Western Illinois
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -14.7 #357
Expected Predictive Rating -19.8 #359
Pace 63.9 #319
Improvement +0.4 #157

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #362 F D- C- D+ D-
Defense #298 D- D- D- D D-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% #156 0.91 #363 -4.6 #326
2 Pt. Jumpers 30% #28 0.64 #309 +2.1 #75
Three Pointers 31% #350 0.86 #335 -7.7 #355
1st FG Attempt 0.81 #364 -10.2 #364
Freethrows 16.5 #233 68% #297 11.3 #265
Second Chance 26.5% #296 0.95 #285 0.25 #308
Turnovers 17.3% #223
Total Offense -10.7 #362

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% #43 1.27 #305 -5.5 #344
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% #278 0.76 #187 +1.4 #86
Three Pointers 39% #243 1.08 #271 -0.2 #188
1st FG Attempt 1.11 #312 -4.3 #311
Freethrows 19.3 #279 74% #235 14.2 #74
Second Chance 33.7% #289 1.15 #306 0.39 #322
Turnovers 14.3% #315
Total Defense -4.0 #298

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -2.4% #320 1.7% #323
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -18.0% #364 7.0% #305
Possession Length 19.9 #359 16.3 #35
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.11 #339 0.24 #351
Improvement -4.5 #355 +4.9 #5

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.1% 0.5% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 74.8% 58.2% 77.9%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Arkansas Little Rock (Away) - 15.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 00 - 1
Quad 30 - 50 - 6
Quad 44 - 174 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 254 @Radford L 75 - 80 13% -5  0 - 1 -7 +9 D A+ C -17 F F F
 Fri, Nov 7 22 @Iowa L 58 - 77 1% -10  0 - 2 -0 +1 D- D C -3 F A+ F
 Tue, Nov 11 293 @Cal St. Bakersfield L 58 - 74 17% -7  0 - 3 -21 -13 D- F F -8 F B C-
 Fri, Nov 14 157 @California Baptist L 59 - 69 6% -6  0 - 4 -7 -4 D+ F B+ -4 B+ B F
 Fri, Nov 21 268 Coastal Carolina L 64 - 84 29% -13  0 - 5 -29 -15 F B C -13 F F C+
 Sun, Nov 23 319 North Dakota L 69 - 78 41% +1  0 - 6 -21 -14 F D- F -7 F B- B
 Tue, Dec 2 165 @Drake L 57 - 108 7% -26  0 - 7 -49 -9 F F A- -44 F F D
 Sat, Dec 13 319 @North Dakota W 69 - 66 OT 21% +1  1 - 7 -3 -10 F A+ D +7 A+ F A+
 Thu, Dec 18 252 @Lindenwood L 76 - 92 13% -13  1 - 8 0 - 1 -18 -2 D- C- B -15 F F D
 Mon, Dec 22 278 SIU Edwardsville L 61 - 66 31% +3  1 - 9 0 - 2 -15 -14 F F F -0 B+ F A+
 Thu, Jan 1 225 @Tennessee Martin L 60 - 67 10% +15  1 - 10 0 - 3 -7 -6 B- F F -2 B- B F
 Sat, Jan 3 224 @Southeast Missouri St. L 50 - 73 10% -9  1 - 11 0 - 4 -23 -19 F F F -6 D F C+
 Thu, Jan 8 226 Tennessee St. L 68 - 90 22% -14  1 - 12 0 - 5 -29 -9 F F B+ -19 F F C-
 Sat, Jan 10 314 Tennessee Tech L 54 - 59 40% +2  1 - 13 0 - 6 -17 -18 F F F +0 C+ B D
 Tue, Jan 13 311 @Eastern Illinois L 55 - 57 20% -4  1 - 14 0 - 7 -8 -14 F D+ D +6 A+ C C
 Sat, Jan 17 283 @Arkansas Little Rock L 61 - 72 15%
 Thu, Jan 22 304 @Morehead St. L 62 - 71 19%
 Sat, Jan 24 343 @Southern Indiana L 64 - 70 27%
 Thu, Jan 29 224 Southeast Missouri St. L 65 - 73 22%
 Sat, Jan 31 225 Tennessee Martin L 61 - 69 22%
 Thu, Feb 5 314 @Tennessee Tech L 63 - 72 21%
 Sat, Feb 7 226 @Tennessee St. L 63 - 77 9%
 Tue, Feb 10 311 Eastern Illinois L 61 - 64 39%
 Thu, Feb 12 283 Arkansas Little Rock L 64 - 69 33%
 Thu, Feb 19 343 Southern Indiana L 66 - 67 49%
 Sat, Feb 21 304 Morehead St. L 65 - 68 38%
 Thu, Feb 26 278 @SIU Edwardsville L 58 - 69 16%
 Sat, Feb 28 252 Lindenwood L 67 - 73 28%
Totals 4 - 24 3 - 17 -15 -11 F D- C- -4 D- D- D-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.6 0.1 1.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.5 1.8 0.4 0.0 5.9 9th
10th 0.1 1.3 5.0 9.0 8.4 4.1 0.9 0.0 28.9 10th
11th 3.4 11.4 17.7 16.2 10.1 3.4 0.6 0.0 62.7 11th
Total 3.4 11.4 18.9 21.3 19.3 12.8 7.4 3.6 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0% 0.0
11-9 0.0% 0.0
10-10 0.1% 0.1
9-11 0.5% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 0.5
8-12 1.3% 1.3
7-13 3.6% 3.6
6-14 7.4% 7.4
5-15 12.8% 12.8
4-16 19.3% 19.3
3-17 21.3% 21.3
2-18 18.9% 18.9
1-19 11.4% 11.4
0-20 3.4% 3.4
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 3.4%