Howard
Mid-Eastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.3#315
Expected Predictive Rating-10.8#321
Pace73.0#105
Improvement-0.2#192

Offense
Total Offense-5.4#324
First Shot-4.7#311
After Offensive Rebound-0.7#217
Layup/Dunks-3.5#297
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#125
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#281
Freethrows+1.2#115
Improvement-1.1#285

Defense
Total Defense-2.9#267
First Shot-0.2#173
After Offensive Rebounds-2.7#320
Layups/Dunks-5.6#341
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#8
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#109
Freethrows+0.6#144
Improvement+0.9#94
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 20.0% 23.7% 18.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 42.8% 59.4% 33.5%
.500 or above in Conference 81.7% 86.7% 78.9%
Conference Champion 25.6% 31.3% 22.5%
Last Place in Conference 2.8% 1.8% 3.4%
First Four18.1% 20.5% 16.8%
First Round10.3% 13.4% 8.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Mount St. Mary's (Away) - 35.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 30 - 20 - 6
Quad 413 - 1013 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 33 Missouri L 67-88 5%     0 - 1 -10.8 -4.9 -5.4
  Sun, Nov 9 290 Grambling St. L 70-73 57%     0 - 2 -13.2 -1.2 -12.3
  Thu, Nov 13 338 Alcorn St. W 72-64 70%     1 - 2 -5.8 -3.4 -2.0
  Wed, Nov 19 344 @Stetson L 60-64 51%     1 - 3 -12.5 -15.9 +3.4
  Sat, Nov 22 333 Niagara W 80-70 58%     2 - 3 -0.3 -2.3 +1.2
  Sun, Nov 23 2 @Duke L 56-93 0.5%    2 - 4 -11.2 -5.0 -5.9
  Sat, Nov 29 297 @Mount St. Mary's L 71-75 36%    
  Tue, Dec 9 313 N.C. A&T L 74-75 49%    
  Sat, Dec 13 235 Hampton L 69-73 36%    
  Tue, Dec 16 262 @Drexel L 66-72 29%    
  Sat, Dec 20 113 @UNC Wilmington L 64-79 9%    
  Tue, Dec 30 56 @Northwestern L 63-84 3%    
  Sat, Jan 3 347 @South Carolina St. W 74-73 51%    
  Sat, Jan 10 339 @Maryland Eastern Shore L 65-66 48%    
  Mon, Jan 12 357 Delaware St. W 75-67 77%    
  Sat, Jan 17 350 @NC Central W 73-72 52%    
  Sat, Jan 24 360 Morgan St. W 81-72 78%    
  Mon, Jan 26 364 @Coppin St. W 74-68 69%    
  Sat, Jan 31 233 Norfolk St. L 67-68 46%    
  Sat, Feb 7 347 South Carolina St. W 77-71 71%    
  Mon, Feb 9 69 Yale L 71-84 12%    
  Sat, Feb 14 339 Maryland Eastern Shore W 69-63 69%    
  Mon, Feb 16 357 @Delaware St. W 72-70 58%    
  Sat, Feb 21 350 NC Central W 76-69 73%    
  Sat, Feb 28 360 @Morgan St. W 78-75 59%    
  Mon, Mar 2 364 Coppin St. W 77-65 84%    
  Thu, Mar 5 233 @Norfolk St. L 64-71 27%    
Projected Record 12 - 15 9 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.2 1.9 5.7 8.0 6.1 3.0 0.7 25.6 1st
2nd 0.6 5.4 10.4 8.5 3.8 0.7 29.4 2nd
3rd 0.5 4.7 8.0 3.9 0.8 0.0 18.0 3rd
4th 0.3 3.3 6.0 1.8 0.2 11.6 4th
5th 0.1 1.7 3.8 1.2 0.0 6.8 5th
6th 0.1 1.0 2.6 1.0 0.0 4.6 6th
7th 0.1 0.5 1.4 0.7 0.0 2.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.0 1.3 8th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.2 2.7 5.3 8.6 12.6 15.4 16.4 15.0 11.8 6.9 3.0 0.7 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.7    0.7
13-1 100.0% 3.0    2.9 0.2
12-2 89.3% 6.1    5.2 0.9 0.0
11-3 67.8% 8.0    4.9 2.9 0.1
10-4 38.1% 5.7    2.3 2.8 0.6 0.0
9-5 11.4% 1.9    0.3 0.9 0.6 0.1
8-6 1.3% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 25.6% 25.6 16.4 7.7 1.4 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.7% 55.1% 55.1% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3
13-1 3.0% 49.4% 49.4% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.4 1.5
12-2 6.9% 43.5% 43.5% 16.0 0.0 3.0 3.9
11-3 11.8% 34.6% 34.6% 16.0 0.1 4.0 7.7
10-4 15.0% 27.3% 27.3% 16.0 0.0 4.1 10.9
9-5 16.4% 19.2% 19.2% 16.0 0.0 3.1 13.2
8-6 15.4% 12.1% 12.1% 16.0 1.9 13.5
7-7 12.6% 8.4% 8.4% 16.0 1.1 11.5
6-8 8.6% 6.9% 6.9% 16.0 0.6 8.0
5-9 5.3% 4.0% 4.0% 16.0 0.2 5.1
4-10 2.7% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 0.1 2.6
3-11 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 1.1
2-12 0.3% 0.3
1-13 0.1% 0.1
0-14 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 20.0% 20.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.4 19.6 80.0 0.0%