Fairleigh Dickinson
Northeast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating -11.9 339
Results Rating -13.0 345
Consistency 0.11 23
Pace 62.4 335
Improvement +2.9 71

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D 317 D- C- D+ D+ C-
Defense D- 331 F+ B- D+ D+ C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% 316 C- 55% 249 -3.8 315
2 Pt. Jumpers 34% 226 C 38% 190 -0.3 196
Three Pointers 46% 67 F 28% 359 -1.3 229
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- -0.3 223 D- -5.1 338
1st FG Attempt D- 0.91 335
Second Chance C+ 31.4% 153 D- 0.90 334 C- 0.28 244
Opponents' Steals C- 9.9% 239
Other Turnovers D+ 8.3% 300
Turnovers D+ 18.2% 278
Freethrows D+ 0.28 266 D+ 69% 277 D+ 0.19 287
Total Offense D -5.8 317

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots D+ 42% 289 C- 11.4% 207
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 18% 278 B- 4.0% 102
Three Pointers D+ 80% 264 C 0.9% 198
Total D+ 50% 301 C+ 5.1% 117

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 202 D- 64% 331 +2.0 245
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% 226 D+ 41% 294 +0.0 186
Three Pointers 43% 109 F+ 39% 356 +4.3 340
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.2 195 F+ +6.0 357
1st FG Attempt F+ 1.15 351
Second Chance B- 28.4% 103 B- 0.97 78 B- 0.27 73
Turnovers from Steals D- 7.1% 332
Other Turnovers B- 8.1% 81
Turnovers D+ 15.2% 274
Freethrows D+ 0.34 289 C 72% 180 D+ 0.25 287
Total Defense D- -6.1 331

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C+ 47% 154 F+ 5.1% 355
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 19% 56 F+ 0.7% 360
Three Pointers B+ 77% 34 C 0.9% 148
Total C+ 53% 124 F+ 2.5% 357

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 19.7 358 16.8 85
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.06 364 0.18 203
Consistency 0.11 84 0.12 151
Improvement -0.3 198 +3.1 41

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 345 337 324
Results Rating Rank 350 342 329
Conference Record 8 - 8 8 - 8 9 - 7
Conference Finish 7 6 4
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5% 7% 4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four5% 7% 4%
First Round2% 3% 2%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: LIU Brooklyn (Away) - 13.7% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 30 - 30 - 8
Quad 49 - 139 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 8 @Iowa St. L 50 - 88 0% -24  0% 0 - 1 D- -14 F -13 F C D- C -1 F A+ D+
 Sat, Nov 8 238 @St. Peter's L 83 - 93 16% -7  0% 0 - 2 D -11 B- +4 A+ B+ F F -15 F B- D-
 Wed, Nov 12 28 @Texas L 58 - 93 1% -17  11% 0 - 3 F+ -17 F -16 F F B+ C+ +1 D+ A D
 Sat, Nov 15 315 @NJIT L 81 - 93 31% -11  0% 0 - 4 F -19 D+ -3 D- D B- F -14 F C- A+
 Mon, Nov 24 308 East Texas A&M L 65 - 70 50% +5  71% 0 - 5 F+ -17 F -11 B- D+ F D -6 F B- B-
 Wed, Nov 26 341 Army L 73 - 81 62% -2  31% 0 - 6 F -23 D- -7 F A A+ F -16 D- D+ F
 Tue, Dec 2 60 @Providence L 64 - 94 2% -23  0% 0 - 7 F -18 D -6 D+ C F F -14 F B- C+
 Wed, Dec 10 153 @Fordham L 54 - 75 9% -11  19% 0 - 8 F -18 F -12 C F D D- -7 F C B
 Mon, Dec 22 136 @Boston College L 61 - 72 7% +2  59% 0 - 9 D+ -7 C +1 C- C- A F+ -9 F+ D- D-
 Mon, Dec 29 58 @Minnesota L 43 - 60 2% -7  6% 0 - 10 C- -5 F -19 F F F A+ +12 A+ C A-
 Fri, Jan 2 289 @Mercyhurst W 74 - 67 24% -0  44% 1 - 10 1 - 0 C+ +2 B- +4 A+ F+ F C -1 C C+ B+
 Sun, Jan 4 355 @St. Francis (PA) L 82 - 85 51% +0  46% 1 - 11 1 - 1 F+ -15 D+ -3 F C- A F -12 D- F F+
 Thu, Jan 8 347 Chicago St. W 70 - 63 66% +9  94% 2 - 11 2 - 1 D -9 F+ -9 F+ F+ D C+ +0 F A+ A-
 Sat, Jan 10 329 @New Haven L 55 - 65 35% -10  1% 2 - 12 2 - 2 F -18 F -15 F F B- D+ -4 F B- C-
 Sat, Jan 17 218 LIU Brooklyn L 59 - 66 29% -2  25% 2 - 13 2 - 3 D- -13 F -13 F F C- C -1 F+ B C+
 Mon, Jan 19 320 Wagner W 68 - 61 55% +4  82% 3 - 13 3 - 3 D+ -6 C -0 C- A- F D+ -5 C B F
 Fri, Jan 23 302 @Central Connecticut St. W 76 - 66 27% +4  50% 4 - 13 4 - 3 C+ +5 A- +11 A F+ A D+ -4 D+ D B-
 Mon, Jan 26 293 Le Moyne L 74 - 87 46% -13  0% 4 - 14 4 - 4 F -24 C- -2 F A- A+ F -23 F A D
 Thu, Jan 29 337 @Stonehill L 57 - 58 38% -1  41% 4 - 15 4 - 5 D -10 D- -8 F A- C+ C- -2 C+ D F+
 Sat, Jan 31 320 @Wagner L 72 - 75 OT 33% -1  37% 4 - 16 4 - 6 D -10 D -5 A- F D D -5 C+ B- F
 Thu, Feb 5 337 Stonehill W 74 - 58 61% +10  98% 5 - 16 5 - 6 C +1 B- +4 C A C C -1 B+ C+ D+
 Sat, Feb 7 289 Mercyhurst W 55 - 52 45% +0  37% 6 - 16 6 - 6 D+ -8 F+ -9 D+ D F B- +2 C A- F
 Thu, Feb 12 355 St. Francis (PA) W 66 - 59 73% +5  86% 7 - 16 7 - 6 D -11 F -15 F B+ F B +5 A+ C+ F+
 Sat, Feb 14 302 Central Connecticut St. L 57 - 63 48% -5  1% 7 - 17 7 - 7 F+ -17 F -12 F A+ F+ D- -7 B- C+ F
 Thu, Feb 19 347 @Chicago St. W 60 - 59 43% -0  44% 8 - 17 8 - 7 D -9 C- -1 F B- B F+ -8 F B+ C-
 Sat, Feb 21 329 New Haven L 77 - 84 58% -13  0% 8 - 18 8 - 8 F -21 B +6 B C+ C F -28 F F F
 Thu, Feb 26 293 @Le Moyne L 59 - 76 25% -4  19% 8 - 19 8 - 9 F -22 F -12 F C- D- F -11 F A- F
 Sat, Feb 28 218 @LIU Brooklyn L 64 - 76 14%
Totals 8 - 20 8 - 10 -12 D -6 D D- C- D- -6 F D+ D+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D C- C F D- 34% 34% 46% C- D- C+ D- C- D+ D+ D+ D+ D- D- D+ F+ F+ 38% 19% 43% C- F+ B- B- B- D+ D+ C D+
1.00 55% 38% 28% -5 0 0.91 31% 0.9 .28 18% .28 69% .19 1.17 64% 41% 39% +6 0 1.15 28% 1.0 .27 15% .34 72% .20
Nov
3		 Iowa St. F C+ F F F 22% 24% 54% C- F D- A+ C D- A F B- C F B+ F F 34% 27% 39% A F A+ A+ A+ D+ A+ C+ A+
0.71 60% 18% 20% -16 -2 0.67 20% 1.4 .28 25% .32 59% .19 1.25 85% 31% 52% +18 -1 1.36 26% 0.3 .09 13% .15 67% .10
Nov
8		 St. Peter's B- A- A+ A A+ 38% 10% 52% B- A+ C- A+ B+ F D- F F F F A+ F F 37% 19% 44% D+ F B- B- B- D- F D+ F
1.12 67% 60% 40% +10 +1 1.25 33% 1.5 .48 24% .36 55% .20 1.25 79% 20% 43% +10 0 1.23 32% 0.9 .29 15% .43 78% .33
Nov
12		 Texas F F B- F+ F 41% 17% 41% B+ F D+ F F B+ F F F C+ F F A+ C- 50% 10% 40% F D+ C A+ A D F A+ C+
0.79 38% 40% 29% -11 +1 0.81 21% 0.3 .06 12% .20 62% .12 1.27 81% 60% 24% +7 +2 1.21 39% 0.9 .34 12% .53 56% .30
Nov
15		 NJIT D+ D+ B- F F+ 30% 8% 62% B- D- C F D B- C- B- C F F F F F 31% 11% 58% F F C D C- A+ F B+ F
1.05 56% 40% 26% -8 +1 0.89 35% 0.8 .28 13% .34 74% .25 1.21 86% 60% 46% +22 +1 1.47 26% 1.0 .26 23% .64 66% .42
Nov
24		 East Texas A&M F B+ D C C+ 40% 7% 53% B- B- B F D+ F B- F D D F+ A+ F F 29% 17% 54% B- F D+ A+ B- B- A- A+ A
0.97 65% 33% 35% +3 +2 1.12 37% 0.9 .33 30% .34 56% .19 1.05 67% 11% 43% +5 0 1.12 27% 0.7 .19 19% .17 56% .09
Nov
26		 Army D- C- B+ F F 29% 17% 54% C- F C+ A+ A A+ B+ F+ C+ F F A+ D F+ 38% 10% 52% C- D- C+ F+ D+ F F D+ F
1.09 60% 44% 18% -11 0 0.79 33% 1.5 .50 9% .41 68% .28 1.21 67% 0% 36% +1 +1 1.06 28% 1.1 .31 12% .56 73% .41
Dec
2		 Providence D F F A+ D 42% 12% 46% A- D+ A+ F C F D A+ C- F D+ D+ F F 40% 13% 46% C- F D+ A B- C+ A+ D- A+
0.97 29% 17% 48% -5 +1 0.94 46% 0.6 .29 27% .23 82% .19 1.43 67% 43% 58% +21 +1 1.46 38% 1.0 .38 15% .20 82% .16
Dec
10		 Fordham F C C D C- 32% 16% 52% B C F F F D F C- F D- B F F F 41% 15% 43% D- F D+ B- C B C C+ C
0.83 56% 38% 31% -3 0 0.96 17% 0.0 .00 18% .17 67% .11 1.15 53% 57% 45% +8 +1 1.20 36% 0.9 .33 20% .25 69% .17
Dec
22		 Boston College C F B- C+ C- 26% 20% 54% C- C- B F+ C- A F B F F+ F F B- F 23% 16% 60% C- F+ F C D- D- F A+ F
1.01 38% 40% 33% -5 -1 0.90 32% 0.7 .22 10% .18 70% .13 1.19 70% 71% 31% +5 -1 1.12 38% 1.0 .38 12% .47 56% .26
Dec
29		 Minnesota F A- F F F 21% 21% 57% C- F B+ F F F A- F C A+ B- A+ B- A+ 26% 15% 60% B+ A+ D B+ C A- A A+ A+
0.71 67% 11% 25% -12 -1 0.76 33% 0.3 .10 23% .30 57% .17 0.99 58% 14% 32% -5 0 0.91 33% 0.9 .31 20% .25 50% .12
Jan
2		 Mercyhurst B- C A+ A+ A+ 59% 9% 32% A A+ B- F F+ F D- B- D+ C D- F A+ C 35% 28% 37% D C C B C+ B+ F F F
1.16 58% 75% 50% +11 +3 1.30 36% 0.6 .23 23% .33 75% .24 1.05 63% 54% 18% -3 -1 0.93 26% 1.0 .26 19% .38 90% .35
Jan
4		 St. Francis (PA) D+ B A+ F F 33% 24% 43% F+ F F A+ C- A A+ A- A+ F A F D- F+ 22% 24% 53% B+ D- B F F F+ F F F
1.14 69% 50% 24% 0 -1 1.00 23% 1.6 .37 13% .52 79% .41 1.18 45% 50% 38% +4 -2 1.06 23% 1.7 .40 15% .49 83% .41
Jan
8		 Chicago St. F+ B+ A+ F F+ 24% 10% 67% D+ F+ C- F F+ D A+ D+ A+ C+ A+ F F D- 40% 11% 49% F F A+ A+ A+ A- F+ F F
1.06 70% 50% 29% -1 0 1.00 34% 0.8 .29 21% .65 74% .48 0.95 39% 60% 41% 0 +1 1.04 10% 0.7 .07 20% .32 82% .26
Jan
10		 New Haven F D F F F 35% 6% 58% B F C- F F B- A- D- B D+ F A- D F 46% 18% 36% F+ F A F B- C- F A+ F
0.88 53% 0% 21% -15 +2 0.75 26% 0.6 .17 14% .34 72% .24 1.04 78% 29% 36% +8 +1 1.21 13% 1.3 .17 18% .51 54% .27
Jan
17		 LIU Brooklyn F C C- F F 37% 19% 44% D+ F C- F F C- A+ F A- C F B- C F+ 57% 24% 20% D- F+ D+ A+ B C+ A A+ A+
0.91 56% 38% 21% -9 0 0.84 33% 0.6 .21 19% .49 58% .29 1.02 69% 36% 33% +6 +1 1.15 37% 0.7 .27 22% .20 50% .10
Jan
19		 Wagner C F A+ B B 19% 44% 36% F C- A C A- F A+ B- A+ D+ D+ C+ B C- 36% 36% 29% A C A+ F B F D F F
1.17 43% 50% 38% +5 -4 1.03 41% 1.1 .45 24% .57 76% .43 1.05 56% 38% 31% -2 -2 0.93 19% 1.4 .27 14% .32 88% .28
Jan
23		 Central Connecticut St. A- A F A+ A+ 40% 20% 40% D A F C- F+ A D- C+ D- D+ A- F B D+ 36% 34% 30% C- D+ F B D B- C- F D
1.29 70% 20% 50% +11 0 1.24 21% 1.0 .21 9% .20 82% .17 1.12 50% 60% 31% +3 -2 1.05 36% 0.9 .32 19% .27 85% .23
Jan
26		 Le Moyne C- D+ D F F 40% 13% 46% B- F B A- A- A+ A+ A+ A+ F C- F F F 44% 10% 46% F+ F A+ C A D F F F
1.11 52% 29% 8% -21 +1 0.62 37% 1.2 .46 8% .50 84% .42 1.31 61% 50% 63% +23 +2 1.51 14% 1.0 .14 18% .51 79% .40
Jan
29		 Stonehill D- F C+ F F 36% 34% 30% F F B+ B+ A- C+ F A+ F C- A- F A+ C 40% 29% 31% B+ C+ D- C D F+ D+ F D-
0.95 42% 39% 19% -12 -2 0.74 34% 1.2 .42 12% .04 100% .04 0.97 44% 54% 21% -7 -1 0.87 32% 0.9 .29 17% .26 77% .20
Jan
31		 Wagner D D+ A+ A+ A- 52% 9% 39% B+ A- F F F D F F F D A A D- B 46% 13% 40% F C+ B- C+ B- F F F F
1.05 54% 60% 48% +8 +2 1.22 21% 0.4 .09 16% .19 36% .07 1.09 42% 29% 38% -6 +1 0.92 30% 1.0 .30 13% .39 83% .32
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
5		 Stonehill B- B- C+ C- C+ 37% 27% 37% D C B+ A A C C+ A+ A- C C B- A+ B- 26% 35% 40% A+ B+ A- D- C+ D+ F A F
1.16 61% 38% 33% +1 -1 1.02 34% 1.3 .44 13% .31 82% .25 0.91 55% 33% 24% -9 -3 0.79 22% 1.0 .22 19% .50 62% .31
Feb
7		 Mercyhurst F+ A+ F F D 38% 15% 46% C- D+ B+ F D F D- A+ C B- D- D+ A+ C- 24% 39% 37% A- C A- B A- F A- C+ B+
1.01 80% 17% 22% -3 +1 0.97 39% 0.7 .29 24% .32 85% .27 0.96 64% 44% 24% -2 -3 0.91 20% 1.0 .20 11% .15 71% .10
Feb
12		 St. Francis (PA) F A+ A+ F D- 28% 28% 44% F F D A+ B+ F A+ F A- B B+ A A+ A+ 37% 16% 47% D- A+ F A+ C+ F+ F C- F
1.01 80% 60% 19% +2 -2 1.03 28% 1.8 .48 23% .56 57% .32 0.90 50% 25% 22% -14 0 0.76 36% 0.7 .24 15% .36 70% .25
Feb
14		 Central Connecticut St. F F F F F 38% 14% 48% C- F A+ B A+ F+ A+ B- A+ D- D+ F+ A C 18% 49% 33% A+ B- F A+ C+ F F F F
1.01 44% 17% 10% -26 +1 0.52 44% 1.1 .49 16% .48 83% .40 1.12 63% 45% 27% +1 -5 0.93 34% 0.7 .25 12% .34 94% .32
Feb
19		 Chicago St. C- F A- B+ F 41% 27% 32% F+ F B C- B- B D+ F F+ F+ B- F F F 39% 32% 29% D F A- B B+ C- F C- F
1.14 41% 45% 38% -3 -1 0.95 41% 1.1 .44 17% .32 64% .21 1.12 50% 46% 42% +3 -1 1.05 22% 0.8 .19 15% .38 76% .29
Feb
21		 New Haven B A+ D B- B+ 39% 18% 43% C- B B D- C+ C C+ D C F F B- F F 30% 20% 50% C+ F A F F F F A+ C-
1.23 75% 33% 36% +7 0 1.18 33% 1.0 .33 16% .28 73% .21 1.34 85% 33% 59% +26 -1 1.52 14% 2.3 .32 13% .36 50% .18
Feb
26		 Le Moyne F F F A F 40% 22% 38% C- F C D+ C- D- A+ C- A F F D B F 45% 14% 41% D F B+ A A- F B- D C+
0.92 39% 0% 41% -12 0 0.78 32% 1.0 .32 17% .41 73% .30 1.19 86% 43% 30% +11 +1 1.27 20% 0.8 .16 16% .30 75% .22



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 6.3 6.3 4th
5th 23.4 7.4 30.8 5th
6th 43.0 43.0 6th
7th 20.0 20.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 86.3 13.7 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 13.7% 6.7% 6.7% 16.0 0.9 12.8
8-8 86.3% 4.2% 4.2% 16.0 3.6 82.7
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 4.6% 4.6% 0.0% 16.0 95.5 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.9% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.7%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 4.8%
Lose Out 45.6%