Lindenwood
Ohio Valley
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.9#306
Expected Predictive Rating-4.5#236
Pace75.8#48
Improvement+1.7#59

Offense
Total Offense-6.2#338
First Shot-4.1#296
After Offensive Rebound-2.1#306
Layup/Dunks+0.8#149
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#258
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.1#331
Freethrows+1.6#91
Improvement+0.2#153

Defense
Total Defense-1.6#215
First Shot-0.1#169
After Offensive Rebounds-1.6#283
Layups/Dunks-0.6#200
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#91
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#134
Freethrows-1.8#289
Improvement+1.5#47
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.7% 6.4% 3.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.7 15.8
.500 or above 27.3% 41.0% 20.3%
.500 or above in Conference 45.9% 53.8% 41.8%
Conference Champion 6.0% 8.5% 4.7%
Last Place in Conference 10.7% 7.6% 12.3%
First Four2.3% 2.5% 2.2%
First Round3.5% 5.2% 2.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Northern Illinois (Away) - 33.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 00 - 3
Quad 31 - 41 - 7
Quad 411 - 1012 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 24 @Texas Tech L 60-98 2%     0 - 1 -20.4 -10.3 -6.8
  Mon, Nov 10 50 @Saint Louis L 66-109 4%     0 - 2 -29.7 -8.5 -15.3
  Fri, Nov 14 282 Charleston Southern W 83-77 45%     1 - 2 -0.5 -1.5 +0.4
  Sun, Nov 16 293 @Alabama A&M L 65-74 36%     1 - 3 -13.3 -6.3 -7.3
  Thu, Nov 20 22 @Indiana L 53-73 2%     1 - 4 -1.9 -11.4 +9.7
  Mon, Nov 24 335 UMKC W 80-67 71%     2 - 4 -0.5 -3.8 +2.4
  Tue, Dec 2 280 @Northern Illinois L 74-78 34%    
  Sat, Dec 6 329 @Eastern Illinois L 69-70 44%    
  Thu, Dec 18 353 Western Illinois W 74-66 75%    
  Tue, Dec 23 239 @Missouri St. L 65-71 28%    
  Thu, Jan 1 310 Morehead St. W 75-72 61%    
  Sat, Jan 3 314 Southern Indiana W 78-75 62%    
  Tue, Jan 6 204 @SIU Edwardsville L 65-73 23%    
  Sat, Jan 10 248 Arkansas Little Rock L 70-71 50%    
  Thu, Jan 15 211 @Southeast Missouri St. L 71-79 24%    
  Sat, Jan 17 263 @Tennessee Martin L 69-74 31%    
  Thu, Jan 22 322 Tennessee Tech W 75-71 63%    
  Sat, Jan 24 224 Tennessee St. L 77-78 46%    
  Thu, Jan 29 314 @Southern Indiana L 75-78 41%    
  Sat, Jan 31 310 @Morehead St. L 72-75 40%    
  Tue, Feb 3 204 SIU Edwardsville L 68-70 43%    
  Thu, Feb 5 248 @Arkansas Little Rock L 68-74 30%    
  Thu, Feb 12 263 Tennessee Martin W 72-71 53%    
  Sat, Feb 14 211 Southeast Missouri St. L 74-76 44%    
  Thu, Feb 19 224 @Tennessee St. L 74-81 27%    
  Sat, Feb 21 322 @Tennessee Tech L 72-74 42%    
  Thu, Feb 26 329 Eastern Illinois W 72-67 65%    
  Sat, Feb 28 353 @Western Illinois W 71-69 55%    
Projected Record 12 - 16 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.7 1.5 1.8 1.1 0.5 0.3 0.1 6.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.5 2.1 0.9 0.1 0.0 7.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.7 3.5 2.7 0.7 0.1 8.9 3rd
4th 0.1 1.5 4.0 2.9 0.6 0.0 9.1 4th
5th 0.1 1.6 4.7 3.5 0.7 0.0 10.6 5th
6th 0.1 1.3 4.6 4.2 0.8 0.0 10.9 6th
7th 0.1 1.0 4.5 4.0 0.9 0.0 10.6 7th
8th 0.1 1.2 4.1 4.4 1.4 0.1 11.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.3 3.5 3.7 1.4 0.1 10.2 9th
10th 0.1 0.5 1.6 3.1 2.6 1.0 0.1 9.0 10th
11th 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.5 2.1 1.3 0.5 0.1 6.5 11th
Total 0.1 0.2 0.8 2.0 3.8 5.7 7.9 10.0 11.8 11.8 11.5 10.3 8.4 6.5 4.3 2.7 1.2 0.6 0.3 0.1 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
18-2 100.0% 0.3    0.3
17-3 95.3% 0.5    0.5 0.1
16-4 89.9% 1.1    0.8 0.2 0.0
15-5 64.9% 1.8    1.1 0.6 0.1
14-6 35.5% 1.5    0.6 0.6 0.3 0.0
13-7 10.3% 0.7    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 6.0% 6.0 3.4 1.8 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.1% 41.7% 41.7% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.3% 28.0% 28.0% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
17-3 0.6% 34.1% 34.1% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4
16-4 1.2% 28.1% 28.1% 15.4 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.9
15-5 2.7% 27.4% 27.4% 15.6 0.0 0.3 0.5 2.0
14-6 4.3% 18.6% 18.6% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.6 3.5
13-7 6.5% 14.7% 14.7% 15.9 0.1 0.8 5.6
12-8 8.4% 7.0% 7.0% 15.9 0.1 0.5 7.8
11-9 10.3% 4.3% 4.3% 15.9 0.0 0.4 9.9
10-10 11.5% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.0 0.3 11.3
9-11 11.8% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.2 11.6
8-12 11.8% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 11.7
7-13 10.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 10.0
6-14 7.9% 7.9
5-15 5.7% 5.7
4-16 3.8% 3.8
3-17 2.0% 2.0
2-18 0.8% 0.8
1-19 0.2% 0.2
0-20 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 4.7% 4.7% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.6 95.3 0.0%