SE Louisiana
Southland
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.9#250
Expected Predictive Rating-10.9#323
Pace67.5#244
Improvement+1.2#81

Offense
Total Offense-5.6#328
First Shot-4.7#309
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#232
Layup/Dunks-1.1#226
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#154
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.0#327
Freethrows+1.1#121
Improvement+0.4#140

Defense
Total Defense+0.7#147
First Shot-1.8#234
After Offensive Rebounds+2.5#43
Layups/Dunks+4.0#58
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#337
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#150
Freethrows-3.5#342
Improvement+0.8#105
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.2% 2.4% 1.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 14.9 15.4
.500 or above 14.6% 17.0% 6.2%
.500 or above in Conference 40.9% 43.9% 30.6%
Conference Champion 1.7% 1.9% 0.9%
Last Place in Conference 10.9% 9.3% 16.3%
First Four0.4% 0.4% 0.5%
First Round2.1% 2.2% 1.4%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Gardner-Webb (Neutral) - 77.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 40 - 7
Quad 32 - 73 - 13
Quad 49 - 711 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 49 @Mississippi L 58-88 5%     0 - 1 -16.6 -6.7 -11.5
  Fri, Nov 7 304 @Louisiana L 52-58 50%     0 - 2 -10.8 -11.6 -0.4
  Mon, Nov 10 104 @Georgia Tech L 60-70 13%     0 - 3 -2.5 -9.2 +7.5
  Sat, Nov 15 84 @Mississippi St. L 68-75 9%     0 - 4 +2.8 -4.2 +7.3
  Wed, Nov 26 113 @UNC Wilmington L 57-70 15%     0 - 5 -6.8 -6.9 -1.4
  Fri, Nov 28 356 Gardner-Webb W 76-68 78%    
  Sat, Nov 29 159 Navy L 66-70 33%    
  Sun, Dec 7 285 Northwestern St. W 69-64 68%    
  Sat, Dec 13 276 @Houston Christian L 65-67 45%    
  Mon, Dec 15 308 East Texas A&M W 70-64 71%    
  Fri, Dec 19 40 @LSU L 63-83 3%    
  Tue, Dec 30 192 @Incarnate Word L 65-71 30%    
  Sat, Jan 3 139 Stephen F. Austin L 66-69 39%    
  Mon, Jan 5 199 Lamar W 64-63 52%    
  Sat, Jan 10 82 @McNeese St. L 59-74 9%    
  Mon, Jan 12 205 New Orleans W 71-70 54%    
  Sat, Jan 17 226 @TX A&M Corpus Christi L 65-69 37%    
  Mon, Jan 19 202 @UT Rio Grande Valley L 70-75 32%    
  Sat, Jan 24 270 Nicholls St. W 69-65 64%    
  Mon, Jan 26 82 McNeese St. L 62-71 22%    
  Sat, Jan 31 139 @Stephen F. Austin L 63-72 21%    
  Mon, Feb 2 199 @Lamar L 61-66 32%    
  Sat, Feb 7 276 Houston Christian W 68-64 65%    
  Mon, Feb 9 192 Incarnate Word W 69-68 50%    
  Sat, Feb 14 285 @Northwestern St. L 66-67 47%    
  Mon, Feb 16 308 @East Texas A&M W 67-66 51%    
  Sat, Feb 21 202 UT Rio Grande Valley W 73-72 52%    
  Mon, Feb 23 226 TX A&M Corpus Christi W 68-66 58%    
  Sat, Feb 28 270 @Nicholls St. L 66-68 44%    
  Mon, Mar 2 205 @New Orleans L 68-73 33%    
Projected Record 11 - 19 10 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.5 1.4 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0 5.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 1.9 2.4 1.7 0.7 0.1 0.0 7.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 2.8 3.2 1.8 0.4 0.1 9.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 2.9 4.0 1.7 0.3 0.0 9.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 3.0 4.5 1.8 0.3 0.0 10.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 3.4 4.6 1.9 0.3 0.0 10.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 2.9 4.6 2.0 0.2 0.0 10.4 8th
9th 0.1 0.6 2.6 4.5 2.5 0.3 0.0 10.7 9th
10th 0.1 0.7 2.5 4.0 2.0 0.4 0.0 9.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 1.2 2.7 2.7 1.5 0.3 0.0 8.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.4 1.9 1.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 6.8 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.7 3.2 5.2 6.5 8.9 10.4 11.6 10.7 10.2 9.3 7.3 5.5 3.7 2.5 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
22-0
21-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
20-2 93.8% 0.1    0.1 0.0
19-3 71.6% 0.2    0.1 0.0 0.0
18-4 60.5% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
17-5 40.0% 0.6    0.3 0.2 0.1
16-6 12.9% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
15-7 2.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-8 0.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-9 0.0%
12-10 0.0%
11-11 0.0%
Total 1.7% 1.7 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
22-0
21-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
20-2 0.1% 37.5% 37.5% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
19-3 0.2% 29.9% 29.9% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
18-4 0.6% 20.5% 20.5% 13.8 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5
17-5 1.4% 18.7% 18.7% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.2
16-6 2.5% 12.2% 12.2% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 2.2
15-7 3.7% 7.9% 7.9% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 3.4
14-8 5.5% 6.8% 6.8% 15.2 0.0 0.3 0.1 5.2
13-9 7.3% 3.8% 3.8% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 7.1
12-10 9.3% 2.2% 2.2% 15.8 0.0 0.2 9.1
11-11 10.2% 1.1% 1.1% 15.9 0.0 0.1 10.1
10-12 10.7% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 10.6
9-13 11.6% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 11.5
8-14 10.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 10.4
7-15 8.9% 8.9
6-16 6.5% 6.5
5-17 5.2% 5.2
4-18 3.2% 3.2
3-19 1.7% 1.7
2-20 0.8% 0.8
1-21 0.2% 0.2
0-22 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 2.2% 2.2% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.8 0.8 97.8 0.0%