Western Kentucky
Conference USA
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.8#145
Expected Predictive Rating+4.2#112
Pace77.8#23
Improvement-2.5#323

Offense
Total Offense+0.1#167
First Shot+1.8#124
After Offensive Rebound-1.8#289
Layup/Dunks+2.5#97
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#116
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.6#317
Freethrows+3.0#33
Improvement-2.1#325

Defense
Total Defense+0.8#140
First Shot-3.6#299
After Offensive Rebounds+4.4#4
Layups/Dunks+5.1#34
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#356
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.9#321
Freethrows-1.1#256
Improvement-0.3#212
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.5% 13.2% 9.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.3 13.0 13.5
.500 or above 76.5% 87.7% 69.9%
.500 or above in Conference 71.9% 78.7% 67.8%
Conference Champion 12.3% 16.0% 10.1%
Last Place in Conference 2.6% 1.6% 3.1%
First Four0.2% 0.1% 0.2%
First Round10.5% 13.2% 8.9%
Second Round0.9% 1.2% 0.7%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Tulsa (Home) - 37.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 31 - 5
Quad 36 - 67 - 11
Quad 411 - 218 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 265 Tennessee Tech W 82-70 81%     1 - 0 +3.4 -0.8 +3.2
  Mon, Nov 10 257 @Eastern Kentucky W 87-79 62%     2 - 0 +5.7 +5.1 +0.0
  Sun, Nov 16 236 Tennessee St. W 95-82 78%     3 - 0 +5.9 +13.6 -8.8
  Wed, Nov 26 11 Vanderbilt L 78-83 6%     3 - 1 +13.3 +1.2 +12.8
  Thu, Nov 27 86 South Florida L 91-97 OT 29%     3 - 2 +0.5 -0.2 +2.2
  Fri, Nov 28 98 Wichita St. W 75-70 34%     4 - 2 +10.0 +12.6 -2.1
  Sat, Dec 6 276 Evansville W 80-79 82%     5 - 2 -8.0 +1.4 -9.4
  Wed, Dec 10 159 @Marshall L 61-77 41%     5 - 3 -12.9 -9.4 -3.8
  Fri, Dec 19 83 Tulsa L 78-81 37%    
  Mon, Dec 29 252 @Jacksonville St. W 73-70 61%    
  Fri, Jan 2 126 Sam Houston St. W 82-81 55%    
  Sun, Jan 4 179 Louisiana Tech W 73-68 68%    
  Thu, Jan 8 132 @New Mexico St. L 72-76 36%    
  Sat, Jan 10 218 @UTEP W 72-71 54%    
  Wed, Jan 14 250 Missouri St. W 77-68 79%    
  Sat, Jan 17 160 Kennesaw St. W 88-84 64%    
  Wed, Jan 21 108 Liberty W 76-75 50%    
  Sat, Jan 24 126 @Sam Houston St. L 79-84 33%    
  Wed, Jan 28 160 @Kennesaw St. L 85-87 42%    
  Sat, Jan 31 154 @Middle Tennessee L 77-79 42%    
  Thu, Feb 5 252 Jacksonville St. W 76-67 79%    
  Sat, Feb 7 186 Florida International W 83-77 69%    
  Sat, Feb 14 154 Middle Tennessee W 80-76 62%    
  Wed, Feb 18 282 @Delaware W 77-73 65%    
  Sat, Feb 21 108 @Liberty L 73-79 30%    
  Thu, Feb 26 132 New Mexico St. W 75-73 58%    
  Sat, Feb 28 218 UTEP W 75-68 74%    
  Thu, Mar 5 250 @Missouri St. W 74-71 60%    
  Sat, Mar 7 186 @Florida International L 80-81 48%    
Projected Record 17 - 12 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 1.7 3.2 3.4 2.1 1.0 0.3 0.0 12.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.7 3.0 4.7 3.0 1.0 0.1 0.0 12.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 3.8 5.0 2.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 12.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 3.2 5.3 2.4 0.4 0.0 11.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.7 5.1 2.6 0.3 0.0 11.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.0 5.0 2.8 0.4 0.0 10.3 6th
7th 0.1 1.3 4.0 2.8 0.4 0.0 8.6 7th
8th 0.1 0.9 3.1 2.9 0.6 0.0 7.5 8th
9th 0.1 0.7 2.1 2.0 0.5 0.0 5.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.5 1.6 0.5 0.0 4.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.0 2.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.3 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.8 3.3 5.1 7.1 9.6 11.6 12.3 12.8 11.2 9.3 6.7 4.5 2.2 1.0 0.3 0.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
18-2 98.7% 1.0    1.0 0.0
17-3 93.4% 2.1    1.8 0.3 0.0
16-4 76.8% 3.4    2.4 1.0 0.1 0.0
15-5 48.3% 3.2    1.6 1.4 0.3 0.0
14-6 18.3% 1.7    0.4 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0
13-7 4.3% 0.5    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 12.3% 12.3 7.5 3.5 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.3% 43.8% 42.7% 1.1% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 2.0%
18-2 1.0% 37.0% 37.0% 12.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.6
17-3 2.2% 34.8% 34.8% 12.4 0.0 0.4 0.3 0.0 1.4
16-4 4.5% 28.6% 28.6% 12.7 0.0 0.5 0.7 0.1 0.0 3.2
15-5 6.7% 23.8% 23.8% 12.9 0.0 0.5 0.8 0.3 0.0 5.1
14-6 9.3% 18.1% 18.1% 13.2 0.2 1.0 0.4 0.0 7.6
13-7 11.2% 14.8% 14.8% 13.5 0.1 0.8 0.6 0.1 9.5
12-8 12.8% 9.4% 9.4% 13.7 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.1 11.6
11-9 12.3% 6.3% 6.3% 14.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 11.5
10-10 11.6% 4.3% 4.3% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 11.1
9-11 9.6% 3.1% 3.1% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 9.3
8-12 7.1% 1.9% 1.9% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 7.0
7-13 5.1% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.0 0.1 5.0
6-14 3.3% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 3.3
5-15 1.8% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 1.8
4-16 0.8% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 0.8
3-17 0.4% 0.4
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 10.5% 10.5% 0.0% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 2.1 4.3 2.7 0.9 0.2 89.5 0.0%