Penn St.
Big Ten
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+4.2#104
Expected Predictive Rating+5.7#98
Pace70.7#155
Improvement-0.1#193

Offense
Total Offense+5.0#68
First Shot+3.4#85
After Offensive Rebound+1.6#81
Layup/Dunks+5.5#32
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#135
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#280
Freethrows+0.2#169
Improvement+0.4#139

Defense
Total Defense-0.8#193
First Shot-0.9#210
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#182
Layups/Dunks-1.5#241
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#89
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.2#326
Freethrows+3.5#16
Improvement-0.5#227
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.8% 1.2% 0.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.8% 1.2% 0.4%
Average Seed 10.1 10.1 10.3
.500 or above 26.2% 36.2% 15.6%
.500 or above in Conference 1.6% 2.1% 1.1%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 31.2% 27.9% 34.7%
First Four0.4% 0.5% 0.2%
First Round0.6% 0.9% 0.3%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Pittsburgh (Neutral) - 51.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 70 - 7
Quad 1b1 - 41 - 12
Quad 22 - 43 - 16
Quad 32 - 16 - 17
Quad 49 - 014 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 305 Fairfield W 76-68 91%     1 - 0 -3.0 -1.0 -1.8
  Sat, Nov 8 337 @New Haven W 87-43 87%     2 - 0 +36.2 +23.5 +18.2
  Tue, Nov 11 204 Navy W 80-71 83%     3 - 0 +3.2 +7.5 -4.2
  Sat, Nov 15 238 La Salle W 83-69 79%     4 - 0 +9.7 +18.0 -6.9
  Wed, Nov 19 200 Harvard W 84-80 82%     5 - 0 -1.6 +17.0 -18.1
  Sat, Nov 22 70 Providence L 65-77 36%     5 - 1 -4.1 -7.7 +3.7
  Tue, Nov 25 288 Boston University W 96-87 90%     6 - 1 -1.0 +24.2 -24.3
  Sat, Nov 29 254 Sacred Heart W 90-59 87%     7 - 1 +22.8 +2.7 +17.1
  Tue, Dec 2 226 Campbell W 87-76 85%     8 - 1 +4.3 +7.4 -3.6
  Tue, Dec 9 27 @Indiana L 72-113 11%     8 - 2 0 - 1 -23.2 +4.8 -26.2
  Sat, Dec 13 12 Michigan St. L 72-76 16%     8 - 3 0 - 2 +10.9 +9.6 +1.3
  Sun, Dec 21 107 Pittsburgh W 75-74 52%    
  Mon, Dec 29 349 NC Central W 84-64 97%    
  Sat, Jan 3 14 Illinois L 74-88 10%    
  Tue, Jan 6 1 Michigan L 71-91 3%    
  Sat, Jan 10 7 @Purdue L 67-86 4%    
  Wed, Jan 14 30 UCLA L 71-78 27%    
  Sun, Jan 18 94 @Maryland L 77-81 35%    
  Thu, Jan 22 40 Wisconsin L 78-83 34%    
  Mon, Jan 26 31 @Ohio St. L 74-86 13%    
  Thu, Jan 29 58 @Northwestern L 74-82 23%    
  Sun, Feb 1 103 Minnesota W 73-70 60%    
  Thu, Feb 5 1 @Michigan L 68-94 1%    
  Sun, Feb 8 34 USC L 79-85 30%    
  Wed, Feb 11 47 @Washington L 73-83 19%    
  Sat, Feb 14 66 @Oregon L 75-82 26%    
  Wed, Feb 18 133 Rutgers W 78-73 69%    
  Sat, Feb 21 26 @Nebraska L 71-85 11%    
  Sat, Feb 28 23 Iowa L 70-78 24%    
  Wed, Mar 4 31 Ohio St. L 77-83 28%    
  Sun, Mar 8 133 @Rutgers L 75-76 48%    
Projected Record 14 - 17 5 - 15




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 6th
7th 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 7th
8th 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.5 8th
9th 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 1.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 1.0 0.2 0.0 1.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 1.5 0.7 0.1 2.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 2.0 1.9 0.3 0.0 4.6 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 2.3 3.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 7.1 13th
14th 0.0 0.2 2.4 5.3 2.4 0.2 10.6 14th
15th 0.1 2.4 6.6 4.5 0.7 0.0 14.4 15th
16th 0.1 2.4 7.7 6.1 1.2 0.1 17.6 16th
17th 0.2 2.8 8.4 7.1 1.6 0.1 20.3 17th
18th 1.0 4.2 7.3 5.2 1.2 0.1 19.0 18th
Total 1.0 4.4 10.3 16.1 18.6 17.2 13.7 9.2 5.2 2.7 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 0.0%
14-6 0.0%
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 0.0% 0.0
14-6 0.0% 0.0
13-7 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 70.0% 70.0% 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 70.0%
11-9 0.4% 47.2% 47.2% 9.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 47.2%
10-10 1.0% 25.5% 25.5% 10.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.8 25.5%
9-11 2.7% 7.5% 7.5% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 2.5 7.5%
8-12 5.2% 0.6% 0.6% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.2 0.6%
7-13 9.2% 0.1% 0.1% 11.0 0.0 9.2 0.1%
6-14 13.7% 13.7
5-15 17.2% 17.2
4-16 18.6% 18.6
3-17 16.1% 16.1
2-18 10.3% 10.3
1-19 4.4% 4.4
0-20 1.0% 1.0
Total 100% 0.8% 0.0% 0.8% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 99.2 0.8%