Tennessee Tech
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.6#322
Expected Predictive Rating-10.0#313
Pace69.1#205
Improvement-1.0#258

Offense
Total Offense-5.8#330
First Shot-4.6#305
After Offensive Rebound-1.2#251
Layup/Dunks-0.4#200
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#113
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.8#299
Freethrows-1.4#265
Improvement+0.2#155

Defense
Total Defense-2.8#264
First Shot-3.0#279
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#178
Layups/Dunks+1.4#125
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#310
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#204
Freethrows-1.9#296
Improvement-1.2#293
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.2% 7.8% 3.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.2 15.8
.500 or above 15.7% 48.4% 15.3%
.500 or above in Conference 34.5% 62.4% 34.2%
Conference Champion 3.1% 10.4% 3.0%
Last Place in Conference 15.8% 3.3% 15.9%
First Four1.8% 0.6% 1.8%
First Round2.4% 7.8% 2.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Georgia (Away) - 1.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 31 - 51 - 8
Quad 49 - 1010 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 132 @Western Kentucky L 70-82 11%     0 - 1 -7.1 -5.0 -1.1
  Fri, Nov 7 196 @Charlotte L 65-70 19%     0 - 2 -4.3 -5.6 +0.9
  Mon, Nov 17 311 West Georgia L 59-61 59%     0 - 3 -13.0 -15.9 +2.8
  Wed, Nov 19 316 @South Carolina Upstate W 88-84 38%     1 - 3 -1.3 +5.1 -6.8
  Wed, Nov 26 16 @Kentucky L 54-104 1%     1 - 4 -29.3 -11.1 -16.4
  Sat, Nov 29 34 @Georgia L 67-92 1%    
  Wed, Dec 3 176 @Lipscomb L 65-75 17%    
  Sat, Dec 6 311 @West Georgia L 69-73 37%    
  Thu, Dec 18 211 Southeast Missouri St. L 71-73 41%    
  Sat, Dec 20 263 Tennessee Martin L 68-69 49%    
  Thu, Jan 1 248 @Arkansas Little Rock L 65-72 27%    
  Thu, Jan 8 329 @Eastern Illinois L 67-69 43%    
  Sat, Jan 10 353 @Western Illinois W 68-67 54%    
  Thu, Jan 15 314 Southern Indiana W 76-73 59%    
  Sat, Jan 17 310 Morehead St. W 72-70 59%    
  Thu, Jan 22 306 @Lindenwood L 71-75 37%    
  Sat, Jan 24 204 @SIU Edwardsville L 63-72 22%    
  Tue, Jan 27 224 @Tennessee St. L 71-79 24%    
  Sat, Jan 31 248 Arkansas Little Rock L 68-69 48%    
  Thu, Feb 5 353 Western Illinois W 71-64 73%    
  Sat, Feb 7 329 Eastern Illinois W 70-66 63%    
  Thu, Feb 12 310 @Morehead St. L 69-73 38%    
  Sat, Feb 14 314 @Southern Indiana L 73-76 38%    
  Thu, Feb 19 204 SIU Edwardsville L 66-69 41%    
  Sat, Feb 21 306 Lindenwood W 74-72 58%    
  Thu, Feb 26 263 @Tennessee Martin L 66-72 30%    
  Sat, Feb 28 211 @Southeast Missouri St. L 68-76 24%    
Projected Record 10 - 17 8 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.4 1.0 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 3.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 1.0 1.8 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 4.7 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.3 2.6 1.7 0.3 0.0 6.2 3rd
4th 0.1 1.5 3.5 2.2 0.4 0.0 7.7 4th
5th 0.1 1.4 4.1 3.0 0.4 0.0 8.9 5th
6th 0.1 1.3 4.5 3.7 0.7 0.0 10.3 6th
7th 0.1 1.3 4.7 4.3 1.1 0.1 11.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.4 4.5 4.6 1.2 0.0 12.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.8 4.5 4.6 1.4 0.1 12.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.5 4.6 3.5 1.2 0.2 12.9 10th
11th 0.1 0.5 1.4 2.3 3.1 1.8 0.7 0.0 0.0 10.1 11th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.5 3.1 5.9 8.4 10.2 11.7 12.4 11.7 10.5 8.7 6.3 4.3 2.5 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-3 91.1% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-4 89.8% 0.5    0.4 0.1 0.0
15-5 63.3% 0.9    0.5 0.3 0.1
14-6 39.0% 1.0    0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0
13-7 10.2% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-8 1.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 3.1% 3.1 1.6 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0
18-2 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.2% 46.7% 46.7% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-4 0.6% 31.1% 31.1% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4
15-5 1.4% 26.7% 26.7% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.0
14-6 2.5% 18.4% 18.4% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 2.1
13-7 4.3% 13.8% 13.8% 15.9 0.1 0.5 3.7
12-8 6.3% 8.4% 8.4% 15.9 0.1 0.5 5.8
11-9 8.7% 5.4% 5.4% 16.0 0.0 0.5 8.2
10-10 10.5% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.3 10.3
9-11 11.7% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 11.5
8-12 12.4% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 12.3
7-13 11.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 11.7
6-14 10.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 10.2
5-15 8.4% 8.4
4-16 5.9% 5.9
3-17 3.1% 3.1
2-18 1.5% 1.5
1-19 0.5% 0.5
0-20 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 3.2% 3.2% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.7 96.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%