La Salle
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.3#244
Expected Predictive Rating-7.1#274
Pace70.2#154
Improvement+1.9#41

Offense
Total Offense-4.1#284
First Shot-4.6#304
After Offensive Rebound+0.5#144
Layup/Dunks-2.6#263
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#148
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#266
Freethrows+0.4#153
Improvement-0.2#211

Defense
Total Defense-0.3#180
First Shot+1.0#134
After Offensive Rebounds-1.3#264
Layups/Dunks-1.9#246
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#27
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#156
Freethrows-0.7#232
Improvement+2.2#28
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.4 12.8 14.6
.500 or above 10.8% 21.1% 8.1%
.500 or above in Conference 9.7% 13.4% 8.7%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 29.4% 22.2% 31.3%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Temple (Away) - 20.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 21 - 51 - 8
Quad 33 - 73 - 15
Quad 47 - 411 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 309   Sacred Heart L 81-86 OT 74%     0 - 1 -16.2 -12.4 -3.0
  Nov 13, 2021 298   Albany W 67-64 72%     1 - 1 -7.3 -11.1 +3.7
  Nov 17, 2021 161   @ Delaware L 82-85 OT 23%     1 - 2 +0.4 -1.3 +2.0
  Nov 20, 2021 249   Army W 61-58 63%     2 - 2 -4.7 -12.1 +7.5
  Nov 28, 2021 6   Villanova L 46-72 5%     2 - 3 -11.4 -19.8 +6.9
  Dec 01, 2021 150   @ Temple L 64-73 21%    
  Dec 04, 2021 343   Holy Cross W 76-64 87%    
  Dec 07, 2021 325   Fairleigh Dickinson W 79-71 79%    
  Dec 11, 2021 189   Penn L 69-70 51%    
  Dec 18, 2021 291   @ Bucknell L 73-74 49%    
  Dec 21, 2021 169   Drexel L 67-68 45%    
  Dec 30, 2021 246   Fordham W 67-64 61%    
  Jan 02, 2022 78   @ Rhode Island L 61-75 10%    
  Jan 05, 2022 56   @ Saint Louis L 63-79 7%    
  Jan 08, 2022 85   Virginia Commonwealth L 57-65 24%    
  Jan 11, 2022 39   St. Bonaventure L 60-72 14%    
  Jan 17, 2022 220   @ Saint Joseph's L 72-77 33%    
  Jan 22, 2022 83   Richmond L 68-76 25%    
  Jan 26, 2022 116   Massachusetts L 75-80 33%    
  Jan 29, 2022 73   @ Davidson L 61-75 10%    
  Feb 02, 2022 262   @ George Washington L 66-68 44%    
  Feb 05, 2022 115   George Mason L 67-72 35%    
  Feb 08, 2022 56   Saint Louis L 66-76 20%    
  Feb 12, 2022 83   @ Richmond L 65-79 11%    
  Feb 19, 2022 116   @ Massachusetts L 72-83 17%    
  Feb 23, 2022 246   @ Fordham L 64-67 41%    
  Feb 26, 2022 113   Dayton L 63-68 34%    
  Mar 02, 2022 220   Saint Joseph's W 75-74 54%    
  Mar 05, 2022 194   @ Duquesne L 67-73 31%    
Projected Record 10 - 19 5 - 13





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 3rd
4th 0.1 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.9 4th
5th 0.2 0.9 0.6 0.1 1.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.1 0.8 0.2 2.1 6th
7th 0.1 1.0 1.9 0.7 0.0 3.7 7th
8th 0.1 1.1 2.5 1.3 0.1 5.1 8th
9th 0.1 1.0 3.6 2.7 0.4 7.8 9th
10th 1.5 4.9 3.6 0.7 10.7 10th
11th 0.1 1.5 5.2 5.8 1.3 0.1 14.0 11th
12th 0.2 2.0 5.7 6.3 1.8 0.1 0.0 16.0 12th
13th 0.5 2.7 6.7 6.3 1.9 0.2 18.3 13th
14th 1.3 5.0 6.4 5.1 1.1 0.1 18.9 14th
Total 1.3 5.5 9.2 13.9 14.6 15.1 13.8 9.8 7.1 4.8 2.6 1.4 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-4 5.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-5 8.8% 0.0    0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0
14-4 0.1% 0.1
13-5 0.2% 9.7% 9.7% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.2
12-6 0.5% 0.8% 0.8% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.5
11-7 1.4% 1.7% 1.7% 13.9 0.0 0.0 1.4
10-8 2.6% 1.7% 1.7% 15.0 0.0 2.6
9-9 4.8% 4.8
8-10 7.1% 0.3% 0.3% 15.0 0.0 7.1
7-11 9.8% 9.8
6-12 13.8% 13.8
5-13 15.1% 15.1
4-14 14.6% 14.6
3-15 13.9% 13.9
2-16 9.2% 9.2
1-17 5.5% 5.5
0-18 1.3% 1.3
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%