Campbell
Colonial Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.7#226
Expected Predictive Rating-1.6#192
Pace74.0#63
Improvement-1.2#262

Offense
Total Offense-1.9#222
First Shot-3.6#278
After Offensive Rebound+1.6#82
Layup/Dunks+2.0#107
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#242
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.1#350
Freethrows+2.8#40
Improvement-1.2#284

Defense
Total Defense-1.8#231
First Shot-1.5#224
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#211
Layups/Dunks-2.5#274
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#118
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#98
Freethrows-2.2#313
Improvement+0.1#178
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.5% 2.8% 1.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.5 14.4 15.0
.500 or above 18.0% 21.5% 6.7%
.500 or above in Conference 39.6% 42.9% 29.0%
Conference Champion 2.2% 2.5% 1.1%
Last Place in Conference 9.9% 8.5% 14.3%
First Four0.4% 0.3% 0.4%
First Round2.3% 2.6% 1.3%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Ball St. (Home) - 76.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 21 - 51 - 9
Quad 33 - 64 - 14
Quad 49 - 412 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 40 @Wisconsin L 64-96 5%     0 - 1 -17.1 -3.1 -13.5
  Thu, Nov 6 63 @West Virginia L 65-73 8%     0 - 2 +3.6 +1.1 +2.3
  Sun, Nov 9 242 Western Michigan W 91-82 65%     1 - 2 +1.3 +1.8 -1.7
  Wed, Nov 19 214 @Weber St. L 85-91 37%     1 - 3 -6.3 +7.9 -13.9
  Fri, Nov 21 177 Texas Arlington W 71-67 40%     2 - 3 +2.9 -3.2 +5.9
  Tue, Nov 25 51 @Wake Forest L 51-99 6%     2 - 4 -34.2 -16.3 -16.7
  Tue, Dec 2 104 @Penn St. L 76-87 15%     2 - 5 -3.8 +0.8 -4.2
  Sun, Dec 14 308 Ball St. W 75-67 76%    
  Wed, Dec 17 5 @Gonzaga L 66-94 0.3%   
  Sun, Dec 21 103 @Minnesota L 65-76 15%    
  Tue, Dec 23 277 Green Bay W 77-72 69%    
  Mon, Dec 29 115 @Hofstra L 69-79 18%    
  Wed, Dec 31 206 @Monmouth L 73-77 36%    
  Sat, Jan 3 211 Northeastern W 77-74 59%    
  Thu, Jan 8 230 Hampton W 74-71 62%    
  Sat, Jan 10 192 @Elon L 78-83 33%    
  Sat, Jan 17 109 @UNC Wilmington L 68-79 17%    
  Thu, Jan 22 172 @College of Charleston L 72-78 30%    
  Sat, Jan 24 206 Monmouth W 76-74 58%    
  Thu, Jan 29 197 Stony Brook W 74-72 56%    
  Sat, Jan 31 121 @William & Mary L 78-88 19%    
  Thu, Feb 5 271 Drexel W 74-69 68%    
  Sat, Feb 7 311 @N.C. A&T W 78-76 57%    
  Sat, Feb 14 172 College of Charleston W 76-75 51%    
  Thu, Feb 19 121 William & Mary L 81-85 37%    
  Sat, Feb 21 109 UNC Wilmington L 71-76 34%    
  Thu, Feb 26 271 @Drexel L 71-72 47%    
  Sat, Feb 28 139 @Towson L 67-75 23%    
  Tue, Mar 3 311 N.C. A&T W 81-73 76%    
Projected Record 11 - 18 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.4 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 3.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.9 2.1 0.6 0.1 5.1 3rd
4th 0.3 2.4 3.1 0.9 0.1 6.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.0 4.1 1.7 0.2 8.2 5th
6th 0.1 1.4 5.1 2.7 0.3 9.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 4.8 4.1 0.5 0.0 10.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 3.7 5.2 1.1 0.0 10.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.5 5.7 2.2 0.1 10.8 9th
10th 0.2 2.0 4.7 3.0 0.2 10.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 1.5 4.1 3.3 0.5 0.0 9.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 1.3 3.1 2.7 0.6 0.0 8.1 12th
13th 0.1 0.5 1.2 1.8 1.3 0.4 0.0 5.3 13th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.4 3.3 6.1 9.4 11.6 13.9 14.1 12.7 10.2 7.3 4.8 2.5 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 98.3% 0.2    0.2 0.0
15-3 80.0% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
14-4 54.6% 0.7    0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-5 22.2% 0.6    0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-6 4.7% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.2% 2.2 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.2% 25.4% 25.4% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.5% 20.6% 20.6% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4
14-4 1.3% 16.3% 16.3% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.1
13-5 2.5% 11.6% 11.6% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 2.2
12-6 4.8% 9.2% 9.2% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 4.3
11-7 7.3% 4.9% 4.9% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 7.0
10-8 10.2% 3.6% 3.6% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.0 9.9
9-9 12.7% 2.3% 2.3% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 12.4
8-10 14.1% 1.2% 1.2% 15.9 0.0 0.2 13.9
7-11 13.9% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 13.8
6-12 11.6% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 11.6
5-13 9.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 9.4
4-14 6.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.0
3-15 3.3% 3.3
2-16 1.4% 1.4
1-17 0.5% 0.5
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 2.5% 2.5% 0.0% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.8 0.5 97.5 0.0%