Western Kentucky
Conference USA
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating +0.1 164
Results Rating +0.2 152
Consistency 0.17 291
Pace 73.7 46
Improvement -2.5 272

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C 177 D C B B- C+
Defense C 149 C B- C+ F+ B-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 117 F+ 49% 356 -2.4 275
2 Pt. Jumpers 34% 229 D+ 35% 273 -1.1 241
Three Pointers 40% 205 C- 33% 209 -0.8 210
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.4 137 D- -4.6 325
1st FG Attempt D 0.93 317
Second Chance C 31.0% 164 C 1.02 200 C 0.32 163
Opponents' Steals B 8.1% 58
Other Turnovers B 6.2% 62
Turnovers B 14.2% 41
Freethrows B- 0.33 103 C+ 74% 129 B- 0.24 96
Total Offense C -0.5 177

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C- 45% 241 C- 11.7% 225
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 26% 154 C- 5.8% 243
Three Pointers B- 88% 83 C+ 0.7% 141
Total C 56% 163 C- 6.2% 248


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% 303 C 58% 180 -2.6 90
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% 111 D+ 41% 299 +1.3 297
Three Pointers 43% 98 C 34% 194 +1.4 265
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- -0.5 80 C- +0.7 207
1st FG Attempt C 1.02 182
Second Chance B- 28.3% 107 B- 0.97 83 B- 0.27 76
Turnovers from Steals B- 10.5% 106
Other Turnovers C- 7.0% 212
Turnovers C+ 17.4% 127
Freethrows F 0.40 357 B- 70% 65 F+ 0.28 354
Total Defense C +0.6 149

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D 55% 317 C 10.8% 180
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 31% 288 D- 1.7% 337
Three Pointers C 83% 162 D+ 0.5% 274
Total D+ 60% 278 D+ 4.3% 286

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.5 86 17.0 119
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.19 116 0.12 47
Consistency 0.13 246 0.11 101
Improvement +0.4 173 -2.9 310

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 164 164 163
Results Rating Rank 154 153 153
Conference Record 11 - 9 11 - 9 11 - 9
Conference Finish 3 3 3
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% n/a n/a
First Round0% n/a n/a
Second Round0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0% n/a n/a
Final Four0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0% n/a n/a
National Champion0% n/a n/a

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 22 - 22 - 4
Quad 32 - 94 - 13
Quad 412 - 116 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 314 Tennessee Tech W 82 - 70 88% +9  92% 1 - 0 C -0 D -6 F B+ C B +5 D+ D+ A+
 Mon, Nov 10 298 @Eastern Kentucky W 87 - 79 69% -0  39% 2 - 0 C+ +3 C- -1 D+ F A+ B- +3 F A+ B-
 Sun, Nov 16 183 Tennessee St. W 95 - 82 66% +9  96% 3 - 0 B +9 B+ +9 C B+ A+ C -1 F+ A+ B-
 Wed, Nov 26 9 Vanderbilt L 78 - 83 5% -6  16% 3 - 1 B+ +15 C- -1 B- D D A+ +16 B A+ A+
 Thu, Nov 27 51 South Florida L 91 - 97 OT 15% +5  73% 3 - 2 B- +5 C- -0 C C+ D+ B+ +7 B A+ B-
 Fri, Nov 28 82 Wichita St. W 75 - 70 25% +1  54% 4 - 2 B+ +12 A- +12 B- C A+ C+ +1 C A C-
 Sat, Dec 6 294 Evansville W 80 - 79 84% +3  55% 5 - 2 D -10 D+ -3 C- D F+ D -6 F+ C- B
 Wed, Dec 10 202 @Marshall L 61 - 77 47% -7  24% 5 - 3 F+ -15 F -16 F F C+ C+ +0 B C F
 Fri, Dec 19 70 Tulsa L 81 - 82 30% +3  84% 5 - 4 C+ +5 B- +4 C- B- A C+ +1 C A+ D
 Mon, Dec 29 203 @Jacksonville St. L 67 - 78 47% -12  3% 5 - 5 0 - 1 D -10 D -5 F C- C D -5 F A+ A+
 Fri, Jan 2 116 Sam Houston St. W 102 - 91 50% -1  33% 6 - 5 1 - 1 B +11 A+ +16 D+ A+ C D -6 C- C+ D+
 Sun, Jan 4 180 Louisiana Tech W 66 - 61 66% +7  93% 7 - 5 2 - 1 C +1 D+ -3 F B B+ B +5 A C F
 Thu, Jan 8 184 @New Mexico St. L 64 - 80 44% -16  0% 7 - 6 2 - 2 D- -14 D- -7 F B+ A+ F+ -8 C- F B
 Sat, Jan 10 261 @UTEP W 68 - 56 60% +0  45% 8 - 6 3 - 2 B +9 D+ -4 D- D A- A+ +14 A A+ A
 Wed, Jan 14 195 Missouri St. W 87 - 72 69% +6  72% 9 - 6 4 - 2 B +10 A +13 B- A+ A C- -2 B F+ B-
 Sat, Jan 17 160 Kennesaw St. L 65 - 81 61% -5  15% 9 - 7 4 - 3 F -19 F -15 F F A+ D+ -3 D+ A+ D+
 Wed, Jan 21 126 Liberty L 69 - 76 53% -5  10% 9 - 8 4 - 4 D+ -8 D -5 D C+ D- C- -3 D+ C- A-
 Sat, Jan 24 116 @Sam Houston St. L 58 - 73 28% -14  0% 9 - 9 4 - 5 D -9 F -13 F B+ F B- +3 B F D-
 Wed, Jan 28 160 @Kennesaw St. L 69 - 72 38% +0  35% 9 - 10 4 - 6 C +0 D- -7 F B+ A+ A- +7 C A B-
 Sat, Jan 31 167 @Middle Tennessee W 65 - 60 40% +1  57% 10 - 10 5 - 6 B- +8 D -6 C- F B+ A+ +14 B- A+ B-
 Thu, Feb 5 203 Jacksonville St. L 66 - 71 70% -1  32% 10 - 11 5 - 7 D -10 F -12 F F B B- +2 A+ F+ A
 Sat, Feb 7 191 Florida International W 80 - 70 68% -1  36% 11 - 11 6 - 7 B- +5 B- +5 F B- A+ C+ +1 C B+ B-
 Sat, Feb 14 167 Middle Tennessee W 82 - 80 63% +3  68% 12 - 11 7 - 7 C -1 B- +4 B+ B- F D -5 C+ F C+
 Wed, Feb 18 288 @Delaware W 88 - 87 OT 67% -7  3% 13 - 11 8 - 7 C- -3 A- +10 C- A+ C+ F -14 D F F
 Sat, Feb 21 126 @Liberty W 94 - 73 31% +8  74% 14 - 11 9 - 7 A+ +26 A+ +18 B A+ A A +9 D+ A+ A-
 Thu, Feb 26 184 New Mexico St. W 93 - 70 67% +21  99% 15 - 11 10 - 7 A +19 B- +5 A+ F A- A+ +11 A+ A- B-
 Sat, Feb 28 261 UTEP W 97 - 65 79% +13  96% 16 - 11 11 - 7 A+ +23 A+ +17 A+ C- A+ B+ +6 A C- B
 Thu, Mar 5 195 @Missouri St. L 74 - 87 46% -5  39% 16 - 12 11 - 8 D- -12 C+ +2 F A+ A+ F -15 F F F
 Sat, Mar 7 191 @Florida International L 67 - 92 45% -10  16% 16 - 13 11 - 9 F -24 F+ -10 F D+ A F -12 F F D+
 Thu, Mar 12 160 Kennesaw St. L 87 - 96 49% -6  0% 16 - 14 D -9 C+ +3 C B- D+ F -11 D+ F+ F+
Totals 16 - 14 11 - 9 +0 C +0 F D- C+ C +1 C- C+ B-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C F+ D+ C- D- 41% 34% 40% C+ D C C C B B- C+ B- C C D+ C C- 34% 22% 43% B- C B- B- B- C+ F B- F+
1.08 49% 35% 33% -5 0 0.93 31% 1.0 .32 14% .33 74% .24 1.08 58% 41% 34% +1 -1 1.02 28% 1.0 .27 17% .40 70% .23
Nov
3		 Tennessee Tech D F A F F 54% 26% 20% C+ F B- A- B+ C A+ B A+ B B F C+ D 30% 17% 53% C- D+ B F D+ A+ A A+ A+
1.08 37% 46% 20% -13 0 0.76 33% 1.4 .46 14% .54 80% .43 0.92 50% 56% 32% -1 0 1.00 26% 1.3 .33 25% .21 50% .10
Nov
10		 Eastern Kentucky C- B+ B+ F D+ 42% 27% 32% C- D+ D F F A+ B+ F C B- F F B- F 10% 42% 48% A+ F A A+ A+ B- F+ A- D+
1.15 68% 50% 26% +4 -1 1.08 28% 0.5 .14 4% .39 64% .25 1.05 100% 64% 32% +13 -5 1.19 24% 0.5 .12 19% .33 65% .21
Nov
16		 Tennessee St. B+ B A+ F D+ 68% 8% 25% A+ C B- A B+ A+ A+ D+ A C A F F F 30% 28% 42% C+ F+ B A+ A+ B- F B- F
1.24 64% 75% 15% 0 +4 1.09 33% 1.3 .42 12% .47 72% .34 1.07 47% 50% 43% +6 -2 1.10 29% 0.4 .11 18% .54 74% .40
Nov
26		 Vanderbilt C- C+ F B+ C+ 38% 18% 44% B+ B- B F D D A+ C- A+ A+ D+ A+ D B+ 37% 20% 43% C+ B A+ A- A+ A+ F A+ F
0.97 58% 11% 36% -3 0 0.96 32% 0.6 .18 21% .52 73% .38 1.03 67% 20% 38% +2 0 1.06 20% 1.0 .20 21% .58 70% .41
Nov
27		 South Florida C- C- C+ B- C+ 31% 29% 40% D C D- A+ C+ D+ A C- B+ B+ A- A+ D- B 47% 13% 40% B B A- A+ A+ B- B- D+ C+
1.00 53% 39% 36% 0 -2 0.98 23% 1.3 .30 21% .39 68% .26 1.06 47% 22% 37% -6 +2 0.94 33% 0.9 .29 16% .34 77% .26
Nov
28		 Wichita St. A- F A+ A B- 40% 29% 31% C+ B- B D- C A+ A+ A A+ C+ B- B- D C- 31% 29% 40% A- C C- A+ A C- F F F
1.18 42% 50% 40% 0 -1 1.00 32% 0.8 .26 11% .41 78% .32 1.10 53% 36% 37% 0 -2 0.98 40% 0.7 .28 14% .48 81% .38
Dec
6		 Evansville D+ F F+ A+ D+ 45% 24% 31% B- C- B+ F D F+ A+ C- A+ D D B- F F 12% 33% 56% A+ F+ F A+ C- B F A+ D+
1.10 44% 31% 53% +1 0 1.04 38% 0.6 .24 19% .39 74% .29 1.08 67% 35% 45% +9 -3 1.13 31% 0.8 .26 21% .40 57% .22
Dec
10		 Marshall F F+ F+ D- F 35% 27% 38% D+ F C- F F C+ C+ C- C C+ B+ D C- C+ 26% 40% 34% A+ B D B+ C F C A- C+
0.89 50% 29% 30% -8 -1 0.85 34% 0.4 .14 16% .36 71% .26 1.12 53% 43% 35% +1 -3 0.98 34% 1.0 .34 12% .25 67% .17
Dec
19		 Tulsa B- F F A+ C- 38% 13% 48% B C- C B+ B- A A+ A- A+ C+ D F B- C- 29% 8% 63% B C A+ B A+ D F A F
1.14 40% 14% 44% -3 +1 0.98 27% 1.3 .35 11% .38 79% .30 1.16 64% 75% 33% +4 +1 1.13 17% 1.2 .20 13% .52 72% .37
Dec
29		 Jacksonville St. D F F F F 31% 13% 56% C F A+ F C- C B- F D+ D D- F F F 46% 3% 51% F+ F A+ A+ A+ A+ F C- F
0.97 41% 29% 27% -13 0 0.78 44% 0.6 .26 16% .36 67% .24 1.13 63% 100% 50% +16 +3 1.40 20% 0.6 .12 25% .75 69% .52
Jan
2		 Sam Houston St. A+ F F B- D 35% 13% 53% B D+ A+ A+ A+ C A+ B A+ D D- D+ C D+ 33% 25% 43% A- C- D+ B+ C+ D+ C- C+ C
1.32 47% 29% 34% -5 +1 0.95 49% 1.5 .73 17% .42 74% .31 1.18 65% 40% 35% +3 -1 1.07 39% 0.9 .34 15% .29 68% .20
Jan
4		 Louisiana Tech D+ F F F F 23% 9% 68% C F D A+ B B+ A+ A A+ B B A- A+ A- 31% 37% 31% A+ A C+ C- C F F+ A+ C+
1.02 30% 25% 27% -15 0 0.73 28% 1.5 .40 15% .45 80% .36 0.94 50% 32% 25% -9 -3 0.78 33% 0.9 .29 14% .34 47% .16
Jan
8		 New Mexico St. D- F C+ F F 37% 30% 33% D+ F B B B+ A+ C+ C- C F+ A+ C- F C- 28% 28% 43% C+ C- F C F B F D- F
0.97 15% 38% 22% -22 -1 0.56 36% 1.2 .44 8% .38 74% .28 1.21 31% 38% 45% 0 -2 0.98 44% 0.9 .41 17% .62 76% .47
Jan
10		 UTEP D+ F+ B- F+ D- 41% 31% 27% D+ D- B+ F D A- C+ F D A+ F A+ A+ A 17% 38% 45% A+ A C- A+ A+ A F F F
1.00 48% 44% 29% -5 -1 0.90 39% 0.7 .27 15% .38 59% .22 0.82 88% 22% 24% -8 -4 0.79 27% 0.4 .11 22% .42 77% .32
Jan
14		 Missouri St. A F A+ A+ C+ 38% 29% 33% B B- B+ A+ A+ A A+ A+ A+ C- D F A+ B+ 24% 12% 63% D- B D F+ F+ B- D+ F F+
1.32 50% 50% 44% +5 -1 1.10 38% 1.5 .55 12% .50 83% .41 1.09 67% 50% 26% -4 0 0.94 34% 1.3 .43 18% .37 75% .28
Jan
17		 Kennesaw St. F F D- B- F 37% 16% 47% C F D+ F F A+ D- F F D+ A+ F F F+ 27% 22% 51% A+ D+ B- A+ A+ D+ F F F
0.90 24% 33% 37% -11 +1 0.81 27% 0.5 .14 11% .36 65% .23 1.12 43% 45% 42% +4 -1 1.08 32% 0.5 .16 15% .47 76% .36
Jan
21		 Liberty D F F A D 32% 21% 47% D+ D C+ C C+ D- A+ F B+ C- A+ A+ F D 33% 2% 65% B- D+ B- F C- A- F D+ F
1.07 40% 30% 41% -3 -1 0.96 33% 1.3 .42 20% .33 65% .21 1.17 21% 0% 57% +10 +2 1.26 15% 1.3 .19 17% .45 71% .32
Jan
24		 Sam Houston St. F F F D- F 37% 14% 49% B F C A+ B+ F C+ B B- B- C+ C A B+ 49% 16% 35% D B A F F D- F+ A+ A-
0.87 44% 17% 29% -12 +1 0.79 29% 1.4 .41 28% .33 75% .25 1.09 56% 38% 28% -4 +1 0.96 28% 1.6 .46 13% .34 40% .14
Jan
28		 Kennesaw St. D- F F D- F 40% 19% 40% C- F B B B+ A+ C- A+ B A- A A+ F B- 59% 5% 36% F C B- A+ A B- F A- F
0.97 26% 27% 30% -17 0 0.68 36% 1.1 .38 11% .40 88% .35 1.01 46% 0% 44% -3 +4 1.02 31% 0.7 .23 18% .52 63% .33
Jan
31		 Middle Tennessee D F B- B- C- 35% 19% 46% C C- C- F F B+ F B F A+ D+ F A+ B 40% 20% 40% D- B- B A+ A+ B- F A+ F
0.98 47% 40% 36% -2 0 0.98 24% 0.4 .10 12% .17 80% .14 0.91 63% 50% 25% -1 0 1.00 27% 0.5 .14 18% .53 55% .29
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
5		 Jacksonville St. F C F F F 26% 22% 52% D- F C F F B B+ A+ A B- A+ F A+ A+ 56% 26% 18% B A+ F C F+ A F D- F
0.92 57% 17% 25% -12 -1 0.76 27% 0.6 .16 14% .39 88% .34 0.99 41% 50% 14% -12 +1 0.79 37% 1.0 .37 22% .90 72% .65
Feb
7		 Florida International B- D F D- F 40% 12% 47% B- F A D- B- A+ F A+ F+ C+ F A+ D C- 35% 31% 33% A+ C B A- B+ B- D F F+
1.17 52% 14% 30% -8 +1 0.88 44% 0.9 .40 10% .21 85% .18 1.03 71% 20% 38% +1 -2 1.00 30% 0.9 .27 19% .34 79% .27
Feb
14		 Middle Tennessee B- B+ B- C+ B 40% 12% 48% B B+ D A+ B- F A+ A+ A+ D F D+ A+ C+ 34% 25% 41% C C+ F+ F F C+ B C- B
1.16 65% 40% 35% +4 +1 1.12 21% 1.5 .32 20% .56 88% .49 1.13 79% 43% 22% +1 -1 1.02 36% 1.2 .44 17% .22 69% .15
Feb
18		 Delaware A- C B C- C- 34% 24% 42% C C- C A+ A+ C+ A+ C A+ F D- F C D- 33% 24% 43% B- D D+ F F F F C- F
1.27 59% 42% 33% +1 -1 1.02 30% 1.6 .48 13% .51 81% .41 1.25 67% 55% 35% +7 -1 1.15 22% 1.7 .37 12% .55 79% .44
Feb
21		 Liberty A+ C- F A+ B- 47% 14% 39% B+ B B- A+ A+ A A+ A+ A+ A F F A C- 51% 2% 47% D D+ A+ C- A+ A- F A+ F
1.36 54% 14% 50% +4 +2 1.14 34% 1.9 .66 13% .38 96% .36 1.05 78% 100% 29% +8 +3 1.24 4% 1.0 .04 17% .51 59% .30
Feb
26		 New Mexico St. B- C+ A- A+ A+ 42% 15% 42% B+ A+ F F F A- A D B+ A+ C- B+ A+ A+ 27% 23% 50% C- A+ A+ C+ A- B- F C- F
1.18 60% 44% 44% +8 +1 1.20 11% 0.3 .03 11% .44 71% .31 0.89 60% 31% 18% -13 -1 0.73 23% 0.9 .21 16% .52 74% .38
Feb
28		 UTEP A+ B A+ A+ A+ 49% 12% 39% A A+ F A+ C- A+ A A+ A+ B+ A+ C- A+ A+ 19% 23% 57% C A B F C- B F B- F
1.35 64% 67% 45% +13 +2 1.31 17% 2.0 .33 12% .44 86% .38 0.90 44% 36% 26% -10 -2 0.79 22% 1.2 .27 19% .50 66% .33
Mar
5		 Missouri St. C+ B- F F F 26% 51% 23% F F B- A+ A+ A+ A+ D- A+ F F D F F 25% 35% 40% A+ F B F F F F F+ F
1.11 67% 29% 18% -8 -5 0.77 35% 1.5 .54 9% .53 69% .36 1.31 75% 41% 42% +10 -3 1.17 28% 1.9 .52 11% .49 72% .35
Mar
7		 Florida International F+ F A+ F F 52% 15% 33% B F F A+ D+ A A+ F A F F C- D F 49% 23% 28% C F F C+ F D+ A D B+
0.92 32% 71% 25% -13 +2 0.79 22% 1.4 .32 16% .47 62% .29 1.26 68% 38% 38% +6 +1 1.16 46% 1.0 .46 16% .23 71% .16
Mar
12		 Kennesaw St. C+ F+ F A+ C- 48% 10% 42% A- C C B+ B- D+ A+ C+ A+ F D+ B- B C- 58% 11% 30% F D+ C+ F F+ F+ F D+ F
1.13 46% 20% 43% -2 +2 1.02 29% 1.1 .32 18% .57 78% .44 1.25 61% 33% 31% 0 +3 1.08 33% 1.3 .42 13% .63 71% .45



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 0.0%
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 100.0% 100.0
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%