Penn
Ivy League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.8#223
Expected Predictive Rating-0.7#183
Pace72.4#113
Improvement+2.1#39

Offense
Total Offense-0.3#168
First Shot+0.3#163
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#211
Layup/Dunks-7.3#356
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#150
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.6#44
Freethrows+2.7#51
Improvement+1.2#72

Defense
Total Defense-3.5#291
First Shot-4.4#320
After Offensive Rebounds+0.9#131
Layups/Dunks-5.6#340
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#200
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#227
Freethrows+2.2#66
Improvement+0.9#95
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.6% 4.3% 2.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.2 14.1 14.6
.500 or above 39.0% 47.5% 22.9%
.500 or above in Conference 40.6% 44.9% 32.6%
Conference Champion 3.1% 3.6% 2.1%
Last Place in Conference 18.5% 15.8% 23.6%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.2%
First Round3.6% 4.3% 2.3%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Merrimack (Home) - 65.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 31 - 5
Quad 33 - 43 - 9
Quad 49 - 412 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sun, Nov 9 283 @American L 78-84 50%     0 - 1 -9.7 -3.2 -5.9
  Tue, Nov 11 75 @Providence L 81-106 10%     0 - 2 -14.4 +2.3 -13.8
  Mon, Nov 17 175 Saint Joseph's W 83-74 52%     1 - 2 +4.7 +3.5 +0.6
  Fri, Nov 21 262 @Drexel W 84-68 45%     2 - 2 +13.5 +14.5 -0.3
  Fri, Nov 28 255 Merrimack W 74-70 65%    
  Sat, Nov 29 214 La Salle W 78-75 60%    
  Sun, Nov 30 162 Hofstra L 74-75 50%    
  Mon, Dec 8 327 Lafayette W 80-71 78%    
  Sat, Dec 20 120 @Rutgers L 69-79 19%    
  Sun, Dec 28 74 @George Mason L 66-81 9%    
  Wed, Dec 31 349 NJIT W 82-71 84%    
  Mon, Jan 5 238 @Princeton L 74-76 42%    
  Sat, Jan 10 254 Brown W 73-69 65%    
  Sat, Jan 17 299 @Dartmouth W 80-79 53%    
  Mon, Jan 19 179 @Harvard L 72-77 32%    
  Sat, Jan 24 69 Yale L 75-84 21%    
  Fri, Jan 30 134 @Columbia L 73-82 22%    
  Sat, Jan 31 161 @Cornell L 81-87 30%    
  Sat, Feb 7 238 Princeton W 77-73 63%    
  Fri, Feb 13 134 Columbia L 76-79 41%    
  Sat, Feb 14 161 Cornell L 84-85 50%    
  Sat, Feb 21 69 @Yale L 72-87 10%    
  Fri, Feb 27 299 Dartmouth W 83-76 72%    
  Sat, Feb 28 179 Harvard W 75-74 53%    
  Fri, Mar 6 254 @Brown L 70-72 44%    
Projected Record 12 - 13 6 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.0 0.7 0.1 0.0 3.1 1st
2nd 0.1 1.9 3.9 3.0 1.1 0.1 10.1 2nd
3rd 0.3 3.2 5.9 3.5 0.6 13.6 3rd
4th 0.4 4.2 7.5 3.1 0.3 0.0 15.4 4th
5th 0.4 4.6 8.5 3.0 0.2 16.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 4.3 8.2 2.6 0.1 15.8 6th
7th 0.0 1.2 4.7 6.3 2.5 0.1 14.7 7th
8th 0.5 2.0 3.7 3.5 1.1 0.0 10.7 8th
Total 0.5 2.0 4.9 8.7 12.0 15.7 15.6 14.0 11.1 8.0 4.5 2.1 0.8 0.1 0.0 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
12-2 87.6% 0.7    0.5 0.2
11-3 47.2% 1.0    0.5 0.5 0.0
10-4 20.8% 0.9    0.2 0.5 0.2 0.0
9-5 3.0% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 3.1% 3.1 1.4 1.2 0.3 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-1 0.1% 17.1% 17.1% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.1
12-2 0.8% 27.2% 27.2% 13.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6
11-3 2.1% 20.9% 20.9% 13.5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.6
10-4 4.5% 14.9% 14.9% 13.8 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 3.9
9-5 8.0% 10.6% 10.6% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 7.1
8-6 11.1% 8.4% 8.4% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.1 10.2
7-7 14.0% 3.1% 3.1% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 13.6
6-8 15.6% 0.5% 0.5% 15.5 0.0 0.0 15.6
5-9 15.7% 15.7
4-10 12.0% 12.0
3-11 8.7% 8.7
2-12 4.9% 4.9
1-13 2.0% 2.0
0-14 0.5% 0.5
Total 100% 3.6% 3.6% 0.0% 14.2 0.2 0.8 1.2 1.1 0.3 96.4 0.0%