Tennessee Tech
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -9.1 #314
Expected Predictive Rating -9.1 #310
Pace 70.1 #150
Improvement -4.7 #354

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #311 D+ C- F D D+
Defense #295 D D- C- C- C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% #256 1.19 #143 -1.1 #224
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% #98 0.63 #322 +0.1 #175
Three Pointers 40% #208 0.95 #262 -2.0 #253
1st FG Attempt 0.96 #260 -3.0 #257
Freethrows 14.8 #307 72% #218 10.6 #297
Second Chance 27.2% #274 1.07 #150 0.29 #246
Turnovers 19.8% #342
Total Offense -5.2 #311

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% #300 1.16 #171 +2.7 #90
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% #186 0.80 #258 -0.4 #206
Three Pointers 46% #53 1.16 #341 -5.9 #351
1st FG Attempt 1.09 #291 -3.6 #292
Freethrows 18.5 #241 72% #143 13.2 #131
Second Chance 30.3% #165 1.26 #351 0.38 #308
Turnovers 16.1% #204
Total Defense -3.9 #295

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -1.4% #277 -0.5% #123
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -4.7% #245 7.5% #312
Possession Length 17.6 #197 17.0 #143
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.19 #125 0.20 #267
Improvement -1.1 #248 -3.6 #340

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.7% 2.1% 0.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 5.5% 7.5% 1.3%
.500 or above in Conference 27.0% 33.9% 12.4%
Conference Champion 0.5% 0.7% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 3.6% 1.5% 8.0%
First Four1.1% 1.4% 0.6%
First Round1.1% 1.4% 0.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Southern Indiana (Home) - 68.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 31 - 51 - 8
Quad 410 - 1111 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 150 @Western Kentucky L 70 - 82 12% -9  0 - 1 -9 -6 D+ A F -1 A+ F C+
 Fri, Nov 7 170 @Charlotte L 65 - 70 15% -9  0 - 2 -3 -5 C- A+ F +2 D+ F A+
 Mon, Nov 17 320 West Georgia L 59 - 61 63% -6  0 - 3 -14 -17 F D+ F +3 A- A+ B+
 Wed, Nov 19 299 @South Carolina Upstate W 88 - 84 35% +3  1 - 3 -1 +7 B- A F -8 F A- F
 Wed, Nov 26 25 @Kentucky L 54 - 104 1% -18  1 - 4 -31 -11 F D+ B -18 F F C-
 Sat, Nov 29 23 @Georgia L 81 - 123 1% -23  1 - 5 -23 +1 C- C- A- -16 F A- D+
 Wed, Dec 3 167 @Lipscomb L 80 - 83 14% -1  1 - 6 -1 +4 B+ C- B -5 C- C+ C-
 Sat, Dec 6 320 @West Georgia W 87 - 59 40% +11  2 - 6 +22 +11 A+ F D +11 A+ F A+
 Thu, Dec 18 224 Southeast Missouri St. W 85 - 74 40% +2  3 - 6 1 - 0 +5 +7 F B- B+ -2 A+ F A
 Sat, Dec 20 225 Tennessee Martin L 62 - 86 40% +7  3 - 7 1 - 1 -30 -6 C+ F F -26 F A- D-
 Tue, Dec 30 226 Tennessee St. L 76 - 88 40% -9  3 - 8 1 - 2 -19 +1 A- F F -19 F F D+
 Thu, Jan 1 283 @Arkansas Little Rock L 58 - 77 31% -5  3 - 9 1 - 3 -23 -15 F C F -9 F C F
 Thu, Jan 8 311 @Eastern Illinois L 61 - 71 37% +2  3 - 10 1 - 4 -16 -3 D- F F -14 D- F F
 Sat, Jan 10 357 @Western Illinois W 59 - 54 60% -2  4 - 10 2 - 4 -7 -9 F F F +3 D- B A+
 Thu, Jan 15 343 Southern Indiana W 75 - 70 68%
 Sat, Jan 17 304 Morehead St. W 73 - 71 58%
 Thu, Jan 22 252 @Lindenwood L 73 - 80 26%
 Sat, Jan 24 278 @SIU Edwardsville L 66 - 71 31%
 Tue, Jan 27 226 @Tennessee St. L 72 - 81 21%
 Sat, Jan 31 283 Arkansas Little Rock W 73 - 72 53%
 Thu, Feb 5 357 Western Illinois W 72 - 63 79%
 Sat, Feb 7 311 Eastern Illinois W 70 - 67 60%
 Thu, Feb 12 304 @Morehead St. L 70 - 74 36%
 Sat, Feb 14 343 @Southern Indiana L 72 - 73 47%
 Thu, Feb 19 278 SIU Edwardsville W 69 - 68 52%
 Sat, Feb 21 252 Lindenwood L 76 - 77 47%
 Thu, Feb 26 225 @Tennessee Martin L 66 - 75 21%
 Sat, Feb 28 224 @Southeast Missouri St. L 71 - 80 22%
Totals 10 - 18 8 - 12 -9 -5 D+ C- F -4 D D- C-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 1.8 0.7 0.1 3.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 2.5 1.6 0.1 4.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 3.1 3.5 0.4 7.3 5th
6th 0.2 3.1 5.2 1.3 0.0 9.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 3.3 7.4 3.1 0.1 14.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 4.4 8.9 5.3 0.4 19.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.7 7.2 9.9 5.8 0.9 0.0 26.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.8 3.6 3.6 1.2 0.1 0.0 10.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.1 1.5 11th
Total 0.1 0.8 2.7 6.6 11.5 15.9 18.4 17.0 12.3 8.1 4.3 1.7 0.5 0.1 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 78.6% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
14-6 42.9% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 9.0% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.5% 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 0.1% 25.0% 25.0% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-6 0.5% 18.1% 18.1% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.4
13-7 1.7% 10.8% 10.8% 15.8 0.0 0.2 1.5
12-8 4.3% 7.7% 7.7% 15.9 0.0 0.3 4.0
11-9 8.1% 4.4% 4.4% 16.0 0.0 0.3 7.8
10-10 12.3% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.2 12.0
9-11 17.0% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.3 16.7
8-12 18.4% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 18.2
7-13 15.9% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 15.9
6-14 11.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 11.5
5-15 6.6% 6.6
4-16 2.7% 2.7
3-17 0.8% 0.8
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 1.7% 1.7% 0.0% 15.9 98.3 0.0%