Cleveland St.
Horizon
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating -9.8 316
Results Rating -8.6 302
Consistency 0.15 165
Pace 72.5 75
Improvement +2.9 68

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C 160 C+ D+ C- B- C
Defense F 364 F F+ D+ D+ D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 31% 348 C- 56% 237 -5.3 344
2 Pt. Jumpers 27% 300 D 34% 317 -2.6 298
Three Pointers 54% 6 B+ 38% 29 +9.8 2
Shot Selection/Accuracy C +0.1 184 C+ +1.8 111
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.06 115
Second Chance D 25.1% 322 C 1.04 157 D+ 0.26 289
Opponents' Steals C+ 9.2% 157
Other Turnovers D 8.6% 326
Turnovers C- 17.9% 257
Freethrows C+ 0.32 124 B 76% 54 B- 0.25 94
Total Offense C +0.3 160

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C+ 50% 151 F 18.2% 364
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 24% 188 C- 6.2% 262
Three Pointers D+ 80% 279 F 2.0% 349
Total B- 61% 71 F+ 7.6% 342

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 259 F 68% 362 +2.3 258
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% 317 D- 43% 332 -1.0 117
Three Pointers 48% 25 D- 38% 336 +6.4 356
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.4 248 F +7.0 362
1st FG Attempt F 1.17 362
Second Chance F+ 36.7% 351 C- 1.08 257 F+ 0.40 346
Turnovers from Steals D 7.7% 306
Other Turnovers C 7.4% 155
Turnovers D+ 15.1% 281
Freethrows C- 0.32 223 D- 76% 343 D+ 0.24 269
Total Defense F -10.1 364

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D 56% 322 D 7.4% 322
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 29% 260 D+ 3.4% 266
Three Pointers D 88% 304 C- 0.7% 202
Total D- 64% 338 D 3.6% 329

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.0 135 16.7 75
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.21 76 0.22 332
Consistency 0.12 176 0.12 171
Improvement +2.3 78 +0.6 152

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 329 319 309
Results Rating Rank 316 310 286
Conference Record 6 - 14 6 - 14 7 - 13
Conference Finish 10 10 10
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Robert Morris (Away) - 12.0% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 33 - 93 - 13
Quad 44 - 97 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 283 @Loyola Chicago L 88 - 91 29% -2  25% 0 - 1 D+ -7 B+ +9 B- A F F -15 D C F
 Mon, Nov 10 65 @Northwestern L 63 - 110 3% -24  1% 0 - 2 F -35 F -11 C C F F -22 F F D-
 Sat, Nov 15 159 Kent St. L 95 - 102 18% -2  22% 0 - 3 D+ -7 A- +11 A A+ F+ F -17 D F F+
 Sun, Nov 16 230 Radford W 87 - 82 28% -9  10% 1 - 3 C +1 D+ -4 C+ F+ D+ B +4 A D- C+
 Wed, Nov 19 150 Valparaiso L 75 - 90 24% -12  0% 1 - 4 F+ -17 C +0 C D A F -18 F F D
 Sat, Nov 22 159 @Kent St. L 71 - 91 12% -14  1% 1 - 5 F+ -17 F -12 D D- F D+ -3 F C+ A+
 Fri, Nov 28 47 @Missouri L 59 - 86 2% -19  0% 1 - 6 D- -13 F -12 C- F F C -0 C- F A
 Wed, Dec 3 191 @Northern Kentucky L 80 - 95 15% -8  2% 1 - 7 0 - 1 D- -14 B- +4 A- B F F -18 F F B
 Sat, Dec 6 254 Detroit Mercy L 59 - 71 43% -4  24% 1 - 8 0 - 2 F -20 F -15 F C- F D -6 C- B- F
 Wed, Dec 17 112 @UAB L 77 - 101 7% -7  18% 1 - 9 F+ -18 C+ +2 A F D F -18 F D- D
 Sun, Dec 21 263 Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 71 - 81 46% +0  49% 1 - 10 0 - 3 F -19 D+ -4 F D A+ F -15 D F+ F
 Mon, Dec 29 326 IU Indianapolis W 99 - 86 64% +10  94% 2 - 10 1 - 3 C -0 B+ +7 B- C+ B F+ -9 B F D-
 Sun, Jan 4 259 @Purdue Fort Wayne L 71 - 74 24% +4  70% 2 - 11 1 - 4 D+ -5 D+ -3 F+ A+ D- C- -3 C D+ D-
 Fri, Jan 9 163 @Oakland L 72 - 97 12% -13  6% 2 - 12 1 - 5 F -22 F+ -10 F C C- F -11 B- F B-
 Sun, Jan 11 254 @Detroit Mercy L 84 - 94 23% -11  1% 2 - 13 1 - 6 D- -12 C +0 A F F F -12 F F A
 Thu, Jan 15 227 Green Bay L 73 - 88 38% -2  43% 2 - 14 1 - 7 F -22 C +1 B+ F C- F -25 F F D-
 Sat, Jan 17 204 Youngstown St. W 80 - 78 34% +1  52% 3 - 14 2 - 7 C- -3 B- +4 A+ C- F+ D- -7 C A- F
 Wed, Jan 21 162 @Wright St. W 85 - 79 12% -0  33% 4 - 14 3 - 7 B +9 A- +11 B+ D A- C- -2 B F F
 Fri, Jan 30 227 @Green Bay W 89 - 82 19% +5  80% 5 - 14 4 - 7 B- +6 A+ +16 A+ A+ D- F+ -9 D F+ F+
 Sun, Feb 1 263 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 90 - 88 25% +4  96% 6 - 14 5 - 7 C -1 A +12 A+ A- C+ F -13 F F C-
 Wed, Feb 4 163 Oakland W 91 - 78 27% -2  25% 7 - 14 6 - 7 B +10 B+ +9 A+ F+ C C+ +1 C- B- A-
 Sat, Feb 7 326 @IU Indianapolis L 74 - 82 41% -13  1% 7 - 15 6 - 8 F+ -15 F -12 F+ F C- D+ -3 F A C+
 Thu, Feb 12 161 Robert Morris L 68 - 85 27% -10  12% 7 - 16 6 - 9 F -20 C- -2 C- F+ A- F -20 F F+ F
 Sun, Feb 15 162 Wright St. L 90 - 102 27% -10  2% 7 - 17 6 - 10 F+ -15 B +7 A D- A- F -21 F C C+
 Wed, Feb 18 204 @Youngstown St. L 82 - 106 17% -14  0% 7 - 18 6 - 11 F -23 B+ +7 B+ F A+ F -31 F F F+
 Sun, Feb 22 259 Purdue Fort Wayne L 86 - 92 45% -6  12% 7 - 19 6 - 12 D- -14 C- -1 B D- C+ F -13 F B B-
 Wed, Feb 25 191 Northern Kentucky L 70 - 81 32% -14  0% 7 - 20 6 - 13 F+ -16 F+ -9 F C+ B+ D- -7 F D+ B
 Sat, Feb 28 161 @Robert Morris L 73 - 86 12%
Totals 7 - 21 6 - 14 -10 C +0 D+ C+ C F -10 B+ B B-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C C- D B+ C+ 31% 27% 54% C C+ D C D+ C- C+ B B- F F D- D- F 36% 16% 48% D+ F F+ C- F+ D+ C- D- D+
1.09 56% 34% 38% +2 0 1.06 25% 1.0 .26 18% .32 76% .25 1.23 68% 43% 38% +7 0 1.17 37% 1.1 .40 15% .32 76% .25
Nov
3		 Loyola Chicago B+ D A+ C- B- 32% 21% 46% C- B- A+ F+ A F A+ A+ A+ F B- F D D 34% 7% 59% C- D B- D+ C F F F F
1.22 50% 67% 35% +4 -1 1.09 50% 0.9 .44 19% .40 91% .36 1.27 53% 50% 36% +1 +1 1.07 29% 1.0 .29 10% .39 76% .29
Nov
10		 Northwestern F B F B- C 26% 22% 52% D+ C D- A- C F D- F F F D- D- F F 47% 19% 34% D- F F F F D- C D+ C
0.85 62% 18% 35% -3 -1 0.94 26% 1.1 .28 23% .23 38% .09 1.49 67% 45% 50% +14 +1 1.31 39% 1.7 .68 9% .33 77% .25
Nov
15		 Kent St. A- B D+ A+ A 22% 12% 66% C- A A+ B- A+ F+ A+ A A+ F F B- A- D+ 46% 12% 42% F+ D F+ F F F+ F C F
1.25 64% 33% 42% +9 0 1.20 47% 1.1 .50 20% .49 80% .39 1.34 70% 33% 29% +1 +2 1.08 40% 1.4 .54 14% .71 74% .52
Nov
16		 Radford D+ D+ A+ B C+ 39% 9% 52% B C+ D+ F F+ D+ A+ F+ A+ B B+ F A+ A 40% 19% 41% C A F B D- C+ F A- D
1.06 56% 50% 38% +3 +2 1.11 29% 0.8 .23 20% .70 65% .45 1.00 48% 55% 21% -9 0 0.84 39% 0.9 .35 18% .45 67% .30
Nov
19		 Valparaiso C A- D- F C- 40% 14% 46% B C F A+ D A A A+ A+ F F F C- F 35% 29% 36% D+ F F C F D C+ D- C
1.08 70% 29% 26% -2 +1 1.00 16% 1.4 .23 13% .38 83% .32 1.30 74% 50% 35% +9 -1 1.18 42% 1.1 .45 13% .33 75% .25
Nov
22		 Kent St. F F A+ C+ D- 48% 14% 39% B+ D F A+ D- F A+ C+ A+ D+ C- A+ F F 30% 7% 63% D F F+ A C+ A+ A+ C A+
0.91 43% 50% 35% -5 +2 0.95 13% 1.8 .22 23% .50 73% .37 1.16 59% 25% 44% +9 +1 1.23 40% 0.9 .34 24% .25 73% .19
Nov
28		 Missouri F C F B C- 29% 18% 53% B C- D F F F F+ F F C F D+ C D+ 27% 10% 63% C+ C- F B- F A A+ F A-
0.83 53% 11% 37% -4 0 0.94 24% 0.6 .13 24% .20 55% .11 1.22 79% 40% 34% +6 +1 1.16 51% 1.1 .57 23% .24 85% .20
Dec
3		 Northern Kentucky B- F F A+ A 29% 15% 56% C- A- C- A+ B F A+ A A+ F F+ F+ F F 37% 17% 46% B- F F F F B B- F D
1.12 42% 0% 57% +9 0 1.20 32% 1.4 .44 28% .54 79% .43 1.32 68% 44% 46% +13 0 1.29 44% 1.3 .56 20% .26 93% .24
Dec
6		 Detroit Mercy F F F B F 37% 15% 48% C- F A F C- F B+ D+ B- D F B- A- D 24% 49% 27% A+ C- B C B- F F+ B D
0.93 41% 0% 36% -10 +1 0.83 43% 0.8 .33 21% .40 70% .28 1.12 83% 36% 29% +3 -5 0.98 29% 0.9 .26 9% .33 74% .24
Dec
17		 UAB C+ F F A+ A- 47% 8% 45% A+ A F F F D C+ A+ A- F F B- F F 56% 11% 33% F F D D+ D- D F B+ F
1.04 44% 25% 54% +6 +2 1.19 16% 0.0 .00 19% .25 93% .23 1.37 71% 33% 39% +9 +3 1.25 36% 1.1 .39 9% .43 66% .28
Dec
21		 Wisconsin-Milwaukee D+ F F+ A- F+ 29% 25% 45% F F F A+ D A+ B+ C- B F F C C F+ 25% 25% 51% B+ D F B F+ F A+ F B+
1.10 40% 31% 39% -4 -1 0.92 17% 1.7 .28 11% .38 73% .28 1.25 69% 38% 33% +2 -1 1.04 44% 1.0 .44 8% .17 80% .13
Dec
29		 IU Indianapolis B+ A+ B+ F+ B- 44% 15% 42% C- B- C- B C+ B A+ A+ A+ F+ F C- A+ B 31% 17% 53% D+ B F+ F+ F D- F B- F
1.30 81% 43% 30% +8 +1 1.21 34% 1.3 .45 17% .56 86% .48 1.13 89% 40% 16% -4 0 0.93 33% 1.2 .40 13% .33 68% .23
Jan
4		 Purdue Fort Wayne D+ F F B- F+ 13% 13% 74% F+ F+ A- A A+ D- D- A- D C- F A+ B C 27% 8% 65% C C D- C D+ D- F F F
1.06 33% 17% 37% -2 -1 0.96 42% 1.3 .55 22% .21 82% .17 1.10 69% 25% 31% -1 +1 1.02 26% 1.0 .26 12% .36 81% .29
Jan
9		 Oakland F+ A C- F F 34% 28% 38% D F B D+ C C- F A D- F C- F A+ B 42% 14% 44% D B- F C- F B- F F F
0.97 71% 41% 9% -9 -1 0.82 39% 0.9 .35 16% .16 80% .13 1.31 60% 50% 23% -5 +1 0.95 53% 1.1 .60 16% .43 89% .39
Jan
11		 Detroit Mercy C C+ F A+ A 34% 9% 57% C+ A F F F F B F C- F F A+ F F 32% 32% 36% D+ F F C F A F F+ F
1.11 61% 0% 47% +8 +1 1.21 22% 0.8 .16 19% .39 63% .24 1.24 71% 24% 47% +7 -2 1.11 51% 0.9 .46 21% .52 84% .44
Jan
15		 Green Bay C A- B- B+ B+ 24% 12% 63% C+ B+ F A+ F C- A+ B A+ F F F F F 26% 13% 61% B- F C- F F D- B- F C-
1.19 70% 40% 38% +7 0 1.17 15% 1.5 .23 15% .46 79% .36 1.44 75% 50% 46% +17 0 1.37 25% 2.0 .50 13% .32 88% .28
Jan
17		 Youngstown St. B- C D+ A+ A+ 44% 9% 47% A- A+ F A+ C- F+ A+ B- A+ D- F F A+ C+ 29% 7% 64% C- C F A+ A- F C F D-
1.16 60% 33% 50% +12 +2 1.29 18% 1.5 .27 22% .72 77% .55 1.13 81% 100% 22% 0 +1 1.04 44% 0.5 .20 13% .27 88% .23
Jan
21		 Wright St. A- D+ F+ A+ B 44% 12% 44% B+ B+ F A+ D A- B+ A+ A+ C- B F A+ B+ 45% 20% 36% D+ B C+ F F F B- A B
1.23 55% 33% 45% +5 +2 1.16 15% 1.8 .26 13% .37 91% .33 1.14 52% 82% 15% -4 +1 0.95 30% 1.5 .45 10% .29 67% .19
Jan
30		 Green Bay A+ F+ B- A+ A+ 23% 23% 53% D- A+ B+ A+ A+ D- A+ A- A+ F+ A+ C F D+ 40% 10% 50% D- D F C F+ F+ C F D
1.36 50% 40% 57% +17 -1 1.33 38% 1.4 .54 17% .48 81% .39 1.25 40% 40% 48% +3 +1 1.12 32% 1.1 .35 12% .35 85% .30
Feb
1		 Wisconsin-Milwaukee A C- A+ A+ A+ 31% 4% 64% B- A+ B- A+ A- C+ A+ B A+ F D- F D- F 23% 21% 56% B- F D F F C- F F F
1.29 57% 100% 45% +13 +2 1.31 32% 1.4 .45 16% .44 77% .34 1.26 64% 60% 37% +8 -1 1.17 35% 1.4 .48 14% .45 78% .35
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
4		 Oakland B+ D- A- A+ A+ 27% 11% 63% B- A+ B+ F F+ C A- B+ A C+ F F+ A+ C- 36% 22% 42% B C- C B B- A- D F+ F+
1.28 53% 50% 49% +14 0 1.30 41% 0.6 .23 15% .30 78% .23 1.09 72% 45% 24% 0 0 1.02 30% 1.0 .30 18% .36 81% .29
Feb
7		 IU Indianapolis F A A+ F F+ 34% 6% 60% C F+ F F F C- D+ C- D+ D+ C- A F F 46% 13% 41% F F B A+ A C+ F B F
0.99 72% 67% 25% -2 +2 1.02 26% 0.7 .18 20% .37 73% .27 1.09 62% 29% 43% +6 +2 1.18 24% 0.8 .18 17% .29 67% .19
Feb
12		 Robert Morris C- B- B+ D C 29% 20% 51% D C- F C+ F+ A- B- A- B+ F F D+ F+ F 22% 20% 59% B F F C+ F+ F C C C
1.08 62% 44% 30% 0 -1 1.00 17% 1.0 .17 13% .40 82% .33 1.35 82% 40% 40% +11 -1 1.22 45% 1.1 .48 13% .24 69% .16
Feb
15		 Wright St. B A+ F A+ A+ 36% 21% 43% C- A F A+ D- A- F A+ F F F A+ F F 50% 15% 35% F F F+ A C C+ F D+ F
1.21 77% 31% 42% +11 0 1.23 18% 1.3 .24 13% .19 83% .16 1.37 75% 14% 71% +24 +2 1.54 38% 0.9 .33 18% .47 76% .36
Feb
18		 Youngstown St. B+ A+ A+ C A- 16% 9% 75% C B+ F+ F F A+ F C- F F D- A+ F F 48% 9% 43% F+ F D F F F+ F D- F
1.17 89% 60% 35% +8 0 1.18 23% 0.8 .18 11% .18 73% .13 1.51 68% 25% 65% +24 +2 1.54 33% 1.6 .54 16% .57 76% .44
Feb
22		 Purdue Fort Wayne C- A- F A B+ 23% 9% 68% C- B F A+ D- C+ B+ D- B- F D- F F F 38% 4% 58% F+ F C A+ B B- F A+ D
1.13 69% 20% 42% +9 0 1.21 19% 1.5 .29 18% .32 70% .23 1.21 65% 100% 48% +18 +2 1.42 22% 0.7 .16 17% .36 57% .21
Feb
25		 Northern Kentucky F+ D F F F 43% 13% 44% B F F A+ C+ B+ C A+ B+ D- F A+ D+ F 33% 11% 57% C F A- F D+ B F D+ F
0.97 52% 14% 21% -14 +1 0.76 21% 1.9 .38 17% .35 81% .28 1.12 80% 20% 35% +6 +1 1.15 24% 1.4 .34 19% .45 73% .33



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 88.0 12.0 100.0 10th
11th 11th
Total 88.0 12.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13 12.0% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 12.0
6-14 88.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.2 87.8
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 16.0 99.7 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.1%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.4%
Lose Out 66.1%