Dartmouth
Ivy League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.7#299
Expected Predictive Rating-19.7#360
Pace76.6#41
Improvement+0.1#170

Offense
Total Offense-4.8#302
First Shot-0.1#176
After Offensive Rebound-4.7#359
Layup/Dunks-8.0#359
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#163
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.0#31
Freethrows+1.8#82
Improvement+0.2#157

Defense
Total Defense-2.9#270
First Shot-5.3#330
After Offensive Rebounds+2.4#52
Layups/Dunks-4.7#328
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#245
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#175
Freethrows+0.0#187
Improvement-0.2#205
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.9% 1.3% 0.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.3 15.7
.500 or above 3.8% 7.3% 1.6%
.500 or above in Conference 14.6% 20.0% 11.4%
Conference Champion 0.6% 1.1% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 46.2% 38.3% 50.9%
First Four0.4% 0.4% 0.4%
First Round0.7% 1.1% 0.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: St. Peter's (Away) - 37.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 31 - 62 - 11
Quad 45 - 87 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sun, Nov 9 154 Marist L 56-75 33%     0 - 1 -22.1 -15.5 -5.9
  Wed, Nov 12 302 @Bryant L 75-82 39%     0 - 2 -11.8 -2.5 -8.9
  Sun, Nov 16 279 Appalachian St. L 77-85 57%     0 - 3 -17.4 -2.7 -14.5
  Sat, Nov 29 295 @St. Peter's L 70-73 37%    
  Wed, Dec 3 354 New Hampshire W 77-69 78%    
  Sat, Dec 6 117 @Wyoming L 70-84 10%    
  Tue, Dec 9 87 @Colorado St. L 67-84 6%    
  Sat, Dec 13 227 Boston University L 74-75 47%    
  Tue, Dec 16 330 @Holy Cross L 74-75 46%    
  Fri, Dec 19 261 @Sacred Heart L 79-84 31%    
  Mon, Dec 29 17 @Florida L 66-94 1%    
  Mon, Jan 5 179 @Harvard L 69-78 20%    
  Sat, Jan 10 161 @Cornell L 79-89 19%    
  Sat, Jan 17 223 Penn L 79-80 47%    
  Mon, Jan 19 238 Princeton L 74-75 49%    
  Sat, Jan 24 134 Columbia L 74-81 27%    
  Fri, Jan 30 69 @Yale L 70-89 5%    
  Sat, Jan 31 254 @Brown L 67-73 31%    
  Sat, Feb 7 179 Harvard L 72-75 39%    
  Fri, Feb 13 69 Yale L 73-86 14%    
  Sat, Feb 14 254 Brown W 70-69 51%    
  Sat, Feb 21 134 @Columbia L 71-84 14%    
  Fri, Feb 27 223 @Penn L 76-83 28%    
  Sat, Feb 28 238 @Princeton L 72-78 30%    
  Sat, Mar 7 161 Cornell L 82-86 37%    
Projected Record 7 - 18 4 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 1st
2nd 0.1 0.8 1.1 0.7 0.1 0.0 2.8 2nd
3rd 0.3 2.0 2.3 0.8 0.1 0.0 5.5 3rd
4th 0.3 3.2 3.6 1.0 0.1 8.1 4th
5th 0.4 4.3 6.1 1.3 0.0 0.0 12.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.9 5.4 7.8 1.9 0.0 16.0 6th
7th 0.2 2.3 7.8 8.7 2.3 0.1 21.4 7th
8th 3.5 8.6 11.5 7.8 2.0 0.1 33.5 8th
Total 3.5 8.8 13.9 16.4 16.5 14.7 11.6 7.0 4.1 2.1 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
12-2 64.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0
11-3 61.9% 0.2    0.1 0.1
10-4 22.6% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
9-5 3.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
8-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 0.6% 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
12-2 0.1% 21.4% 21.4% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
11-3 0.4% 13.3% 13.3% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.3
10-4 1.0% 12.6% 12.6% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.9
9-5 2.1% 8.1% 8.1% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.9
8-6 4.1% 7.5% 7.5% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 3.8
7-7 7.0% 2.6% 2.6% 15.9 0.0 0.2 6.8
6-8 11.6% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 11.5
5-9 14.7% 14.7
4-10 16.5% 16.5
3-11 16.4% 16.4
2-12 13.9% 13.9
1-13 8.8% 8.8
0-14 3.5% 3.5
Total 100% 0.9% 0.9% 0.0% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 99.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.4%