NC Central
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-12.2#350
Expected Predictive Rating-12.4#332
Pace67.2#252
Improvement+0.6#123

Offense
Total Offense-6.4#343
First Shot-5.1#322
After Offensive Rebound-1.3#259
Layup/Dunks-2.7#273
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#257
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#268
Freethrows+1.6#88
Improvement+0.0#183

Defense
Total Defense-5.7#345
First Shot-3.3#289
After Offensive Rebounds-2.4#314
Layups/Dunks+2.4#93
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#74
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.6#355
Freethrows-0.5#225
Improvement+0.6#125
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.8% 12.0% 7.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 5.8% 18.3% 4.8%
.500 or above in Conference 51.9% 65.8% 50.7%
Conference Champion 7.9% 12.2% 7.5%
Last Place in Conference 12.2% 6.4% 12.6%
First Four7.6% 11.4% 7.3%
First Round2.9% 5.5% 2.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: James Madison (Away) - 7.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 20 - 10 - 6
Quad 30 - 20 - 8
Quad 48 - 108 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 29 @North Carolina St. L 65-114 1%     0 - 1 -32.5 -5.9 -24.8
  Fri, Nov 7 39 @Virginia L 62-81 1%     0 - 2 -4.0 +1.9 -8.0
  Sun, Nov 9 279 @Appalachian St. L 54-76 20%     0 - 3 -25.4 -15.5 -11.9
  Fri, Nov 14 26 @North Carolina L 53-97 1%     0 - 4 -26.9 -11.7 -15.1
  Sat, Nov 22 78 @Dayton L 55-74 3%     0 - 5 -8.5 -8.6 -1.0
  Tue, Nov 25 316 @South Carolina Upstate L 67-82 26%     0 - 6 -20.3 -6.7 -13.9
  Wed, Dec 3 147 @James Madison L 66-81 8%    
  Sat, Dec 6 313 N.C. A&T L 72-73 46%    
  Tue, Dec 9 16 @Kentucky L 59-92 0.1%   
  Sat, Dec 20 260 Longwood L 72-76 38%    
  Mon, Dec 29 100 @Penn St. L 63-83 3%    
  Sat, Jan 3 233 Norfolk St. L 63-68 32%    
  Sat, Jan 10 364 @Coppin St. W 70-68 56%    
  Mon, Jan 12 360 @Morgan St. L 74-75 45%    
  Sat, Jan 17 315 Howard L 72-73 48%    
  Sat, Jan 24 357 Delaware St. W 71-67 65%    
  Mon, Jan 26 339 Maryland Eastern Shore W 65-63 56%    
  Sat, Jan 31 347 @South Carolina St. L 70-74 37%    
  Sat, Feb 7 233 @Norfolk St. L 60-71 17%    
  Sat, Feb 14 364 Coppin St. W 73-65 76%    
  Mon, Feb 16 360 Morgan St. W 77-72 67%    
  Sat, Feb 21 315 @Howard L 69-76 27%    
  Sat, Feb 28 357 @Delaware St. L 68-70 44%    
  Mon, Mar 2 339 @Maryland Eastern Shore L 62-66 35%    
  Thu, Mar 5 347 South Carolina St. W 73-71 58%    
Projected Record 8 - 17 7 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.7 2.3 1.3 0.4 0.1 7.9 1st
2nd 0.6 3.7 6.2 3.8 1.1 0.2 15.6 2nd
3rd 0.8 5.7 7.2 3.1 0.6 0.0 17.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 5.6 7.5 2.2 0.1 16.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 5.0 7.2 1.9 0.1 14.6 5th
6th 0.5 3.5 6.0 1.6 0.0 11.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.9 4.7 1.6 0.1 9.8 7th
8th 0.2 0.9 2.2 2.7 0.8 0.0 6.8 8th
Total 0.2 0.9 2.7 6.1 9.5 13.4 15.3 15.8 13.3 10.5 7.0 3.4 1.4 0.4 0.1 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
13-1 100.0% 0.4    0.4 0.0
12-2 89.0% 1.3    1.1 0.2 0.0
11-3 67.3% 2.3    1.4 0.9 0.0
10-4 38.1% 2.7    1.1 1.2 0.3 0.0
9-5 9.3% 1.0    0.2 0.5 0.3 0.1
8-6 1.2% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
Total 7.9% 7.9 4.3 2.8 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.1% 52.2% 52.2% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-1 0.4% 49.3% 49.3% 16.0 0.0 0.2 0.2
12-2 1.4% 37.6% 37.6% 16.0 0.0 0.5 0.9
11-3 3.4% 25.4% 25.4% 16.0 0.9 2.6
10-4 7.0% 19.3% 19.3% 16.0 1.4 5.7
9-5 10.5% 13.6% 13.6% 16.0 1.4 9.0
8-6 13.3% 9.7% 9.7% 16.0 1.3 12.0
7-7 15.8% 5.9% 5.9% 16.0 0.9 14.8
6-8 15.3% 3.7% 3.7% 16.0 0.6 14.7
5-9 13.4% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.3 13.1
4-10 9.5% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.1 9.4
3-11 6.1% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 6.0
2-12 2.7% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 2.7
1-13 0.9% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 0.9
0-14 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 7.8% 7.8% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 7.7 92.2 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%