New Orleans
Southland
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.9#205
Expected Predictive Rating+1.9#142
Pace72.2#115
Improvement-4.2#363

Offense
Total Offense-1.7#212
First Shot-3.4#273
After Offensive Rebound+1.7#85
Layup/Dunks-2.7#274
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#281
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#232
Freethrows+2.3#59
Improvement-2.1#341

Defense
Total Defense-1.2#205
First Shot+2.7#89
After Offensive Rebounds-3.9#343
Layups/Dunks-0.4#192
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#230
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.7#11
Freethrows-3.1#333
Improvement-2.1#336
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.1% 6.8% 3.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.0 13.5 14.0
.500 or above 28.8% 52.3% 26.3%
.500 or above in Conference 59.5% 71.8% 58.1%
Conference Champion 3.3% 5.8% 3.1%
Last Place in Conference 4.5% 1.9% 4.8%
First Four0.2% 0.1% 0.2%
First Round4.0% 6.8% 3.7%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Memphis (Away) - 9.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 4
Quad 21 - 32 - 7
Quad 33 - 65 - 13
Quad 49 - 514 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 51 @TCU W 78-74 7%     1 - 0 +17.3 +7.7 +9.3
  Mon, Nov 10 40 @LSU L 58-93 6%     1 - 1 -20.0 -10.8 -7.9
  Fri, Nov 14 152 @Tulane W 85-63 29%     2 - 1 +24.9 +16.1 +10.2
  Tue, Nov 18 264 @Pepperdine L 79-90 49%     2 - 2 -13.5 +2.7 -15.6
  Fri, Nov 21 153 @Fresno St. L 76-85 29%     2 - 3 -6.1 -1.9 -3.4
  Mon, Nov 24 84 @Mississippi St. L 78-81 OT 12%     2 - 4 +6.8 +1.8 +5.3
  Wed, Nov 26 24 @Texas Tech L 50-82 4%     2 - 5 -14.4 -15.5 +1.3
  Wed, Dec 3 70 @Memphis L 69-83 10%    
  Sat, Dec 6 276 Houston Christian W 74-68 73%    
  Mon, Dec 8 192 Incarnate Word W 74-72 57%    
  Sat, Dec 13 5 @Houston L 55-81 1%    
  Mon, Dec 29 202 @UT Rio Grande Valley L 77-80 39%    
  Wed, Dec 31 226 @TX A&M Corpus Christi L 71-73 43%    
  Sat, Jan 3 285 @Northwestern St. W 72-71 54%    
  Mon, Jan 5 308 East Texas A&M W 76-68 77%    
  Sat, Jan 10 270 Nicholls St. W 76-70 70%    
  Mon, Jan 12 250 @SE Louisiana L 70-71 46%    
  Sat, Jan 17 139 Stephen F. Austin L 72-73 46%    
  Mon, Jan 19 199 Lamar W 70-67 59%    
  Sat, Jan 24 82 @McNeese St. L 65-78 13%    
  Mon, Jan 26 270 @Nicholls St. L 72-73 51%    
  Sat, Jan 31 285 Northwestern St. W 75-68 73%    
  Mon, Feb 2 308 @East Texas A&M W 73-71 57%    
  Sat, Feb 7 202 UT Rio Grande Valley W 80-77 59%    
  Mon, Feb 9 226 TX A&M Corpus Christi W 74-70 64%    
  Sat, Feb 14 276 @Houston Christian W 71-70 52%    
  Mon, Feb 16 192 @Incarnate Word L 71-75 36%    
  Sat, Feb 21 199 @Lamar L 67-70 38%    
  Mon, Feb 23 139 @Stephen F. Austin L 69-76 27%    
  Sat, Feb 28 82 McNeese St. L 68-75 27%    
  Mon, Mar 2 250 SE Louisiana W 73-68 67%    
Projected Record 13 - 18 11 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.9 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 3.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.3 2.3 2.7 1.8 0.5 0.1 0.0 9.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 2.7 4.1 3.1 1.3 0.3 0.0 12.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 3.4 4.7 2.7 0.8 0.1 0.0 12.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 3.4 5.3 2.5 0.6 0.0 12.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 3.3 4.9 2.2 0.3 0.0 11.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.9 4.5 2.2 0.3 0.0 10.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.0 3.8 2.2 0.3 0.0 8.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 1.7 3.0 1.8 0.3 0.0 7.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.4 2.4 1.5 0.3 5.8 10th
11th 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.5 1.0 0.1 0.0 4.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.5 0.1 2.5 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.0 2.1 3.7 5.5 7.1 9.5 11.0 11.6 12.1 10.6 8.8 6.4 4.7 2.9 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
22-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
21-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
20-2 87.1% 0.2    0.2 0.0
19-3 80.2% 0.6    0.4 0.2
18-4 59.4% 0.8    0.5 0.3 0.0
17-5 29.4% 0.9    0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0
16-6 12.3% 0.6    0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
15-7 2.4% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-8 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-9 0.0%
12-10 0.0%
11-11 0.0%
Total 3.3% 3.3 1.8 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
22-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
21-1 0.1% 0.0 0.0
20-2 0.3% 35.3% 35.3% 12.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2
19-3 0.7% 26.7% 26.7% 12.7 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5
18-4 1.4% 22.5% 22.5% 13.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.1
17-5 2.9% 19.6% 19.6% 13.2 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 2.4
16-6 4.7% 13.7% 13.7% 13.4 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 4.0
15-7 6.4% 10.8% 10.8% 13.9 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 5.7
14-8 8.8% 6.0% 6.0% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 8.2
13-9 10.6% 3.7% 3.7% 14.7 0.1 0.2 0.0 10.2
12-10 12.1% 3.0% 3.0% 15.4 0.0 0.2 0.2 11.7
11-11 11.6% 1.1% 1.1% 15.8 0.0 0.1 11.5
10-12 11.0% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 10.9
9-13 9.5% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 9.4
8-14 7.1% 7.1
7-15 5.5% 5.5
6-16 3.7% 3.7
5-17 2.1% 2.1
4-18 1.0% 1.0
3-19 0.4% 0.4
2-20 0.2% 0.2
1-21 0.0% 0.0
0-22 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 4.1% 4.1% 0.0% 14.0 0.0 0.4 1.1 1.2 0.9 0.4 95.9 0.0%