Penn
Ivy League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating -0.4 166
Results Rating +0.4 150
Consistency 0.12 51
Pace 71.3 103
Improvement +3.0 64

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 196 C C- C C+ D
Defense C 150 C- B- C- B+ C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 270 D 52% 322 -4.0 318
2 Pt. Jumpers 48% 71 C 38% 184 +2.4 57
Three Pointers 37% 253 A- 39% 12 +1.1 147
Shot Selection/Accuracy D -1.0 308 C +0.6 146
1st FG Attempt C 1.01 188
Second Chance C 31.0% 163 D+ 0.97 278 C- 0.30 202
Opponents' Steals C- 9.8% 220
Other Turnovers C+ 7.0% 145
Turnovers C 16.8% 178
Freethrows B- 0.33 88 D+ 70% 266 C+ 0.23 129
Total Offense C- -1.1 196

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C- 44% 256 D 13.9% 329
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots A- 43% 17 C+ 4.3% 132
Three Pointers C- 83% 221 C 0.9% 201
Total C+ 57% 145 D+ 6.5% 278

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 59 D+ 62% 296 +4.5 325
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% 146 D+ 41% 283 +1.0 273
Three Pointers 35% 333 B 31% 54 -4.4 23
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.2 213 C- +0.7 212
1st FG Attempt C- 1.04 206
Second Chance C 30.6% 198 B 0.93 41 B- 0.28 95
Turnovers from Steals D+ 8.3% 267
Other Turnovers C+ 7.8% 106
Turnovers C- 16.2% 217
Freethrows B 0.26 53 A+ 65% 2 B+ 0.17 21
Total Defense C +0.7 150

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C+ 47% 146 C- 9.4% 232
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 23% 134 D 2.4% 318
Three Pointers B- 81% 93 D- 0.0% 356
Total B- 50% 74 D+ 4.6% 253

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.2 71 17.6 245
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.12 310 0.18 227
Consistency 0.10 30 0.08 3
Improvement -1.6 268 +4.6 17

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 186 163 139
Results Rating Rank 202 154 108
Conference Record 7 - 7 8 - 6 9 - 5
Conference Finish 4 3 2
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 14
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 14% 15% 12%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 14.1 13.9 14.6
.500 or above 90% 100% 76%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 0% 1% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round14% 15% 12%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Harvard (Home) - 58.1% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 35 - 55 - 10
Quad 410 - 215 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sun, Nov 9 251 @American L 78 - 84 56% -3  13% 0 - 1 D+ -8 D -5 D+ D- F C- -2 D- C+ C
 Tue, Nov 11 60 @Providence L 81 - 106 12% -10  5% 0 - 2 D- -13 D+ -3 F+ C+ B- D- -7 D- F A
 Mon, Nov 17 126 Saint Joseph's W 83 - 74 50% +1  55% 1 - 2 B +9 B- +5 A D- D- B- +3 D A+ C
 Fri, Nov 21 215 @Drexel W 84 - 68 48% +9  98% 2 - 2 A- +16 A+ +15 B+ A+ C- C+ +1 B C- F
 Fri, Nov 28 172 Merrimack W 77 - 65 64% +4  60% 3 - 2 B- +8 C+ +3 B+ C B+ B+ +5 A C+ F
 Sat, Nov 29 212 La Salle W 73 - 71 70% -3  28% 4 - 2 C- -4 B- +4 B A C D- -7 A F D
 Sun, Nov 30 104 Hofstra L 60 - 77 44% -4  32% 4 - 3 F+ -16 F -13 F B+ C- D+ -4 F D- A+
 Sat, Dec 6 32 Villanova L 63 - 90 9% -15  0% 4 - 4 D- -13 C- -2 C- B- C F -12 F B+ C+
 Mon, Dec 8 323 Lafayette W 74 - 72 88% +6  96% 5 - 4 D -11 F+ -9 D- F+ B- C- -3 F A B-
 Sat, Dec 20 113 @Rutgers L 69 - 70 26% +4  89% 5 - 5 B- +5 C- -2 F A+ D- A- +7 B- A+ F
 Sun, Dec 28 109 @George Mason L 79 - 83 25% -3  21% 5 - 6 C+ +3 B+ +8 A+ D- A- D -5 D F F
 Wed, Dec 31 315 NJIT W 80 - 61 87% +6  52% 6 - 6 B- +6 C +0 A F+ D+ B+ +6 B- B+ B
 Mon, Jan 5 252 @Princeton L 76 - 78 56% +1  61% 6 - 7 0 - 1 C- -4 C+ +3 F A+ F D- -7 F A- D
 Sat, Jan 10 277 Brown W 81 - 73 81% +1  57% 7 - 7 1 - 1 C- -2 B+ +8 B+ F+ A F+ -9 D- D+ F
 Sat, Jan 17 256 @Dartmouth W 84 - 74 57% +1  44% 8 - 7 2 - 1 B- +8 B- +5 C+ C+ A+ B- +2 B C D+
 Mon, Jan 19 149 @Harvard L 63 - 64 35% -1  27% 8 - 8 2 - 2 C+ +3 C- -2 C- F C- B +4 C- B C+
 Sat, Jan 24 88 Yale L 60 - 77 36% -5  15% 8 - 9 2 - 3 D- -14 F -15 D- D- D+ C+ +0 B- B- A
 Fri, Jan 30 188 @Columbia L 67 - 72 44% -5  2% 8 - 10 2 - 4 C- -4 D -5 D D+ B- C+ +1 F A- A+
 Sat, Jan 31 165 @Cornell W 91 - 81 38% +11  97% 9 - 10 3 - 4 B+ +13 B+ +8 A+ F F B +4 C A+ F
 Sat, Feb 7 252 Princeton W 61 - 60 77% +5  90% 10 - 10 4 - 4 D+ -7 D- -6 D+ D B- C -0 B- B F
 Fri, Feb 13 188 Columbia W 76 - 67 67% -2  7% 11 - 10 5 - 4 C+ +4 D+ -3 C C C- A- +7 C- B A+
 Sat, Feb 14 165 Cornell W 82 - 76 61% +3  72% 12 - 10 6 - 4 C+ +3 D- -8 F D+ B A +10 A- C- B+
 Sat, Feb 21 88 @Yale L 70 - 74 18% +2  56% 12 - 11 6 - 5 B- +5 C- -1 C F+ B- B+ +6 A+ C+ C
 Fri, Feb 27 256 Dartmouth W 80 - 71 77% -3  23% 13 - 11 7 - 5 C +1 C+ +2 C+ D C+ C -1 D+ A+ F
 Sat, Feb 28 149 Harvard W 69 - 67 58%
 Fri, Mar 6 277 @Brown W 71 - 68 63%
Totals 14 - 12 8 - 6 +0 C- -1 C+ C D C +1 A- D+ C+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- D C A- C 36% 48% 37% D C C D+ C- C B- D+ C+ C D+ D+ B C- 43% 21% 35% C- C- C B B- C- B A+ B+
1.07 52% 38% 39% +1 -1 1.01 31% 1.0 .30 17% .33 70% .23 1.08 62% 41% 31% +1 0 1.04 31% 0.9 .28 16% .26 65% .22
Nov
9		 American D C F A+ C- 31% 27% 42% F+ D+ F+ C- D- F A+ A- A+ C- C F B- D- 41% 9% 50% D D- C- B+ C+ C F A+ D
1.01 60% 15% 45% +1 -1 1.02 23% 1.0 .23 23% .54 78% .42 1.09 57% 100% 32% +4 +2 1.13 27% 0.8 .22 17% .36 65% .23
Nov
11		 Providence D+ F F A+ D- 23% 36% 41% F F+ D+ A- C+ B- A- A A D- F+ A+ F F+ 43% 16% 41% C D- F F+ F A C- F F+
1.02 29% 23% 44% -6 -3 0.84 26% 1.2 .30 13% .35 79% .27 1.34 71% 22% 48% +11 +1 1.27 44% 1.4 .59 19% .36 91% .33
Nov
17		 Saint Joseph's B- C- C A+ A 47% 22% 31% B+ A B- F D- D- A+ A+ A+ B- D- C- B- D 36% 14% 50% C D D A+ A+ C B- A B+
1.11 54% 36% 50% +5 0 1.14 33% 0.7 .22 19% .38 83% .31 0.99 67% 38% 31% +1 +1 1.05 36% 0.4 .16 17% .24 67% .16
Nov
21		 Drexel A+ D+ A+ B- A- 36% 21% 43% C B+ B+ A+ A+ C- A+ B- A+ C+ C- A- B+ B 49% 26% 25% C B D C+ C- F D+ A+ A-
1.25 53% 60% 35% +3 0 1.09 37% 1.4 .50 16% .50 79% .39 1.01 58% 29% 31% -4 0 0.94 33% 0.9 .28 13% .29 41% .12
Nov
28		 Merrimack C+ C A+ F B+ 46% 29% 25% C- B+ D+ B+ C B+ B+ F D B+ D D- A+ A+ 40% 16% 44% C+ A C B C+ F A+ B+ A+
1.13 55% 64% 25% +3 -1 1.06 37% 1.2 .43 16% .40 52% .21 0.96 61% 44% 12% -12 +1 0.79 23% 0.9 .21 7% .24 73% .17
Nov
29		 La Salle B- D- B A+ A- 31% 31% 38% F B C+ A+ A C A- D+ B D- B+ C+ A+ A 28% 36% 36% A+ A F F F D A+ A+ A+
1.14 50% 43% 47% +6 -2 1.11 30% 1.6 .47 17% .32 65% .21 1.11 47% 37% 21% -11 -3 0.75 46% 1.5 .68 16% .15 63% .09
Nov
30		 Hofstra F F F F F 27% 50% 23% F F B- A- B+ C- C C- C- D+ F B- B- F 43% 29% 29% C- F C- F D- A+ D- F F
0.90 29% 23% 25% -19 -5 0.56 33% 1.2 .40 15% .30 71% .21 1.15 83% 33% 33% +9 -1 1.19 35% 1.3 .43 22% .35 94% .33
Dec
6		 Villanova C- F F A+ C+ 27% 37% 37% F C- C+ B- B- C C F F F C- F F F 32% 15% 53% C+ F B- B+ B+ C+ A- B- A-
0.96 46% 28% 44% -1 -3 0.94 32% 1.0 .32 21% .23 33% .08 1.36 65% 50% 54% +19 0 1.42 33% 0.9 .30 15% .23 69% .16
Dec
8		 Lafayette F+ C+ D- F D- 46% 29% 25% C D- C F F+ B- C+ F C- C- D A+ F F 55% 13% 32% F+ F B+ A+ A B- B+ F B-
1.03 62% 31% 29% -2 0 0.96 31% 0.8 .24 13% .30 63% .19 1.01 62% 14% 41% +2 +2 1.11 20% 0.5 .10 18% .22 77% .17
Dec
20		 Rutgers C- B- B+ F F 37% 28% 35% D+ F B A+ A+ D- A+ D+ A+ A- A F A+ B 32% 34% 34% B- B- A+ A+ A+ F F A- F
1.01 63% 42% 7% -12 -1 0.77 36% 1.7 .61 20% .46 72% .33 1.02 44% 65% 18% -4 -2 0.90 21% 0.6 .13 9% .50 68% .34
Dec
28		 George Mason B+ C+ A- A+ A+ 32% 28% 40% D+ A+ D+ F D- A- C F D- D F F A+ D 48% 26% 26% C D F+ D F F F A+ B+
1.15 61% 44% 48% +11 -1 1.21 24% 0.7 .16 12% .25 53% .13 1.21 75% 69% 8% +6 0 1.14 38% 1.1 .41 10% .45 50% .23
Dec
31		 NJIT C B+ A A+ A+ 23% 21% 56% F+ A D+ F F+ D+ D+ F F B+ B+ C B B- 32% 36% 32% A- B- D A+ B+ B A F B
1.15 67% 45% 41% +10 -1 1.19 31% 0.8 .26 16% .32 58% .19 0.87 47% 37% 29% -6 -2 0.85 29% 0.5 .16 20% .21 83% .18
Jan
5		 Princeton C+ F A+ B F 52% 24% 24% C F A+ A A+ F B+ A+ A+ D- F+ F F F 53% 11% 36% F F B+ A- A- D F A+ D
1.14 33% 55% 36% -8 +1 0.87 43% 1.3 .57 20% .36 100% .36 1.17 64% 60% 41% +9 +2 1.26 21% 0.8 .18 15% .41 65% .27
Jan
10		 Brown B+ F A+ A+ A+ 31% 40% 29% F B+ B- F F+ A A+ C+ A+ F+ D B C- F+ 48% 19% 33% C- D- C+ F+ D+ F B+ B- B+
1.20 40% 58% 50% +9 -3 1.15 34% 0.5 .19 13% .49 76% .37 1.08 62% 30% 33% 0 +1 1.04 27% 1.2 .33 16% .21 67% .14
Jan
17		 Dartmouth B- F C- A+ B- 44% 20% 35% C- C+ B- C C+ A+ A+ F A+ B- A- F A- B+ 31% 11% 57% D B D B C D+ F C F
1.16 46% 36% 47% +1 0 1.06 32% 1.0 .32 7% .46 61% .28 1.02 47% 67% 29% -5 +1 0.94 27% 1.0 .27 18% .44 73% .32
Jan
19		 Harvard C- F+ A C C- 40% 21% 38% D+ C- C F F C- A- B- A- B D- A+ B C+ 47% 10% 43% F C- C+ A- B C+ A A+ A+
1.01 47% 50% 33% -2 0 0.98 29% 0.5 .15 18% .33 76% .25 1.03 67% 20% 32% +1 +2 1.08 26% 0.8 .19 19% .16 50% .08
Jan
24		 Yale F F A D D- 29% 24% 47% D D- D F+ D- D+ A- F C+ C+ C- A+ F+ B+ 56% 19% 25% D- B- F A+ B- A C+ F C-
0.90 43% 50% 30% -4 -1 0.92 24% 0.9 .22 17% .32 61% .20 1.16 59% 22% 42% +1 +2 1.06 42% 0.9 .36 20% .30 88% .26
Jan
30		 Columbia D C- F A+ C- 32% 41% 27% F D D C+ D+ B- F F F C+ F A F F 48% 22% 30% B- F B A A- A+ A+ B A+
1.00 56% 22% 47% -2 -3 0.91 25% 1.0 .25 12% .19 55% .10 1.07 71% 27% 47% +9 +1 1.22 32% 0.8 .25 27% .12 67% .08
Jan
31		 Cornell B+ A C- A+ A+ 49% 17% 34% C+ A+ B- F F F A+ B- A+ B B+ C F C- 35% 9% 56% C+ C A- A+ A+ F C- A+ B
1.26 74% 38% 50% +16 +1 1.36 35% 0.6 .19 19% .52 73% .38 1.12 53% 40% 43% +6 +1 1.17 25% 0.8 .19 12% .30 58% .17
Feb
7		 Princeton D- C- D- B C- 37% 33% 30% F D+ B F D B- C- D D+ C B- F A+ B 49% 17% 34% D- B- D+ A+ B F C- A+ B
1.05 59% 33% 36% 0 -2 0.98 33% 0.8 .25 12% .29 67% .19 1.03 52% 50% 25% -5 +1 0.94 29% 0.7 .21 12% .31 63% .19
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
13		 Columbia D+ F A- B+ C 37% 24% 39% D+ C C- C+ C C- C- C- C- A- D- A+ B- C+ 52% 10% 38% F+ C- B B- B A+ C+ A+ A-
1.08 45% 46% 38% 0 -1 1.00 28% 1.0 .28 14% .30 72% .22 0.95 64% 20% 33% +1 +2 1.08 32% 0.9 .29 28% .26 54% .14
Feb
14		 Cornell D- D A+ F F 49% 21% 30% C F C F+ D+ B A+ D- A+ A B- F A A+ 55% 4% 41% F A- D+ C C- B+ F+ A+ B+
1.08 54% 55% 13% -8 +1 0.87 31% 0.9 .28 12% .61 66% .40 1.00 57% 50% 29% -3 +3 1.02 33% 1.1 .38 21% .35 48% .17
Feb
21		 Yale C- F F+ A+ C 39% 25% 35% C- C D+ F F+ B- C- C C- B+ C F A+ A+ 27% 29% 44% A+ A+ C+ C+ C+ C C C- C
1.05 45% 31% 50% +1 -1 1.04 26% 0.8 .20 14% .24 71% .17 1.11 57% 53% 22% -4 -2 0.90 32% 1.2 .37 15% .32 78% .25
Feb
27		 Dartmouth C+ B+ F B+ B- 42% 20% 38% C- C+ B+ F D C+ A+ F A+ C D B D D+ 38% 20% 42% C D+ A+ A+ A+ F F A+ C
1.16 67% 20% 37% +2 0 1.06 35% 0.7 .23 12% .60 59% .36 1.03 63% 30% 38% +3 0 1.08 15% 0.8 .12 14% .42 56% .24



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.4 0.4 1st
2nd 11.8 11.8 2nd
3rd 8.8 46.8 24.8 80.5 3rd
4th 7.3 7.3 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
Total 16.2 46.8 37.0 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5 1.0% 0.4    0.4
8-6 0.0%
7-7 0.0%
Total 0.4% 0.4 0.4



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5 37.0% 16.5% 16.5% 13.6 0.2 2.5 3.0 0.4 30.9
8-6 46.8% 13.2% 13.2% 14.4 0.0 0.3 2.9 2.9 0.1 40.7
7-7 16.2% 9.8% 9.8% 14.9 0.0 0.2 1.3 0.1 14.6
6-8
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 13.8% 13.8% 0.0% 14.1 86.2 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 6.1% 100.0% 13.6 3.4 41.3 49.5 5.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 10.9%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 20.0%
Lose Out 1.0%