Howard
Mid-Eastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -6.6 #275
Expected Predictive Rating -6.3 #263
Pace 70.6 #138
Improvement +0.8 #138

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #335 F C D- C B-
Defense #160 C D B- D D-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 47% #14 0.95 #352 +0.0 #174
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% #184 0.62 #326 -1.5 #254
Three Pointers 33% #325 0.99 #207 -4.3 #313
1st FG Attempt 0.90 #335 -5.8 #334
Freethrows 18.4 #129 71% #243 13.0 #159
Second Chance 30.0% #206 1.07 #156 0.32 #165
Turnovers 19.0% #315
Total Offense -6.7 #335

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% #65 1.19 #229 -3.3 #289
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% #294 0.63 #29 +2.4 #27
Three Pointers 40% #206 1.01 #179 +0.4 #163
1st FG Attempt 1.03 #190 -0.4 #191
Freethrows 20.4 #312 71% #134 14.6 #60
Second Chance 32.5% #255 1.16 #311 0.38 #305
Turnovers 18.1% #85
Total Defense +0.1 #160

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 1.4% #89 1.6% #315
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -12.6% #349 -0.8% #164
Possession Length 17.8 #225 16.5 #56
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 #209 0.22 #320
Improvement -1.6 #275 +2.4 #55

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 32.6% 36.2% 27.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 87.7% 94.4% 79.1%
.500 or above in Conference 93.0% 97.4% 87.4%
Conference Champion 28.8% 40.9% 13.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.4% 0.1% 0.9%
First Four24.1% 25.0% 23.1%
First Round20.1% 23.4% 15.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: NC Central (Away) - 56.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 21 - 3
Quad 31 - 12 - 4
Quad 415 - 917 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 53 Missouri L 67 - 88 10% -14  0 - 1 -14 -6 D+ F C -7 D+ F A+
 Sun, Nov 9 269 Grambling St. L 70 - 73 60% -1  0 - 2 -12 -1 A- A+ F -12 D- F A+
 Thu, Nov 13 347 Alcorn St. W 72 - 64 79% +5  1 - 2 -7 -4 D A+ F -3 D A+ F
 Wed, Nov 19 345 @Stetson L 60 - 64 58% -10  1 - 3 -13 -16 F F B- +4 B- C+ A+
 Sat, Nov 22 355 Niagara W 80 - 70 75% -4  2 - 3 -4 -6 F C- F +2 C- F A+
 Sun, Nov 23 7 @Duke L 56 - 93 1% -29  2 - 4 -13 -6 F C A -7 F C+ C-
 Sat, Nov 29 297 @Mount St. Mary's L 75 - 79 43% -5  2 - 5 -9 +2 F A+ A+ -10 F D- C
 Tue, Dec 9 302 N.C. A&T W 73 - 69 57% +8  3 - 5 -4 -2 A- F F -3 A F B+
 Sat, Dec 13 242 Hampton W 61 - 57 43% +3  4 - 5 -1 -10 D- F D +10 A+ B D-
 Tue, Dec 16 238 @Drexel W 74 - 66 31% +7  5 - 5 +7 +6 B- A+ F +1 C- B- B-
 Sat, Dec 20 118 @UNC Wilmington W 67 - 66 13% +4  6 - 5 +7 -0 D+ B+ F +7 A+ F A-
 Tue, Dec 30 63 @Northwestern L 60 - 80 5% -5  6 - 6 -8 -2 C B- F -8 F A+ F
 Sat, Jan 3 361 @South Carolina St. L 57 - 58 71% -7  6 - 7 0 - 1 -13 -20 F C- F +7 D+ F A+
 Sat, Jan 10 324 @Maryland Eastern Shore L 57 - 69 52% +2  6 - 8 0 - 2 -19 -20 F D F +1 C- C B
 Mon, Jan 12 356 Delaware St. W 84 - 58 83% +14  7 - 8 1 - 2 +9 +16 C A+ A+ -4 C- F B+
 Sat, Jan 17 338 @NC Central W 71 - 69 56%
 Sat, Jan 24 363 Morgan St. W 80 - 67 88%
 Mon, Jan 26 364 @Coppin St. W 77 - 66 84%
 Sat, Jan 31 289 Norfolk St. W 70 - 66 64%
 Sat, Feb 7 361 South Carolina St. W 77 - 65 86%
 Mon, Feb 9 94 Yale L 70 - 79 19%
 Sat, Feb 14 324 Maryland Eastern Shore W 68 - 62 73%
 Mon, Feb 16 356 @Delaware St. W 68 - 64 65%
 Sat, Feb 21 338 NC Central W 74 - 66 75%
 Sat, Feb 28 363 @Morgan St. W 77 - 70 73%
 Mon, Mar 2 364 Coppin St. W 80 - 63 94%
 Thu, Mar 5 289 @Norfolk St. L 67 - 69 42%
Totals 15 - 12 9 - 5 -7 -7 F C D- +0 C D B-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.1 2.3 10.3 11.9 4.2 28.8 1st
2nd 0.1 2.0 10.7 11.2 2.2 0.1 26.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.4 8.9 9.2 1.2 0.0 20.8 3rd
4th 0.0 1.2 6.3 6.9 1.1 0.0 15.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 2.6 2.6 0.3 5.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.0 0.9 0.1 2.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 8th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.7 4.8 10.5 18.0 23.3 22.7 14.1 4.3 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2 97.7% 4.2    3.8 0.5
11-3 84.2% 11.9    7.7 3.9 0.2
10-4 45.3% 10.3    3.1 5.0 2.0 0.2
9-5 9.8% 2.3    0.2 0.8 1.0 0.3 0.0
8-6 0.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 28.8% 28.8 14.8 10.2 3.2 0.6 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2 4.3% 57.2% 57.2% 15.4 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.4 1.9
11-3 14.1% 47.5% 47.5% 15.9 0.0 0.7 6.0 7.4
10-4 22.7% 38.3% 38.3% 16.0 0.2 8.5 14.0
9-5 23.3% 30.7% 30.7% 16.0 0.1 7.1 16.2
8-6 18.0% 25.2% 25.2% 16.0 0.0 4.5 13.5
7-7 10.5% 18.7% 18.7% 16.0 2.0 8.5
6-8 4.8% 16.2% 16.2% 16.0 0.8 4.0
5-9 1.7% 11.3% 11.3% 16.0 0.2 1.5
4-10 0.4% 10.5% 10.5% 16.0 0.0 0.4
3-11 0.1% 0.1
2-12 0.0% 0.0
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 32.6% 32.6% 0.0% 15.9 67.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.7% 100.0% 14.5 7.1 36.4 53.6 2.9
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.2%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.3%