Central Connecticut St.
Northeast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.7#244
Expected Predictive Rating+3.9#117
Pace64.9#301
Improvement+2.4#25

Offense
Total Offense-4.6#296
First Shot-2.8#258
After Offensive Rebound-1.8#296
Layup/Dunks-3.8#305
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.2#20
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#297
Freethrows+0.5#143
Improvement+3.4#2

Defense
Total Defense-0.1#168
First Shot-1.2#214
After Offensive Rebounds+1.1#122
Layups/Dunks-4.6#327
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#96
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#177
Freethrows+2.1#68
Improvement-1.1#282
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 29.9% 42.8% 31.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.8 14.9 15.5
.500 or above 87.1% 95.8% 86.5%
.500 or above in Conference 90.5% 89.2% 90.6%
Conference Champion 48.1% 62.0% 47.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.7% 0.1% 0.7%
First Four11.5% 6.7% 11.8%
First Round26.5% 39.5% 25.5%
Second Round0.4% 1.2% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Seton Hall (Away) - 7.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 11 - 1
Quad 31 - 33 - 4
Quad 416 - 718 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Thu, Nov 6 193 @Quinnipiac L 49-71 29%     0 - 1 -20.9 -21.8 +0.5
  Tue, Nov 11 127 @Boston College W 60-59 18%     1 - 1 +6.2 -3.2 +9.4
  Sun, Nov 16 181 @Massachusetts L 77-84 28%     1 - 2 -5.5 -1.3 -3.5
  Fri, Nov 21 120 @Rutgers W 67-54 16%     2 - 2 +18.9 +6.4 +14.2
  Mon, Nov 24 261 Sacred Heart W 108-106 OT 64%     3 - 2 -6.4 +12.9 -19.5
  Wed, Dec 3 76 @Seton Hall L 56-71 7%    
  Sun, Dec 7 200 @Northeastern L 65-70 31%    
  Sat, Dec 13 352 @Binghamton W 69-64 67%    
  Thu, Dec 18 288 Fairfield W 73-68 68%    
  Fri, Jan 2 232 @LIU Brooklyn L 67-71 37%    
  Sun, Jan 4 345 New Haven W 69-59 82%    
  Thu, Jan 8 334 Stonehill W 70-61 78%    
  Sat, Jan 10 336 @Le Moyne W 73-70 61%    
  Sat, Jan 17 359 @St. Francis (PA) W 72-66 72%    
  Mon, Jan 19 320 @Mercyhurst W 64-63 53%    
  Fri, Jan 23 362 Fairleigh Dickinson W 78-65 87%    
  Sun, Jan 25 334 @Stonehill W 67-64 60%    
  Thu, Jan 29 292 @Wagner L 66-67 49%    
  Sat, Jan 31 232 LIU Brooklyn W 70-68 58%    
  Thu, Feb 5 340 Chicago St. W 75-66 79%    
  Sat, Feb 7 292 Wagner W 70-64 69%    
  Thu, Feb 12 345 @New Haven W 66-62 62%    
  Sat, Feb 14 362 @Fairleigh Dickinson W 75-68 72%    
  Thu, Feb 19 336 Le Moyne W 76-67 78%    
  Sat, Feb 21 340 @Chicago St. W 72-69 61%    
  Thu, Feb 26 320 Mercyhurst W 67-60 71%    
  Sat, Feb 28 359 St. Francis (PA) W 75-63 86%    
Projected Record 17 - 10 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.2 4.9 9.7 11.5 10.2 6.4 44.0 1st
2nd 0.0 1.4 5.4 6.9 4.0 1.3 0.4 0.0 19.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.2 4.5 4.6 1.6 0.2 0.0 12.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 3.0 3.1 0.7 0.1 7.5 4th
5th 0.3 2.1 2.2 0.6 0.0 5.1 5th
6th 0.1 1.0 1.7 0.5 0.0 3.3 6th
7th 0.1 0.5 1.3 0.5 2.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.0 1.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 10th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.4 2.8 4.8 6.9 9.6 12.0 13.5 13.9 12.8 10.6 6.4 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 99.8% 6.4    6.4 0.0 0.0
15-1 96.6% 10.2    9.5 0.7
14-2 89.8% 11.5    9.4 2.1 0.1
13-3 69.8% 9.7    5.8 3.5 0.4 0.0
12-4 36.3% 4.9    1.6 2.3 0.9 0.1 0.0
11-5 10.0% 1.2    0.1 0.3 0.6 0.2 0.0
10-6 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 44.0% 44.0 32.8 9.0 1.9 0.3 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 6.4% 59.3% 59.3% 14.8 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.0 0.7 2.6
15-1 10.6% 51.1% 51.1% 15.2 0.1 0.7 2.7 1.9 5.2
14-2 12.8% 44.8% 44.8% 15.6 0.0 0.3 1.8 3.6 7.1
13-3 13.9% 35.8% 35.8% 15.8 0.1 0.9 4.0 8.9
12-4 13.5% 30.7% 30.7% 15.9 0.0 0.4 3.8 9.4
11-5 12.0% 22.9% 22.9% 16.0 0.1 2.7 9.2
10-6 9.6% 16.6% 16.6% 16.0 0.0 1.6 8.0
9-7 6.9% 11.9% 11.9% 16.0 0.8 6.1
8-8 4.8% 7.8% 7.8% 16.0 0.4 4.4
7-9 2.8% 6.6% 6.6% 16.0 0.2 2.6
6-10 1.4% 4.8% 4.8% 16.0 0.1 1.3
5-11 0.8% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.0 0.7
4-12 0.2% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.0 0.2
3-13 0.1% 0.1
2-14 0.1% 0.1
1-15 0.0% 0.0
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 29.9% 29.9% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.3 2.1 7.9 19.6 70.1 0.0%