George Mason
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +6.2 #86
Expected Predictive Rating +10.6 #58
Pace 63.1 #324
Improvement -3.7 #326

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #86 B- C C+ A- C
Defense #97 B- B+ C- B B

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% #147 1.32 #36 +3.8 #61
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% #159 0.78 #139 +0.6 #144
Three Pointers 39% #225 1.01 #194 -1.2 #227
1st FG Attempt 1.08 #86 +3.2 #86
Freethrows 0.39 #6 71% #219 0.28 #19
Second Chance 31.4% #156 0.99 #233 0.31 #178
Turnovers 16.2% #131
Total Offense +3.5 #86

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% #292 1.16 #180 +2.2 #104
2 Pt. Jumpers 25% #59 0.67 #36 -0.5 #226
Three Pointers 41% #199 1.00 #142 +0.7 #152
1st FG Attempt 0.97 #101 +2.3 #103
Freethrows 0.26 #46 72% #157 0.19 #45
Second Chance 26.6% #52 0.90 #35 0.24 #27
Turnovers 15.9% #239
Total Defense +2.7 #97

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -0.1% #194 -1.6% #56
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 6.3% #77 -3.1% #116
Possession Length 18.2 #275 17.8 #262
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 #178 0.14 #76
Improvement -2.6 #315 -1.0 #247

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.3% 7.1% 4.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.7% 0.8% 0.2%
Average Seed 11.3 11.3 11.5
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 99.7% 100.0% 98.8%
Conference Champion 1.1% 1.4% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.6% 0.8% 0.2%
First Round5.9% 6.6% 3.9%
Second Round0.9% 1.1% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Saint Joseph's (Home) - 74.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 3
Quad 23 - 23 - 5
Quad 311 - 314 - 8
Quad 410 - 024 - 8


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 199 Wofford W 70 - 46 86% +9  1 - 0 +19 -2 D+ C+ D +23 A+ A- A+
 Fri, Nov 7 124 Winthrop W 96 - 90 75% +0  2 - 0 +5 +13 A+ D+ C- -8 D A+ F
 Sat, Nov 15 321 New Hampshire W 61 - 44 95% +7  3 - 0 +4 -13 F C D- +18 A+ C- A+
 Tue, Nov 18 297 Jacksonville W 79 - 57 93% +12  4 - 0 +11 +8 A+ F F +5 B- B A+
 Mon, Nov 24 193 Ohio W 92 - 69 78% +20  5 - 0 +21 +21 A- B+ A+ +1 B- D C+
 Tue, Nov 25 109 Florida Atlantic W 74 - 65 59% +11  6 - 0 +13 +17 A+ C- A+ -2 C A+ D+
 Sat, Nov 29 220 James Madison W 82 - 66 88% +1  7 - 0 +10 +9 A+ F+ D+ +2 A B- F
 Tue, Dec 2 178 Cornell W 99 - 81 83% +5  8 - 0 +14 +14 A+ F+ D+ -0 D+ A C
 Sat, Dec 6 58 @Virginia Tech L 62 - 73 28% -10  8 - 1 +1 +1 C B F -1 D+ A+ C-
 Sat, Dec 13 259 Old Dominion W 73 - 61 91% +10  9 - 1 +3 -5 D D C +8 B D+ A+
 Sun, Dec 21 316 Loyola Maryland W 86 - 79 95% -1  10 - 1 -5 +10 D- C+ A- -15 C- F D-
 Sun, Dec 28 181 Penn W 83 - 79 84% +3  11 - 1 -0 +9 B- A- A+ -10 F A+ F
 Wed, Dec 31 225 @La Salle W 80 - 75 74% -5  12 - 1 1 - 0 +4 +17 F+ A+ A+ -12 C- B- F
 Sat, Jan 3 117 Rhode Island W 61 - 50 73% +4  13 - 1 2 - 0 +11 -3 C+ F+ A+ +15 B+ A+ C+
 Wed, Jan 7 166 @Fordham W 67 - 58 64% +1  14 - 1 3 - 0 +12 +6 C- C- B- +6 B A F+
 Sat, Jan 10 52 Virginia Commonwealth W 86 - 80 46% +1  15 - 1 4 - 0 +13 +19 A- B+ A+ -6 C C+ D-
 Tue, Jan 13 272 @Loyola Chicago W 82 - 74 81% -3  16 - 1 5 - 0 +5 +16 C+ A+ C+ -10 F D F+
 Mon, Jan 19 80 George Washington W 69 - 64 59% +1  17 - 1 6 - 0 +9 -1 B C C- +11 A A+ C
 Sat, Jan 24 117 @Rhode Island L 65 - 74 51% -5  17 - 2 6 - 1 -3 +8 C- B A+ -13 C+ C+ F
 Wed, Jan 28 111 Davidson W 60 - 52 71% +3  18 - 2 7 - 1 +8 -0 A- F F+ +10 A+ C+ B+
 Sat, Jan 31 133 @St. Bonaventure W 77 - 73 56% -8  19 - 2 8 - 1 +9 +4 B+ C F +5 F+ A+ B
 Wed, Feb 4 106 Duquesne L 65 - 71 70% -0  19 - 3 8 - 2 -5 -2 B+ D F -4 A- F F+
 Sat, Feb 7 128 Saint Joseph's W 72 - 65 74%
 Tue, Feb 10 137 @Richmond W 73 - 71 57%
 Fri, Feb 13 80 @George Washington L 74 - 78 36%
 Wed, Feb 18 90 Dayton W 71 - 68 62%
 Wed, Feb 25 128 @Saint Joseph's W 69 - 68 54%
 Sat, Feb 28 133 St. Bonaventure W 76 - 68 76%
 Tue, Mar 3 52 @Virginia Commonwealth L 71 - 78 26%
 Sat, Mar 7 25 Saint Louis L 72 - 79 26%
Totals 23 - 7 12 - 6 +6 +3 B- C C+ +3 B- B+ C-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.2 0.6 0.3 1.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 4.5 11.2 10.3 3.3 0.2 29.7 2nd
3rd 0.4 7.7 18.5 11.2 1.6 0.0 39.4 3rd
4th 0.0 2.9 10.1 4.0 0.2 17.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 4.4 2.3 0.1 7.2 5th
6th 0.0 1.1 2.2 0.2 3.5 6th
7th 0.1 1.1 0.3 1.4 7th
8th 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.4 8th
9th 0.1 0.0 0.1 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 0.3 2.9 10.2 20.5 27.0 22.6 12.1 3.9 0.5 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 59.2% 0.3    0.1 0.2
15-3 16.0% 0.6    0.1 0.4 0.1
14-4 1.5% 0.2    0.1 0.1
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.1% 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.2



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.5% 46.9% 16.3% 30.6% 10.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 36.6%
15-3 3.9% 18.3% 13.5% 4.8% 10.9 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.1 3.2 5.6%
14-4 12.1% 10.2% 9.2% 1.0% 11.2 0.0 1.0 0.3 10.9 1.1%
13-5 22.6% 7.1% 6.5% 0.6% 11.4 0.9 0.7 0.0 21.0 0.7%
12-6 27.0% 5.4% 5.3% 0.1% 11.5 0.0 0.8 0.6 0.0 25.5 0.1%
11-7 20.5% 3.8% 3.7% 0.0% 11.7 0.2 0.5 0.0 19.7 0.1%
10-8 10.2% 2.6% 2.6% 11.7 0.1 0.2 0.0 9.9
9-9 2.9% 2.9
8-10 0.3% 3.3% 3.3% 13.0 0.0 0.3
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 6.3% 5.7% 0.6% 11.3 93.7 0.7%