George Mason
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+6.3#89
Expected Predictive Rating+11.3#53
Pace63.8#323
Improvement-4.0#351

Offense
Total Offense+3.4#96
First Shot+5.3#54
After Offensive Rebound-1.9#298
Layup/Dunks+0.3#166
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#228
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#134
Freethrows+4.3#12
Improvement-1.1#260

Defense
Total Defense+2.9#92
First Shot+1.2#128
After Offensive Rebounds+1.6#65
Layups/Dunks+2.8#78
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#279
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#206
Freethrows+0.0#182
Improvement-3.0#343
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.8% 9.1% 5.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 2.0% 2.2% 0.5%
Average Seed 11.0 11.0 11.4
.500 or above 99.3% 99.5% 97.4%
.500 or above in Conference 79.7% 80.6% 70.8%
Conference Champion 7.7% 8.0% 4.4%
Last Place in Conference 0.4% 0.4% 0.8%
First Four1.5% 1.6% 0.4%
First Round7.9% 8.2% 4.9%
Second Round1.9% 2.0% 1.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Penn (Home) - 90.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 23 - 43 - 6
Quad 38 - 312 - 9
Quad 411 - 023 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 220 Wofford W 70-46 89%     1 - 0 +17.2 -1.1 +20.2
  Fri, Nov 7 124 Winthrop W 96-90 75%     2 - 0 +5.2 +10.7 -6.0
  Sat, Nov 15 335 New Hampshire W 61-44 96%     3 - 0 +3.5 -11.9 +16.4
  Tue, Nov 18 312 Jacksonville W 79-57 94%     4 - 0 +10.3 +6.9 +4.9
  Mon, Nov 24 190 Ohio W 92-69 78%     5 - 0 +21.1 +21.0 +1.0
  Tue, Nov 25 116 Florida Atlantic W 74-65 62%     6 - 0 +12.3 +14.3 -0.4
  Sat, Nov 29 198 James Madison W 82-66 86%     7 - 0 +10.6 +8.2 +3.2
  Tue, Dec 2 159 Cornell W 99-81 81%     8 - 0 +15.1 +16.1 -1.6
  Sat, Dec 6 71 @Virginia Tech L 62-73 33%     8 - 1 -0.2 -0.9 -0.3
  Sat, Dec 13 214 Old Dominion W 73-61 88%     9 - 1 +5.4 -4.3 +9.6
  Sun, Dec 21 329 Loyola Maryland W 86-79 95%     10 - 1 -6.0 +8.3 -13.9
  Sun, Dec 28 239 Penn W 80-66 90%    
  Wed, Dec 31 233 @La Salle W 72-64 77%    
  Sat, Jan 3 115 Rhode Island W 72-66 71%    
  Wed, Jan 7 197 @Fordham W 69-63 70%    
  Sat, Jan 10 45 Virginia Commonwealth L 71-73 43%    
  Tue, Jan 13 274 @Loyola Chicago W 75-66 81%    
  Mon, Jan 19 77 George Washington W 77-75 57%    
  Sat, Jan 24 115 @Rhode Island L 69-70 50%    
  Wed, Jan 28 129 Davidson W 72-65 75%    
  Sat, Jan 31 114 @St. Bonaventure L 69-70 50%    
  Wed, Feb 4 139 Duquesne W 79-71 77%    
  Sat, Feb 7 173 Saint Joseph's W 74-64 82%    
  Tue, Feb 10 103 @Richmond L 71-72 46%    
  Fri, Feb 13 77 @George Washington L 74-78 36%    
  Wed, Feb 18 68 Dayton W 71-70 55%    
  Wed, Feb 25 173 @Saint Joseph's W 71-67 65%    
  Sat, Feb 28 114 St. Bonaventure W 73-67 71%    
  Tue, Mar 3 45 @Virginia Commonwealth L 68-76 24%    
  Sat, Mar 7 36 Saint Louis L 74-78 36%    
Projected Record 22 - 8 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.2 2.6 1.6 0.5 0.1 7.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 1.4 4.4 4.2 1.3 0.2 0.0 11.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 1.7 5.7 4.7 1.2 0.0 13.4 3rd
4th 0.0 1.2 5.2 5.2 1.1 0.0 12.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 4.5 5.4 1.4 0.0 11.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 3.0 5.4 2.1 0.1 10.8 6th
7th 0.1 1.5 5.1 2.5 0.2 9.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 3.4 2.9 0.3 0.0 7.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 2.3 2.6 0.6 0.0 5.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.0 0.7 0.0 4.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.3 0.6 0.0 2.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.0 1.5 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.6 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 14th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.8 3.3 5.8 8.5 12.2 14.0 14.8 13.9 10.9 7.6 3.9 1.8 0.5 0.1 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 99.3% 0.5    0.5 0.0
16-2 88.6% 1.6    1.2 0.4 0.0
15-3 64.9% 2.6    1.4 1.0 0.2
14-4 28.6% 2.2    0.6 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0
13-5 6.2% 0.7    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 7.7% 7.7 3.8 2.6 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 95.8% 33.3% 62.5% 7.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 93.8%
17-1 0.5% 61.1% 30.2% 30.9% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 44.2%
16-2 1.8% 49.7% 21.8% 27.9% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.0 0.9 35.7%
15-3 3.9% 29.6% 17.3% 12.2% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.0 2.8 14.8%
14-4 7.6% 20.6% 16.0% 4.6% 10.9 0.0 0.2 1.2 0.1 6.0 5.5%
13-5 10.9% 14.1% 12.4% 1.7% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.2 0.3 0.0 9.4 2.0%
12-6 13.9% 9.9% 9.0% 0.9% 11.4 0.0 0.9 0.5 0.0 12.5 1.0%
11-7 14.8% 6.0% 5.8% 0.2% 11.6 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.0 13.9 0.2%
10-8 14.0% 3.4% 3.3% 0.0% 11.7 0.1 0.3 0.0 13.5 0.0%
9-9 12.2% 2.3% 2.3% 11.9 0.1 0.2 0.0 11.9
8-10 8.5% 1.5% 1.5% 12.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 8.4
7-11 5.8% 1.0% 1.0% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.7
6-12 3.3% 0.3% 0.3% 13.0 0.0 3.3
5-13 1.8% 0.2% 0.2% 14.0 0.0 1.7
4-14 0.7% 0.7
3-15 0.3% 0.3
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 8.8% 6.9% 1.9% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 5.3 2.0 0.2 0.0 91.2 2.0%