Duquesne
Atlantic 10
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.1#143
Expected Predictive Rating-2.2#205
Pace77.8#24
Improvement-0.2#207

Offense
Total Offense+1.0#138
First Shot+1.5#141
After Offensive Rebound-0.5#206
Layup/Dunks+2.1#100
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#292
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#166
Freethrows+0.9#124
Improvement+1.2#77

Defense
Total Defense+0.1#161
First Shot-0.2#177
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#179
Layups/Dunks+1.1#134
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#182
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#79
Freethrows-4.3#357
Improvement-1.4#294
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.0% 1.4% 0.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.3 11.9 12.6
.500 or above 36.2% 56.3% 29.6%
.500 or above in Conference 31.5% 39.4% 28.9%
Conference Champion 0.7% 1.3% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 7.5% 4.6% 8.4%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round1.0% 1.4% 0.8%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Nevada (Away) - 24.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 4
Quad 22 - 52 - 10
Quad 34 - 56 - 15
Quad 48 - 214 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 350 Niagara W 83-63 93%     1 - 0 +4.3 +3.2 +0.8
  Fri, Nov 7 281 Sacred Heart W 92-80 84%     2 - 0 +2.6 +6.6 -4.7
  Tue, Nov 11 198 Queens W 87-81 OT 73%     3 - 0 +0.6 -8.9 +8.3
  Sat, Nov 15 39 @Villanova L 77-87 10%     3 - 1 +4.9 +11.1 -6.3
  Wed, Nov 19 330 Loyola Maryland W 92-78 90%     4 - 1 +0.7 +5.1 -5.2
  Sat, Nov 22 212 Northeastern L 86-93 66%     4 - 2 -10.3 -1.2 -7.9
  Tue, Dec 2 121 William & Mary L 79-83 55%     4 - 3 -4.2 -0.9 -2.9
  Sat, Dec 6 207 Stony Brook W 84-75 75%     5 - 3 +2.9 +9.0 -6.0
  Wed, Dec 10 46 @Boise St. L 64-86 12%     5 - 4 -8.0 -0.7 -7.1
  Sat, Dec 13 96 @Nevada L 73-80 25%    
  Mon, Dec 22 354 Canisius W 80-63 95%    
  Tue, Dec 30 138 @Davidson L 74-77 38%    
  Sat, Jan 3 48 Virginia Commonwealth L 75-82 26%    
  Wed, Jan 7 171 @Saint Joseph's L 76-77 46%    
  Tue, Jan 13 70 Dayton L 76-80 36%    
  Sat, Jan 17 218 @Fordham W 74-72 56%    
  Tue, Jan 20 41 Saint Louis L 79-87 25%    
  Sat, Jan 24 260 @Loyola Chicago W 79-75 62%    
  Wed, Jan 28 105 St. Bonaventure W 77-76 50%    
  Sun, Feb 1 118 Rhode Island W 78-77 53%    
  Wed, Feb 4 73 @George Mason L 70-80 19%    
  Sat, Feb 7 80 George Washington L 83-86 38%    
  Sat, Feb 14 105 @St. Bonaventure L 73-79 29%    
  Wed, Feb 18 229 La Salle W 79-71 76%    
  Sat, Feb 21 70 @Dayton L 73-83 19%    
  Wed, Feb 25 138 Davidson W 77-74 59%    
  Sat, Feb 28 41 @Saint Louis L 76-90 11%    
  Wed, Mar 4 118 @Rhode Island L 75-80 33%    
  Sat, Mar 7 103 Richmond L 79-80 49%    
Projected Record 13 - 16 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.7 1st
2nd 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.4 0.0 0.0 1.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 1.3 0.7 0.1 0.0 2.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 1.9 1.2 0.2 3.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.2 2.1 0.3 5.1 5th
6th 0.3 2.4 3.4 0.9 0.0 7.0 6th
7th 0.2 2.0 4.7 1.7 0.1 8.7 7th
8th 0.1 1.6 5.4 3.1 0.3 0.0 10.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.3 5.2 4.9 0.8 0.0 12.2 9th
10th 0.0 1.1 5.3 5.4 1.5 0.1 13.4 10th
11th 0.1 1.2 4.5 5.5 1.8 0.1 13.1 11th
12th 0.1 0.9 3.8 4.5 1.4 0.1 10.8 12th
13th 0.1 0.7 2.2 2.7 1.1 0.1 6.8 13th
14th 0.1 0.6 1.3 1.1 0.4 0.0 3.6 14th
Total 0.1 0.7 2.0 4.3 8.2 11.2 13.6 14.3 14.1 11.5 8.3 5.6 3.2 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-2 89.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0
15-3 79.4% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
14-4 38.6% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-5 8.0% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.7% 0.7 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.2% 16.2% 14.7% 1.5% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.7%
14-4 0.7% 10.2% 10.2% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.6
13-5 1.8% 5.9% 5.9% 11.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.7
12-6 3.2% 4.6% 4.6% 11.7 0.1 0.1 0.0 3.1
11-7 5.6% 3.3% 3.3% 12.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 5.4
10-8 8.3% 1.8% 1.8% 12.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 8.1
9-9 11.5% 1.0% 1.0% 12.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.4
8-10 14.1% 0.4% 0.4% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.1
7-11 14.3% 0.5% 0.5% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.2
6-12 13.6% 0.1% 0.1% 15.3 0.0 0.0 13.6
5-13 11.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 11.2
4-14 8.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 8.2
3-15 4.3% 4.3
2-16 2.0% 2.0
1-17 0.7% 0.7
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 1.0% 1.0% 0.0% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 99.0 0.0%