Fordham
Atlantic 10
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.5#198
Expected Predictive Rating-7.9#286
Pace62.1#350
Improvement+4.7#6

Offense
Total Offense-2.0#225
First Shot-2.6#252
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#139
Layup/Dunks+0.4#159
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#27
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#288
Freethrows-3.2#331
Improvement+1.3#79

Defense
Total Defense-0.5#183
First Shot+0.0#173
After Offensive Rebounds-0.5#226
Layups/Dunks+2.0#105
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#240
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#292
Freethrows+1.6#86
Improvement+3.4#4
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.8 13.8 13.7
.500 or above 15.7% 17.5% 5.0%
.500 or above in Conference 12.6% 13.5% 7.3%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 18.3% 17.2% 24.7%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: New Haven (Home) - 85.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 21 - 51 - 8
Quad 33 - 64 - 14
Quad 48 - 412 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 352 NJIT L 61-72 89%     0 - 1 -26.9 -11.2 -16.6
  Tue, Nov 11 301 Wagner W 63-61 79%     1 - 1 -8.8 -3.3 -5.2
  Fri, Nov 14 170 @Iona L 71-76 33%     1 - 2 -2.9 -0.5 -2.5
  Thu, Nov 20 213 LIU Brooklyn W 69-53 64%     2 - 2 +9.7 -2.7 +13.4
  Sat, Nov 29 329 Albany W 88-68 77%     3 - 2 +9.9 +12.7 -2.1
  Sun, Nov 30 180 Colgate L 62-72 46%     3 - 3 -11.4 -6.8 -5.5
  Sat, Dec 6 289 Holy Cross L 69-70 76%     3 - 4 -11.0 -3.0 -8.1
  Wed, Dec 10 362 Fairleigh Dickinson W 75-54 92%     4 - 4 +3.1 -2.3 +6.9
  Sat, Dec 13 321 Manhattan W 82-53 83%     5 - 4 +16.5 +6.1 +12.6
  Mon, Dec 22 337 New Haven W 69-58 86%    
  Wed, Dec 31 72 @Dayton L 62-75 11%    
  Sun, Jan 4 102 Richmond L 68-72 35%    
  Wed, Jan 7 75 George Mason L 62-69 26%    
  Sat, Jan 10 113 @St. Bonaventure L 63-72 20%    
  Wed, Jan 14 42 @Saint Louis L 64-81 6%    
  Sat, Jan 17 137 Duquesne L 73-74 47%    
  Wed, Jan 21 128 @Davidson L 63-71 24%    
  Wed, Jan 28 238 La Salle W 68-63 67%    
  Sat, Jan 31 81 @George Washington L 67-80 12%    
  Tue, Feb 3 48 Virginia Commonwealth L 64-74 17%    
  Sat, Feb 7 113 St. Bonaventure L 66-69 40%    
  Tue, Feb 10 171 @Saint Joseph's L 66-70 34%    
  Sat, Feb 14 116 @Rhode Island L 63-72 21%    
  Wed, Feb 18 263 Loyola Chicago W 71-65 71%    
  Sat, Feb 21 128 Davidson L 66-68 44%    
  Sat, Feb 28 48 @Virginia Commonwealth L 61-77 7%    
  Wed, Mar 4 238 @La Salle L 65-66 46%    
  Sat, Mar 7 116 Rhode Island L 66-69 41%    
Projected Record 12 - 16 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.3 0.0 1.3 4th
5th 0.3 1.1 0.6 0.1 0.0 2.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.3 1.3 0.2 0.0 3.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.4 2.4 0.7 0.0 4.6 7th
8th 0.1 1.2 3.4 1.5 0.1 6.3 8th
9th 0.1 1.1 4.5 3.2 0.4 0.0 9.2 9th
10th 0.1 1.2 5.1 5.1 1.2 0.0 12.7 10th
11th 0.1 1.3 5.5 6.6 1.8 0.1 15.4 11th
12th 0.1 1.8 6.2 7.4 2.6 0.2 18.4 12th
13th 0.2 1.9 5.2 5.8 2.2 0.2 0.0 15.6 13th
14th 0.4 2.1 3.6 2.9 1.0 0.2 0.0 10.2 14th
Total 0.4 2.3 5.7 10.0 14.3 16.5 15.8 12.9 9.5 6.0 3.6 1.8 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 75.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 36.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 12.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0
14-4 0.1% 0.1
13-5 0.3% 1.9% 1.9% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.3
12-6 0.8% 1.6% 1.6% 13.0 0.0 0.8
11-7 1.8% 1.3% 1.3% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.8
10-8 3.6% 0.8% 0.8% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.5
9-9 6.0% 0.3% 0.3% 13.3 0.0 0.0 6.0
8-10 9.5% 0.4% 0.4% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.5
7-11 12.9% 0.2% 0.2% 14.9 0.0 0.0 12.9
6-12 15.8% 0.0% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 0.0 15.8
5-13 16.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 16.5
4-14 14.3% 14.3
3-15 10.0% 10.0
2-16 5.7% 5.7
1-17 2.3% 2.3
0-18 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.8 0.0%