Eastern Illinois
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.4#329
Expected Predictive Rating-9.6#308
Pace66.1#275
Improvement-2.7#347

Offense
Total Offense-7.3#350
First Shot-4.5#303
After Offensive Rebound-2.8#333
Layup/Dunks-4.3#317
2 Pt Jumpshots+5.2#11
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.3#352
Freethrows+1.8#79
Improvement+0.6#125

Defense
Total Defense-2.2#240
First Shot+2.6#91
After Offensive Rebounds-4.8#356
Layups/Dunks-1.9#257
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#41
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#111
Freethrows+0.9#127
Improvement-3.2#357
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.9% 0.0% 2.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 n/a 15.8
.500 or above 10.9% 15.8% 10.9%
.500 or above in Conference 32.8% 47.4% 32.8%
Conference Champion 3.5% 0.0% 3.5%
Last Place in Conference 17.9% 5.3% 17.9%
First Four1.6% 0.0% 1.6%
First Round2.0% 0.0% 2.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Purdue (Away) - 0.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 4
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 31 - 41 - 8
Quad 49 - 1110 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 268 @Valparaiso L 63-66 26%     0 - 1 -5.7 -9.7 +4.0
  Fri, Nov 7 270 Nicholls St. W 65-57 48%     1 - 1 -0.8 -9.7 +8.9
  Tue, Nov 11 66 @Notre Dame L 58-78 4%     1 - 2 -8.5 -0.2 -11.3
  Fri, Nov 14 16 @Kentucky L 53-99 1%     1 - 3 -25.3 -8.3 -18.5
  Tue, Nov 25 317 @Central Arkansas L 60-81 35%     1 - 4 -26.4 -9.0 -19.6
  Fri, Nov 28 3 @Purdue L 52-87 0.1%   
  Sat, Dec 6 306 Lindenwood W 70-69 56%    
  Wed, Dec 10 258 Eastern Kentucky L 71-72 46%    
  Sun, Dec 14 4 @Iowa St. L 54-86 0.1%   
  Thu, Dec 18 204 SIU Edwardsville L 63-67 37%    
  Thu, Jan 1 211 @Southeast Missouri St. L 65-74 20%    
  Sat, Jan 3 263 @Tennessee Martin L 63-70 26%    
  Thu, Jan 8 322 Tennessee Tech W 69-67 57%    
  Sat, Jan 10 224 Tennessee St. L 70-73 41%    
  Tue, Jan 13 353 Western Illinois W 68-62 71%    
  Thu, Jan 15 248 @Arkansas Little Rock L 62-70 25%    
  Thu, Jan 22 314 @Southern Indiana L 69-73 36%    
  Sat, Jan 24 310 @Morehead St. L 67-71 35%    
  Thu, Jan 29 263 Tennessee Martin L 66-67 48%    
  Sat, Jan 31 211 Southeast Missouri St. L 68-71 39%    
  Thu, Feb 5 224 @Tennessee St. L 67-76 23%    
  Sat, Feb 7 322 @Tennessee Tech L 66-70 37%    
  Tue, Feb 10 353 @Western Illinois W 66-65 50%    
  Sat, Feb 14 248 Arkansas Little Rock L 65-67 44%    
  Thu, Feb 19 310 Morehead St. W 70-68 55%    
  Sat, Feb 21 314 Southern Indiana W 72-70 56%    
  Thu, Feb 26 306 @Lindenwood L 67-72 35%    
  Sat, Feb 28 204 @SIU Edwardsville L 60-70 21%    
Projected Record 10 - 18 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.4 0.9 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 3.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 1.1 1.7 1.3 0.4 0.1 4.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.3 2.7 1.4 0.4 0.0 5.9 3rd
4th 0.1 1.5 3.2 1.9 0.4 0.0 7.0 4th
5th 0.1 1.4 4.0 2.4 0.4 0.0 8.2 5th
6th 0.1 1.3 4.1 3.4 0.6 0.0 9.4 6th
7th 0.1 1.1 4.6 4.1 0.9 0.0 10.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.4 4.8 4.7 1.3 0.1 12.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.1 4.5 4.9 1.2 0.1 13.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.8 4.6 3.8 1.2 0.1 13.3 10th
11th 0.1 0.7 1.9 3.1 3.1 2.1 0.6 0.1 11.8 11th
Total 0.1 0.7 2.0 4.0 6.2 8.8 10.4 12.1 12.0 10.9 9.9 7.6 6.2 3.9 2.7 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.2    0.1 0.0
17-3 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
16-4 92.2% 0.7    0.5 0.1 0.0
15-5 69.6% 0.9    0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0
14-6 34.5% 0.9    0.3 0.5 0.1 0.0
13-7 11.0% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 3.5% 3.5 2.0 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.2% 29.8% 29.8% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-3 0.3% 54.2% 54.2% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1
16-4 0.7% 26.7% 26.7% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5
15-5 1.3% 24.4% 24.4% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.0
14-6 2.7% 21.0% 21.0% 15.9 0.1 0.5 2.1
13-7 3.9% 12.9% 12.9% 15.9 0.0 0.5 3.4
12-8 6.2% 6.8% 6.8% 16.0 0.0 0.4 5.8
11-9 7.6% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.2 7.4
10-10 9.9% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.2 9.8
9-11 10.9% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 10.8
8-12 12.0% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 11.9
7-13 12.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 12.1
6-14 10.4% 10.4
5-15 8.8% 8.8
4-16 6.2% 6.2
3-17 4.0% 4.0
2-18 2.0% 2.0
1-19 0.7% 0.7
0-20 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 2.9% 2.9% 0.0% 15.8 0.1 0.5 2.3 97.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%