Rank | Team | Tourney Chance | Exp Seed | Record | Conf Record | Projected Record | Projected Conf Record | Predictive Rating | Offense | Defense | Pace | EPR | Conference EPR | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
68 | Dayton | 26.6% | 13 | 15 - 8 | 7 - 3 | 20 - 11 | 12 - 6 | +8.2 | +2.8 | 95 | +5.4 | 44 | 61.5 | 336 | +4.7 | 103 | +5.6 | 3 | |||||
74 | Virginia Commonwealth | 22.3% | 17 - 6 | 8 - 2 | 22 - 9 | 13 - 5 | +7.1 | +0.1 | 167 | +7.0 | 23 | 71.2 | 100 | +7.5 | 72 | +10.1 | 1 | ||||||
79 | Saint Louis | 19.1% | 14 - 7 | 7 - 2 | 20 - 10 | 13 - 5 | +6.6 | +5.0 | 56 | +1.7 | 123 | 71.4 | 96 | +7.4 | 75 | +8.5 | 2 | ||||||
122 | George Mason | 5.2% | 13 - 10 | 5 - 5 | 17 - 14 | 9 - 9 | +2.7 | +0.6 | 154 | +2.1 | 112 | 66.3 | 236 | +1.7 | 138 | +0.8 | 9 | ||||||
123 | Davidson | 5.3% | 9 - 12 | 3 - 7 | 13 - 16 | 7 - 11 | +2.6 | +1.4 | 131 | +1.2 | 131 | 64.4 | 283 | -0.1 | 169 | -1.3 | 13 | ||||||
125 | Richmond | 4.6% | 11 - 12 | 4 - 6 | 15 - 16 | 8 - 10 | +2.4 | -0.1 | 179 | +2.5 | 103 | 64.8 | 275 | +0.2 | 163 | -0.1 | 10 | ||||||
126 | Duquesne | 4.6% | 14 - 8 | 4 - 5 | 19 - 12 | 9 - 9 | +2.3 | +2.7 | 97 | -0.4 | 189 | 67.9 | 191 | +3.4 | 121 | +1.1 | 8 | ||||||
132 | Fordham | 4.2% | 18 - 4 | 6 - 3 | 22 - 9 | 10 - 8 | +2.0 | -1.8 | 235 | +3.7 | 75 | 72.7 | 69 | +7.8 | 68 | +5.3 | 4 | ||||||
143 | Massachusetts | 3.6% | 13 - 9 | 4 - 6 | 17 - 13 | 8 - 10 | +1.6 | 0.0 | 174 | +1.6 | 126 | 75.6 | 31 | +3.2 | 124 | -0.8 | 11 | ||||||
147 | St. Bonaventure | 3.2% | 12 - 11 | 6 - 4 | 16 - 15 | 10 - 8 | +1.1 | -1.1 | 209 | +2.2 | 109 | 64.9 | 273 | +0.6 | 155 | +4.5 | 5 | ||||||
162 | Saint Joseph's | 2.4% | 11 - 11 | 5 - 5 | 15 - 15 | 9 - 9 | +0.3 | -0.4 | 188 | +0.7 | 151 | 71.7 | 93 | -0.4 | 174 | +1.4 | 7 | ||||||
191 | George Washington | 1.3% | 10 - 11 | 5 - 4 | 14 - 16 | 9 - 9 | -1.2 | +2.5 | 106 | -3.6 | 284 | 71.9 | 89 | -1.6 | 200 | +3.6 | 6 | ||||||
198 | Rhode Island | 1.2% | 8 - 14 | 4 - 6 | 11 - 19 | 7 - 11 | -1.5 | -2.6 | 256 | +1.1 | 139 | 68.2 | 179 | -3.2 | 232 | -0.9 | 12 | ||||||
220 | Loyola Chicago | 0.8% | 7 - 14 | 1 - 8 | 10 - 20 | 4 - 14 | -2.5 | -1.0 | 208 | -1.5 | 228 | 64.3 | 288 | -4.3 | 249 | -8.4 | 15 | ||||||
230 | La Salle | 0.6% | 9 - 13 | 3 - 6 | 12 - 19 | 6 - 12 | -3.6 | -2.7 | 260 | -0.9 | 205 | 68.9 | 162 | -3.0 | 227 | -3.1 | 14 |
Team | Avg Place |
1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | 5th | 6th | 7th | 8th | 9th | 10th | 11th | 12th | 13th | 14th | 15th | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dayton | 2.4 | 28.8 | 32.1 | 21.6 | 9.7 | 4.4 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Virginia Commonwealth | 1.8 | 55.7 | 25.3 | 11.3 | 4.8 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | ||||||
Saint Louis | 2.2 | 39.2 | 28.2 | 18.8 | 8.1 | 3.3 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
George Mason | 6.5 | 0.3 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 12.7 | 15.4 | 14.6 | 13.1 | 10.3 | 8.4 | 5.9 | 4.2 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | |
Davidson | 10.1 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 1.9 | 3.6 | 5.6 | 7.4 | 8.6 | 10.8 | 11.8 | 13.4 | 13.9 | 13.3 | 7.7 | 1.4 | ||
Richmond | 8.4 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 2.7 | 5.4 | 8.5 | 10.2 | 11.9 | 11.7 | 12.2 | 11.4 | 9.9 | 7.6 | 4.9 | 2.3 | 0.5 | |
Duquesne | 7.2 | 0.3 | 2.4 | 6.8 | 11.1 | 12.9 | 12.1 | 12.0 | 9.7 | 9.4 | 7.5 | 6.2 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 0.2 | |
Fordham | 4.7 | 4.4 | 11.1 | 18.7 | 20.2 | 14.7 | 10.4 | 7.3 | 4.9 | 3.5 | 2.3 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | |
Massachusetts | 8.7 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 2.4 | 5.0 | 7.5 | 9.3 | 11.1 | 11.3 | 12.2 | 11.2 | 10.3 | 8.6 | 6.3 | 3.5 | 0.8 | |
St. Bonaventure | 5.6 | 1.3 | 5.9 | 13.0 | 16.9 | 17.0 | 13.8 | 10.6 | 7.5 | 6.0 | 3.9 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | |
Saint Joseph's | 7.5 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 4.4 | 8.3 | 11.8 | 12.7 | 13.0 | 11.5 | 11.1 | 9.0 | 7.2 | 5.4 | 2.9 | 1.1 | 0.1 | |
George Washington | 7.7 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 5.2 | 8.6 | 10.8 | 11.4 | 11.7 | 10.6 | 10.6 | 9.0 | 7.9 | 6.3 | 3.8 | 1.6 | 0.1 | |
Rhode Island | 10.9 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 2.1 | 3.6 | 4.9 | 6.7 | 9.0 | 10.7 | 13.8 | 15.9 | 17.7 | 11.7 | 2.5 | |
Loyola Chicago | 14.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 2.6 | 4.6 | 9.7 | 20.0 | 60.3 | |||
La Salle | 12.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 3.0 | 4.3 | 5.6 | 8.4 | 12.1 | 19.7 | 29.5 | 13.2 |
Team | Avg Record | 0-18 | 1-17 | 2-16 | 3-15 | 4-14 | 5-13 | 6-12 | 7-11 | 8-10 | 9-9 | 10-8 | 11-7 | 12-6 | 13-5 | 14-4 | 15-3 | 16-2 | 17-1 | 18-0 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dayton | 12 - 6 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 7.4 | 17.7 | 26.9 | 26.5 | 15.5 | 3.8 | |||||||||||
Virginia Commonwealth | 13 - 5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.8 | 8.9 | 18.5 | 26.1 | 25.1 | 14.2 | 3.8 | |||||||||||
Saint Louis | 13 - 5 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 5.9 | 14.8 | 23.5 | 25.8 | 18.6 | 8.1 | 1.5 | ||||||||||
George Mason | 9 - 9 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 7.7 | 18.0 | 27.2 | 24.9 | 14.6 | 4.9 | 0.7 | |||||||||||
Davidson | 7 - 11 | 0.3 | 2.1 | 7.8 | 17.7 | 25.9 | 24.6 | 15.1 | 5.6 | 0.9 | |||||||||||
Richmond | 8 - 10 | 0.3 | 2.4 | 8.3 | 18.3 | 26.2 | 24.3 | 14.5 | 5.0 | 0.8 | |||||||||||
Duquesne | 9 - 9 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 4.8 | 11.7 | 20.3 | 24.6 | 20.8 | 11.9 | 4.1 | 0.5 | ||||||||||
Fordham | 10 - 8 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 7.5 | 16.6 | 24.2 | 23.9 | 15.9 | 7.1 | 1.9 | 0.3 | ||||||||||
Massachusetts | 8 - 10 | 0.4 | 3.0 | 9.9 | 19.9 | 26.0 | 22.7 | 12.9 | 4.5 | 0.7 | |||||||||||
St. Bonaventure | 10 - 8 | 0.5 | 3.8 | 12.7 | 23.1 | 27.0 | 20.2 | 9.6 | 2.7 | 0.4 | |||||||||||
Saint Joseph's | 9 - 9 | 0.7 | 4.8 | 13.7 | 23.9 | 26.1 | 19.1 | 9.0 | 2.5 | 0.3 | |||||||||||
George Washington | 9 - 9 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 14.8 | 23.4 | 23.9 | 17.5 | 9.2 | 3.3 | 0.8 | 0.1 | ||||||||||
Rhode Island | 7 - 11 | 2.9 | 12.5 | 23.3 | 27.1 | 20.2 | 10.0 | 3.2 | 0.6 | 0.0 | |||||||||||
Loyola Chicago | 4 - 14 | 2.3 | 10.2 | 20.8 | 25.9 | 21.5 | 12.7 | 5.1 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | ||||||||||
La Salle | 6 - 12 | 3.9 | 13.8 | 24.9 | 25.8 | 18.3 | 9.3 | 3.2 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Team | Total | Outright | 2-Way | 3-Way | 4-Way | 5-Way | 6-Way | 7-Way | 8-Way | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dayton | 28.8% | 13.8 | 11.1 | 3.3 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Virginia Commonwealth | 55.7% | 36.3 | 15.3 | 3.6 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Saint Louis | 39.2% | 22.9 | 12.3 | 3.4 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
George Mason | 0.3% | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Davidson | ||||||||||
Richmond | 0.1% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Duquesne | 0.3% | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Fordham | 4.4% | 1.2 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Massachusetts | 0.0% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||||
St. Bonaventure | 1.3% | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Saint Joseph's | 0.2% | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
George Washington | 0.5% | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Rhode Island | 0.0% | 0.0 | ||||||||
Loyola Chicago | ||||||||||
La Salle | 0.0% | 0.0 |
Team | Tourney Bid | Auto | At-Large | Exp Seed | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | No Bid | At-Large if not Auto | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dayton | 26.6% | 26.3% | 0.3% | 13 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 3.9 | 11.1 | 8.8 | 2.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 73.4 | 0.4% | |||||||||
Virginia Commonwealth | 22.3% | 19.7% | 2.6% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 9.2 | 9.5 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 77.7 | 3.3% | |||||||||
Saint Louis | 19.1% | 17.0% | 2.1% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 7.1 | 8.7 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 80.9 | 2.5% | |||||||||
George Mason | 5.2% | 5.2% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 94.8 | 0.0% | |||||||||||||
Davidson | 5.3% | 5.3% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 3.1 | 94.7 | 0.0% | |||||||||||||
Richmond | 4.6% | 4.6% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 95.4 | 0.0% | |||||||||||||
Duquesne | 4.6% | 4.6% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 95.4 | 0.0% | |||||||||||||
Fordham | 4.2% | 4.1% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 95.9 | 0.0% | ||||||||||||
Massachusetts | 3.6% | 3.6% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 96.4 | 0.0% | |||||||||||||
St. Bonaventure | 3.2% | 3.2% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 96.8 | 0.0% | |||||||||||||
Saint Joseph's | 2.4% | 2.4% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 97.6 | 0.0% | ||||||||||||||
George Washington | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 98.7 | 0.0% | |||||||||||||||
Rhode Island | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 98.8 | 0.0% | ||||||||||||||||
Loyola Chicago | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 0.8 | 99.2 | 0.0% | |||||||||||||||||
La Salle | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 0.5 | 99.4 | 0.0% |
Team | Tourney Bid | First Four | First Round | Second Round | Sweet Sixteen | Elite Eight | Final Four | Final Game | Champion |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dayton | 26.6% | 0.3% | 26.5% | 7.5% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Virginia Commonwealth | 22.3% | 2.0% | 21.1% | 5.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Saint Louis | 19.1% | 1.6% | 18.2% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
George Mason | 5.2% | 0.1% | 5.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Davidson | 5.3% | 2.1% | 4.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Richmond | 4.6% | 1.0% | 4.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Duquesne | 4.6% | 0.0% | 4.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Fordham | 4.2% | 0.0% | 4.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Massachusetts | 3.6% | 0.1% | 3.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
St. Bonaventure | 3.2% | 0.4% | 3.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Saint Joseph's | 2.4% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
George Washington | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Rhode Island | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Loyola Chicago | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
La Salle | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Number of Teams | |||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
One or More | Avg # | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |
Tourney Bid | 100.0% | 1.1 | 94.9 | 5.0 | 0.0 | ||||||||||||
1st Round | 97.8% | 1.0 | 2.2 | 95.1 | 2.7 | 0.0 | |||||||||||
2nd Round | 20.6% | 0.2 | 79.4 | 20.4 | 0.2 | ||||||||||||
Sweet Sixteen | 5.8% | 0.1 | 94.2 | 5.8 | 0.0 | ||||||||||||
Elite Eight | 1.2% | 0.0 | 98.8 | 1.2 | |||||||||||||
Final Four | 0.3% | 0.0 | 99.7 | 0.3 | |||||||||||||
Final Game | 0.1% | 0.0 | 99.9 | 0.1 | |||||||||||||
Champion | 0.0% | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.0 |