Utah Tech
Western Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -3.8 #232
Expected Predictive Rating -2.2 #203
Pace 68.0 #219
Improvement +2.1 #76

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #206 B- F D+ D- C
Defense #245 D+ C C C D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% #208 1.29 #64 +1.8 #114
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% #210 0.85 #65 +0.1 #169
Three Pointers 44% #123 0.99 #208 +1.1 #135
1st FG Attempt 1.08 #98 +3.0 #97
Freethrows 14.9 #299 70% #267 10.4 #308
Second Chance 27.9% #251 0.84 #354 0.23 #337
Turnovers 17.8% #255
Total Offense -1.5 #206

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% #94 1.29 #323 -4.8 #328
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% #257 0.76 #189 +0.9 #132
Three Pointers 40% #210 0.96 #107 +1.6 #126
1st FG Attempt 1.06 #260 -2.3 #259
Freethrows 17.5 #195 74% #237 12.9 #162
Second Chance 32.2% #246 1.00 #120 0.32 #184
Turnovers 16.3% #199
Total Defense -2.3 #245

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 0.4% #163 1.2% #283
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 5.5% #91 3.3% #250
Possession Length 17.4 #176 17.7 #249
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.15 #238 0.18 #218
Improvement +3.7 #16 -1.6 #286

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.1% 5.5% 2.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.2 15.0 15.5
.500 or above 15.0% 23.5% 7.7%
.500 or above in Conference 39.0% 53.8% 26.2%
Conference Champion 2.6% 4.4% 1.0%
Last Place in Conference 6.6% 3.1% 9.7%
First Four1.2% 1.2% 1.2%
First Round3.5% 4.9% 2.3%
Second Round0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Texas Arlington (Home) - 46.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 40 - 7
Quad 35 - 75 - 15
Quad 48 - 313 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 282 @South Dakota W 81 - 79 OT 50% +2  1 - 0 -2 -8 C F D- +6 A+ B- D+
 Fri, Nov 7 2 @Arizona L 67 - 93 1% -11  1 - 1 +1 +7 C B- C -5 F A+ B-
 Sun, Nov 9 82 @Arizona St. L 66 - 81 11% -11  1 - 2 -5 -4 D+ C D- -1 B+ D- F
 Wed, Nov 12 312 Manhattan L 75 - 79 69% -3  1 - 3 -13 +1 F C A -14 F F B+
 Fri, Nov 14 365 Mississippi Valley W 81 - 75 2OT 96% +3  2 - 3 -18 -5 F F C+ -13 F A+ F
 Sat, Nov 15 104 @Hawaii L 62 - 68 14% -6  2 - 4 +2 -3 B- F D- +5 B+ F A+
 Tue, Nov 25 145 Portland St. L 63 - 68 43% -1  2 - 5 -7 -10 C+ F C- +3 A C A
 Sat, Nov 29 287 UC Riverside W 77 - 69 73% +4  3 - 5 -2 +8 B C A- -9 D F C-
 Wed, Dec 3 55 @Santa Clara L 80 - 90 7% -12  3 - 6 +3 +5 A+ F F -1 C C B+
 Sat, Dec 20 197 @Weber St. W 82 - 80 33% +1  4 - 6 +3 +13 A+ F B -10 F A+ C+
 Mon, Dec 22 43 @Creighton L 69 - 92 5% -11  4 - 7 -8 +0 A- B- F -7 F A+ B-
 Mon, Dec 29 323 Southern Utah W 80 - 66 81% +2  5 - 7 1 - 0 +1 +0 C D F +0 C C B-
 Thu, Jan 1 212 @Abilene Christian W 79 - 64 35% +14  6 - 7 2 - 0 +15 +11 A+ F D- +5 D A+ A+
 Thu, Jan 8 157 @California Baptist L 72 - 84 25% -7  6 - 8 2 - 1 -9 +11 A+ F C+ -21 C F F
 Sat, Jan 10 101 @Utah Valley L 76 - 92 14% -7  6 - 9 2 - 2 -8 +2 C+ B F -8 C+ D- D
 Thu, Jan 15 154 Texas Arlington L 69 - 70 46%
 Sat, Jan 17 173 Tarleton St. W 77 - 76 50%
 Wed, Jan 21 157 @California Baptist L 67 - 74 26%
 Sat, Jan 24 323 Southern Utah W 78 - 69 80%
 Thu, Jan 29 212 @Abilene Christian L 70 - 74 35%
 Sat, Jan 31 173 @Tarleton St. L 73 - 79 30%
 Thu, Feb 5 154 Texas Arlington L 69 - 70 46%
 Thu, Feb 12 101 Utah Valley L 72 - 78 29%
 Sat, Feb 14 157 California Baptist L 70 - 71 47%
 Thu, Feb 19 154 @Texas Arlington L 66 - 73 26%
 Sat, Feb 21 173 @Tarleton St. L 73 - 79 29%
 Thu, Feb 26 212 Abilene Christian W 73 - 71 58%
 Sat, Feb 28 323 @Southern Utah W 75 - 72 62%
 Sat, Mar 7 101 Utah Valley L 72 - 78 30%
Totals 12 - 17 8 - 10 -4 -1 B- F D+ -2 D+ C C




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.6 1st
2nd 0.3 2.3 4.2 2.4 0.5 0.1 9.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 3.9 6.3 2.2 0.2 13.1 3rd
4th 0.1 1.1 5.8 8.2 2.6 0.1 17.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.7 8.4 9.1 2.8 0.1 23.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 2.5 6.7 10.3 7.7 2.2 0.1 30.2 6th
7th 0.2 0.6 1.1 0.9 0.3 0.0 3.2 7th
Total 0.2 1.2 3.6 8.0 13.3 17.2 17.6 15.3 11.3 6.9 3.6 1.3 0.6 0.1 0.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 100.0% 0.1    0.1
14-4 85.2% 0.5    0.4 0.2
13-5 57.5% 0.7    0.4 0.3 0.0
12-6 25.1% 0.9    0.2 0.5 0.2 0.0
11-7 5.3% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.6% 2.6 1.1 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.1% 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.6% 15.6% 15.6% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5
13-5 1.3% 17.9% 17.9% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.0
12-6 3.6% 13.2% 13.2% 14.4 0.0 0.2 0.2 3.1
11-7 6.9% 12.1% 12.1% 14.9 0.1 0.6 0.1 6.1
10-8 11.3% 6.2% 6.2% 15.1 0.0 0.5 0.1 10.6
9-9 15.3% 3.9% 3.9% 15.7 0.2 0.4 14.7
8-10 17.6% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.0 0.5 17.1
7-11 17.2% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.0 0.3 16.9
6-12 13.3% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.2 13.1
5-13 8.0% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 7.9
4-14 3.6% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 3.6
3-15 1.2% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 1.2
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 4.1% 4.1% 0.0% 15.2 95.9 0.0%