Cleveland St.
Horizon
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.8#303
Expected Predictive Rating-10.6#320
Pace77.9#31
Improvement+0.0#173

Offense
Total Offense-1.5#203
First Shot-0.1#178
After Offensive Rebound-1.3#262
Layup/Dunks-2.6#271
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#264
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#94
Freethrows+1.3#106
Improvement-1.4#311

Defense
Total Defense-6.3#352
First Shot-5.6#337
After Offensive Rebounds-0.7#244
Layups/Dunks-3.4#293
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#264
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#236
Freethrows+0.1#179
Improvement+1.4#50
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.7% 3.9% 1.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.6 15.7
.500 or above 5.0% 15.9% 4.9%
.500 or above in Conference 25.2% 44.6% 25.0%
Conference Champion 1.2% 2.8% 1.1%
Last Place in Conference 14.8% 5.3% 14.9%
First Four1.0% 2.8% 1.0%
First Round1.3% 3.3% 1.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Missouri (Away) - 1.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 32 - 82 - 12
Quad 48 - 89 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 265 @Loyola Chicago L 88-91 31%     0 - 1 -5.6 +10.9 -16.4
  Mon, Nov 10 56 @Northwestern L 63-110 4%     0 - 2 -34.4 -8.5 -23.5
  Sat, Nov 15 124 Kent St. L 95-102 16%     0 - 3 -4.3 +13.7 -17.4
  Sun, Nov 16 273 Radford W 87-82 43%     1 - 3 -1.1 -2.3 +0.4
  Wed, Nov 19 268 Valparaiso L 75-90 53%     1 - 4 -23.7 +0.3 -24.2
  Sat, Nov 22 124 @Kent St. L 71-91 11%     1 - 5 -14.3 -8.7 -3.5
  Fri, Nov 28 33 @Missouri L 72-96 1%    
  Wed, Dec 3 198 @Northern Kentucky L 77-85 22%    
  Sat, Dec 6 328 Detroit Mercy W 86-81 66%    
  Wed, Dec 17 107 @UAB L 76-91 8%    
  Sun, Dec 21 208 Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 81-83 44%    
  Mon, Dec 29 355 IU Indianapolis W 102-94 78%    
  Sun, Jan 4 236 @Purdue Fort Wayne L 81-87 28%    
  Fri, Jan 9 138 @Oakland L 81-93 13%    
  Sun, Jan 11 328 @Detroit Mercy L 83-84 45%    
  Thu, Jan 15 267 Green Bay W 78-77 54%    
  Sat, Jan 17 189 Youngstown St. L 79-82 40%    
  Wed, Jan 21 146 @Wright St. L 72-83 17%    
  Fri, Jan 30 267 @Green Bay L 75-80 33%    
  Sun, Feb 1 208 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 78-86 25%    
  Wed, Feb 4 138 Oakland L 84-90 29%    
  Sat, Feb 7 355 @IU Indianapolis W 99-97 58%    
  Thu, Feb 12 185 Robert Morris L 79-82 39%    
  Sun, Feb 15 146 Wright St. L 75-80 33%    
  Wed, Feb 18 189 @Youngstown St. L 76-85 22%    
  Sun, Feb 22 236 Purdue Fort Wayne L 83-84 48%    
  Wed, Feb 25 198 Northern Kentucky L 80-82 42%    
  Sat, Feb 28 185 @Robert Morris L 76-85 22%    
Projected Record 9 - 19 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 2.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.3 1.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 3.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 2.0 2.0 0.4 0.1 5.0 4th
5th 0.1 0.7 2.6 3.0 0.9 0.1 7.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.9 3.6 3.9 1.2 0.1 9.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.4 4.3 4.7 1.7 0.1 0.0 12.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.0 5.4 5.5 1.7 0.1 15.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.8 3.4 6.4 5.3 1.7 0.2 17.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 1.6 4.5 5.3 3.7 1.3 0.1 0.0 16.9 10th
11th 0.1 0.8 1.8 2.6 2.4 1.1 0.3 0.0 9.2 11th
Total 0.1 0.9 2.2 4.3 7.7 10.1 12.5 13.4 12.6 11.0 8.9 6.7 4.5 2.6 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-3 78.4% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-4 73.1% 0.2    0.1 0.0 0.0
15-5 58.9% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.0
14-6 19.5% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-7 3.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.2% 1.2 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0
18-2 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.1% 32.4% 32.4% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-4 0.3% 9.0% 9.0% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.2
15-5 0.7% 15.2% 15.2% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.6
14-6 1.3% 8.0% 8.0% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.2
13-7 2.6% 9.3% 9.3% 15.5 0.1 0.1 2.4
12-8 4.5% 6.7% 6.7% 15.9 0.0 0.3 4.2
11-9 6.7% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 0.0 0.3 6.4
10-10 8.9% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.2 8.7
9-11 11.0% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 10.8
8-12 12.6% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 12.5
7-13 13.4% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 13.3
6-14 12.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 12.5
5-15 10.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 10.0
4-16 7.7% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 7.7
3-17 4.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 4.3
2-18 2.2% 2.2
1-19 0.9% 0.9
0-20 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 1.7% 1.7% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.3 98.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%