Brown
Ivy League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -5.0 #248
Expected Predictive Rating -9.2 #315
Pace 66.2 #261
Improvement +1.4 #113

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #338 F C- F F C+
Defense #108 C+ C C C+ C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% #125 1.00 #335 -2.1 #256
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% #219 0.57 #355 -2.6 #304
Three Pointers 41% #172 0.95 #255 -1.1 #230
1st FG Attempt 0.90 #333 -5.7 #332
Freethrows 11.8 #358 69% #283 8.1 #362
Second Chance 27.7% #262 1.06 #163 0.29 #240
Turnovers 19.4% #331
Total Offense -6.9 #338

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% #137 1.11 #123 -0.1 #180
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% #134 0.83 #298 -1.3 #281
Three Pointers 38% #265 0.92 #69 +3.3 #61
1st FG Attempt 0.98 #117 +1.8 #117
Freethrows 16.3 #126 74% #248 12.0 #214
Second Chance 32.6% #262 0.98 #103 0.32 #179
Turnovers 16.8% #176
Total Defense +1.9 #108

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 0.9% #126 0.0% #164
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -12.0% #346 -3.6% #113
Possession Length 17.7 #215 17.2 #181
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 #289 0.21 #292
Improvement -0.4 #209 +1.8 #82

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.5% 2.6% 0.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.5 15.6
.500 or above 3.0% 5.7% 0.9%
.500 or above in Conference 16.1% 26.7% 7.4%
Conference Champion 0.8% 1.5% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 49.3% 34.1% 61.6%
First Four0.4% 0.7% 0.2%
First Round1.3% 2.3% 0.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Columbia (Home) - 45.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 31 - 72 - 10
Quad 47 - 79 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Fri, Nov 7 177 Siena L 46 - 62 48% -12  0 - 1 -20 -25 F F F +4 A- C+ A-
 Sun, Nov 9 195 Vermont L 84 - 89 2OT 51% +3  0 - 2 -10 -5 C- F D- -4 A+ D D
 Wed, Nov 12 256 @Boston University L 77 - 90 40% -14  0 - 3 -15 +5 F A+ D -22 F F B+
 Fri, Nov 14 242 Hampton L 63 - 72 60% -4  0 - 4 -17 -6 A C F -12 B F C
 Tue, Nov 18 310 Holy Cross W 68 - 49 74% +12  1 - 4 +7 -1 C- A+ F +10 B+ A+ A
 Thu, Nov 20 274 @Stony Brook L 70 - 80 44% -9  1 - 5 -13 +0 C+ B+ F -14 F F F
 Sun, Nov 23 341 @Maine W 58 - 53 63% +8  2 - 5 -3 -11 F C+ F +8 D+ A+ B+
 Wed, Nov 26 335 @New Hampshire W 59 - 47 62% +5  3 - 5 +4 -12 C- F F +16 A+ B B
 Tue, Dec 2 123 @Rhode Island L 56 - 66 17% -4  3 - 6 -5 -8 F C- C+ +3 A+ D C
 Fri, Dec 5 329 Bryant W 75 - 56 79% +12  4 - 6 +6 +1 C D C+ +5 C A+ C+
 Tue, Dec 9 68 @Providence L 79 - 86 7% -6  4 - 7 +4 +2 D C B+ +3 B+ A- A+
 Mon, Jan 5 94 Yale L 53 - 70 23% -3  4 - 8 0 - 1 -14 -22 F F F +8 A- B- A+
 Sat, Jan 10 206 @Penn L 73 - 81 30% -1  4 - 9 0 - 2 -8 +1 D+ C+ D+ -9 F A+ F
 Sat, Jan 17 163 Columbia L 69 - 70 45%
 Mon, Jan 19 193 Cornell W 81 - 80 50%
 Sat, Jan 24 221 @Princeton L 62 - 67 33%
 Fri, Jan 30 162 Harvard L 64 - 66 44%
 Sat, Jan 31 204 Dartmouth W 72 - 71 52%
 Fri, Feb 6 94 @Yale L 64 - 78 10%
 Fri, Feb 13 162 @Harvard L 61 - 69 24%
 Sat, Feb 14 204 @Dartmouth L 69 - 74 31%
 Fri, Feb 20 221 Princeton W 65 - 64 55%
 Fri, Feb 27 163 @Columbia L 66 - 73 25%
 Sat, Feb 28 193 @Cornell L 77 - 83 29%
 Fri, Mar 6 206 Penn W 72 - 71 52%
Totals 9 - 16 5 - 9 -5 -7 F C- F +2 C+ C C




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.8 1st
2nd 0.3 1.5 1.3 0.2 0.0 3.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.7 2.3 0.3 0.0 5.5 3rd
4th 0.1 2.8 4.4 0.5 0.0 7.8 4th
5th 0.1 2.1 7.4 1.6 0.0 11.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.2 8.6 3.8 0.1 14.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 4.1 10.3 6.8 0.3 22.1 7th
8th 1.1 4.8 9.7 11.4 6.7 0.8 34.5 8th
Total 1.1 4.8 10.3 15.7 19.2 18.4 14.4 9.1 4.4 1.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
11-3 87.5% 0.1    0.1 0.0
10-4 55.0% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.0
9-5 16.4% 0.3    0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0
8-6 1.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 0.8% 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2 0.0% 0.0
11-3 0.1% 25.0% 25.0% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
10-4 0.5% 19.3% 19.3% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4
9-5 1.9% 18.8% 18.8% 15.1 0.0 0.3 0.0 1.6
8-6 4.4% 10.3% 10.3% 15.6 0.2 0.3 3.9
7-7 9.1% 5.1% 5.1% 16.0 0.5 8.6
6-8 14.4% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.1 14.3
5-9 18.4% 18.4
4-10 19.2% 19.2
3-11 15.7% 15.7
2-12 10.3% 10.3
1-13 4.8% 4.8
0-14 1.1% 1.1
Total 100% 1.5% 1.5% 0.0% 15.5 98.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.1%