Bradley
Missouri Valley
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+3.2#117
Expected Predictive Rating-0.1#172
Pace68.0#220
Improvement+2.6#37

Offense
Total Offense+0.4#156
First Shot+3.0#95
After Offensive Rebound-2.6#328
Layup/Dunks-1.4#239
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#205
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#84
Freethrows+1.7#87
Improvement+0.5#127

Defense
Total Defense+2.8#84
First Shot+0.6#149
After Offensive Rebounds+2.3#41
Layups/Dunks+4.6#44
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#333
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#161
Freethrows-2.0#299
Improvement+2.1#49
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.4% 11.2% 7.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.6 12.5 12.8
.500 or above 79.5% 87.2% 69.2%
.500 or above in Conference 72.2% 81.5% 59.8%
Conference Champion 10.0% 13.6% 5.1%
Last Place in Conference 1.7% 0.6% 3.1%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
First Round9.4% 11.2% 7.0%
Second Round1.2% 1.5% 0.8%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Indiana St. (Away) - 57.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 22 - 52 - 6
Quad 36 - 59 - 12
Quad 410 - 218 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 113 St. Bonaventure L 63-69 49%     0 - 1 -2.6 -4.3 +1.4
  Sat, Nov 8 322 Central Michigan W 85-54 92%     1 - 1 +18.4 +7.2 +11.9
  Wed, Nov 12 251 Tennessee Martin L 67-78 85%     1 - 2 -19.1 -11.2 -7.5
  Sat, Nov 15 96 @San Francisco L 64-75 31%     1 - 3 -2.6 -2.9 -0.1
  Wed, Nov 19 304 Umass Lowell W 87-77 90%     2 - 3 -0.9 +12.4 -12.9
  Mon, Nov 24 255 Princeton W 88-64 79%     3 - 3 +18.7 +14.7 +4.1
  Tue, Nov 25 89 UC San Diego L 77-87 40%     3 - 4 -4.2 +5.8 -10.0
  Wed, Nov 26 108 Liberty W 74-64 48%     4 - 4 +13.8 +8.5 +6.2
  Tue, Dec 2 165 Washington St. W 64-60 74%     5 - 4 +0.6 -11.2 +11.9
  Sat, Dec 6 326 Northern Illinois W 84-55 92%     6 - 4 +16.2 +0.9 +14.3
  Thu, Dec 18 187 @Indiana St. W 75-73 57%    
  Sun, Dec 21 130 Southern Illinois W 75-71 66%    
  Mon, Dec 29 276 Evansville W 75-63 88%    
  Thu, Jan 1 85 @Belmont L 73-79 28%    
  Sun, Jan 4 100 @Murray St. L 76-81 33%    
  Wed, Jan 7 135 Drake W 73-68 66%    
  Sat, Jan 10 92 Northern Iowa W 65-64 52%    
  Tue, Jan 13 276 @Evansville W 72-66 71%    
  Sat, Jan 17 90 @Illinois St. L 68-74 30%    
  Wed, Jan 21 187 Indiana St. W 78-70 76%    
  Sat, Jan 24 190 Illinois-Chicago W 77-69 77%    
  Sat, Jan 31 135 @Drake L 70-71 45%    
  Tue, Feb 3 212 Valparaiso W 73-64 80%    
  Fri, Feb 6 92 @Northern Iowa L 62-67 31%    
  Mon, Feb 9 85 Belmont L 75-76 49%    
  Sun, Feb 15 130 @Southern Illinois L 72-74 43%    
  Wed, Feb 18 212 @Valparaiso W 70-67 62%    
  Sat, Feb 21 90 Illinois St. W 72-71 52%    
  Tue, Feb 24 190 @Illinois-Chicago W 74-72 58%    
  Sun, Mar 1 100 Murray St. W 79-78 55%    
Projected Record 17 - 13 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.5 3.0 2.6 1.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 10.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.7 3.0 4.4 2.9 1.0 0.1 0.0 12.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.8 3.8 5.3 2.6 0.5 0.0 13.0 3rd
4th 0.1 0.9 4.2 5.8 2.7 0.4 0.0 14.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 4.2 5.8 2.6 0.3 0.0 13.8 5th
6th 0.1 0.7 3.8 5.3 2.4 0.2 0.0 12.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 2.9 4.2 1.8 0.2 9.8 7th
8th 0.1 0.6 2.1 2.9 1.3 0.1 0.0 7.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 1.8 0.8 0.1 0.0 4.6 9th
10th 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.8 0.4 0.0 2.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.8 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 1.4 2.9 5.1 7.3 10.2 12.4 13.5 13.1 11.8 8.9 6.4 3.6 1.9 0.5 0.2 0.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2
18-2 98.8% 0.5    0.5 0.0
17-3 93.9% 1.8    1.5 0.3 0.0
16-4 72.0% 2.6    1.7 0.8 0.1
15-5 46.2% 3.0    1.3 1.3 0.3 0.0
14-6 17.1% 1.5    0.4 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0
13-7 3.5% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-10 0.0%
Total 10.0% 10.0 5.6 3.2 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.2% 42.0% 42.0% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
18-2 0.5% 37.2% 36.0% 1.2% 11.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 1.9%
17-3 1.9% 27.7% 27.7% 11.7 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 1.3
16-4 3.6% 27.0% 27.0% 12.0 0.1 0.7 0.1 2.6
15-5 6.4% 20.8% 20.8% 12.2 0.1 0.9 0.3 0.0 5.1
14-6 8.9% 18.2% 18.2% 12.4 0.1 0.9 0.6 0.1 7.3
13-7 11.8% 12.8% 12.8% 12.7 0.0 0.6 0.8 0.1 10.3
12-8 13.1% 9.2% 9.2% 12.9 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.2 0.0 11.9
11-9 13.5% 6.7% 6.7% 13.2 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.0 12.6
10-10 12.4% 4.3% 4.3% 13.4 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 11.9
9-11 10.2% 3.0% 3.0% 14.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 9.9
8-12 7.3% 2.2% 2.2% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 7.2
7-13 5.1% 1.1% 1.1% 15.8 0.0 0.0 5.0
6-14 2.9% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 2.8
5-15 1.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.4
4-16 0.6% 0.6
3-17 0.3% 0.3
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 9.4% 9.4% 0.0% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.7 4.0 3.3 1.0 0.3 0.1 90.6 0.0%