George Mason
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +4.4 105
Expected Predictive Rating +7.6 80
Pace 62.8 330
Improvement -7.3 363

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C+ 104 B- C C+ A- C
Defense C+ 116 C+ B C- B+ B-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 145 B 65% 48 +3.3 67
2 Pt. Jumpers 38% 181 C 38% 184 +0.4 152
Three Pointers 38% 231 C 34% 198 -1.4 237
Shot Selection/Accuracy C -0.1 198 B- +2.3 96
1st FG Attempt B- 1.07 107
Second Chance C 30.8% 174 C- 0.99 233 C 0.31 188
Turnovers C+ 16.1% 133
Freethrows A- 0.38 9 C 72% 186 A- 0.27 18
Total Offense C+ +2.5 104

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots B 58% 46 C+ 10.5% 148
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 22% 212 D+ 6.7% 288
Three Pointers D- 76% 333 B- 0.5% 75
Total C 56% 162 C 5.8% 208

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 296 C 58% 195 -2.1 104
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% 76 B+ 33% 25 +0.1 194
Three Pointers 42% 149 C 34% 170 +0.3 197
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- -0.7 69 C+ -1.1 132
1st FG Attempt C+ 0.98 115
Second Chance B 27.1% 65 B 0.94 55 B 0.25 45
Turnovers C- 16.1% 227
Freethrows B+ 0.25 30 C+ 72% 147 B+ 0.18 34
Total Defense C+ +1.9 116

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C 49% 180 C- 9.4% 230
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 20% 67 C+ 5.9% 105
Three Pointers C+ 83% 142 B 1.7% 51
Total C 55% 162 C 5.4% 192

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.3 277 18.1 300
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 156 0.13 59
Improvement -4.7 #349 -2.7 #308

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3% 3% 2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 11.8 11.8 11.9
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round3% 3% 2%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Saint Joseph's (Away) - 49.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 3
Quad 22 - 22 - 5
Quad 311 - 413 - 9
Quad 410 - 022 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 230 Wofford W 70 - 46 85% +9  90% 1 - 0 A- +17 D- -6 D C+ D- A+ +25 A+ A- A+
 Fri, Nov 7 136 Winthrop W 96 - 90 72% +0  40% 2 - 0 C+ +4 A- +10 A+ D+ D+ D -6 D A+ F
 Sat, Nov 15 343 New Hampshire W 61 - 44 96% +7  94% 3 - 0 C +1 F -16 F C F+ A+ +19 A+ D A+
 Tue, Nov 18 308 Jacksonville W 79 - 57 93% +12  97% 4 - 0 B +10 B- +4 A+ F F A- +8 B- B+ A+
 Mon, Nov 24 208 Ohio W 92 - 69 76% +20  97% 5 - 0 A +20 A+ +18 A- B+ A+ B- +3 B- D B-
 Tue, Nov 25 118 Florida Atlantic W 74 - 65 56% +11  99% 6 - 0 B+ +12 A+ +15 A+ C- A C -1 C A+ C-
 Sat, Nov 29 209 James Madison W 82 - 66 83% +1  48% 7 - 0 B +10 B +7 A+ F+ D B +4 A C+ F
 Tue, Dec 2 147 Cornell W 99 - 81 75% +5  68% 8 - 0 A- +15 A +12 A+ F+ D B- +3 D A+ C
 Sat, Dec 6 58 @Virginia Tech L 62 - 73 23% -10  6% 8 - 1 C +1 C- -2 C- B F B- +2 D+ A+ C-
 Sat, Dec 13 238 Old Dominion W 73 - 61 86% +10  96% 9 - 1 C+ +5 D- -7 D D- C- A+ +11 B+ D+ A+
 Sun, Dec 21 317 Loyola Maryland W 86 - 79 93% -1  44% 10 - 1 D+ -6 B +7 D- C+ A- F -12 D+ F D-
 Sun, Dec 28 172 Penn W 83 - 79 78% +3  72% 11 - 1 C +0 B+ +8 B A- A+ D- -8 F A+ F
 Wed, Dec 31 212 @La Salle W 80 - 75 66% -5  8% 12 - 1 1 - 0 B- +5 A+ +15 F+ A+ A+ F -10 C- B- F
 Sat, Jan 3 114 Rhode Island W 61 - 50 66% +4  84% 13 - 1 2 - 0 B+ +11 D -5 C+ F+ A+ A+ +18 B+ A+ B-
 Wed, Jan 7 158 @Fordham W 67 - 58 56% +1  48% 14 - 1 3 - 0 B+ +12 B- +4 D+ C- B- A +9 B+ A D-
 Sat, Jan 10 45 Virginia Commonwealth W 86 - 80 35% +1  42% 15 - 1 4 - 0 A- +15 A+ +18 A A- A+ C- -3 C C+ D-
 Tue, Jan 13 277 @Loyola Chicago W 82 - 74 78% -3  17% 16 - 1 5 - 0 C+ +4 A +13 C+ A+ B F+ -8 F D F
 Mon, Jan 19 80 George Washington W 69 - 64 52% +1  59% 17 - 1 6 - 0 B +9 D -5 B C+ D+ A+ +14 A A+ C
 Sat, Jan 24 114 @Rhode Island L 65 - 74 43% -5  3% 17 - 2 6 - 1 C- -3 B +6 C- B+ A+ F -10 C+ C+ F
 Wed, Jan 28 113 Davidson W 60 - 52 65% +3  72% 18 - 2 7 - 1 B +8 D+ -3 A- F F A+ +13 A+ C+ A-
 Sat, Jan 31 142 @St. Bonaventure W 77 - 73 52% -8  1% 19 - 2 8 - 1 B- +8 C +1 B+ C+ F A- +7 F+ A+ B
 Wed, Feb 4 111 Duquesne L 65 - 71 64% -0  43% 19 - 3 8 - 2 D+ -5 D -4 B+ D- F C -1 A- F F+
 Sat, Feb 7 130 Saint Joseph's W 60 - 52 71% -0  44% 20 - 3 9 - 2 B- +7 D+ -3 D C- B A +11 A+ F A
 Tue, Feb 10 129 @Richmond L 70 - 82 48% -17  0% 20 - 4 9 - 3 D+ -7 D+ -4 D B- F D+ -3 D B+ C-
 Fri, Feb 13 80 @George Washington L 53 - 72 29% -7  2% 20 - 5 9 - 4 D -9 F -10 D- D C- C- -3 D+ A- D
 Wed, Feb 18 88 Dayton L 67 - 82 54% -8  0% 20 - 6 9 - 5 D- -12 C+ +3 C F+ A+ F -16 F C- F
 Wed, Feb 25 130 @Saint Joseph's L 68 - 69 49%
 Sat, Feb 28 142 St. Bonaventure W 75 - 69 73%
 Tue, Mar 3 45 @Virginia Commonwealth L 69 - 79 17%
 Sat, Mar 7 23 Saint Louis L 71 - 80 21%
Totals 22 - 8 11 - 7 +4 C+ +3 A+ B- C C+ +2 C C A-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C+ B C C B- 40% 38% 38% C B- C C- C C+ A- C A- C+ C B+ C C+ 35% 24% 42% B- C+ B B B C- B+ C+ B+
1.12 65% 38% 34% +2 0 1.07 31% 1.0 .31 16% .38 72% .27 1.06 58% 33% 34% -1 -1 0.98 27% 0.9 .25 16% .25 72% .27
Nov
3		 Wofford D- C+ D- D D+ 42% 25% 33% D- D D+ A C+ D- C D C- A+ D A+ A+ A+ 19% 19% 62% A+ A+ B- A+ A- A+ C A+ B
1.08 60% 33% 31% -2 0 0.98 27% 1.4 .37 18% .30 75% .23 0.71 63% 13% 23% -14 -1 0.71 26% 0.7 .18 25% .33 63% .20
Nov
7		 Winthrop A- A+ F+ A+ A+ 36% 13% 51% B- A+ A+ F D+ D+ A+ C- A+ D F B+ D F 19% 22% 59% A+ D A+ A+ A+ F D F F
1.25 76% 33% 42% +12 +1 1.28 44% 0.6 .28 18% .69 72% .50 1.17 73% 31% 37% +4 -2 1.07 24% 0.2 .04 8% .41 86% .35
Nov
15		 New Hampshire F B F F F 43% 17% 39% C+ F B+ F+ C F+ A+ B- A+ A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ 33% 35% 33% A+ A+ A F D A+ A- F C+
0.92 65% 13% 11% -15 +1 0.74 37% 0.9 .32 18% .50 78% .39 0.67 47% 19% 13% -21 -2 0.57 17% 1.7 .28 27% .19 89% .17
Nov
18		 Jacksonville B- A+ C A+ A+ 47% 21% 32% C A+ C+ F F F A+ F+ A+ A- B+ F A+ B 50% 19% 31% D- B- F A+ B+ A+ D F F
1.21 83% 38% 58% +23 +1 1.50 32% 0.4 .12 20% .67 63% .42 0.87 48% 50% 23% -8 +1 0.88 39% 0.6 .23 29% .32 87% .28
Nov
24		 Ohio A+ C F A+ A 35% 15% 51% C A- B+ C+ B+ A+ C D C- B- D+ C C+ C- 18% 40% 42% A+ B- F B- D B- D B+ C-
1.36 58% 25% 46% +8 +1 1.18 41% 1.1 .44 9% .33 70% .23 1.02 63% 44% 32% +2 -4 0.98 36% 0.9 .33 18% .36 65% .23
Nov
25		 Florida Atlantic A+ B- B A+ A+ 40% 28% 33% F+ A+ A- F C- A A+ C A C F A+ C+ C- 38% 23% 40% B- C C- A+ A+ C- B+ D B
1.25 59% 42% 57% +13 -1 1.26 34% 0.7 .24 12% .40 71% .29 1.10 78% 18% 32% +1 0 1.04 34% 0.5 .17 17% .24 75% .18
Nov
29		 James Madison B A+ A+ C+ A+ 41% 17% 41% C+ A+ F A F+ D A+ A- A+ B D+ A+ B- A- 24% 25% 51% A+ A A- F+ C+ F B+ F B-
1.24 71% 57% 35% +9 +1 1.22 16% 1.3 .20 15% .64 78% .50 0.99 62% 14% 32% -7 -2 0.85 23% 1.2 .28 9% .23 79% .18
Dec
2		 Cornell A A+ F A+ A+ 44% 20% 35% C- A+ B F F+ D A A+ A+ B- C A+ F D+ 45% 2% 53% F+ D A- A+ A+ C C B- C+
1.37 83% 18% 53% +17 0 1.37 36% 0.7 .25 17% .41 84% .35 1.12 61% 0% 44% +9 +3 1.25 25% 0.9 .22 18% .29 71% .20
Dec
6		 Virginia Tech C- F C- B D+ 40% 17% 43% B C- A D B F B+ A- A- B- F+ C D D+ 33% 21% 46% B- D+ A A+ A+ C- A D+ A-
0.96 42% 38% 35% -6 +1 0.91 41% 0.9 .38 25% .29 79% .23 1.13 71% 36% 38% +6 0 1.13 26% 0.6 .16 14% .23 77% .18
Dec
13		 Old Dominion D- C- F D- F+ 54% 18% 28% B+ D D- C- D- C- A+ C A+ A+ B+ B+ C B+ 36% 34% 30% B B+ A- F D+ A+ B- F+ C+
1.03 59% 11% 29% -6 +1 0.92 24% 1.0 .24 15% .52 74% .38 0.86 50% 29% 33% -6 -2 0.86 18% 1.7 .30 22% .25 79% .20
Dec
21		 Loyola Maryland B A- B- F D 33% 31% 35% F+ D- B- C- C+ A- A+ B+ A+ F A+ C- F D+ 37% 15% 48% C+ D+ F+ F F D- D+ F F+
1.28 71% 44% 22% 0 -2 0.98 36% 1.2 .42 10% .57 79% .45 1.18 40% 38% 42% -1 +1 1.02 32% 1.3 .41 15% .30 82% .25
Dec
28		 Penn B+ A+ A+ F B+ 48% 26% 26% C- B B+ A- A- A+ A+ F A- D- D D F F 32% 28% 40% C+ F A A+ A+ F A A+ A+
1.21 75% 69% 8% +6 0 1.14 38% 1.1 .41 10% .45 50% .23 1.15 61% 44% 48% +11 -1 1.21 24% 0.7 .16 12% .25 53% .13
Dec
31		 La Salle A+ D+ A- F F+ 44% 27% 29% D+ F+ D A+ A+ A+ A+ A A+ F A F+ D- D+ 33% 27% 40% B C- C B B- F F C+ F
1.27 52% 46% 21% -6 0 0.90 24% 2.1 .52 0% .44 75% .33 1.19 44% 46% 37% -1 -1 0.98 33% 0.9 .29 6% .46 70% .32
Jan
3		 Rhode Island D C F A+ B- 38% 24% 38% D C+ F A+ F+ A+ A+ F B A+ D- A+ B B+ 26% 19% 55% A- B+ A+ A+ A+ B- A+ A+ A+
0.98 56% 10% 50% +2 0 1.05 13% 1.5 .20 14% .49 58% .28 0.80 67% 22% 31% -3 -1 0.94 20% 0.4 .08 21% .18 33% .06
Jan
7		 Fordham B- C+ A+ F D- 53% 22% 24% A D+ D B C- B- A+ A A+ A A+ A- C A- 45% 18% 37% D- B+ F+ A+ A D- B A+ A-
1.07 58% 50% 9% -6 +1 0.91 21% 1.2 .25 14% .49 77% .37 0.93 43% 33% 32% -9 +1 0.86 40% 0.5 .21 14% .19 60% .11
Jan
10		 Virginia Commonwealth A+ A+ A+ F A+ 41% 31% 29% D- A D- A+ A- A+ A+ A+ A+ C- F D B C- 31% 23% 46% A+ C B- C C+ D- D C- D-
1.29 75% 53% 21% +6 -1 1.12 23% 1.7 .38 11% .40 88% .35 1.20 73% 45% 32% +5 -1 1.10 32% 1.1 .35 12% .43 76% .32
Jan
13		 Loyola Chicago A C D- A+ C+ 43% 32% 26% D C+ A+ A+ A+ B A+ C A+ F+ F F B+ F 50% 8% 42% F+ F B- F D F D+ A+ B-
1.29 55% 33% 50% +3 -1 1.06 43% 1.4 .60 11% .46 77% .35 1.17 68% 75% 29% +5 +2 1.16 29% 1.3 .36 14% .33 56% .18
Jan
19		 George Washington D B A+ C B 37% 17% 46% C+ B F A+ C+ D+ A F+ B+ A+ B+ A+ B+ A+ 50% 4% 46% D A A+ F A+ C A+ C+ A+
1.02 65% 50% 33% +4 0 1.11 14% 2.3 .31 19% .37 65% .24 0.95 52% 0% 30% -7 +3 0.94 20% 1.3 .26 18% .20 73% .14
Jan
24		 Rhode Island B D A+ F C- 44% 22% 34% C- C- C+ A B+ A+ A+ A A+ F D- A+ B+ B- 48% 14% 39% D C+ A+ F C+ F F D F
1.09 50% 56% 29% -2 0 0.98 32% 1.2 .39 15% .47 79% .38 1.24 67% 17% 29% -1 +2 1.02 22% 1.3 .28 7% .52 76% .40
Jan
28		 Davidson D+ A A+ D B+ 40% 18% 43% B+ A- A F F F A+ F+ A+ A+ A- C+ A A+ 18% 33% 49% A+ A+ D+ A- C+ A- A+ C A+
1.03 69% 57% 29% +5 +1 1.13 40% 0.3 .13 22% .49 59% .29 0.89 50% 40% 27% -6 -3 0.84 33% 0.9 .31 21% .13 67% .09
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 St. Bonaventure C A+ A+ F B 50% 12% 38% A- B+ B- C- C+ F C- F D A- C+ F F F 47% 29% 24% C F+ A+ C- A+ B F A+ D-
1.09 73% 67% 25% +6 +2 1.17 32% 1.0 .32 23% .28 67% .18 1.04 57% 62% 45% +11 0 1.22 19% 1.0 .19 20% .44 56% .25
Feb
4		 Duquesne D A+ F A- A- 30% 30% 39% D- B+ C+ F D- F D+ F F C A- A+ D A- 39% 20% 41% A- A- D+ F F F+ D+ D D
1.01 86% 21% 39% +6 -2 1.11 30% 0.7 .20 26% .32 53% .17 1.10 50% 22% 37% -4 0 0.93 32% 1.4 .45 14% .38 76% .29
Feb
7		 Saint Joseph's D+ F+ A- F D+ 33% 35% 33% D D C- C- C- B C+ A+ B A C- A+ A+ A+ 21% 19% 60% A A+ F D F A A+ A+ A+
1.00 47% 44% 27% -5 -2 0.87 29% 1.0 .29 13% .23 83% .19 0.86 60% 0% 21% -18 -1 0.64 44% 1.1 .49 23% .09 50% .04
Feb
10		 Richmond D+ B- F F F+ 44% 19% 37% A- D A- D B- F A+ D A+ D+ F A+ D D 28% 15% 57% F D A C B+ C- C+ F C-
1.00 63% 25% 19% -9 +1 0.86 38% 1.1 .41 21% .54 67% .36 1.17 73% 25% 39% +6 0 1.15 19% 1.0 .19 14% .32 84% .27
Feb
13		 George Washington F D F C D- 33% 15% 52% C+ D- D- C- D C- F D F C- C F C- D+ 43% 7% 50% C D+ A- B A- D B- F C-
0.90 53% 14% 33% -6 0 0.91 23% 1.0 .23 19% .13 67% .08 1.23 60% 100% 35% +5 +2 1.17 31% 1.0 .31 15% .28 86% .24
Feb
18		 Dayton C+ D F+ A+ C+ 34% 36% 30% F+ C F C F+ A+ A+ A+ A+ F F+ B- F F 43% 15% 41% C+ F B F C- F B- A+ A
1.07 50% 29% 50% +1 -2 1.00 17% 1.0 .17 14% .41 82% .34 1.31 70% 29% 53% +15 +1 1.35 25% 1.4 .36 13% .38 62% .24



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.3 0.6 0.9 2nd
3rd 1.6 23.0 12.5 1.1 38.2 3rd
4th 0.1 10.7 13.4 0.4 24.6 4th
5th 0.8 16.3 2.2 19.3 5th
6th 3.3 7.0 0.1 10.4 6th
7th 4.0 0.7 4.7 7th
8th 1.8 0.0 1.8 8th
9th 0.3 0.3 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 10.1 36.3 38.7 13.2 1.7 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 1.7% 5.9% 5.0% 0.9% 11.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.6 0.9%
12-6 13.2% 4.4% 4.3% 0.1% 11.6 0.3 0.3 0.0 12.6 0.1%
11-7 38.7% 3.4% 3.4% 0.0% 11.9 0.3 0.9 0.1 37.4 0.0%
10-8 36.3% 1.5% 1.5% 0.0% 12.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 35.7 0.0%
9-9 10.1% 0.5% 0.5% 12.3 0.0 0.0 10.1
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 2.6% 2.6% 0.0% 11.8 97.4 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.3% 3.4% 11.0 3.4
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.8% 0.7% 11.0 0.7
Lose Out 5.0%