Vermont
America East
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.2#171
Expected Predictive Rating+0.4#162
Pace64.3#313
Improvement-0.1#183

Offense
Total Offense+2.4#110
First Shot+5.0#53
After Offensive Rebound-2.6#323
Layup/Dunks+1.3#136
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#122
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.9#40
Freethrows-2.0#298
Improvement-0.3#212

Defense
Total Defense-3.6#298
First Shot-6.1#344
After Offensive Rebounds+2.5#48
Layups/Dunks-3.0#280
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#162
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.4#300
Freethrows-0.1#198
Improvement+0.2#179
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 43.3% 49.2% 41.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 14.6 15.2
.500 or above 93.0% 97.3% 91.3%
.500 or above in Conference 97.1% 98.4% 96.6%
Conference Champion 62.9% 70.5% 60.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.3% 0.1% 0.4%
First Four8.0% 4.7% 9.3%
First Round39.5% 46.8% 36.7%
Second Round1.4% 2.1% 1.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Yale (Home) - 27.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 10 - 1
Quad 33 - 43 - 6
Quad 418 - 521 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sun, Nov 9 254 @Brown W 89-84 2OT 53%     1 - 0 +2.9 +6.3 -4.1
  Sat, Nov 15 200 @Northeastern W 85-74 43%     2 - 0 +11.6 +14.5 -2.9
  Tue, Nov 18 228 @Buffalo L 90-94 49%     2 - 1 -5.0 +10.4 -15.2
  Mon, Nov 24 97 Liberty L 73-79 27%     2 - 2 -0.7 +3.7 -4.6
  Tue, Nov 25 106 Rhode Island L 65-80 30%     2 - 3 -10.7 +0.3 -12.4
  Wed, Nov 26 238 Princeton W 79-74 63%     3 - 3 +0.4 +12.0 -11.1
  Sun, Nov 30 69 Yale L 74-80 28%    
  Wed, Dec 3 169 @Oregon St. L 68-71 39%    
  Sat, Dec 6 264 @Pepperdine W 73-72 54%    
  Sun, Dec 14 255 Merrimack W 73-66 74%    
  Wed, Dec 17 177 Siena W 73-70 61%    
  Sat, Dec 20 167 Iona W 81-78 60%    
  Tue, Dec 30 238 @Princeton W 73-72 52%    
  Sat, Jan 3 354 @New Hampshire W 75-66 78%    
  Thu, Jan 8 352 Binghamton W 78-64 90%    
  Thu, Jan 15 321 Maine W 72-62 82%    
  Mon, Jan 19 325 @Albany W 75-70 66%    
  Thu, Jan 22 309 @Umass Lowell W 78-74 63%    
  Sat, Jan 24 302 @Bryant W 74-70 63%    
  Thu, Jan 29 289 Maryland Baltimore Co. W 79-70 79%    
  Sat, Jan 31 349 NJIT W 80-66 89%    
  Thu, Feb 5 321 @Maine W 69-65 65%    
  Sat, Feb 7 354 New Hampshire W 78-63 90%    
  Thu, Feb 12 352 @Binghamton W 75-67 77%    
  Sat, Feb 14 302 Bryant W 77-67 80%    
  Thu, Feb 19 289 @Maryland Baltimore Co. W 76-73 60%    
  Sat, Feb 21 349 @NJIT W 77-69 75%    
  Thu, Feb 26 309 Umass Lowell W 81-71 81%    
  Tue, Mar 3 325 Albany W 78-67 82%    
Projected Record 19 - 10 12 - 4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.7 4.4 10.2 16.7 15.8 10.9 4.1 62.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.7 3.5 6.8 5.2 1.9 0.3 18.4 2nd
3rd 0.3 2.5 4.1 1.7 0.3 8.9 3rd
4th 0.1 1.2 2.4 0.9 0.1 4.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 1.5 0.5 0.0 2.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.3 0.0 1.3 6th
7th 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 9th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.7 3.3 6.0 9.2 13.0 15.8 18.6 16.1 10.9 4.1 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 4.1    4.1
15-1 100.0% 10.9    10.9 0.1
14-2 98.1% 15.8    14.8 1.0
13-3 89.7% 16.7    13.0 3.6 0.1
12-4 65.0% 10.2    5.9 3.8 0.6 0.0
11-5 33.6% 4.4    1.4 1.9 0.9 0.2
10-6 8.0% 0.7    0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0
9-7 0.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 62.9% 62.9 50.0 10.6 1.9 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 4.1% 69.4% 69.4% 13.4 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.9 0.4 0.0 1.3
15-1 10.9% 62.0% 62.0% 14.1 0.2 1.6 2.8 1.9 0.3 4.2
14-2 16.1% 55.8% 55.8% 14.7 0.0 0.7 2.8 3.9 1.6 7.1
13-3 18.6% 47.1% 47.1% 15.1 0.2 1.5 3.9 3.2 9.8
12-4 15.8% 40.8% 40.8% 15.5 0.0 0.6 2.2 3.6 9.3
11-5 13.0% 34.7% 34.7% 15.7 0.1 1.1 3.3 8.5
10-6 9.2% 28.5% 28.5% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.3 2.3 6.6
9-7 6.0% 23.4% 23.4% 15.9 0.1 1.3 4.6
8-8 3.3% 18.1% 18.1% 16.0 0.0 0.6 2.7
7-9 1.7% 17.5% 17.5% 16.0 0.3 1.4
6-10 0.8% 11.6% 11.6% 16.0 0.1 0.7
5-11 0.3% 0.3
4-12 0.1% 0.1
3-13 0.0% 0.0
2-14 0.0% 0.0
1-15 0.0% 0.0
0-16
Total 100% 43.3% 43.3% 0.0% 15.0 0.1 0.7 3.4 8.7 13.8 16.6 56.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.2% 100.0% 11.7 33.3 62.7 3.9