Fordham
Atlantic 10
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.5#246
Expected Predictive Rating-3.2#226
Pace68.6#207
Improvement+0.1#166

Offense
Total Offense-5.5#320
First Shot-5.0#313
After Offensive Rebound-0.5#214
Layup/Dunks-2.4#260
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#286
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#260
Freethrows+2.2#54
Improvement+0.6#117

Defense
Total Defense+1.0#138
First Shot-3.7#288
After Offensive Rebounds+4.7#4
Layups/Dunks-1.7#245
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.8#342
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.0#50
Freethrows-2.2#300
Improvement-0.5#237
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.6 14.6 14.5
.500 or above 16.1% 18.4% 5.6%
.500 or above in Conference 10.4% 11.4% 6.1%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 25.4% 23.9% 32.6%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: St. Francis Brooklyn (Home) - 81.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 21 - 41 - 7
Quad 34 - 85 - 15
Quad 48 - 513 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 325   Columbia W 77-67 79%     1 - 0 -2.9 -2.1 -0.5
  Nov 12, 2021 250   @ Manhattan L 60-66 39%     1 - 1 -7.8 -15.7 +8.5
  Nov 15, 2021 333   St. Thomas W 84-78 82%     2 - 1 -8.2 -1.5 -6.7
  Nov 19, 2021 351   Maryland Eastern Shore L 73-75 2OT 90%     2 - 2 -20.5 -15.5 -4.7
  Nov 22, 2021 165   Akron W 63-43 33%     3 - 2 +20.0 +0.0 +22.8
  Nov 23, 2021 161   Delaware L 71-81 32%     3 - 3 -9.6 -6.6 -2.8
  Nov 24, 2021 168   Rice W 84-74 34%     4 - 3 +9.8 +3.6 +5.8
  Nov 28, 2021 347   @ Central Connecticut St. W 89-83 2OT 74%     5 - 3 -5.1 -7.2 +0.9
  Dec 01, 2021 332   St. Francis Brooklyn W 74-64 82%    
  Dec 05, 2021 60   @ St. John's L 66-81 8%    
  Dec 09, 2021 278   LIU Brooklyn W 73-68 67%    
  Dec 12, 2021 119   Miami (FL) L 65-73 24%    
  Dec 22, 2021 178   Georgia Southern L 63-64 47%    
  Dec 30, 2021 242   @ La Salle L 64-67 38%    
  Jan 02, 2022 120   Massachusetts L 73-78 34%    
  Jan 05, 2022 39   @ St. Bonaventure L 55-73 5%    
  Jan 08, 2022 77   Richmond L 66-74 23%    
  Jan 12, 2022 192   Duquesne L 67-68 50%    
  Jan 15, 2022 63   @ Saint Louis L 61-76 8%    
  Jan 19, 2022 112   @ Dayton L 58-69 16%    
  Jan 22, 2022 84   Davidson L 62-70 24%    
  Jan 30, 2022 267   @ George Washington L 64-66 43%    
  Feb 02, 2022 73   Rhode Island L 62-70 23%    
  Feb 05, 2022 221   @ Saint Joseph's L 70-75 33%    
  Feb 12, 2022 192   @ Duquesne L 64-70 29%    
  Feb 15, 2022 80   Virginia Commonwealth L 55-63 23%    
  Feb 20, 2022 117   George Mason L 65-70 34%    
  Feb 23, 2022 242   La Salle W 67-64 59%    
  Feb 26, 2022 84   @ Davidson L 59-73 11%    
  Mar 02, 2022 120   @ Massachusetts L 70-81 17%    
  Mar 05, 2022 267   George Washington W 67-63 64%    
Projected Record 13 - 18 5 - 13





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.8 4th
5th 0.2 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.1 0.2 0.0 2.6 6th
7th 0.1 1.2 2.0 0.7 0.1 4.0 7th
8th 0.1 1.2 2.9 1.5 0.1 5.7 8th
9th 0.1 1.2 4.1 2.7 0.4 0.0 8.5 9th
10th 0.0 1.3 5.0 4.5 1.0 0.0 11.8 10th
11th 0.1 1.3 5.9 6.1 1.5 0.1 15.0 11th
12th 0.1 1.4 6.0 6.7 1.9 0.1 16.3 12th
13th 0.2 1.9 6.2 6.4 2.2 0.2 17.0 13th
14th 0.8 3.2 5.9 4.3 1.5 0.2 0.0 15.9 14th
Total 0.8 3.3 7.9 12.0 15.2 16.3 14.5 11.6 8.0 5.2 2.8 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 81.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 55.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 12.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.1% 17.6% 17.6% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.1
13-5 0.2% 7.0% 7.0% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.2
12-6 0.7% 1.5% 1.5% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7
11-7 1.4% 1.2% 1.2% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.3
10-8 2.8% 0.3% 0.3% 14.0 0.0 0.0 2.8
9-9 5.2% 0.3% 0.3% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.2
8-10 8.0% 0.4% 0.4% 15.3 0.0 0.0 8.0
7-11 11.6% 0.1% 0.1% 15.8 0.0 0.0 11.6
6-12 14.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 14.5
5-13 16.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 16.3
4-14 15.2% 15.2
3-15 12.0% 12.0
2-16 7.9% 7.9
1-17 3.3% 3.3
0-18 0.8% 0.8
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%