New Mexico
Mountain West
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+7.7#74
Expected Predictive Rating+12.0#50
Pace77.6#25
Improvement+3.9#13

Offense
Total Offense+3.9#81
First Shot+4.1#74
After Offensive Rebound-0.2#190
Layup/Dunks+3.9#59
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#322
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#117
Freethrows+1.1#111
Improvement+4.8#1

Defense
Total Defense+3.8#68
First Shot+3.5#64
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#166
Layups/Dunks+7.4#16
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#97
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.6#332
Freethrows-0.5#217
Improvement-0.8#250
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.5% 0.6% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 18.6% 19.8% 10.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 10.1% 11.0% 4.3%
Average Seed 10.2 10.1 10.6
.500 or above 95.7% 96.9% 87.4%
.500 or above in Conference 81.9% 83.2% 73.4%
Conference Champion 11.4% 12.0% 6.6%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.1% 0.2%
First Four5.0% 5.3% 2.6%
First Round15.9% 16.9% 8.8%
Second Round5.5% 5.9% 2.4%
Sweet Sixteen1.1% 1.2% 0.4%
Elite Eight0.3% 0.3% 0.1%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Florida Gulf Coast (Home) - 87.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b2 - 32 - 4
Quad 25 - 47 - 8
Quad 36 - 213 - 11
Quad 48 - 021 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Wed, Nov 5 303 East Texas A&M W 76-54 95%     1 - 0 +11.1 -6.9 +16.0
  Sat, Nov 8 177 Texas Arlington W 74-56 86%     2 - 0 +13.9 -0.6 +14.0
  Tue, Nov 11 268 UC Riverside W 82-68 93%     3 - 0 +5.3 +8.1 -2.1
  Sat, Nov 15 132 @New Mexico St. L 68-76 61%     3 - 1 -3.3 +2.4 -6.2
  Thu, Nov 20 26 Nebraska L 72-84 25%     3 - 2 +2.9 -4.2 +8.7
  Fri, Nov 21 80 Mississippi St. W 80-78 51%     4 - 2 +9.3 +7.9 +1.4
  Wed, Nov 26 264 Alabama St. W 93-87 93%     5 - 2 -2.6 +10.6 -13.3
  Sat, Dec 6 73 Santa Clara W 98-71 61%     6 - 2 +31.7 +24.1 +7.0
  Wed, Dec 10 48 @Virginia Commonwealth W 81-78 28%     7 - 2 +16.9 +16.4 +0.5
  Sun, Dec 14 181 Florida Gulf Coast W 87-75 87%    
  Sat, Dec 20 188 San Jose St. W 82-70 88%    
  Tue, Dec 30 46 @Boise St. L 71-77 28%    
  Sat, Jan 3 97 Wyoming W 82-76 69%    
  Tue, Jan 6 69 @Colorado St. L 75-78 38%    
  Sat, Jan 10 324 @Air Force W 79-65 91%    
  Tue, Jan 13 91 Grand Canyon W 79-74 68%    
  Sat, Jan 17 52 @San Diego St. L 76-82 30%    
  Wed, Jan 21 184 Fresno St. W 86-74 87%    
  Sat, Jan 24 99 Nevada W 79-73 70%    
  Tue, Jan 27 141 @UNLV W 84-81 62%    
  Sat, Jan 31 188 @San Jose St. W 79-73 72%    
  Wed, Feb 4 43 Utah St. L 79-80 47%    
  Sat, Feb 7 46 Boise St. L 74-75 49%    
  Wed, Feb 11 91 @Grand Canyon L 76-77 46%    
  Tue, Feb 17 324 Air Force W 82-62 97%    
  Sat, Feb 21 184 @Fresno St. W 83-77 71%    
  Tue, Feb 24 99 @Nevada L 75-76 49%    
  Sat, Feb 28 52 San Diego St. W 80-79 51%    
  Wed, Mar 4 69 Colorado St. W 78-75 60%    
  Sat, Mar 7 43 @Utah St. L 76-83 28%    
Projected Record 20 - 10 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.9 2.8 3.4 2.5 1.2 0.4 0.0 11.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 1.7 4.9 4.6 1.8 0.4 0.0 13.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.1 6.0 4.9 1.2 0.1 14.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 1.8 5.9 5.1 0.9 0.0 13.8 4th
5th 0.1 1.4 5.5 5.0 1.0 0.0 12.9 5th
6th 0.1 1.2 4.2 4.7 1.1 0.0 11.3 6th
7th 0.1 0.9 3.2 3.8 1.1 0.0 9.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 2.3 2.6 1.0 0.1 6.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.4 1.6 0.6 0.1 4.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.8 0.2 0.0 2.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.4 3.0 5.1 7.8 10.6 13.2 14.2 13.8 11.6 8.7 5.3 2.9 1.2 0.4 0.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.4    0.4 0.0
18-2 99.2% 1.2    1.1 0.1
17-3 87.6% 2.5    2.0 0.5 0.0
16-4 64.6% 3.4    1.9 1.3 0.2 0.0
15-5 32.7% 2.8    0.9 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0
14-6 7.5% 0.9    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-7 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 11.4% 11.4 6.5 3.5 1.1 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.4% 99.1% 40.7% 58.4% 6.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 98.5%
18-2 1.2% 89.8% 33.5% 56.3% 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.1 84.7%
17-3 2.9% 77.9% 28.6% 49.3% 9.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.6 69.0%
16-4 5.3% 59.7% 21.6% 38.1% 9.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.2 1.0 0.0 2.1 48.6%
15-5 8.7% 41.3% 17.1% 24.3% 10.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 1.9 0.1 5.1 29.3%
14-6 11.6% 27.4% 14.3% 13.1% 10.7 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.1 0.1 8.4 15.3%
13-7 13.8% 16.7% 11.0% 5.8% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.7 0.2 11.5 6.5%
12-8 14.2% 9.5% 7.6% 1.9% 11.1 0.0 0.1 1.1 0.2 0.0 12.9 2.1%
11-9 13.2% 4.8% 4.2% 0.6% 11.2 0.0 0.5 0.2 12.6 0.7%
10-10 10.6% 3.0% 2.9% 0.1% 11.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 10.2 0.1%
9-11 7.8% 2.1% 2.1% 11.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 7.6
8-12 5.1% 1.4% 1.4% 12.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 5.1
7-13 3.0% 0.4% 0.4% 13.8 0.0 0.0 3.0
6-14 1.4% 0.7% 0.7% 13.3 0.0 0.0 1.4
5-15 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 15.0 0.0 0.6
4-16 0.2% 0.2
3-17 0.1% 0.1
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 18.6% 9.4% 9.2% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.0 2.1 4.6 8.8 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 81.4 10.1%