Umass Lowell
America East
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.0#309
Expected Predictive Rating-13.3#339
Pace71.7#128
Improvement+2.3#30

Offense
Total Offense-3.0#252
First Shot-2.3#242
After Offensive Rebound-0.7#223
Layup/Dunks+0.2#165
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#176
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#267
Freethrows+0.1#171
Improvement+0.6#118

Defense
Total Defense-5.0#335
First Shot-2.0#243
After Offensive Rebounds-3.0#329
Layups/Dunks-1.3#234
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#232
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#188
Freethrows-0.1#200
Improvement+1.7#36
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.5% 12.1% 8.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 14.9% 28.9% 11.8%
.500 or above in Conference 60.5% 69.0% 58.6%
Conference Champion 8.8% 13.0% 7.8%
Last Place in Conference 8.1% 4.6% 8.9%
First Four8.3% 9.6% 8.0%
First Round5.5% 7.8% 4.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Massachusetts (Away) - 18.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 31 - 41 - 9
Quad 410 - 1011 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 8 @Connecticut L 47-110 1%     0 - 1 -40.7 -19.3 -17.4
  Mon, Nov 10 345 New Haven L 67-73 73%     0 - 2 -20.5 -8.4 -12.2
  Thu, Nov 13 134 @Columbia L 72-86 12%     0 - 3 -9.2 +1.4 -10.6
  Sun, Nov 16 37 @Wake Forest L 75-109 3%     0 - 4 -18.8 +4.5 -20.6
  Wed, Nov 19 112 @Bradley L 77-87 10%     0 - 5 -3.7 +10.3 -14.4
  Sat, Nov 22 295 @St. Peter's L 66-68 36%     0 - 6 -6.4 -8.6 +2.2
  Wed, Nov 26 334 @Stonehill W 75-64 48%     1 - 6 +3.6 +3.2 +0.6
  Sat, Dec 6 181 @Massachusetts L 73-83 18%    
  Sat, Dec 13 193 @Quinnipiac L 75-84 19%    
  Tue, Dec 16 261 Sacred Heart W 82-81 51%    
  Sun, Dec 21 227 @Boston University L 70-77 26%    
  Mon, Dec 29 21 @Iowa L 60-86 1%    
  Sat, Jan 3 325 Albany W 76-72 63%    
  Thu, Jan 8 302 @Bryant L 73-76 38%    
  Sat, Jan 10 352 @Binghamton W 73-72 55%    
  Thu, Jan 15 349 NJIT W 79-72 73%    
  Thu, Jan 22 171 Vermont L 74-78 37%    
  Sat, Jan 24 289 @Maryland Baltimore Co. L 75-79 36%    
  Thu, Jan 29 354 @New Hampshire W 74-72 57%    
  Sat, Jan 31 321 @Maine L 68-70 41%    
  Thu, Feb 5 349 @NJIT W 76-75 52%    
  Sat, Feb 7 325 @Albany L 73-75 42%    
  Thu, Feb 12 302 Bryant W 76-73 60%    
  Thu, Feb 19 354 New Hampshire W 77-69 75%    
  Sat, Feb 21 352 Binghamton W 76-69 74%    
  Thu, Feb 26 171 @Vermont L 71-81 19%    
  Sat, Feb 28 289 Maryland Baltimore Co. W 78-76 57%    
  Tue, Mar 3 321 @Maine L 68-70 42%    
Projected Record 10 - 18 8 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.7 2.5 2.4 1.3 0.4 0.1 8.8 1st
2nd 0.1 1.1 4.4 5.6 3.1 0.6 0.1 14.9 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.4 5.7 5.8 2.0 0.2 15.1 3rd
4th 0.0 1.2 6.0 5.8 1.5 0.1 14.6 4th
5th 0.1 1.0 5.2 5.8 1.2 0.0 13.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.9 4.6 5.4 1.3 0.1 12.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 3.6 4.2 1.2 0.0 9.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.3 2.8 0.8 0.1 6.9 8th
9th 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.5 1.2 0.5 0.0 4.5 9th
Total 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.3 4.3 7.9 10.7 13.0 14.5 13.8 12.1 9.4 5.8 3.0 1.4 0.4 0.1 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-1 100.0% 0.4    0.4 0.0
14-2 93.2% 1.3    1.2 0.1
13-3 78.5% 2.4    1.5 0.8 0.0
12-4 43.6% 2.5    1.2 1.1 0.3 0.0
11-5 18.4% 1.7    0.5 0.9 0.3 0.1
10-6 2.9% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 8.8% 8.8 4.8 2.9 0.7 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.1% 34.5% 34.5% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-1 0.4% 27.9% 27.9% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3
14-2 1.4% 33.8% 33.8% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9
13-3 3.0% 26.9% 26.9% 15.9 0.1 0.8 2.2
12-4 5.8% 21.1% 21.1% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.2 4.6
11-5 9.4% 18.1% 18.1% 16.0 0.0 1.7 7.7
10-6 12.1% 12.6% 12.6% 16.0 0.0 1.5 10.6
9-7 13.8% 9.5% 9.5% 16.0 1.3 12.5
8-8 14.5% 7.7% 7.7% 16.0 1.1 13.4
7-9 13.0% 4.8% 4.8% 16.0 0.6 12.4
6-10 10.7% 3.7% 3.7% 16.0 0.4 10.3
5-11 7.9% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.2 7.7
4-12 4.3% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 4.3
3-13 2.3% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 2.3
2-14 0.9% 0.9
1-15 0.3% 0.3
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 9.5% 9.5% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 9.2 90.5 0.0%