La Salle
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -3.6 #225
Expected Predictive Rating -3.9 #227
Pace 64.1 #304
Improvement +0.5 #158

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #250 D+ C C- B- C-
Defense #186 C- C- C B+ C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% #105 1.06 #290 -0.2 #185
2 Pt. Jumpers 26% #80 0.81 #100 +2.3 #66
Three Pointers 33% #337 0.95 #270 -5.4 #333
1st FG Attempt 0.96 #266 -3.3 #280
Freethrows 0.34 #80 72% #195 0.25 #96
Second Chance 33.5% #99 0.97 #264 0.32 #146
Turnovers 18.3% #268
Total Offense -3.0 #250

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% #191 1.10 #107 +1.1 #136
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% #256 0.79 #253 +0.5 #151
Three Pointers 43% #103 1.09 #284 -2.8 #303
1st FG Attempt 1.04 #215 -1.2 #216
Freethrows 0.25 #33 68% #24 0.17 #23
Second Chance 30.1% #157 1.11 #301 0.34 #240
Turnovers 17.1% #174
Total Defense -0.6 #186

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -0.9% #254 0.6% #227
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -5.0% #264 1.4% #208
Possession Length 18.3 #292 17.5 #238
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.15 #242 0.18 #202
Improvement -0.1 #184 +0.5 #157

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.3% 5.3% 0.2%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 16.6% 2.0% 16.9%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Saint Louis (Away) - 1.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 21 - 61 - 10
Quad 34 - 105 - 20
Quad 43 - 38 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Wed, Nov 5 364 Coppin St. W 87 - 59 96% +22  1 - 0 +4 -1 C F D +4 A- C+ C-
 Sat, Nov 8 207 Monmouth W 73 - 60 59% +3  2 - 0 +7 +4 C- C C+ +4 C+ C- A+
 Tue, Nov 11 145 @Temple L 63 - 90 23% -16  2 - 1 -23 -6 F C C -19 F F D
 Sat, Nov 15 114 Penn St. L 69 - 83 25% -11  2 - 2 -11 +2 C- A- F+ -14 F B D-
 Wed, Nov 19 33 Villanova L 55 - 70 9% -11  2 - 3 -4 -3 C+ F+ F -3 F A- A+
 Fri, Nov 28 127 Hofstra L 58 - 63 29% -3  2 - 4 -3 -12 D- C+ F +9 C+ A+ B
 Sat, Nov 29 181 @Penn L 71 - 73 31% +3  2 - 5 -0 +5 F A+ C -6 D F C
 Sun, Nov 30 201 Merrimack L 60 - 66 46% -4  2 - 6 -9 -6 C- C F -3 C- D+ C-
 Sat, Dec 6 203 Drexel W 69 - 64 46% +8  3 - 6 +2 +2 C+ B- C+ +1 A+ F D
 Sat, Dec 13 197 @LIU Brooklyn L 60 - 70 34% -5  3 - 7 -9 -8 F B+ F -2 B F B
 Fri, Dec 19 98 @High Point L 72 - 84 14% -8  3 - 8 -4 +5 D+ D+ B+ -9 D- D C-
 Sun, Dec 21 1 @Michigan L 50 - 102 1% -24  3 - 9 -24 -11 F B- F -10 F A+ D
 Wed, Dec 31 81 George Mason L 75 - 80 24% +5  3 - 10 0 - 1 -1 +12 C B- A+ -14 A F F
 Sat, Jan 3 79 @George Washington L 55 - 77 10% -6  3 - 11 0 - 2 -12 -11 F+ F B+ -3 C+ F C
 Wed, Jan 7 118 @Rhode Island W 79 - 72 18% +2  4 - 11 1 - 2 +13 +18 A+ A+ B- -4 D+ D A
 Sat, Jan 10 25 Saint Louis L 72 - 84 7% -12  4 - 12 1 - 3 +1 +8 C C+ A+ -7 F+ B+ A-
 Wed, Jan 14 136 @Richmond L 53 - 74 22% -8  4 - 13 1 - 4 -16 -15 F F B+ -2 C- B+ F
 Sat, Jan 17 137 St. Bonaventure W 78 - 74 42% +2  5 - 13 2 - 4 +3 +11 A+ A+ F -8 F A+ C
 Wed, Jan 21 91 Dayton W 67 - 64 26% +9  6 - 13 3 - 4 +6 +3 C- C+ C +3 A- D- B+
 Wed, Jan 28 167 @Fordham L 58 - 64 28% +1  6 - 14 3 - 5 -4 -2 F B- C+ -2 B D+ D-
 Sat, Jan 31 133 Saint Joseph's L 58 - 67 41% -7  6 - 15 3 - 6 -10 -8 D- F B+ -3 F+ B- A
 Tue, Feb 3 270 @Loyola Chicago L 61 - 71 48% -1  6 - 16 3 - 7 -13 -12 D- F F -2 C F C
 Sat, Feb 7 25 @Saint Louis L 63 - 86 2%
 Wed, Feb 11 52 Virginia Commonwealth L 68 - 79 15%
 Wed, Feb 18 113 @Duquesne L 68 - 78 18%
 Sat, Feb 21 118 Rhode Island L 65 - 69 38%
 Tue, Feb 24 79 George Washington L 71 - 79 24%
 Sun, Mar 1 112 @Davidson L 62 - 72 18%
 Wed, Mar 4 167 Fordham L 64 - 65 50%
 Sat, Mar 7 133 @Saint Joseph's L 64 - 72 21%
Totals 8 - 22 5 - 13 -4 -3 D+ C C- -1 C- C- C




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.1 0.0 0.1 5th
6th 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 6th
7th 0.1 0.6 0.1 0.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.8 1.0 0.0 1.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 3.1 0.3 4.0 9th
10th 0.0 1.2 5.9 2.7 0.0 9.8 10th
11th 0.7 7.3 8.2 0.7 16.8 11th
12th 1.0 9.7 15.4 3.5 0.1 29.7 12th
13th 8.9 17.2 6.5 0.3 32.9 13th
14th 2.9 1.1 0.1 4.1 14th
Total 12.8 28.7 30.4 18.5 7.3 2.0 0.3 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0% 0.0
9-9 0.3% 0.3
8-10 2.0% 2.0
7-11 7.3% 7.3
6-12 18.5% 18.5
5-13 30.4% 30.4
4-14 28.7% 28.7
3-15 12.8% 12.8
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 8.8%