Brown
Ivy League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.1#254
Expected Predictive Rating-8.7#298
Pace65.3#293
Improvement+2.1#40

Offense
Total Offense-6.2#336
First Shot-6.8#350
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#141
Layup/Dunks-5.1#335
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#169
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#88
Freethrows-4.6#357
Improvement+1.2#73

Defense
Total Defense+1.1#130
First Shot+3.0#81
After Offensive Rebounds-1.9#299
Layups/Dunks+1.0#141
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#193
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#124
Freethrows+0.5#151
Improvement+0.9#98
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.1% 3.1% 2.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 14.9 15.5
.500 or above 6.6% 16.5% 5.2%
.500 or above in Conference 29.2% 37.4% 28.0%
Conference Champion 1.4% 2.5% 1.2%
Last Place in Conference 23.7% 17.7% 24.5%
First Four0.8% 0.4% 0.8%
First Round1.8% 2.9% 1.6%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Rhode Island (Away) - 12.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 32 - 62 - 11
Quad 47 - 69 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 177 Siena L 46-62 47%     0 - 1 -20.4 -27.2 +6.1
  Sun, Nov 9 171 Vermont L 84-89 2OT 47%     0 - 2 -9.2 -5.7 -2.8
  Wed, Nov 12 227 @Boston University L 77-90 35%     0 - 3 -14.0 +7.2 -22.4
  Fri, Nov 14 235 Hampton L 63-72 58%     0 - 4 -16.2 -7.2 -9.9
  Tue, Nov 18 330 Holy Cross W 68-49 77%     1 - 4 +6.3 -1.9 +10.9
  Thu, Nov 20 251 @Stony Brook L 70-80 38%     1 - 5 -11.9 -1.2 -11.2
  Sun, Nov 23 321 @Maine W 58-53 52%     2 - 5 -0.6 -9.4 +9.2
  Wed, Nov 26 354 @New Hampshire W 59-47 68%     3 - 5 +2.1 -12.3 +15.3
  Tue, Dec 2 106 @Rhode Island L 62-74 12%    
  Fri, Dec 5 302 Bryant W 69-63 71%    
  Tue, Dec 9 75 @Providence L 68-84 7%    
  Sun, Dec 21 31 @USC L 61-82 2%    
  Mon, Jan 5 69 Yale L 66-76 17%    
  Sat, Jan 10 223 @Penn L 69-73 35%    
  Sat, Jan 17 134 Columbia L 67-71 36%    
  Mon, Jan 19 161 Cornell L 74-75 45%    
  Sat, Jan 24 238 @Princeton L 65-69 37%    
  Fri, Jan 30 179 Harvard L 65-66 48%    
  Sat, Jan 31 299 Dartmouth W 73-67 69%    
  Fri, Feb 6 69 @Yale L 63-79 8%    
  Fri, Feb 13 179 @Harvard L 62-69 28%    
  Sat, Feb 14 299 @Dartmouth L 69-70 49%    
  Fri, Feb 20 238 Princeton W 68-66 59%    
  Fri, Feb 27 134 @Columbia L 64-74 19%    
  Sat, Feb 28 161 @Cornell L 71-78 26%    
  Fri, Mar 6 223 Penn W 72-70 56%    
Projected Record 9 - 17 5 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.4 1st
2nd 0.2 1.6 2.2 1.4 0.3 0.0 5.7 2nd
3rd 0.2 3.2 4.4 2.0 0.2 10.0 3rd
4th 0.3 4.3 6.8 2.4 0.2 13.9 4th
5th 0.5 4.9 8.9 2.7 0.2 17.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 5.4 9.6 3.1 0.2 18.9 6th
7th 0.1 1.5 6.4 7.9 2.5 0.2 18.5 7th
8th 0.5 2.7 5.0 4.6 1.4 0.1 14.4 8th
Total 0.5 2.8 6.5 11.7 15.1 17.4 16.6 12.9 8.6 4.6 2.0 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
12-2 90.5% 0.2    0.1 0.1
11-3 58.8% 0.5    0.2 0.2 0.0
10-4 22.8% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
9-5 3.7% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 1.4% 1.4 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.0% 0.0
13-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-2 0.2% 24.3% 24.3% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
11-3 0.8% 16.7% 16.7% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.6
10-4 2.0% 13.7% 13.7% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 1.8
9-5 4.6% 10.2% 10.2% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.1 4.1
8-6 8.6% 7.9% 7.9% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.5 7.9
7-7 12.9% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.0 0.4 12.6
6-8 16.6% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 16.5
5-9 17.4% 17.4
4-10 15.1% 15.1
3-11 11.7% 11.7
2-12 6.5% 6.5
1-13 2.8% 2.8
0-14 0.5% 0.5
Total 100% 2.1% 2.1% 0.0% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.1 97.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%