Bucknell
Patriot League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.7#284
Expected Predictive Rating-7.4#274
Pace68.8#213
Improvement-0.1#181

Offense
Total Offense-4.3#284
First Shot-2.9#262
After Offensive Rebound-1.4#266
Layup/Dunks-4.8#329
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#325
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.7#42
Freethrows-0.1#178
Improvement+0.8#97

Defense
Total Defense-2.3#245
First Shot-2.6#266
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#171
Layups/Dunks+2.7#80
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#67
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.0#332
Freethrows-1.9#291
Improvement-0.9#270
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.5% 7.8% 5.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.8 15.8
.500 or above 21.7% 32.5% 15.0%
.500 or above in Conference 56.7% 62.8% 52.9%
Conference Champion 6.1% 7.7% 5.1%
Last Place in Conference 7.7% 5.4% 9.1%
First Four4.1% 4.4% 3.9%
First Round4.4% 5.3% 3.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Cornell (Home) - 38.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 31 - 61 - 10
Quad 412 - 913 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 241 Delaware W 78-70 54%     1 - 0 +0.4 -0.3 +0.5
  Fri, Nov 7 297 @Mount St. Mary's W 73-62 41%     2 - 0 +6.6 +3.8 +3.6
  Tue, Nov 11 238 @Princeton L 63-73 31%     2 - 1 -11.6 -8.4 -3.3
  Fri, Nov 14 162 Hofstra L 77-83 39%     2 - 2 -9.7 -1.0 -8.3
  Mon, Nov 17 99 @Pittsburgh L 50-84 9%     2 - 3 -26.0 -14.9 -13.8
  Thu, Nov 20 15 @St. John's L 49-97 1%     2 - 4 -27.3 -19.5 -4.0
  Mon, Nov 24 140 Bowling Green L 66-71 23%     2 - 5 -3.8 -3.1 -0.8
  Wed, Nov 26 228 Buffalo L 71-73 40%     2 - 6 -6.0 +4.2 -10.5
  Sun, Nov 30 161 Cornell L 78-81 39%    
  Wed, Dec 3 58 @Akron L 70-89 4%    
  Sat, Dec 6 289 Maryland Baltimore Co. W 75-72 62%    
  Tue, Dec 9 343 @Rider W 71-69 57%    
  Sat, Dec 20 21 Iowa L 59-81 2%    
  Wed, Dec 31 330 @Holy Cross W 71-70 50%    
  Sat, Jan 3 312 Lehigh W 73-69 66%    
  Wed, Jan 7 159 @Navy L 66-75 20%    
  Sat, Jan 10 301 Loyola Maryland W 72-68 64%    
  Wed, Jan 14 327 Lafayette W 74-68 70%    
  Sat, Jan 17 182 @Colgate L 68-76 23%    
  Wed, Jan 21 346 Army W 77-69 76%    
  Sat, Jan 24 301 @Loyola Maryland L 69-71 43%    
  Mon, Jan 26 327 @Lafayette L 71-72 49%    
  Sat, Jan 31 227 Boston University W 71-70 51%    
  Wed, Feb 4 283 @American L 73-76 40%    
  Sat, Feb 7 182 Colgate L 71-73 43%    
  Mon, Feb 9 159 Navy L 69-72 39%    
  Sat, Feb 14 227 @Boston University L 68-74 31%    
  Wed, Feb 18 283 American W 76-73 60%    
  Sun, Feb 22 330 Holy Cross W 73-67 71%    
  Wed, Feb 25 346 @Army W 74-72 57%    
  Sat, Feb 28 312 @Lehigh L 70-72 45%    
Projected Record 13 - 18 9 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.6 1.9 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 6.1 1st
2nd 0.3 1.8 3.4 2.9 1.2 0.2 0.0 9.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 3.1 5.2 3.4 0.8 0.2 13.1 3rd
4th 0.4 3.3 6.4 3.6 0.6 0.0 14.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 3.3 6.4 3.2 0.5 0.0 13.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.5 6.0 3.0 0.4 0.0 12.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.4 5.3 2.9 0.3 11.1 7th
8th 0.3 1.7 4.0 2.3 0.4 0.0 8.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.8 2.5 1.7 0.3 0.0 6.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.3 1.4 0.8 0.2 0.0 4.4 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.6 3.5 5.2 8.5 10.8 12.9 13.5 13.2 11.3 8.1 5.4 3.2 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 97.2% 0.5    0.4 0.0
15-3 85.8% 1.2    0.9 0.3 0.0
14-4 58.3% 1.9    1.1 0.6 0.1
13-5 29.4% 1.6    0.5 0.8 0.2 0.0
12-6 8.7% 0.7    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 6.1% 6.1 3.2 2.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.1% 38.1% 38.1% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.5% 29.2% 29.2% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3
15-3 1.4% 17.5% 17.5% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.2
14-4 3.2% 17.5% 17.5% 15.5 0.0 0.2 0.3 2.6
13-5 5.4% 16.0% 16.0% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.6 4.5
12-6 8.1% 14.3% 14.3% 15.8 0.0 0.2 1.0 7.0
11-7 11.3% 8.6% 8.6% 16.0 0.0 0.9 10.3
10-8 13.2% 7.0% 7.0% 16.0 0.0 0.9 12.3
9-9 13.5% 5.9% 5.9% 16.0 0.8 12.7
8-10 12.9% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 0.4 12.5
7-11 10.8% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.2 10.6
6-12 8.5% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.1 8.3
5-13 5.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 5.2
4-14 3.5% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 3.4
3-15 1.6% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 1.6
2-16 0.7% 0.7
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 6.5% 6.5% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.9 5.5 93.5 0.0%