Cleveland St.
Horizon
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -10.3 #328
Expected Predictive Rating -13.5 #340
Pace 71.9 #101
Improvement +0.0 #188

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #240 C D+ F B C
Defense #356 D- F D C C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% #304 1.07 #281 -4.2 #315
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% #243 0.65 #302 -2.6 #306
Three Pointers 49% #40 1.10 #63 +6.2 #25
1st FG Attempt 1.02 #180 -0.6 #191
Freethrows 19.2 #97 74% #128 14.3 #80
Second Chance 28.1% #249 1.01 #226 0.28 #259
Turnovers 19.8% #344
Total Offense -2.7 #240

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% #251 1.35 #353 -2.0 #256
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% #287 0.77 #199 +0.9 #131
Three Pointers 47% #38 1.04 #228 -3.8 #320
1st FG Attempt 1.11 #315 -4.8 #321
Freethrows 16.7 #157 78% #349 13.0 #151
Second Chance 38.5% #357 1.08 #230 0.41 #346
Turnovers 14.7% #300
Total Defense -7.6 #356

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 0.2% #180 0.5% #213
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -0.2% #177 8.4% #320
Possession Length 17.0 #151 16.7 #84
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.20 #109 0.21 #295
Improvement -1.4 #268 +1.4 #102

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.6% 1.2% 0.2%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 26.9% 16.1% 33.9%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
First Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Green Bay (Home) - 39.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 31 - 101 - 14
Quad 45 - 106 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 259 @Loyola Chicago L 88 - 91 23% -2  0 - 1 -6 +10 B- A F -15 D C+ F
 Mon, Nov 10 63 @Northwestern L 63 - 110 3% -24  0 - 2 -35 -9 C+ C- F -24 F F F
 Sat, Nov 15 146 Kent St. L 95 - 102 15% -2  0 - 3 -6 +13 A A+ F -18 C- F F
 Sun, Nov 16 254 Radford W 87 - 82 32% -9  1 - 3 -0 -3 B- F D- +2 A- D B-
 Wed, Nov 19 184 Valparaiso L 75 - 90 29% -12  1 - 4 -20 +2 C D A+ -22 F F D-
 Sat, Nov 22 146 @Kent St. L 71 - 91 10% -14  1 - 5 -16 -10 D- F F -4 F B- A+
 Fri, Nov 28 53 @Missouri L 59 - 86 2% -19  1 - 6 -14 -10 C- F F -4 C F A+
 Wed, Dec 3 179 @Northern Kentucky L 80 - 95 14% -8  1 - 7 0 - 1 -13 +5 B+ A- F -19 F F B+
 Sat, Dec 6 273 Detroit Mercy L 59 - 71 47% -4  1 - 8 0 - 2 -21 -14 F C F -9 C- B F
 Wed, Dec 17 115 @UAB L 77 - 101 7% -7  1 - 9 -17 +3 A+ F F -19 F D+ D-
 Sun, Dec 21 229 Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 71 - 81 36% +0  1 - 10 0 - 3 -17 -1 F C A+ -16 D F F
 Mon, Dec 29 353 IU Indianapolis W 99 - 86 72% +10  2 - 10 1 - 3 -3 +8 B- F B- -13 B- F F
 Sun, Jan 4 237 @Purdue Fort Wayne L 71 - 74 19% +4  2 - 11 1 - 4 -4 +0 F A+ D- -5 C C- F
 Fri, Jan 9 135 @Oakland L 72 - 97 9% -14  2 - 12 1 - 5 -21 -8 F C+ C- -11 A- F A-
 Sun, Jan 11 273 @Detroit Mercy L 84 - 94 25% -11  2 - 13 1 - 6 -13 +2 A F F -15 F F A+
 Thu, Jan 15 243 Green Bay L 74 - 77 40%
 Sat, Jan 17 209 Youngstown St. L 74 - 78 33%
 Wed, Jan 21 142 @Wright St. L 70 - 84 9%
 Fri, Jan 30 243 @Green Bay L 71 - 80 22%
 Sun, Feb 1 229 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 75 - 85 18%
 Wed, Feb 4 135 Oakland L 82 - 91 20%
 Sat, Feb 7 353 @IU Indianapolis W 89 - 88 50%
 Thu, Feb 12 214 Robert Morris L 75 - 79 34%
 Sun, Feb 15 142 Wright St. L 73 - 81 22%
 Wed, Feb 18 209 @Youngstown St. L 71 - 81 17%
 Sun, Feb 22 237 Purdue Fort Wayne L 78 - 81 38%
 Wed, Feb 25 179 Northern Kentucky L 77 - 83 29%
 Sat, Feb 28 214 @Robert Morris L 72 - 82 17%
Totals 5 - 23 4 - 16 -10 -3 C D+ F -8 D- F D




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.1 1.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.7 0.4 0.0 3.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.4 3.4 3.9 1.4 0.1 10.3 9th
10th 0.4 4.9 13.8 19.4 17.5 9.9 2.9 0.4 69.2 10th
11th 2.6 5.6 4.3 1.9 0.5 0.0 0.0 14.9 11th
Total 3.0 10.6 18.2 21.4 19.4 13.6 7.8 4.0 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0% 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.1% 0.0 0.1
10-10 0.5% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.0 0.5
9-11 1.5% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 1.5
8-12 4.0% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 4.0
7-13 7.8% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 7.7
6-14 13.6% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 13.5
5-15 19.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 19.4
4-16 21.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 21.4
3-17 18.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 18.2
2-18 10.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 10.6
1-19 3.0% 3.0
0-20
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 16.0 99.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 2.5%