Dartmouth
Ivy League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -2.6 #204
Expected Predictive Rating -2.6 #209
Pace 75.2 #47
Improvement +6.0 #4

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #199 B- D+ D- C C
Defense #210 C+ C F B- D-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 30% #351 1.09 #270 -6.1 #347
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% #246 0.74 #196 -1.4 #249
Three Pointers 53% #12 1.16 #21 +10.0 #4
1st FG Attempt 1.07 #109 +2.5 #109
Freethrows 17.5 #178 73% #163 12.9 #161
Second Chance 26.2% #305 1.07 #157 0.28 #265
Turnovers 19.2% #322
Total Offense -1.3 #199

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 47% #14 1.20 #235 -5.7 #345
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% #223 0.80 #255 +0.1 #177
Three Pointers 35% #331 0.80 #4 +6.9 #6
1st FG Attempt 0.99 #133 +1.3 #135
Freethrows 15.4 #86 73% #189 11.2 #278
Second Chance 31.3% #207 0.98 #102 0.31 #150
Turnovers 12.1% #362
Total Defense -1.3 #210

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -0.4% #222 1.7% #319
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 5.3% #99 -4.3% #98
Possession Length 16.7 #117 16.6 #69
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.15 #244 0.18 #200
Improvement +3.2 #27 +2.8 #44

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.5% 10.1% 5.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 14.9 15.2
.500 or above 36.0% 46.4% 19.0%
.500 or above in Conference 71.2% 81.5% 54.2%
Conference Champion 14.9% 19.9% 6.7%
Last Place in Conference 6.5% 2.9% 12.3%
First Four0.9% 0.9% 0.9%
First Round8.1% 9.8% 5.3%
Second Round0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Penn (Home) - 62.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 34 - 44 - 8
Quad 48 - 512 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sun, Nov 9 129 Marist L 56 - 75 44% -8  0 - 1 -20 -14 F C F -5 C- C+ C+
 Wed, Nov 12 329 @Bryant L 75 - 82 68% -1  0 - 2 -14 -3 C F D- -11 F A- F
 Sun, Nov 16 223 Appalachian St. L 77 - 85 65% -5  0 - 3 -14 +0 A D F -15 F B- B
 Sat, Nov 29 246 @St. Peter's W 87 - 61 47% +7  1 - 3 +24 +21 A+ B+ A+ +4 A D D-
 Wed, Dec 3 335 New Hampshire W 69 - 68 86% -2  2 - 3 -13 -8 C F F -5 B- A- F
 Sat, Dec 6 96 @Wyoming L 80 - 93 15% -1  2 - 4 -5 +7 A+ C F -11 F A+ F
 Tue, Dec 9 97 @Colorado St. L 55 - 76 16% -9  2 - 5 -13 -12 D+ F F -3 F A+ C+
 Sat, Dec 13 256 Boston University W 77 - 64 71% +9  3 - 5 +5 +0 C F D +5 A+ A- D-
 Tue, Dec 16 310 @Holy Cross W 89 - 64 62% +11  4 - 5 +19 +17 A+ C+ F +3 A B F
 Fri, Dec 19 285 @Sacred Heart L 63 - 85 56% -8  4 - 6 -26 -17 F C- F -8 A- F F
 Mon, Dec 29 12 @Florida L 72 - 94 2% -21  4 - 7 +1 +7 A+ C- B+ -5 C+ D- C
 Mon, Jan 5 162 @Harvard W 76 - 68 31% +3  5 - 7 1 - 0 +11 +12 A+ A- C -1 A+ F F
 Sat, Jan 10 193 @Cornell W 102 - 91 36% +8  6 - 7 2 - 0 +12 +16 B+ B A+ -5 A- C D-
 Sat, Jan 17 206 Penn W 82 - 79 62%
 Mon, Jan 19 221 Princeton W 75 - 71 64%
 Sat, Jan 24 163 Columbia W 79 - 78 54%
 Fri, Jan 30 94 @Yale L 75 - 86 14%
 Sat, Jan 31 248 @Brown L 71 - 72 48%
 Sat, Feb 7 162 Harvard W 73 - 72 53%
 Fri, Feb 13 94 Yale L 78 - 83 30%
 Sat, Feb 14 248 Brown W 74 - 69 69%
 Sat, Feb 21 163 @Columbia L 76 - 81 32%
 Fri, Feb 27 206 @Penn L 79 - 82 39%
 Sat, Feb 28 221 @Princeton L 72 - 74 41%
 Sat, Mar 7 193 Cornell W 92 - 90 59%
Totals 12 - 13 8 - 6 -3 -1 B- D+ D- -1 C+ C F




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.2 2.5 5.2 4.5 1.9 0.5 0.1 14.9 1st
2nd 0.4 5.2 9.6 5.0 0.9 0.0 21.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 4.8 9.9 3.3 0.3 18.4 3rd
4th 0.0 2.6 9.2 3.2 0.2 15.2 4th
5th 0.0 1.1 7.2 3.8 0.2 12.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 4.5 4.1 0.2 9.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.3 3.1 0.3 6.0 7th
8th 0.2 1.0 1.2 0.3 0.0 2.7 8th
Total 0.2 1.4 4.0 9.0 14.2 18.4 18.7 15.6 10.6 5.4 1.9 0.5 0.1 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
13-1 100.0% 0.5    0.5
12-2 99.0% 1.9    1.6 0.3
11-3 83.6% 4.5    3.1 1.4 0.0
10-4 49.5% 5.2    2.1 2.5 0.6 0.0
9-5 16.1% 2.5    0.3 1.0 0.9 0.3 0.0
8-6 1.2% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 14.9% 14.9 7.7 5.2 1.6 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-1 0.5% 29.3% 29.3% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3
12-2 1.9% 22.6% 22.6% 13.7 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 1.5
11-3 5.4% 20.8% 20.8% 14.2 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.3 0.0 4.3
10-4 10.6% 15.5% 15.5% 14.7 0.0 0.5 1.1 0.1 8.9
9-5 15.6% 13.1% 13.1% 15.0 0.2 1.6 0.2 13.6
8-6 18.7% 10.7% 10.7% 15.5 0.0 1.1 0.9 16.7
7-7 18.4% 5.5% 5.5% 15.9 0.1 1.0 17.4
6-8 14.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 14.2
5-9 9.0% 9.0
4-10 4.0% 4.0
3-11 1.4% 1.4
2-12 0.2% 0.2
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 8.5% 8.5% 0.0% 15.0 91.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%