Florida A&M
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -9.7 #322
Expected Predictive Rating -7.8 #290
Pace 71.4 #109
Improvement +4.6 #16

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #314 D F D D+ D+
Defense #306 D- C C+ F F

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% #261 1.17 #163 -1.5 #236
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% #124 0.74 #184 +0.9 #132
Three Pointers 41% #173 0.87 #331 -2.8 #281
1st FG Attempt 0.95 #282 -3.5 #281
Freethrows 16.6 #231 68% #302 11.3 #264
Second Chance 26.2% #308 0.86 #349 0.23 #346
Turnovers 18.6% #298
Total Offense -5.4 #314

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 46% #22 1.20 #234 -5.3 #340
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% #313 0.77 #210 +1.6 #78
Three Pointers 38% #260 1.11 #307 -0.4 #199
1st FG Attempt 1.10 #306 -4.1 #307
Freethrows 20.5 #321 77% #338 15.8 #29
Second Chance 33.1% #276 1.01 #140 0.33 #226
Turnovers 17.2% #132
Total Defense -4.2 #306

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -1.1% #259 2.3% #351
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -5.8% #267 5.6% #284
Possession Length 17.4 #181 16.5 #65
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 #199 0.25 #354
Improvement +3.5 #18 +1.0 #120

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.5% 8.9% 4.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 15.1% 24.7% 8.5%
.500 or above in Conference 63.8% 78.4% 53.7%
Conference Champion 11.1% 18.9% 5.8%
Last Place in Conference 0.2% 0.0% 0.3%
First Four5.7% 7.6% 4.4%
First Round3.5% 4.9% 2.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Arkansas Pine Bluff (Away) - 40.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 30 - 20 - 7
Quad 411 - 1011 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 75 @South Florida L 67 - 102 4% -15  0 - 1 -24 -10 F B+ F -10 F C+ A-
 Sat, Nov 8 159 Kennesaw St. L 72 - 92 26% -9  0 - 2 -23 -12 F D C+ -9 F A+ C+
 Tue, Nov 11 50 @Central Florida L 60 - 97 3% -22  0 - 3 -23 -11 C- F F -10 F D- A+
 Mon, Nov 17 23 @Georgia L 57 - 87 1% -20  0 - 4 -11 -12 C F F +3 A+ F A
 Tue, Dec 2 305 @Jacksonville L 82 - 85 OT 34% +0  0 - 5 -8 +4 A+ F F -12 D D- F
 Wed, Dec 17 305 Jacksonville W 72 - 65 57% +9  1 - 5 -4 +1 C F B+ -5 D- A+ B-
 Fri, Dec 19 173 @Tarleton St. L 54 - 78 14% -14  1 - 6 -22 -23 F F F +3 B- F A+
 Sun, Dec 21 45 @TCU L 56 - 80 2% -5  1 - 7 -9 -4 C+ F A+ -7 C B- C+
 Sun, Dec 28 111 @Georgia Tech L 65 - 89 7% -17  1 - 8 -17 -6 D+ F C+ -10 F F A+
 Sat, Jan 3 272 @Bethune-Cookman L 83 - 87 27% -4  1 - 9 0 - 1 -7 +7 C C+ C -14 F C- D-
 Sat, Jan 10 263 Southern W 67 - 59 47% +4  2 - 9 1 - 1 -1 -6 F D+ F +5 C A+ A-
 Mon, Jan 12 269 Grambling St. W 91 - 84 48% +3  3 - 9 2 - 1 -2 +12 A B+ D -14 D F F
 Sat, Jan 17 327 @Arkansas Pine Bluff L 78 - 80 41%
 Mon, Jan 19 365 @Mississippi Valley W 77 - 66 85%
 Sat, Jan 24 347 Alcorn St. W 79 - 74 70%
 Mon, Jan 26 333 Jackson St. W 79 - 75 65%
 Sat, Jan 31 300 @Alabama A&M L 70 - 75 34%
 Mon, Feb 2 306 @Alabama St. L 74 - 78 35%
 Sat, Feb 7 334 Texas Southern W 77 - 73 65%
 Mon, Feb 9 317 Prairie View W 79 - 76 60%
 Sat, Feb 14 333 @Jackson St. L 76 - 78 42%
 Mon, Feb 16 347 @Alcorn St. L 76 - 77 48%
 Thu, Feb 19 300 Alabama A&M W 73 - 72 55%
 Thu, Feb 19 306 Alabama St. W 77 - 75 56%
 Thu, Feb 26 263 @Southern L 73 - 80 27%
 Thu, Feb 26 269 @Grambling St. L 70 - 77 27%
 Thu, Mar 5 272 Bethune-Cookman L 75 - 76 48%
Totals 11 - 16 9 - 8 -10 -5 D F D -4 D- C C+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.9 3.9 3.7 2.0 0.6 0.1 11.1 1st
2nd 0.6 4.4 4.4 1.1 0.1 0.0 10.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 3.3 5.7 1.3 0.0 10.4 3rd
4th 0.0 1.0 6.4 2.0 0.1 9.6 4th
5th 0.1 4.5 4.9 0.2 9.7 5th
6th 1.4 6.7 1.2 0.0 9.3 6th
7th 0.3 5.0 3.8 0.1 9.1 7th
8th 0.1 2.3 5.7 0.6 8.7 8th
9th 0.1 1.1 4.8 2.3 0.0 8.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.3 3.0 0.2 7.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.1 1.8 0.4 0.0 5.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 1.0 3.1 6.4 10.7 14.7 16.7 16.5 13.3 9.7 4.9 2.1 0.6 0.1 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-3 99.1% 0.6    0.6 0.0
14-4 95.6% 2.0    1.6 0.4 0.0
13-5 76.5% 3.7    2.0 1.5 0.2 0.0
12-6 39.8% 3.9    0.8 1.7 1.1 0.2 0.0 0.0
11-7 6.9% 0.9    0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 11.1% 11.1 5.1 3.6 1.7 0.5 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.6% 20.9% 20.9% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5
14-4 2.1% 20.4% 20.4% 15.9 0.0 0.4 1.6
13-5 4.9% 17.9% 17.9% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.8 4.0
12-6 9.7% 11.3% 11.3% 16.0 1.1 8.6
11-7 13.3% 10.8% 10.8% 16.0 0.0 1.4 11.9
10-8 16.5% 8.2% 8.2% 16.0 1.4 15.2
9-9 16.7% 5.9% 5.9% 16.0 1.0 15.7
8-10 14.7% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.3 14.5
7-11 10.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 10.7
6-12 6.4% 6.4
5-13 3.1% 3.1
4-14 1.0% 1.0
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 6.5% 6.5% 0.0% 16.0 93.5 0.0%