Texas Arlington
Western Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.7#184
Expected Predictive Rating+0.5#160
Pace68.6#220
Improvement+0.6#125

Offense
Total Offense-2.6#243
First Shot-2.9#263
After Offensive Rebound+0.4#154
Layup/Dunks+3.9#55
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#299
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#282
Freethrows-1.5#273
Improvement+1.0#82

Defense
Total Defense+0.9#144
First Shot-0.7#192
After Offensive Rebounds+1.6#92
Layups/Dunks-3.5#298
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#210
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#83
Freethrows+0.0#184
Improvement-0.4#230
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.4% 12.3% 8.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.1 13.9 14.4
.500 or above 59.6% 70.8% 48.2%
.500 or above in Conference 64.9% 70.9% 58.8%
Conference Champion 8.8% 10.9% 6.6%
Last Place in Conference 5.6% 3.8% 7.5%
First Four0.6% 0.5% 0.7%
First Round10.2% 12.1% 8.2%
Second Round0.5% 0.7% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Stephen F. Austin (Home) - 50.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 41 - 5
Quad 34 - 65 - 10
Quad 411 - 416 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 101 @New Mexico L 56-74 19%     0 - 1 -10.3 -13.6 +3.9
  Sat, Nov 15 239 Missouri St. W 67-49 72%     1 - 1 +10.4 -6.8 +17.6
  Tue, Nov 18 291 @Evansville W 84-76 60%     2 - 1 +3.8 +12.1 -8.1
  Fri, Nov 21 219 Campbell L 67-71 58%     2 - 2 -7.7 -10.7 +3.2
  Sat, Nov 22 229 @Weber St. W 74-73 47%     3 - 2 +0.0 +3.7 -3.7
  Sat, Nov 29 139 Stephen F. Austin L 69-70 50%    
  Tue, Dec 2 172 @Arkansas St. L 75-78 38%    
  Thu, Dec 11 202 @UT Rio Grande Valley L 74-76 42%    
  Wed, Dec 17 95 @Stanford L 69-79 18%    
  Mon, Dec 22 296 @Oral Roberts W 77-74 60%    
  Mon, Dec 29 195 Tarleton St. W 74-70 63%    
  Thu, Jan 1 136 California Baptist L 67-68 49%    
  Sat, Jan 3 331 @Southern Utah W 76-71 68%    
  Sat, Jan 10 252 Abilene Christian W 68-62 72%    
  Thu, Jan 15 281 @Utah Tech W 69-67 57%    
  Sat, Jan 17 89 @Utah Valley L 65-76 17%    
  Wed, Jan 21 195 Tarleton St. W 74-70 62%    
  Thu, Jan 29 331 Southern Utah W 79-68 83%    
  Sat, Jan 31 136 California Baptist L 67-68 49%    
  Thu, Feb 5 281 @Utah Tech W 69-67 57%    
  Sat, Feb 7 89 @Utah Valley L 65-76 17%    
  Thu, Feb 12 252 @Abilene Christian W 66-65 52%    
  Sat, Feb 14 331 Southern Utah W 79-68 83%    
  Thu, Feb 19 281 Utah Tech W 72-64 75%    
  Sat, Feb 21 89 Utah Valley L 68-73 34%    
  Thu, Feb 26 136 @California Baptist L 65-71 29%    
  Thu, Mar 5 195 @Tarleton St. L 71-73 41%    
  Sat, Mar 7 252 @Abilene Christian W 66-65 52%    
Projected Record 15 - 13 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.9 2.4 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.1 8.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.7 4.7 6.5 5.0 2.2 0.5 0.0 21.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.2 4.8 8.2 6.9 2.6 0.6 0.0 24.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 3.0 6.4 6.5 3.6 0.7 0.0 20.7 4th
5th 0.1 0.8 3.1 5.3 3.6 1.1 0.1 14.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 1.2 2.4 2.7 1.1 0.1 0.0 7.8 6th
7th 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.1 0.7 0.2 0.0 3.2 7th
Total 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.4 3.8 6.5 9.6 11.3 12.6 13.7 12.4 10.1 7.6 4.7 2.5 1.0 0.3 0.1 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3
16-2 97.3% 0.9    0.9 0.1
15-3 79.6% 2.0    1.5 0.4 0.0
14-4 52.1% 2.4    1.3 1.0 0.1
13-5 25.4% 1.9    0.8 0.9 0.2 0.0
12-6 9.7% 1.0    0.3 0.4 0.3 0.0
11-7 1.2% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 8.8% 8.8 5.2 2.8 0.7 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.3% 46.9% 46.9% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2
16-2 1.0% 41.1% 41.1% 12.6 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.6
15-3 2.5% 38.6% 38.6% 13.1 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 1.5
14-4 4.7% 30.6% 30.6% 13.5 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.0 3.2
13-5 7.6% 23.3% 23.3% 13.7 0.1 0.7 0.8 0.3 0.0 5.8
12-6 10.1% 17.3% 17.3% 14.2 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.6 0.0 8.3
11-7 12.4% 12.5% 12.5% 14.5 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.1 10.9
10-8 13.7% 7.0% 7.0% 14.8 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.2 12.7
9-9 12.6% 4.8% 4.8% 15.3 0.1 0.3 0.2 12.0
8-10 11.3% 4.0% 4.0% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 10.8
7-11 9.6% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.0 0.2 9.4
6-12 6.5% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 6.4
5-13 3.8% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 3.8
4-14 2.4% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 2.4
3-15 1.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 1.0
2-16 0.3% 0.3
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18
Total 100% 10.4% 10.4% 0.0% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.5 3.3 2.6 1.2 89.6 0.0%