Weber St.
Big Sky
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.0#229
Expected Predictive Rating-7.4#275
Pace71.7#129
Improvement-0.5#221

Offense
Total Offense-1.0#192
First Shot-1.4#210
After Offensive Rebound+0.4#152
Layup/Dunks+1.8#118
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#165
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.3#311
Freethrows+1.0#122
Improvement+1.0#85

Defense
Total Defense-3.0#273
First Shot-2.1#246
After Offensive Rebounds-1.0#260
Layups/Dunks-4.6#326
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#256
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.0#21
Freethrows-2.7#316
Improvement-1.5#305
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.0% 6.4% 4.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 15.0 15.2
.500 or above 31.6% 35.3% 14.6%
.500 or above in Conference 45.6% 48.4% 32.7%
Conference Champion 6.4% 7.0% 3.6%
Last Place in Conference 15.5% 14.1% 21.4%
First Four1.3% 1.3% 1.5%
First Round5.3% 5.7% 3.5%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UMKC (Home) - 81.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 33 - 73 - 11
Quad 410 - 613 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 125 @Utah L 89-92 OT 18%     0 - 1 +2.7 +2.1 +1.2
  Wed, Nov 12 35 @Utah St. L 73-83 4%     0 - 2 +5.8 +5.4 +0.5
  Sat, Nov 15 133 @UC Irvine L 70-79 20%     0 - 3 -4.1 -1.5 -1.7
  Wed, Nov 19 219 Campbell W 91-85 60%     1 - 3 -0.7 +10.2 -11.1
  Sat, Nov 22 184 Texas Arlington L 73-74 53%     1 - 4 -5.7 +3.6 -9.3
  Sat, Nov 29 335 UMKC W 81-72 82%    
  Wed, Dec 3 296 Oral Roberts W 83-77 73%    
  Sun, Dec 7 158 @St. Thomas L 72-79 27%    
  Wed, Dec 10 335 @UMKC W 78-75 63%    
  Wed, Dec 17 89 @Utah Valley L 68-81 12%    
  Sat, Dec 20 281 Utah Tech W 75-70 70%    
  Thu, Jan 1 156 Portland St. L 75-76 47%    
  Sat, Jan 3 272 Sacramento St. W 81-76 67%    
  Thu, Jan 8 249 @Northern Arizona L 75-77 42%    
  Sat, Jan 10 145 @Northern Colorado L 73-80 25%    
  Thu, Jan 15 240 Eastern Washington W 80-76 62%    
  Sat, Jan 17 168 Idaho W 75-74 50%    
  Thu, Jan 22 191 @Montana L 77-82 32%    
  Sat, Jan 24 186 @Montana St. L 70-75 33%    
  Sat, Jan 31 230 Idaho St. W 73-70 61%    
  Mon, Feb 2 272 @Sacramento St. L 78-79 46%    
  Thu, Feb 5 145 Northern Colorado L 76-77 46%    
  Sat, Feb 7 249 Northern Arizona W 78-74 62%    
  Thu, Feb 12 168 @Idaho L 71-77 31%    
  Sat, Feb 14 240 @Eastern Washington L 77-79 42%    
  Thu, Feb 19 186 Montana St. W 73-72 53%    
  Sat, Feb 21 191 Montana W 80-79 53%    
  Sat, Feb 28 230 @Idaho St. L 70-73 40%    
  Mon, Mar 2 156 @Portland St. L 72-79 27%    
Projected Record 12 - 17 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.8 1.7 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 6.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 2.3 3.1 1.8 0.6 0.1 0.0 8.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.9 4.0 1.7 0.3 0.0 9.3 3rd
4th 0.3 3.0 4.8 2.0 0.3 0.0 10.4 4th
5th 0.3 2.5 5.2 2.4 0.2 0.0 10.5 5th
6th 0.2 2.1 5.5 2.9 0.3 11.0 6th
7th 0.2 2.1 5.1 3.5 0.4 11.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.0 4.9 3.7 0.5 11.5 8th
9th 0.1 0.7 2.4 4.5 3.4 0.6 0.0 11.7 9th
10th 0.1 0.6 1.4 2.7 2.7 1.6 0.4 0.0 9.5 10th
Total 0.1 0.6 1.5 3.4 5.4 8.3 11.0 11.9 12.2 11.9 10.8 8.8 6.2 3.9 2.3 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2
16-2 97.9% 0.5    0.5 0.0
15-3 91.2% 1.0    0.8 0.2
14-4 73.0% 1.7    1.1 0.5 0.0
13-5 45.7% 1.8    0.8 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-6 17.3% 1.1    0.2 0.5 0.3 0.1
11-7 2.9% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 6.4% 6.4 3.6 1.9 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.2% 41.3% 41.3% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.5% 31.9% 31.9% 13.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3
15-3 1.1% 34.1% 34.1% 13.7 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.7
14-4 2.3% 25.1% 25.1% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 1.7
13-5 3.9% 16.3% 16.3% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 3.3
12-6 6.2% 14.5% 14.5% 14.9 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.2 5.3
11-7 8.8% 11.0% 11.0% 15.2 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.3 7.8
10-8 10.8% 6.8% 6.8% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.4 10.0
9-9 11.9% 6.3% 6.3% 15.6 0.0 0.2 0.5 11.2
8-10 12.2% 2.8% 2.8% 15.9 0.0 0.3 11.9
7-11 11.9% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.0 0.2 11.7
6-12 11.0% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 10.9
5-13 8.3% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 8.3
4-14 5.4% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 5.4
3-15 3.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 3.4
2-16 1.5% 1.5
1-17 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 0.6
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 6.0% 6.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 0.5 1.2 2.0 2.3 94.0 0.0%