George Mason
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+3.2#115
Expected Predictive Rating+1.3#157
Pace68.2#212
Improvement-4.4#355

Offense
Total Offense+2.3#107
First Shot+3.9#67
After Offensive Rebound-1.6#267
Layup/Dunks-1.3#222
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#257
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.0#30
Freethrows+0.8#129
Improvement-0.6#249

Defense
Total Defense+0.9#138
First Shot-0.6#192
After Offensive Rebounds+1.5#84
Layups/Dunks+2.2#98
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#181
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#304
Freethrows+0.5#155
Improvement-3.7#357
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.2% 4.6% 2.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.5% 0.6% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.2 12.2 12.5
.500 or above 71.0% 75.3% 52.6%
.500 or above in Conference 62.8% 64.4% 55.9%
Conference Champion 4.2% 4.6% 2.1%
Last Place in Conference 2.1% 1.8% 3.6%
First Four0.3% 0.4% 0.0%
First Round4.0% 4.4% 2.5%
Second Round0.8% 0.9% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Old Dominion (Home) - 81.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b1 - 11 - 2
Quad 22 - 53 - 7
Quad 36 - 69 - 13
Quad 49 - 118 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 219   Stony Brook W 74-52 79%     1 - 0 +16.6 -2.1 +18.7
  Nov 12, 2021 189   Penn W 87-66 76%     2 - 0 +16.7 +5.9 +9.5
  Nov 14, 2021 314   Morgan St. W 90-53 91%     3 - 0 +25.2 +8.1 +15.6
  Nov 17, 2021 52   @ Maryland W 71-66 21%     4 - 0 +16.7 +13.2 +4.1
  Nov 19, 2021 163   @ James Madison L 64-67 50%     4 - 1 +0.2 -8.7 +9.1
  Nov 22, 2021 145   Washington L 74-77 57%     4 - 2 -1.4 +6.1 -7.6
  Nov 23, 2021 92   Nevada L 69-88 40%     4 - 3 -13.1 -5.6 -6.7
  Nov 24, 2021 70   South Dakota St. L 76-80 35%     4 - 4 +3.2 +5.9 -2.9
  Dec 04, 2021 228   Old Dominion W 69-60 81%    
  Dec 07, 2021 101   Navy W 68-66 56%    
  Dec 18, 2021 159   @ Georgia L 72-73 49%    
  Dec 21, 2021 320   American W 79-64 92%    
  Dec 23, 2021 307   Coppin St. W 80-66 92%    
  Dec 30, 2021 85   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 60-66 28%    
  Jan 02, 2022 194   @ Duquesne W 72-70 55%    
  Jan 05, 2022 78   Rhode Island L 69-70 48%    
  Jan 08, 2022 220   Saint Joseph's W 81-72 78%    
  Jan 11, 2022 83   @ Richmond L 71-77 28%    
  Jan 17, 2022 262   @ George Washington W 72-66 72%    
  Jan 22, 2022 113   Dayton W 69-66 59%    
  Jan 26, 2022 39   St. Bonaventure L 65-69 34%    
  Jan 30, 2022 116   @ Massachusetts L 78-81 39%    
  Feb 02, 2022 56   Saint Louis L 72-74 43%    
  Feb 05, 2022 244   @ La Salle W 72-67 65%    
  Feb 09, 2022 83   Richmond L 73-74 48%    
  Feb 12, 2022 85   Virginia Commonwealth L 62-63 49%    
  Feb 16, 2022 220   @ Saint Joseph's W 78-75 59%    
  Feb 20, 2022 246   @ Fordham W 70-65 66%    
  Feb 27, 2022 262   George Washington W 75-63 85%    
  Mar 02, 2022 73   @ Davidson L 66-73 28%    
  Mar 05, 2022 116   Massachusetts W 81-78 60%    
Projected Record 17 - 14 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.6 1.5 1.1 0.6 0.3 0.0 4.2 1st
2nd 0.2 1.4 2.8 2.1 0.5 0.1 7.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.1 3.5 2.8 0.6 0.0 8.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 4.0 3.9 1.1 0.1 9.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 3.6 4.5 1.5 0.1 10.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.5 5.3 2.1 0.0 10.2 6th
7th 0.2 1.9 5.5 3.1 0.2 10.8 7th
8th 0.1 1.6 5.0 3.4 0.5 10.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 4.2 4.2 1.0 0.0 10.2 9th
10th 0.4 2.7 3.7 0.6 0.0 7.4 10th
11th 0.4 1.6 2.4 0.9 0.0 5.3 11th
12th 0.1 0.9 1.5 0.8 0.1 3.3 12th
13th 0.0 0.4 1.0 0.4 0.1 1.9 13th
14th 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.1 14th
Total 0.1 0.4 0.8 2.5 3.9 6.8 10.7 12.0 12.8 13.3 12.0 10.4 7.5 4.3 1.6 0.6 0.3 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3
16-2 90.1% 0.6    0.5 0.1 0.0
15-3 68.3% 1.1    0.5 0.4 0.1
14-4 34.2% 1.5    0.4 0.7 0.2 0.1
13-5 8.6% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.2% 4.2 1.8 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.3% 61.8% 14.5% 47.4% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 55.4%
16-2 0.6% 39.4% 18.9% 20.5% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 25.3%
15-3 1.6% 24.4% 17.6% 6.8% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.2 8.2%
14-4 4.3% 12.7% 11.0% 1.6% 11.8 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 3.7 1.8%
13-5 7.5% 11.6% 11.6% 12.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 6.6
12-6 10.4% 7.5% 7.5% 12.5 0.0 0.4 0.3 0.1 9.6
11-7 12.0% 2.5% 2.5% 12.7 0.2 0.1 0.1 11.7
10-8 13.3% 3.9% 3.9% 13.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 12.8
9-9 12.8% 1.2% 1.2% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 12.6
8-10 12.0% 0.7% 0.7% 14.5 0.0 0.0 11.9
7-11 10.7% 1.0% 1.0% 14.6 0.0 0.1 10.6
6-12 6.8% 0.3% 0.3% 15.0 0.0 6.8
5-13 3.9% 3.9
4-14 2.5% 2.5
3-15 0.8% 0.8
2-16 0.4% 0.4
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18
Total 100% 4.2% 3.8% 0.5% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.7 1.0 0.4 0.2 95.8 0.5%