UT Rio Grande Valley
Southland
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -4.1 #235
Expected Predictive Rating -7.5 #280
Pace 69.7 #163
Improvement -3.3 #324

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #268 C D+ D+ F C
Defense #186 C C+ C D+ C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% #217 1.13 #216 -1.4 #229
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% #209 0.62 #334 -2.0 #280
Three Pointers 44% #120 1.09 #81 +3.5 #70
1st FG Attempt 1.02 #177 +0.1 #177
Freethrows 11.1 #362 75% #100 8.4 #359
Second Chance 27.1% #279 1.02 #212 0.28 #273
Turnovers 18.0% #265
Total Offense -3.5 #268

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% #254 1.22 #265 +0.4 #160
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% #192 0.68 #79 +0.9 #127
Three Pointers 44% #98 1.01 #177 -1.4 #244
1st FG Attempt 1.02 #182 -0.1 #181
Freethrows 18.4 #237 75% #275 13.7 #103
Second Chance 30.3% #164 1.01 #137 0.31 #146
Turnovers 16.7% #181
Total Defense -0.6 #186

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 0.3% #165 -0.2% #147
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -0.2% #176 0.5% #192
Possession Length 17.5 #186 17.1 #162
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.14 #255 0.18 #184
Improvement -3.1 #334 -0.2 #197

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.6% 1.3% 0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.3 15.1 15.5
.500 or above 3.7% 9.9% 2.0%
.500 or above in Conference 16.1% 32.4% 11.7%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 9.9% 3.8% 11.6%
First Four0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
First Round0.6% 1.3% 0.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: McNeese St. (Home) - 21.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 33 - 63 - 11
Quad 48 - 811 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 37 @Baylor L 81 - 96 4% -6  0 - 1 +2 +6 A+ F C -3 F A+ C+
 Sat, Nov 8 323 @Southern Utah W 95 - 72 61% +11  1 - 1 +16 +17 A+ D+ F -1 C B+ F
 Tue, Nov 11 78 @Boise St. L 65 - 85 10% -9  1 - 2 -10 -6 B+ D F -2 C- F A+
 Sat, Nov 22 192 @Missouri St. L 67 - 74 31% +2  1 - 3 -6 +3 F A+ F -9 D+ A+ F
 Mon, Nov 24 8 @Illinois L 73 - 87 1% -8  1 - 4 +10 +10 B B- A+ -1 C- A+ B
 Wed, Dec 3 108 @Stephen F. Austin L 60 - 73 15% -8  1 - 5 0 - 1 -6 -5 F F A+ -1 B A F
 Sun, Dec 7 180 Austin Peay W 63 - 50 52% +0  2 - 5 +8 -9 F A+ F +17 A+ A+ B
 Thu, Dec 11 154 Texas Arlington L 50 - 58 45% -0  2 - 6 -11 -11 F F C- -2 C C+ B+
 Tue, Dec 16 220 @Lamar W 83 - 72 35% +12  3 - 6 1 - 1 +11 +13 A+ F A -3 F A+ C+
 Mon, Dec 29 245 New Orleans L 69 - 85 64% -8  3 - 7 1 - 2 -24 -11 B F F -13 C F F
 Wed, Dec 31 205 Nicholls St. L 69 - 71 56% -2  3 - 8 1 - 3 -8 -6 F B F -1 B D- A+
 Sat, Jan 3 182 TX A&M Corpus Christi L 59 - 63 52% -1  3 - 9 1 - 4 -9 -7 F F B -2 C F B
 Mon, Jan 5 187 Incarnate Word W 80 - 67 52% +8  4 - 9 2 - 4 +8 +12 C+ A+ B -2 A B C-
 Sat, Jan 10 321 @East Texas A&M L 69 - 77 60% -9  4 - 10 2 - 5 -15 +0 B- F C- -15 F F D+
 Mon, Jan 12 276 @Northwestern St. L 63 - 64 49% +4  4 - 11 2 - 6 -5 -9 F F F +4 B B B+
 Sat, Jan 17 80 McNeese St. L 69 - 77 21%
 Mon, Jan 19 266 SE Louisiana W 71 - 66 68%
 Sat, Jan 24 301 @Houston Christian W 71 - 70 54%
 Mon, Jan 26 182 @TX A&M Corpus Christi L 67 - 72 30%
 Sat, Jan 31 187 @Incarnate Word L 68 - 73 31%
 Mon, Feb 2 301 Houston Christian W 74 - 67 74%
 Sat, Feb 7 245 @New Orleans L 77 - 79 41%
 Mon, Feb 9 205 @Nicholls St. L 72 - 76 34%
 Sat, Feb 14 108 Stephen F. Austin L 66 - 71 32%
 Mon, Feb 16 220 Lamar W 68 - 66 58%
 Sat, Feb 21 266 @SE Louisiana L 68 - 69 45%
 Mon, Feb 23 80 @McNeese St. L 66 - 80 9%
 Sat, Feb 28 321 East Texas A&M W 76 - 67 78%
 Mon, Mar 2 276 Northwestern St. W 74 - 68 70%
Totals 10 - 19 8 - 14 -4 -4 C D+ D+ -1 C C+ C




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 1.5 0.9 0.2 0.0 3.3 4th
5th 0.1 1.3 3.1 2.2 0.4 0.0 7.0 5th
6th 0.1 1.6 5.1 3.8 0.7 0.0 11.3 6th
7th 0.0 1.4 6.3 5.7 1.5 0.1 15.0 7th
8th 0.0 1.0 6.0 7.7 1.9 0.1 16.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 5.4 8.4 2.7 0.1 17.4 9th
10th 0.5 4.0 6.8 2.8 0.2 14.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 2.6 4.2 2.0 0.2 9.4 11th
12th 0.1 0.4 1.3 2.0 0.9 0.1 4.7 12th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.8 5.0 9.9 15.2 18.8 18.6 14.2 9.2 4.6 1.7 0.6 0.1 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
22-0
21-1
20-2
19-3
18-4
17-5
16-6
15-7 0.0%
14-8 0.0%
13-9 0.0%
12-10 0.0%
11-11 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
22-0
21-1
20-2
19-3
18-4
17-5
16-6
15-7 0.1% 0.0 0.1
14-8 0.6% 8.9% 8.9% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5
13-9 1.7% 3.9% 3.9% 14.6 0.0 0.0 1.6
12-10 4.6% 2.9% 2.9% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 4.5
11-11 9.2% 2.0% 2.0% 15.4 0.1 0.1 9.0
10-12 14.2% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 14.1
9-13 18.6% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 18.5
8-14 18.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 18.8
7-15 15.2% 15.2
6-16 9.9% 9.9
5-17 5.0% 5.0
4-18 1.8% 1.8
3-19 0.4% 0.4
2-20 0.1% 0.1
1-21
0-22
Total 100% 0.6% 0.6% 0.0% 15.3 99.4 0.0%