Utah Tech
Western Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating -1.7 184
Results Rating +1.1 143
Consistency 0.11 12
Pace 66.8 233
Improvement +4.3 33

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C 158 C+ D+ C+ F+ C+
Defense C- 236 C C- D+ C+ D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 186 B- 62% 93 +1.2 132
2 Pt. Jumpers 32% 241 C 38% 167 -1.0 233
Three Pointers 44% 124 C+ 35% 140 +1.9 117
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.3 144 C+ +1.8 112
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.06 110
Second Chance C- 28.6% 235 D 0.93 314 D+ 0.27 279
Opponents' Steals C+ 9.1% 145
Other Turnovers C+ 7.0% 152
Turnovers C+ 16.1% 137
Freethrows F 0.23 360 C- 72% 211 F+ 0.16 356
Total Offense C +0.4 158

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C 49% 164 B- 9.5% 96
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 24% 187 B 2.8% 36
Three Pointers C- 81% 243 B- 0.6% 115
Total C 56% 165 B 4.4% 53

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 98 D- 65% 339 +4.8 334
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% 291 B 34% 40 -2.0 34
Three Pointers 41% 177 B+ 30% 33 -2.3 79
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.7 294 C -0.2 170
1st FG Attempt C 1.03 188
Second Chance C- 31.7% 243 C 1.03 187 C- 0.33 231
Turnovers from Steals C- 9.0% 217
Other Turnovers D 6.3% 312
Turnovers D+ 15.3% 270
Freethrows C+ 0.29 129 C 72% 183 C+ 0.21 130
Total Defense C- -2.1 236

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C 47% 158 D- 5.5% 350
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 22% 116 B- 6.6% 77
Three Pointers B+ 77% 24 C 1.0% 144
Total B- 52% 107 D 3.8% 317

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.7 217 17.5 224
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 277 0.16 153
Consistency 0.13 200 0.11 90
Improvement +5.2 7 -0.8 235

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 211 185 162
Results Rating Rank 187 149 125
Conference Record 11 - 7 12 - 6 13 - 5
Conference Finish 3 2 1
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 14
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11% 13% 8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 14.2 14.0 14.6
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 23% 36% 5%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round11% 13% 8%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Southern Utah (Away) - 56.6% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 21 - 51 - 9
Quad 37 - 37 - 11
Quad 410 - 217 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 285 @South Dakota W 81 - 79 OT 59% +2  66% 1 - 0 C- -2 F+ -9 C F D B+ +6 A C- C-
 Fri, Nov 7 3 @Arizona L 67 - 93 1% -11  8% 1 - 1 C +2 B- +5 C+ B- D+ C- -3 F A+ B+
 Sun, Nov 9 69 @Arizona St. L 66 - 81 11% -11  0% 1 - 2 C- -3 D -6 C- C- D B- +2 B D+ F+
 Wed, Nov 12 324 Manhattan L 75 - 79 79% -3  12% 1 - 3 D- -14 D+ -3 F C+ B+ F -12 F F B+
 Fri, Nov 14 365 Mississippi Valley W 81 - 75 2OT 97% +3  69% 2 - 3 F+ -17 D- -8 D+ F B F -10 F A- F
 Sat, Nov 15 116 @Hawaii L 62 - 68 23% -6  0% 2 - 4 C +0 D- -7 C- F D A- +7 B F A+
 Tue, Nov 25 158 Portland St. L 63 - 68 56% -1  41% 2 - 5 D -8 F -11 C+ F C B- +3 B B- A
 Sat, Nov 29 281 UC Riverside W 77 - 69 78% +4  87% 3 - 5 C- -2 B +7 B+ C A D- -8 F+ D D+
 Wed, Dec 3 43 @Santa Clara L 80 - 90 7% -12  0% 3 - 6 B- +5 C+ +3 A+ D F B- +3 C+ D+ B+
 Sat, Dec 20 208 @Weber St. W 82 - 80 42% +1  59% 4 - 6 C+ +2 B+ +9 A F B D -6 F A+ C
 Mon, Dec 22 70 @Creighton L 69 - 92 12% -11  0% 4 - 7 D- -12 D -4 B C+ F D- -7 F A+ C+
 Mon, Dec 29 273 Southern Utah W 80 - 66 77% +2  51% 5 - 7 1 - 0 C+ +5 D+ -2 C+ D+ D- B+ +7 B B- C+
 Thu, Jan 1 241 @Abilene Christian W 79 - 64 49% +14  83% 6 - 7 2 - 0 B+ +14 A- +10 A+ D- C B +4 D- B+ A+
 Thu, Jan 8 134 @California Baptist L 72 - 84 27% -7  5% 6 - 8 2 - 1 D+ -7 A- +11 A F+ C F -19 C- F F
 Sat, Jan 10 96 @Utah Valley L 76 - 92 16% -7  9% 6 - 9 2 - 2 D+ -7 C -0 C+ B F D -6 C+ D- D+
 Thu, Jan 15 182 Texas Arlington L 52 - 56 61% -5  8% 6 - 10 2 - 3 D -8 F -20 F D+ A A+ +11 A- A+ B+
 Sat, Jan 17 223 Tarleton St. W 75 - 71 68% +6  99% 7 - 10 3 - 3 C- -2 C- -1 B D- C- C- -2 B A- F
 Wed, Jan 21 134 @California Baptist L 64 - 73 27% -5  8% 7 - 11 3 - 4 C- -4 C+ +2 D- A- A D- -8 C+ F F
 Sat, Jan 24 273 Southern Utah W 102 - 91 77% +8  91% 8 - 11 4 - 4 C +2 A+ +18 B+ A A+ F -17 F+ F+ F
 Thu, Jan 29 241 @Abilene Christian W 76 - 70 49% +7  99% 9 - 11 5 - 4 C+ +5 C- -1 C- B- F B+ +5 C+ F C
 Sat, Jan 31 223 @Tarleton St. W 65 - 59 45% +1  46% 10 - 11 6 - 4 B- +6 C- -1 A+ F C A- +7 A+ F B-
 Thu, Feb 5 182 Texas Arlington W 87 - 84 2OT 61% +1  49% 11 - 11 7 - 4 C -1 B +6 B+ B A D- -8 B- F F
 Thu, Feb 12 96 Utah Valley W 81 - 77 33% +10  97% 12 - 11 8 - 4 B- +7 A- +11 A+ A+ B+ D+ -4 F A+ B
 Sat, Feb 14 134 California Baptist W 70 - 65 49% +1  54% 13 - 11 9 - 4 C+ +4 C+ +3 A- D+ A- C+ +1 A+ B- F
 Thu, Feb 19 182 @Texas Arlington L 50 - 63 38% -6  5% 13 - 12 9 - 5 D- -11 F -14 F F D+ C+ +0 B F C-
 Sat, Feb 21 223 @Tarleton St. W 80 - 72 45% -2  21% 14 - 12 10 - 5 B- +8 A +13 D A+ A+ D -5 B+ D F
 Thu, Feb 26 241 Abilene Christian W 85 - 81 71% +4  75% 15 - 12 11 - 5 C- -3 B+ +9 A D- A+ F -12 D D- F
 Sat, Feb 28 273 @Southern Utah W 78 - 76 57%
 Sat, Mar 7 96 Utah Valley L 72 - 76 34%
Totals 16 - 13 12 - 6 -2 C +0 F C+ C+ C- -2 C+ C- F+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C B- C C+ C+ 38% 32% 44% C+ C+ C- D D+ C+ F C- F+ C- D- B B+ C 42% 17% 41% D+ C C- C C- D+ C+ C C+
1.09 62% 38% 35% +2 0 1.06 29% 0.9 .27 16% .23 72% .16 1.12 65% 34% 30% 0 +1 1.03 32% 1.0 .33 15% .29 72% .17
Nov
3		 South Dakota F+ C+ A+ F C- 54% 8% 38% B+ C D F F D F F F B+ B C A+ A+ 49% 24% 27% C A D- B+ C- C- F D+ F
0.98 61% 80% 26% 0 +3 1.08 28% 0.6 .16 18% .19 62% .12 0.96 52% 36% 13% -12 0 0.78 32% 0.9 .27 17% .51 77% .39
Nov
7		 Arizona B- B D+ F+ C+ 26% 26% 48% B- C+ B+ C- B- D+ A+ C+ A+ C- F B F F 47% 26% 26% D+ F C A+ A+ B+ B B B
0.94 58% 33% 27% -6 -2 0.87 29% 0.8 .24 20% .47 70% .33 1.31 84% 36% 50% +18 0 1.38 41% 0.5 .22 17% .34 70% .24
Nov
9		 Arizona St. D C+ C- D C- 24% 22% 53% D+ C- D- B+ C- D A+ F B- B- C- B B B 36% 26% 38% B+ B B- F D+ F+ A+ C+ A+
0.93 58% 36% 31% -3 -1 0.94 25% 1.2 .30 23% .40 59% .24 1.14 62% 33% 32% -1 -1 0.98 30% 1.5 .43 11% .25 75% .19
Nov
12		 Manhattan D+ F C- D+ F 38% 15% 46% C+ F B D C+ B+ C+ F D+ F D+ C+ F F 52% 17% 30% F F F C F B+ F F+ F
1.16 50% 38% 33% -4 +1 0.96 43% 1.0 .43 12% .26 60% .16 1.22 58% 38% 43% +4 +1 1.13 38% 1.1 .41 19% .38 85% .32
Nov
14		 Mississippi Valley D- A+ B F D+ 32% 17% 51% C- D+ D+ F F B B F+ C F F D+ A F 31% 29% 41% F F C+ A+ A- F A F B+
1.09 82% 44% 26% +3 0 1.08 34% 0.6 .22 15% .44 68% .30 1.01 83% 41% 25% +3 -2 1.05 22% 0.5 .11 16% .18 82% .14
Nov
15		 Hawaii D- B+ D+ F C 35% 26% 39% D C- F F F D D- B+ D+ A- D- F A+ B+ 50% 17% 33% C- B D+ F F A+ F F F
0.88 63% 36% 24% -5 -1 0.91 14% 0.8 .11 18% .26 73% .19 0.96 67% 57% 7% -6 +1 0.93 32% 1.7 .54 27% .49 84% .41
Nov
25		 Portland St. F A- D+ F C+ 43% 21% 36% C C+ F F F C F B+ F B- D+ A+ A B 43% 19% 38% C+ B F A+ B- A F C- F
0.89 67% 33% 25% -2 0 0.98 10% 0.7 .06 18% .17 80% .14 0.96 60% 22% 28% -6 0 0.91 41% 0.6 .26 24% .44 71% .31
Nov
29		 UC Riverside B C A+ B- B+ 49% 22% 29% C+ B+ F+ A+ C A D+ A+ B- D- F F A- F 39% 22% 39% C+ F+ C- F+ D D+ D+ B- C-
1.22 58% 64% 36% +7 +1 1.16 22% 1.4 .30 11% .32 83% .27 1.09 72% 50% 28% +4 0 1.11 29% 1.0 .29 17% .32 71% .23
Dec
3		 Santa Clara C+ A C- B A+ 45% 11% 45% B A+ A+ F D F F A+ F B- F C+ B+ C+ 38% 12% 50% D+ C+ F B+ D+ B+ B A+ A
1.05 72% 33% 36% +7 +2 1.20 44% 0.6 .25 29% .15 100% .15 1.18 74% 43% 30% +4 +1 1.12 45% 1.0 .45 18% .21 54% .11
Dec
20		 Weber St. B+ A+ A+ B A+ 28% 28% 44% F A C F F B A- F B- D D A+ F F 51% 5% 44% F F A+ A+ A+ C F C- F
1.23 86% 57% 36% +15 -2 1.28 29% 0.4 .13 14% .40 65% .26 1.20 64% 0% 53% +13 +3 1.35 23% 0.3 .08 17% .54 73% .40
Dec
22		 Creighton D B D+ C- B- 49% 17% 34% A B F A+ C+ F F+ F F+ D- F B+ F F 43% 5% 52% F F C A+ A+ C+ B- C+ B-
0.96 62% 33% 33% +1 +1 1.06 17% 1.8 .30 21% .14 63% .09 1.28 75% 33% 45% +15 +2 1.38 28% 0.4 .13 15% .25 73% .18
Dec
29		 Southern Utah D+ D+ F A+ C- 53% 11% 36% A C+ B+ F D+ D- D F F+ B+ A- F+ B+ A- 51% 14% 35% F B C+ B- B- C+ F A+ D-
1.11 55% 17% 45% +2 +2 1.11 38% 0.7 .28 17% .22 62% .13 0.92 48% 43% 29% -7 +2 0.92 28% 0.9 .26 21% .37 62% .23
Jan
1		 Abilene Christian A- A- A+ A+ A+ 37% 11% 52% C+ A+ C- F D- C F A+ F B F A+ A+ D- 46% 22% 33% D D- C+ A+ B+ A+ F+ B- D
1.19 71% 60% 46% +16 +1 1.37 26% 0.8 .22 23% .23 92% .21 0.96 86% 20% 20% +2 0 1.07 31% 0.7 .21 27% .39 68% .27
Jan
8		 California Baptist A- A- D A A 49% 19% 32% B A B- F F+ C B- B+ B F B D C C 46% 15% 39% D+ C- F F F F F D- F
1.15 65% 33% 40% +5 +1 1.15 29% 0.4 .13 14% .34 78% .26 1.35 48% 43% 33% -4 +1 0.96 52% 1.4 .73 11% .47 77% .36
Jan
10		 Utah Valley C D+ C+ B- C 49% 21% 30% B- C+ C- A+ B F C+ A+ A D C F A C+ 54% 13% 33% C- C+ A- F D- D+ F F F
0.99 52% 40% 36% -2 +1 1.00 29% 1.2 .35 25% .35 90% .31 1.20 59% 57% 28% 0 +2 1.06 31% 1.5 .47 18% .43 89% .38
Jan
15		 Texas Arlington F F F F F 51% 23% 26% A- F B- F D+ A D- F F A+ A B A A+ 62% 13% 26% F A- C+ A+ A+ B+ D- F F
0.77 44% 17% 7% -22 +1 0.58 32% 0.9 .28 12% .30 50% .15 0.83 41% 33% 25% -14 +3 0.79 33% 0.5 .15 24% .41 81% .33
Jan
17		 Tarleton St. C- A+ F C B 38% 11% 51% B B F B D- C- B C+ B C- C+ F A+ A- 57% 17% 26% F B F A+ A- F D A+ B
1.08 88% 0% 35% +8 +1 1.20 23% 1.2 .27 23% .43 74% .32 1.02 55% 50% 13% -8 +2 0.90 39% 0.6 .22 11% .36 59% .21
Jan
21		 California Baptist C+ F F A+ D- 36% 28% 36% D D- B A A- A F A+ D- D- B- B B- C+ 49% 18% 33% C- C+ B- F F F F A+ C-
1.03 37% 20% 42% -8 -1 0.83 31% 1.2 .36 10% .18 100% .18 1.18 50% 33% 31% -6 +1 0.92 35% 1.4 .49 11% .38 57% .22
Jan
24		 Southern Utah A+ B- B A B 52% 18% 31% B B+ B- A+ A A+ B- B+ B F F A B F+ 50% 24% 26% C- F+ C F F+ F F F F
1.41 63% 45% 42% +7 +1 1.19 34% 1.3 .46 4% .29 75% .22 1.26 76% 25% 31% +5 0 1.12 30% 1.2 .37 12% .47 80% .38
Jan
29		 Abilene Christian C- C+ F A+ C- 45% 17% 38% C C- B- C+ B- F A+ F+ A- B+ C+ A+ B- B 48% 14% 38% F C+ B- F F C A- A+ A+
1.03 63% 14% 44% +4 +1 1.12 31% 1.1 .34 28% .57 67% .38 0.95 54% 14% 32% -7 +2 0.92 30% 1.5 .43 20% .26 53% .14
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Tarleton St. C- A C- A+ A+ 30% 17% 52% C- A+ F F F C F F F A- A C- A+ A+ 46% 10% 44% F A+ F C F B- C- F D
1.02 71% 38% 50% +17 0 1.35 21% 0.0 .00 22% .16 38% .06 0.93 45% 40% 14% -19 +2 0.69 44% 1.0 .44 20% .34 82% .28
Feb
5		 Texas Arlington B D+ B- A B 48% 21% 31% A- B+ B B- B A F+ C- F+ D- C D+ A+ B- 46% 18% 36% D+ B- B- F F F A+ A A+
1.14 54% 42% 39% +1 +1 1.05 33% 1.2 .39 12% .30 70% .21 1.10 55% 42% 21% -8 +1 0.88 33% 1.4 .47 10% .16 64% .10
Feb
12		 Utah Valley A- C+ A+ A A+ 47% 20% 33% B- A+ B+ A+ A+ B+ D F F+ D+ F F B+ F 53% 12% 35% C- F C A+ A+ B C- A- C+
1.20 58% 60% 41% +8 +1 1.20 37% 1.3 .47 18% .29 63% .18 1.14 77% 50% 29% +9 +2 1.24 38% 0.5 .19 22% .30 63% .19
Feb
14		 California Baptist C+ F+ C- A+ B+ 50% 15% 35% A- A- C- F+ D+ A- C- F D C+ A+ C B+ A+ 28% 15% 57% B- A+ C- B+ B- F F A+ C-
1.09 46% 38% 50% +2 +2 1.10 24% 0.8 .19 11% .30 65% .19 1.01 20% 38% 29% -15 0 0.72 39% 0.8 .30 8% .37 59% .22
Feb
19		 Texas Arlington F D- A F F+ 13% 33% 54% F F F+ F F D+ F A+ F+ C+ F A+ A+ B 49% 21% 30% C- B F D- F C- A- A+ A+
0.82 50% 47% 20% -10 -3 0.76 20% 0.7 .14 18% .24 83% .20 1.03 74% 0% 14% -9 +1 0.85 43% 1.1 .46 20% .28 57% .16
Feb
21		 Tarleton St. A C C C- D 21% 21% 57% D- D B- A+ A+ A+ C- A+ B D F A+ B- B- 26% 38% 36% A+ B+ B- F D F A- F C+
1.23 60% 40% 33% 0 -1 1.00 37% 1.8 .67 17% .37 85% .32 1.11 71% 20% 32% -5 -3 0.87 28% 1.3 .36 11% .26 87% .22
Feb
26		 Abilene Christian B+ A A+ B A+ 51% 14% 35% B A F A- D- A+ F C+ F F F A+ A+ D 42% 23% 35% C- D A+ F D- F A- F C+
1.22 73% 71% 39% +15 +2 1.35 17% 1.3 .21 17% .26 73% .19 1.16 79% 23% 25% +1 0 1.04 19% 1.8 .35 10% .25 88% .22



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 2.8 19.7 22.5 1st
2nd 4.9 27.9 32.9 2nd
3rd 24.5 20.2 44.6 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
Total 29.4 50.9 19.7 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 19.7    3.3 10.1 6.3
12-6 5.5% 2.8    0.1 1.0 1.8
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total 22.5% 22.5 3.4 11.1 8.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 19.7% 18.2% 18.2% 13.8 0.1 1.1 2.1 0.4 16.1
12-6 50.9% 10.8% 10.8% 14.3 0.5 2.7 2.2 0.0 45.4
11-7 29.4% 6.8% 6.8% 14.8 0.0 0.5 1.4 0.1 27.4
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 11.1% 11.1% 0.0% 14.2 88.9 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 3.6% 100.0% 13.8 1.4 30.4 58.0 10.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 7.6%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 8.5%
Lose Out 10.1%