.17 67% 50% 33% +5 +2 1.16 36% 0.7 .25 22% .53 81% .43 1.15 52% 38% 42% +2 0 1.06 27% 1.0 .27 14% .52 72% .37
Dec
2		 Jackson St. C D+ F F F 41% 2% 57% A- F A+ C A A- A+ F A+ C- A+ D A- A- 31% 24% 45% C- B+ C- F F C+ F F F
1.21 57% 0% 21% -12 +3 0.82 50% 1.0 .52 12% .61 64% .39 1.00 33% 42% 27% -11 -1 0.78 29% 1.3 .37 19% .49 90% .44
Dec
6		 Georgia St. D+ B- C- A+ A 44% 15% 41% B- A D- A C F A+ F A- A A+ A+ A+ A+ 38% 16% 46% F A+ C+ F F+ D F B- F
1.09 63% 38% 45% +9 +1 1.22 27% 1.2 .33 23% .44 62% .28 0.82 29% 11% 15% -28 +1 0.46 25% 1.4 .36 14% .46 76% .35
Dec
17		 Middle Tennessee D- D F F F 56% 8% 35% A+ F A+ F B- F+ A B+ A+ A- B A C+ A 29% 31% 40% A- A F+ A+ A+ A- F F+ F
0.97 52% 25% 18% -13 +3 0.81 43% 0.7 .31 19% .39 82% .32 0.98 54% 29% 33% -5 -2 0.89 37% 0.4 .15 20% .58 75% .43
Dec
21		 Alabama C B C D- B- 30% 33% 37% D C+ A- A A F B A+ A- A- B- A+ A- A+ 40% 14% 46% B- A+ B+ C+ B+ D C+ C- C+
1.03 59% 37% 29% -3 -2 0.91 35% 1.2 .42 20% .29 78% .22 1.17 58% 33% 30% -4 +1 0.97 30% 1.2 .34 10% .33 78% .25
Jan
2		 Liberty D- F F F F 40% 12% 48% B+ F A+ F D+ C- C- D- D+ B B- F D- B- 56% 4% 40% D- C+ B C- B- B+ F F F
1.00 38% 29% 28% -14 +1 0.77 46% 0.8 .35 18% .22 69% .15 1.11 57% 50% 40% +4 +3 1.16 14% 1.0 .14 16% .39 79% .31
Jan
4		 Delaware F F A+ F F 22% 16% 61% C F B F F F D A+ C- C+ D+ D- C- D+ 51% 19% 30% F+ D+ C A B- D F+ A+ C+
0.81 18% 75% 23% -13 -1 0.76 35% 0.5 .19 20% .24 92% .22 1.05 63% 44% 36% +4 +1 1.13 20% 0.7 .13 16% .32 59% .19
Jan
7		 Missouri St. B A- D A A 38% 6% 56% A+ A+ B C B- F A+ B+ A+ C A- C- C B 46% 15% 39% F C+ F A+ C- C+ F A F
1.21 72% 33% 41% +11 +2 1.27 36% 1.1 .39 24% .57 78% .44 1.07 52% 38% 33% -3 +1 0.98 42% 0.8 .36 17% .50 58% .29
Jan
10		 Jacksonville St. B+ C- F C+ C- 48% 9% 43% A- C B+ A+ A+ B A+ D A+ D- C+ F F F 55% 4% 40% F F D+ B C C- F B+ D-
1.21 55% 25% 35% -2 +2 1.02 33% 1.5 .52 14% .54 74% .40 1.13 54% 50% 47% +6 +3 1.21 31% 0.9 .28 17% .45 63% .28
Jan
14		 Florida International B D+ F A+ B 31% 15% 55% C- B- B- F D A+ A+ F B+ F+ A+ A F A 53% 13% 35% F B+ F F F F F D F
1.21 53% 13% 47% +5 0 1.13 37% 0.8 .30 15% .46 59% .27 1.16 31% 29% 47% -9 +2 0.89 44% 1.2 .53 14% .39 72% .28
Jan
17		 Western Kentucky B- F B+ A+ B- 27% 22% 51% C- B- B- F F+ B A B+ A A+ A+ B- D A 37% 16% 47% C- A- B A+ A+ D- D+ A+ C+
1.12 43% 45% 42% +4 -1 1.08 32% 0.5 .16 15% .47 76% .36 0.90 24% 33% 37% -11 +1 0.81 27% 0.5 .14 11% .36 65% .23
Jan
21		 Sam Houston St. A- B- F B+ C 33% 21% 47% C C B+ C- B A+ D+ B- C- F+ F A+ F F 41% 23% 36% B- F A+ F C+ F C- A C+
1.18 63% 17% 37% -1 0 1.00 36% 1.1 .38 11% .29 74% .21 1.26 74% 23% 50% +12 0 1.25 22% 1.6 .34 12% .29 63% .19
Jan
23		 Louisiana Tech A- F A+ C+ C- 43% 15% 43% B- C B- B- B A A+ D A+ F B F F F 48% 22% 30% D F D F F D+ F C- F
1.16 40% 57% 35% -4 +1 0.96 36% 1.1 .39 14% .58 70% .41 1.25 50% 60% 50% +8 +1 1.20 39% 1.1 .43 17% .44 67% .29
Jan
28		 Western Kentucky D F F A+ D 59% 5% 36% A+ C B- F D+ C- A+ F B+ B+ A+ A B A+ 40% 19% 40% C A+ D- C- D D- F+ F F
1.01 46% 0% 44% -3 +4 1.02 31% 0.7 .23 18% .52 63% .33 0.97 26% 27% 30% -17 0 0.68 36% 1.1 .38 11% .40 88% .35
Jan
31		 New Mexico St. C+ A F D- C 33% 19% 49% C+ C B- A+ A B+ A+ D- A+ A+ A+ C A+ A+ 26% 41% 33% A+ A+ A- A+ A+ B+ F D- F
1.14 71% 25% 29% -2 0 0.98 33% 1.4 .47 12% .61 69% .42 0.79 30% 38% 15% -17 -4 0.62 26% 0.6 .16 18% .64 77% .49
Feb
7		 Jacksonville St. F F D F F 31% 12% 57% C+ F C+ A B+ C C F D D- C+ D- F F+ 41% 11% 48% C D- C- C C- D F D F
0.88 44% 33% 21% -16 +1 0.71 30% 1.2 .36 17% .34 68% .24 1.16 53% 40% 41% +3 +1 1.11 30% 1.0 .30 15% .43 71% .30
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
12		 Middle Tennessee A- C- A+ B B- 43% 7% 50% A- B B- A+ A+ A- B- F D+ F D- F F F 44% 15% 42% F F C A B C+ F F F
1.24 57% 50% 37% +3 +2 1.11 29% 1.7 .50 11% .34 62% .21 1.28 67% 57% 45% +13 +1 1.31 31% 0.8 .23 17% .48 82% .40
Feb
14		 Sam Houston St. B D+ F A+ B+ 43% 17% 41% B B+ A- D B- B+ D D+ D F F+ F F+ F 47% 20% 33% C- F B- F D C F D F
1.19 57% 22% 45% +4 +1 1.11 37% 1.0 .37 14% .28 69% .19 1.25 67% 56% 40% +11 +1 1.24 33% 1.2 .41 17% .49 74% .36
Feb
18		 Missouri St. A A+ F+ A+ A+ 15% 34% 51% D- A C- A C+ A A+ F+ A+ D- F D- F F 26% 26% 49% B F B B B+ F+ F C F
1.26 86% 31% 50% +14 -3 1.23 29% 1.3 .38 12% .54 68% .36 1.20 75% 42% 39% +9 -2 1.17 27% 1.0 .27 12% .62 67% .41
Feb
21		 Louisiana Tech F F A+ F F 45% 8% 47% A- F D F F D+ C+ F D A+ A- C B+ B 36% 31% 33% A- B+ F A+ B+ A+ F F F
0.86 41% 75% 22% -13 +2 0.80 28% 0.7 .21 19% .33 61% .20 0.81 47% 38% 29% -7 -2 0.86 43% 0.5 .22 27% .38 79% .30
Feb
26		 Liberty C+ F D+ A+ A 48% 17% 35% B A C+ F D- D+ C F D A- B- A+ C- A- 45% 2% 52% C- B+ A+ F A- A+ F F F
1.17 43% 38% 65% +9 +1 1.23 33% 0.9 .30 19% .23 58% .14 1.03 58% 0% 36% +1 +3 1.10 4% 2.0 .09 19% .45 83% .37
Feb
28		 Delaware B+ A+ F A+ A+ 45% 9% 45% A+ A+ A- D+ B F+ A+ F A+ F A F F F 28% 26% 46% A- F B A+ A- C- F F F
1.29 75% 25% 50% +17 +2 1.41 38% 1.0 .38 17% .54 71% .38 1.18 46% 50% 52% +12 -1 1.24 16% 0.5 .08 17% .45 96% .43
Mar
5		 UTEP D- F B+ F F 39% 24% 37% C F B- C B- C+ A+ D- A+ C D- B C- D 35% 25% 39% D- D A A+ A+ F F D- F
0.95 43% 46% 15% -15 0 0.72 36% 1.1 .38 17% .57 69% .39 1.04 67% 31% 35% +2 -1 1.04 18% 0.6 .10 12% .45 73% .33
Mar
7		 New Mexico St. B- C F B C+ 35% 14% 51% B C+ D+ C- D+ B- A D- B D B+ F A C+ 44% 34% 22% C C+ F B- F C F F F
1.12 59% 14% 36% -2 +1 1.00 28% 1.1 .31 13% .44 69% .31 1.17 50% 47% 27% -3 -1 0.94 47% 0.9 .42 15% .50 83% .42
Mar
12		 Western Kentucky A B- D- D C 58% 11% 30% A+ B- B A+ A A A+ C+ A+ D+ B+ A+ F D+ 48% 10% 42% F D C+ D C A- F D F
1.25 61% 33% 31% 0 +3 1.08 33% 1.3 .42 13% .63 71% .45 1.13 46% 20% 43% -2 +2 1.02 29% 1.1 .32 18% .57 78% .44
Mar
13		 Sam Houston St. B- A+ F B- C+ 27% 29% 44% F+ C A- A+ A+ F A+ B A+ B C F A+ B- 45% 15% 40% D B- F B- D A F B+ D-
1.13 75% 23% 35% +1 -2 1.00 37% 1.7 .63 23% .50 74% .37 1.05 57% 57% 26% -2 +1 1.00 45% 0.9 .42 22% .37 65% .24



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 100.0% 55.3% 55.3% 14.3 0.0 1.2 35.2 18.7 0.2 44.7
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 55.3% 55.3% 0.0% 14.3 44.7 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 55.3% 100.0% 14.3 0.0 2.1 63.7 33.8 0.3
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 44.7%