Lindenwood
Ohio Valley
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating -6.7 278
Results Rating -6.3 262
Consistency 0.15 170
Pace 78.9 8
Improvement -3.6 315

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D 315 D- C+ D- D+ C+
Defense C- 198 C- C- C+ D+ D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 45% 30 C- 56% 227 +2.8 85
2 Pt. Jumpers 49% 64 F 29% 362 -1.5 258
Three Pointers 33% 325 F 28% 358 -6.7 351
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.3 147 D- -5.6 348
1st FG Attempt D- 0.91 336
Second Chance C 30.6% 175 C+ 1.08 105 C+ 0.33 129
Opponents' Steals F+ 11.9% 351
Other Turnovers C 7.5% 212
Turnovers D- 19.4% 329
Freethrows C 0.30 194 D- 67% 335 D+ 0.20 249
Total Offense D -5.7 315

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C 50% 157 C- 11.8% 229
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 30% 109 C- 6.2% 265
Three Pointers B- 87% 119 C+ 0.7% 134
Total C 55% 186 D 6.9% 313

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 46% 14 C- 60% 234 +5.2 340
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% 235 B+ 33% 19 -1.7 53
Three Pointers 35% 334 C- 35% 237 -2.2 87
Shot Selection/Accuracy D +0.8 314 C +0.5 199
1st FG Attempt C- 1.05 224
Second Chance C- 32.0% 253 C 1.04 206 C- 0.33 243
Turnovers from Steals B- 10.8% 88
Other Turnovers D+ 6.6% 270
Turnovers C+ 17.4% 139
Freethrows D+ 0.34 286 B- 71% 109 D+ 0.24 270
Total Defense C- -1.0 198

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C+ 45% 117 C- 9.4% 233
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 17% 42 A 10.8% 9
Three Pointers D 89% 321 D+ 0.5% 264
Total C+ 53% 133 C+ 6.5% 107

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 15.6 34 16.8 93
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.23 47 0.21 311
Consistency 0.11 99 0.11 68
Improvement -2.9 318 -0.7 226

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 294 278 255
Results Rating Rank 295 267 241
Conference Record 10 - 10 11 - 9 11 - 9
Conference Finish 6 6 5
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4% 4% 3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.8 16.0
.500 or above 48% 58% 7%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four2% 1% 2%
First Round3% 3% 2%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Western Illinois (Away) - 79.3% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 00 - 3
Quad 31 - 31 - 6
Quad 414 - 915 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 12 @Texas Tech L 60 - 98 1% -19  9% 0 - 1 F+ -16 F -11 F+ D- D+ C- -2 B A- F
 Mon, Nov 10 25 @Saint Louis L 66 - 109 2% -22  0% 0 - 2 F -24 F+ -9 B- B+ F F -10 F F A+
 Fri, Nov 14 264 Charleston Southern W 83 - 77 46% -6  18% 1 - 2 C +0 D+ -3 C+ D- D B- +3 C- A- B-
 Sun, Nov 16 309 @Alabama A&M L 65 - 74 47% -2  27% 1 - 3 F+ -15 F -11 F C F D+ -4 F F+ B
 Thu, Nov 20 40 @Indiana L 53 - 73 3% -14  0% 1 - 4 C- -4 F -17 F B- F+ A+ +13 A+ D+ D-
 Mon, Nov 24 360 UMKC W 80 - 67 89% +6  69% 2 - 4 D+ -7 D- -7 C F D+ C -1 D+ B A+
 Tue, Dec 2 321 @Northern Illinois W 99 - 64 52% +22  94% 3 - 4 A+ +28 A+ +17 F A+ A- A +9 C- A+ B
 Sat, Dec 6 317 @Eastern Illinois W 82 - 74 51% -1  43% 4 - 4 1 - 0 C +1 B- +5 D A B D+ -4 B+ F F
 Thu, Dec 18 363 Western Illinois W 92 - 76 91% +13  97% 5 - 4 2 - 0 D+ -5 C +1 C- B+ D+ D- -7 F+ F+ D-
 Tue, Dec 23 207 @Missouri St. L 65 - 70 25% -5  15% 5 - 5 C- -5 F+ -9 F D- A B +4 B D- F
 Thu, Jan 1 279 Morehead St. W 77 - 64 62% +6  96% 6 - 5 3 - 0 C+ +3 D -5 A F C A- +8 B C+ C+
 Sat, Jan 3 338 Southern Indiana W 83 - 80 78% +5  88% 7 - 5 4 - 0 D- -12 C +1 F+ A+ D+ F -13 F D+ B
 Tue, Jan 6 260 @SIU Edwardsville L 62 - 66 34% -2  23% 7 - 6 4 - 1 D+ -7 F+ -10 F A D- B- +3 C+ C- B+
 Sat, Jan 10 303 Arkansas Little Rock L 74 - 82 68% -5  10% 7 - 7 4 - 2 F -19 D -6 D+ B- F F -14 F F C+
 Thu, Jan 15 231 @Southeast Missouri St. W 88 - 76 29% +17  98% 8 - 7 5 - 2 B +11 C+ +3 C- A+ D B+ +7 B+ F C
 Sat, Jan 17 214 @Tennessee Martin L 55 - 69 26% -10  2% 8 - 8 5 - 3 D- -14 F -17 F C- F B +4 D+ C B+
 Thu, Jan 22 311 Tennessee Tech W 89 - 68 69% +19  97% 9 - 8 6 - 3 B +9 C +1 B- A+ F B+ +7 A B+ B-
 Sat, Jan 24 217 Tennessee St. L 86 - 96 48% -5  9% 9 - 9 6 - 4 F+ -16 D+ -3 D+ C- D+ F -12 F C- B+
 Thu, Jan 29 338 @Southern Indiana W 73 - 60 58% +8  90% 10 - 9 7 - 4 C+ +4 F -11 F D+ F+ A+ +14 A D- A+
 Sat, Jan 31 279 @Morehead St. W 79 - 78 39% -2  30% 11 - 9 8 - 4 C- -3 D+ -3 B- C- F C+ +1 C+ A- F
 Tue, Feb 3 260 SIU Edwardsville L 72 - 78 57% +4  79% 11 - 10 8 - 5 D- -15 D -6 D+ C- F+ F+ -8 F C B
 Thu, Feb 5 303 @Arkansas Little Rock W 79 - 74 45% +0  49% 12 - 10 9 - 5 C -0 C+ +3 F+ B- B- D+ -4 B+ F F
 Thu, Feb 12 214 Tennessee Martin W 75 - 74 47% -0  47% 13 - 10 10 - 5 D+ -5 C +1 A+ D- F D -6 F C- B+
 Sat, Feb 14 231 Southeast Missouri St. L 61 - 73 51% -2  33% 13 - 11 10 - 6 F -19 F -17 F F A- C- -2 C A+ C-
 Thu, Feb 19 217 @Tennessee St. L 80 - 89 27% +2  48% 13 - 12 10 - 7 D -9 D- -6 D+ C- F C- -2 B+ F D+
 Sat, Feb 21 311 @Tennessee Tech L 57 - 72 47% -3  13% 13 - 13 10 - 8 F -21 F -18 F F F+ D+ -4 D+ D- D
 Thu, Feb 26 317 Eastern Illinois L 67 - 71 73% -5  6% 13 - 14 10 - 9 F+ -17 F -10 F C+ D+ D- -7 F A+ C+
 Sat, Feb 28 363 @Western Illinois W 78 - 69 79%
Totals 14 - 14 11 - 9 -7 D -6 C D- C+ C- -1 F D- D+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D C- F F D- 45% 49% 33% C+ D- C C+ C+ D- C D- D+ C- C- B+ C- C 46% 19% 35% D C- C- C C- C+ D+ B- D+
1.00 56% 29% 28% -6 0 0.91 31% 1.1 .33 19% .30 67% .20 1.10 60% 33% 35% 0 +1 1.05 32% 1.0 .33 17% .34 71% .21
Nov
4		 Texas Tech F F+ F F F 32% 30% 38% C+ F+ C- F D- D+ A+ C- A+ C- B C+ D- B 28% 15% 57% C- B F+ A+ A- F D- A C-
0.78 47% 25% 25% -13 -2 0.74 23% 0.5 .13 18% .42 65% .27 1.28 56% 40% 41% +5 0 1.12 42% 0.7 .29 9% .33 65% .22
Nov
10		 Saint Louis F+ B+ D- F+ B- 42% 27% 31% C B- B- A B+ F A+ F C+ F F A+ F F 58% 2% 40% F+ F F F F A+ F B- F
0.81 60% 31% 27% -5 -1 0.92 28% 1.1 .31 30% .46 54% .25 1.35 76% 0% 50% +19 +4 1.48 48% 1.7 .83 25% .51 71% .36
Nov
14		 Charleston Southern D+ D+ C+ B B- 40% 32% 28% D+ C+ D+ F D- D A+ D A B- F F A- C- 41% 4% 55% F+ C- B A A- B- C D+ C-
1.06 52% 39% 38% -1 -1 0.98 27% 0.8 .23 14% .46 68% .31 0.99 70% 50% 29% +1 +2 1.09 25% 0.7 .18 20% .26 69% .18
Nov
16		 Alabama A&M F A- C+ F F 43% 17% 40% C F D+ B C F B+ F C D+ D- A+ F F 36% 20% 44% D F D+ F F+ B F D+ F
0.96 70% 38% 16% -6 +1 0.91 29% 1.1 .32 21% .39 62% .24 1.09 63% 22% 40% +2 0 1.07 28% 1.3 .34 19% .46 76% .35
Nov
20		 Indiana F F F F F 40% 30% 30% C F A D- B- F+ B+ A- A- A+ A+ A+ B+ A+ 36% 18% 46% A- A+ C+ F D+ D- F+ A- D+
0.75 19% 25% 13% -29 -1 0.42 37% 0.9 .35 20% .35 80% .28 1.03 39% 33% 30% -10 0 0.82 28% 1.3 .35 11% .40 72% .29
Nov
24		 UMKC D- B F C+ C- 60% 13% 27% A- C D F F D+ A+ B A+ C D A+ C- C- 54% 26% 20% F+ D+ A- C+ B A+ F F F
1.06 65% 14% 36% +1 +2 1.10 31% 0.5 .14 19% .44 74% .32 0.89 60% 17% 33% -5 0 0.93 21% 0.9 .18 25% .46 77% .35
Dec
2		 Northern Illinois A+ F F C F 59% 13% 28% B+ F A+ A+ A+ A- A+ C A A A+ F F C 57% 9% 35% F C- D- A+ A+ B F A+ F+
1.33 47% 29% 33% -8 +2 0.91 50% 1.7 .83 13% .44 71% .31 0.86 38% 50% 44% -5 +3 0.98 35% 0.3 .09 24% .53 50% .27
Dec
6		 Eastern Illinois B- B+ F F D- 53% 14% 33% B D B- A+ A B B+ C+ B+ D+ B- A+ A+ A 61% 27% 12% F B+ F F F F C- B- C
1.14 67% 29% 18% -5 +2 0.96 38% 1.4 .53 17% .39 78% .30 1.03 50% 19% 14% -14 +1 0.76 33% 1.2 .40 13% .29 72% .21
Dec
18		 Western Illinois C C F A- C- 52% 19% 29% C C- B B B+ D+ A+ F A D- F+ A+ A+ D+ 62% 15% 24% F F+ B F F+ D- F A+ D
1.21 63% 30% 40% +4 +1 1.12 39% 1.3 .49 16% .53 56% .30 1.00 62% 13% 23% -5 +2 0.96 21% 1.5 .32 15% .43 54% .23
Dec
23		 Missouri St. F+ B+ C F F 29% 27% 44% B- F C F D- A A+ F B B F A+ A+ A- 36% 20% 44% D- B C F D- F D A+ B
0.94 71% 38% 14% -9 -1 0.81 31% 0.8 .24 13% .52 58% .30 1.02 78% 10% 23% -6 0 0.90 33% 1.3 .43 13% .38 52% .20
Jan
1		 Morehead St. D C+ A+ A+ A- 55% 8% 37% A A F F F C B F D- A- D+ B A+ B+ 40% 24% 36% D+ B B D+ C+ C+ B A- B+
1.11 61% 75% 42% +9 +3 1.25 15% 0.4 .06 14% .37 50% .19 0.92 60% 33% 22% -7 0 0.88 31% 1.0 .31 19% .27 67% .18
Jan
3		 Southern Indiana C D+ F C- F 70% 19% 11% A- F+ A+ A+ A+ D+ F C+ F F F D- B+ F 46% 21% 32% D- F D- C+ D+ B A- F C-
1.16 54% 10% 33% -8 +2 0.91 46% 1.5 .69 17% .20 75% .15 1.12 69% 42% 28% +3 0 1.09 33% 0.8 .27 20% .24 86% .21
Jan
6		 SIU Edwardsville F+ D- F F F 43% 23% 34% B- F B- A+ A D- D- F+ F+ B- C+ A+ F C 32% 36% 32% B+ C+ C+ D C- B+ F D- F
0.89 48% 17% 11% -21 0 0.60 36% 1.3 .44 19% .26 67% .18 0.95 53% 24% 40% -4 -2 0.89 26% 1.1 .29 21% .40 73% .29
Jan
10		 Arkansas Little Rock D B- A+ D- D+ 43% 12% 45% C+ D+ C- A- B- F D+ A C+ F F D B F 42% 34% 25% D+ F F B F C+ D+ F F
1.08 67% 50% 32% +4 +1 1.12 34% 1.1 .38 23% .27 79% .21 1.19 77% 39% 31% +7 -2 1.13 47% 0.9 .43 19% .25 86% .22
Jan
15		 Southeast Missouri St. C+ C F D- D- 61% 4% 35% A+ C- B+ A+ A+ D A+ F A- B+ A+ A- C+ A 50% 12% 38% F B+ D+ F F C F+ B- D
1.08 57% 0% 29% -5 +4 1.00 35% 1.5 .51 20% .53 66% .35 0.93 41% 29% 32% -11 +2 0.84 31% 1.4 .44 17% .39 65% .25
Jan
17		 Tennessee Martin F F C- F F 18% 47% 36% F F D+ C+ C- F A+ F A B D B- C- D 35% 26% 39% B D+ C+ C- C B+ A+ F+ A-
0.77 50% 33% 13% -15 -5 0.62 29% 1.0 .29 24% .50 63% .31 0.97 63% 36% 33% +1 -1 1.02 34% 0.9 .31 24% .20 73% .15
Jan
22		 Tennessee Tech C A D F C 61% 6% 33% A+ B- B+ A+ A+ F B+ B A- B+ A+ C- A- A+ 51% 27% 22% D+ A D- A+ B+ B- F B- F
1.17 71% 33% 24% +2 +4 1.14 37% 1.7 .63 24% .34 80% .27 0.89 36% 38% 27% -13 0 0.76 35% 0.7 .23 21% .50 73% .36
Jan
24		 Tennessee St. D+ D+ B B+ C 38% 28% 34% F D+ D- A C- D+ C- A+ B+ F D F F F 56% 23% 21% F F C+ D C- B+ A+ B+ A+
1.10 55% 47% 39% +4 -1 1.08 24% 1.3 .31 20% .35 91% .32 1.23 63% 64% 46% +12 +1 1.29 31% 1.1 .34 19% .16 70% .11
Jan
29		 Southern Indiana F A F F F 44% 35% 21% F F C D D+ F+ A+ B A+ A+ A+ D B A+ 49% 19% 32% F A F B- D- A+ F A- D
0.94 70% 17% 18% -7 -1 0.85 33% 0.9 .29 19% .43 78% .34 0.77 23% 40% 29% -19 +1 0.66 41% 0.8 .31 27% .39 59% .23
Jan
31		 Morehead St. D+ A+ F A+ B 30% 20% 50% D- B- F+ B+ C- F A+ D+ A+ C+ D- C+ A+ C 41% 33% 27% B- C+ A+ C+ A- F F D+ F
1.09 77% 0% 45% +6 -1 1.14 29% 1.1 .32 22% .51 69% .35 1.08 65% 38% 23% -2 -1 0.96 26% 0.9 .23 12% .47 77% .36
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
3		 SIU Edwardsville D D D+ D+ D+ 40% 31% 29% D+ D+ A F C- F+ C F D- F+ F A+ F F 47% 27% 27% F+ F C C C B F C F
0.99 50% 35% 31% -5 -1 0.89 42% 0.7 .29 19% .32 58% .19 1.07 70% 8% 54% +5 0 1.12 27% 1.0 .27 21% .36 67% .24
Feb
5		 Arkansas Little Rock C+ F F A+ F+ 45% 25% 29% D F+ B C B- B- A D B+ D+ B- F A+ A 34% 26% 40% D B+ F+ F F F F D- F
1.17 48% 23% 53% 0 0 1.02 41% 0.9 .38 16% .37 67% .25 1.09 56% 43% 19% -8 -1 0.83 36% 1.4 .51 13% .31 72% .22
Feb
12		 Tennessee Martin C A+ C- D+ A+ 59% 13% 28% A+ A+ C- F D- F F+ A D+ D F A+ F F 42% 11% 47% F F B- D C- B+ F A+ C
1.08 78% 33% 31% +10 +2 1.26 31% 0.8 .23 25% .27 79% .21 1.07 68% 0% 43% +6 +2 1.18 33% 1.0 .33 25% .40 52% .21
Feb
14		 Southeast Missouri St. F F A F F 46% 23% 31% C- F F C+ F A- C F F C- F A+ A+ C+ 55% 15% 30% F C C+ A+ A+ C- F D+ F
0.84 42% 50% 19% -12 0 0.79 17% 1.1 .20 14% .40 56% .22 1.01 69% 0% 21% -5 +2 0.96 26% 0.6 .15 17% .66 70% .46
Feb
19		 Tennessee St. D- D+ D- A- D+ 49% 22% 29% D+ D+ D+ C+ C- F B C- B- C- C B- A+ B+ 38% 38% 25% B+ B+ F F F D+ F B+ F
1.01 56% 36% 40% +1 +1 1.06 28% 1.1 .31 24% .41 72% .30 1.12 57% 33% 21% -7 -2 0.84 41% 1.4 .57 15% .46 71% .33
Feb
21		 Tennessee Tech F F+ F C F 31% 25% 44% D F F D+ F F+ F C- F D+ A F D+ D+ 33% 25% 42% C+ D+ A- F D- D C- F D
0.86 50% 15% 35% -8 -1 0.85 16% 1.2 .19 18% .15 75% .11 1.09 44% 50% 35% -1 -1 0.98 24% 1.6 .38 17% .29 88% .25
Feb
26		 Eastern Illinois F F F D F 52% 8% 40% A- F A- D- C+ D+ F F+ F D- D A+ F F 39% 43% 18% A- F C+ A+ A+ C+ F C F
0.97 42% 0% 30% -14 +3 0.80 43% 0.9 .40 20% .25 71% .18 1.03 59% 21% 75% +4 -3 1.05 26% 0.3 .06 19% .59 76% .45



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 19.2 19.2 5th
6th 20.8 60.0 80.8 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 20.8 79.3 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 79.3% 4.1% 4.1% 15.8 0.6 2.7 76.0
10-10 20.8% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.0 0.6 20.2
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 3.9% 3.9% 0.0% 15.8 96.1 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 3.3% 100.0% 15.8 18.1 81.9
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 4.1%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 10.5%
Lose Out 9.3%