Lindenwood
Ohio Valley
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -5.3 #252
Expected Predictive Rating -4.8 #242
Pace 76.6 #31
Improvement -1.7 #269

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #280 D- B- D+ C- B-
Defense #212 C- C- C C D-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 46% #23 1.12 #221 +3.5 #67
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% #178 0.59 #346 -1.7 #266
Three Pointers 34% #320 0.79 #360 -7.4 #350
1st FG Attempt 0.91 #328 -5.6 #330
Freethrows 17.5 #182 68% #306 11.9 #225
Second Chance 32.1% #136 1.12 #95 0.36 #94
Turnovers 18.1% #271
Total Offense -4.0 #280

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 46% #23 1.25 #285 -6.4 #354
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% #245 0.60 #15 +2.3 #35
Three Pointers 36% #312 0.99 #156 +2.9 #77
1st FG Attempt 1.04 #224 -1.2 #222
Freethrows 17.5 #193 70% #71 12.2 #195
Second Chance 31.8% #229 1.09 #254 0.35 #253
Turnovers 16.3% #200
Total Defense -1.3 #212

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 1.2% #106 1.8% #328
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -12.0% #347 0.6% #194
Possession Length 15.8 #56 16.7 #82
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.23 #53 0.20 #268
Improvement -0.4 #208 -1.3 #265

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.0% 16.9% 9.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.6 15.7
.500 or above 62.5% 78.9% 54.5%
.500 or above in Conference 81.7% 92.4% 76.5%
Conference Champion 13.5% 24.2% 8.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.2% 0.0% 0.2%
First Four3.5% 4.4% 3.1%
First Round10.3% 14.8% 8.1%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Southeast Missouri St. (Away) - 32.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 00 - 3
Quad 31 - 31 - 6
Quad 414 - 815 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 21 @Texas Tech L 60 - 98 2% -19  0 - 1 -19 -10 F F D -6 C+ A- F
 Mon, Nov 10 32 @Saint Louis L 66 - 109 3% -22  0 - 2 -26 -8 C A+ F -12 F F A+
 Fri, Nov 14 217 Charleston Southern W 83 - 77 41% -6  1 - 2 +3 +1 B D- F +1 D+ B+ A-
 Sun, Nov 16 300 @Alabama A&M L 65 - 74 49% -2  1 - 3 -14 -8 F C F -7 F D- B
 Thu, Nov 20 31 @Indiana L 53 - 73 3% -14  1 - 4 -3 -14 F C+ D- +11 A+ C F
 Mon, Nov 24 346 UMKC W 80 - 67 82% +6  2 - 4 -2 -4 C F D +1 C- A- A+
 Tue, Dec 2 331 @Northern Illinois W 99 - 64 59% +22  3 - 4 +27 +18 F A+ A+ +7 C A+ B-
 Sat, Dec 6 311 @Eastern Illinois W 82 - 74 52% -1  4 - 4 1 - 0 +2 +8 C- A+ C+ -6 A F F
 Thu, Dec 18 357 Western Illinois W 92 - 76 87% +13  5 - 4 2 - 0 -2 +7 C+ A- D -10 F D- D-
 Tue, Dec 23 192 @Missouri St. L 65 - 70 27% -5  5 - 5 -4 -5 F F A+ +1 B+ F F
 Thu, Jan 1 304 Morehead St. W 77 - 64 72% +6  6 - 5 3 - 0 +2 -1 A+ F C+ +3 C+ C C
 Sat, Jan 3 343 Southern Indiana W 83 - 80 80% +5  7 - 5 4 - 0 -11 +3 F A+ D- -15 F D- B+
 Tue, Jan 6 278 @SIU Edwardsville L 62 - 66 44% -2  7 - 6 4 - 1 -8 -10 F B+ F +2 B C B+
 Sat, Jan 10 283 Arkansas Little Rock L 74 - 82 67% -5  7 - 7 4 - 2 -18 -2 D- B- F -16 F F D
 Thu, Jan 15 224 @Southeast Missouri St. L 76 - 81 33%
 Sat, Jan 17 225 @Tennessee Martin L 70 - 75 32%
 Thu, Jan 22 314 Tennessee Tech W 80 - 73 74%
 Sat, Jan 24 226 Tennessee St. W 79 - 78 55%
 Thu, Jan 29 343 @Southern Indiana W 77 - 74 61%
 Sat, Jan 31 304 @Morehead St. L 74 - 75 50%
 Tue, Feb 3 278 SIU Edwardsville W 73 - 69 66%
 Thu, Feb 5 283 @Arkansas Little Rock L 74 - 75 45%
 Thu, Feb 12 225 Tennessee Martin W 73 - 72 55%
 Sat, Feb 14 224 Southeast Missouri St. W 79 - 78 54%
 Thu, Feb 19 226 @Tennessee St. L 76 - 81 33%
 Sat, Feb 21 314 @Tennessee Tech W 77 - 76 53%
 Thu, Feb 26 311 Eastern Illinois W 74 - 68 73%
 Sat, Feb 28 357 @Western Illinois W 73 - 67 72%
Totals 15 - 13 12 - 8 -5 -4 D- B- D+ -1 C- C- C




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.3 4.2 4.3 2.5 0.9 0.1 13.5 1st
2nd 0.0 1.7 6.0 5.1 1.3 0.1 0.0 14.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.1 6.3 5.8 0.9 0.0 14.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 5.6 6.9 1.5 0.0 14.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 3.5 7.0 1.9 0.0 12.8 5th
6th 0.2 2.3 6.2 2.8 0.1 11.6 6th
7th 0.1 1.3 4.5 3.0 0.3 9.2 7th
8th 0.1 0.8 2.5 2.1 0.5 6.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 1.1 0.2 3.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.5 5.1 9.6 13.7 16.9 17.0 14.6 10.3 5.6 2.6 0.9 0.1 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-3 99.4% 0.9    0.8 0.0
16-4 95.8% 2.5    2.1 0.4 0.0
15-5 77.0% 4.3    2.7 1.4 0.2 0.0
14-6 41.2% 4.2    1.2 1.9 0.9 0.2
13-7 9.2% 1.3    0.1 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.0
12-8 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 13.5% 13.5 7.1 4.1 1.6 0.6 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.1% 38.1% 38.1% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-3 0.9% 34.5% 34.5% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6
16-4 2.6% 36.9% 36.9% 15.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.2 1.7
15-5 5.6% 31.9% 31.9% 15.5 0.0 0.8 0.9 3.8
14-6 10.3% 26.3% 26.3% 15.7 0.0 0.8 1.9 7.6
13-7 14.6% 18.9% 18.9% 15.8 0.0 0.5 2.3 11.9
12-8 17.0% 9.5% 9.5% 15.9 0.2 1.5 15.4
11-9 16.9% 5.3% 5.3% 15.9 0.1 0.8 16.0
10-10 13.7% 3.5% 3.5% 15.9 0.1 0.4 13.3
9-11 9.6% 3.3% 3.3% 16.0 0.3 9.2
8-12 5.1% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 5.0
7-13 2.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.5
6-14 0.8% 0.8
5-15 0.2% 0.2
4-16 0.0% 0.0
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 12.0% 12.0% 0.0% 15.7 88.0 0.0%